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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2016Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 4

Home Win Probability

Illinois 38%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 29, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MinnesotaMinnesota
14071940
IllinoisIllinois
707317

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-77-147-2114-2114-2814-3317-40
IllinoisMinnesota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINILLMINILLMINILLMINMINILLMINILLMINILLILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINPUNT514ydTO1-10ydTD19ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-2ydTD769ydPUNT513ydTD120ydPUNT943ydPUNT1048ydPUNT529ydPUNT633ydEND210ydPUNT30ydTD549ydPUNT35ydDOWNS45ydTD963ydTD1270ydPUNT30ydPUNT37ydSAF1-4ydPUNT38ydTO1-24ydFG45ydFG1030ydPUNT3-1ydDOWNS40ydTD210ydDOWNS868ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Minnesota and Illinois
StatisticMinnesotaIllinois
Passing10-1916-34
Pass Yards112156
Rush Yards17189
Total Yards283245
Turnovers03
3rd Down7-175-15
Penalties6-563-33
Possession33:0426:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Minnesota
passing
Mitch Leidner
10/19, 112 YDS
rushing
Rodney Smith
20 CAR, 100 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Drew Wolitarsky
3 REC, 64 YDS
defense
Illinois
passing
Jeff George Jr.
16/34, 156 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Reggie Corbin
14 CAR, 83 YDS
receiving
Sam Mays
2 REC, 39 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+32 yds

Chase McLaughlin kickoff for 64 yds , KiAnte Hardin return for 32 yds to the Minn 33

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Mitch Leidner run for 3 yds to the Minn 36

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.45

Rodney Smith run for 8 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 47

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jeff George Jr. run for no gain to the Illin 9 Jeff George Jr. fumbled, recovered by Minn Scott Ekpe

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Shannon Brooks run for 9 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Emmit Carpenter kickoff for 64 yds , Kendrick Foster return for 13 yds to the Illin 14

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Kendrick Foster run for 1 yd to the Illin 15

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.28

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 13

3rd & 11Penalty+5 yds

George, Jr., J. pass complete to Turner,Malik for 7 yards to the ILL20 (Buford, Ray), PENALTY MINN offside defense (Coughlin, C) 5 yards to the ILL18, NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Malik Turner for 2 yds to the Illin 20

4th & 4Punt+20 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 54 yds , KiAnte Hardin returns for 20 yds to the Minn 46

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.79

Mitch Leidner sacked by Carroll Phillips for a loss of 11 yards to the Minn 35

2nd & 21Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Mitch Leidner run for no gain to the Minn 35

3rd & 21Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.20

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Nate Wozniak for 9 yds to the Minn 44

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 31

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Reggie Corbin run for 11 yds to the Illin 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Dominic Thieman for 4 yds to the Illin 46

2nd & 6Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Reggie Corbin run for 19 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Reggie Corbin run for 7 yds to the Minn 28

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Reggie Corbin run for 2 yds to the Minn 26

3rd & 1Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.49

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Tyler White for 23 yds to the Minn 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 30

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Drew Wolitarsky run for 7 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.14

Mitch Leidner sacked by Dawuane Smoot for a loss of 11 yards to the Minn 26

2nd & 21Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.52

Rodney Smith run for 12 yds to the Minn 38

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 40 yds , Darius Mosely returns for no gain to the Illin 20 Darius Mosely fumbled, recovered by Minn Antoine Winfield Jr.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Rodney Smith run for 20 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Emmit Carpenter kickoff for 62 yds , Kendrick Foster return for 12 yds to the Illin 15

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 14

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Zach Grant for 8 yds to the Illin 22

3rd & 3Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.58

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Malik Turner for 8 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, targeting (Duke McGhee) to the Illin 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Reggie Corbin run for no gain to the Illin 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Dominic Thieman for 9 yds to the Minn 46

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.85

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Minn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd to the Minn 44

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Kendrick Foster run for 2 yds to the Minn 42

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Dominic Thieman

4th & 7Punt+35 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 29 yds, downed at the Minn 13 MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive holding (6 Yards) to the Minn 7

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Minn 9

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Minn 11

3rd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.99

Shannon Brooks run for 12 yds to the Minn 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 26

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 29

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.94

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rashad Still for 11 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.57

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 20 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Illin 37

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

Smith, Rodney rush for 9 yards to the ILL28, out-of-bounds (Green,Stanley), PENALTY MINN holding declined, PENALTY MINN holding (Weyler, Jared) 10 yards to the ILL47, NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Illin 45

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Rashad Still

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 10 yds, downed at the Illin 35

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

George, Jr., J. pass incomplete to Hardee,Justin, PENALTY MINN pass interference (Hardin, KiAnte) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN ILL, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kendrick Foster run for 4 yds to the Minn 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.84

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Dominic Thieman for 7 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Dominic Thieman

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Kendrick Foster run for 1 yd to the Minn 38

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Kendrick Foster for 2 yds to the Minn 36

