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← Back to GamesOct 22, 2016Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 17.6

Home Win Probability

Michigan 90%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 22, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IllinoisIllinois
00088
MichiganMichigan
21103741

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-021-028-031-034-041-8
MichiganIllinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICILLMICILLMICILLMICILLMICILLMICILLMICILLMICILLMICILLMICILLMICILLMICTD1075ydPUNT3-3ydTD344ydPUNT611ydTD1081ydPUNT315ydTD862ydPUNT547ydPUNT1034ydTO10ydEND620ydPUNT37ydPUNT737ydTO658ydTO210ydDOWNS47ydFG1060ydPUNT33ydTO722ydTD143ydTD361ydPUNT3-16ydEND1345yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Illinois and Michigan
StatisticIllinoisMichigan
Passing4-1520-28
Pass Yards95291
Rush Yards77270
Total Yards172561
Turnovers21
3rd Down2-107-14
Penalties5-455-41
Possession18:3741:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Illinois
passing
Jeff George Jr.
4/15, 95 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kendrick Foster
8 CAR, 45 YDS
receiving
Malik Turner
2 REC, 86 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Michigan
passing
Wilton Speight
16/23, 253 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Karan Higdon
8 CAR, 106 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Amara Darboh
5 REC, 99 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

De'Veon Smith run for 7 yds to the Mich 32

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.81

De'Veon Smith run for 9 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Ty Isaac run for 6 yds to the Mich 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.88

Wilton Speight pass complete to Eddie McDoom for 33 yds to the Illin 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jabrill Peppers run for 4 yds to the Illin 16

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Karan Higdon run for 7 yds to the Illin 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jabrill Peppers for 5 yds to the Illin 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jabrill Peppers run for 1 yd to the Illin 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Jake Butt 3 Yd pass from Wilton Speight (Kenny Allen Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Illin 23

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.57

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 18 Ke'Shawn Vaughn fumbled, recovered by Illin Ke'Shawn Vaughn

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt+26 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the MICHIGAN 41 ILLINOIS Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Illin 44

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+16 ydsPPA +0.28

Chris Evans run for 16 yds to the Illin 21 Chris Evans fumbled, forced by Carroll Phillips, recovered by Mich Jake Butt for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Tyrone Wheatley 21 Yd pass from Wilton Speight (Kenny Allen Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd to the Illin 26

3rd & 9Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.61

Kendrick Foster run for 17 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.28

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 7 yards to the Illin 36

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Malik Turner

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Malik Turner

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 19

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

De'Veon Smith run for 6 yds to the Mich 25

2nd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.79

Eddie McDoom run for 19 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ty Isaac run for 3 yds to the Mich 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.61

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 13