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 10

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.46

Shannon Brooks run for 11 yds to the Minn 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Shannon Brooks run for 6 yds to the Minn 27

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Shannon Brooks run for 8 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Shannon Brooks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 32

2nd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.44

Rodney Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 31

3rd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.66

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rodney Smith for 12 yds to the Minn 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 54 yds , Darius Mosely returns for no gain to the Illin 3

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Reggie Corbin run for 8 yds to the Illin 11

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Reggie Corbin run for 2 yds to the Illin 13 for a 1ST down

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Reggie Corbin run for 7 yds to the Illin 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Zach Grant

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jeff George Jr. run for no gain to the Illin 25 Jeff George Jr. fumbled,

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 30 yds , Antonio Shenault returns for no gain to the Illin 49 Antonio Shenault fumbled, recovered by Minn Coney Durr

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Illin 46

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew Wolitarsky

3rd & 7Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.74

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 35 yds to the Illin 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Mitch Leidner run for 2 yds to the Illin 9

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.69

Rodney Smith run for 9 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Dominic Thieman for 5 yds to the Illin 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Kendrick Foster run for no gain to the Illin 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+12 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Antonio Shenault at the ILLINOIS 43 ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Illin 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Brian Smith

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Illin 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 3 yds to the Illin 37

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.80

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Nate Wozniak, broken up by Jaylen Dunlap

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.76

Jeff George Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 32 Jeff George Jr. fumbled, recovered by Illin Zach Grant

2nd & 15Rush+28 ydsPPA +3.62

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 28 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Reggie Corbin run for 9 yds to the Minn 31

2nd & 1Penalty+5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, offside defense (Merrick Jackson) to the Minn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Minn 25

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Justin Hardee for 7 yds to the Minn 18

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.78

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Minn 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 16

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.95

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Zach Grant for 16 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Chase McLaughlin kickoff for 47 yds , Thomas Barber return for 12 yds to the Minn 30

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Rodney Smith run for 8 yds to the Minn 38

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.47

Rodney Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 37

3rd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.33

Rodney Smith run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 9 yds to the Illin 41

2nd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.13

Rodney Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.69

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Nate Wozniak for 5 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rodney Smith for 7 yds to the Illin 33

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Illin 32

3rd & 2Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.84

Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Illin 26 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (Stanley Green) to the Illin 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Rashad Still, broken up by Jaylen Dunlap

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Shannon Brooks run for 8 yds to the Illin 5

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.58

Mitch Leidner run for 5 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Emmit Carpenter kickoff for 58 yds , Kendrick Foster return for 14 yds to the Illin 21

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the Illin 21

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Zach Grant

4th & 10Punt+17 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 40 yds , Antonio Shenault returns for 17 yds to the Illin 44

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Illin 38

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Illin 37

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Rashad Still, broken up by Jaylen Dunlap

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 33 yds, downed at the Illin 4

1st & 10Safety-4 ydsPPA -2.06

Merrick Jackson Safety

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Chase McLaughlin kickoff for 68 yds , KiAnte Hardin return for 20 yds to the Minn 32

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Minn 34

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Shannon Brooks run for no gain to the Minn 34

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Mitch Leidner run for 6 yds to the Minn 40

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 24 yds, downed at the Illin 36

1st & 10Sack-16 ydsPPA -2.18

Jeff George Jr. sacked by Hendrick Ekpe for a loss of 16 yards to the Illin 12 Jeff George Jr. fumbled, recovered by Minn Scott Ekpe , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Kobe McCrary run for 2 yds to the Illin 10

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Mitch Leidner run for 2 yds to the Illin 8

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 1 yd to the Illin 7

4th & 5Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.89

Emmit Carpenter 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Reggie Corbin run for 9 yds to the Illin 44

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.75

Reggie Corbin run for 10 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kendrick Foster run for 4 yds to the Minn 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.76

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Zach Grant for 7 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Zach Grant

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Zach Grant

4th & 10Field Goal Good+53 ydsPPA +1.60

Chase McLaughlin 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -1.11

Conor Rhoda run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 49 Conor Rhoda fumbled, recovered by Minn Conor Rhoda , return for no gain to the Minn 49

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.28

Conor Rhoda run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 47

3rd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Kobe McCrary run for 2 yds to the Minn 49

4th & 11Punt+40 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 40 yds , Darius Mosely returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Zach Grant

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Kendrick Foster

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.36

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kobe McCrary run for 5 yds to the Illin 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Kobe McCrary run for 5 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Emmit Carpenter kickoff for 61 yds , Kendrick Foster return for 14 yds to the Illin 18

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Kendrick Foster run for 9 yds to the Illin 27

2nd & 1Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.78

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Dionte Taylor for 14 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Sam Mays for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.72

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Sam Mays for 30 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Sam Mays

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Dionte Taylor for 5 yds to the Minn 15

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Jeff George Jr. run for 1 yd to the Minn 14

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.69

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Zach Grant

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 13

Situational Analysis

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
27 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
30%
10 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
30%
27 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
27%
11 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays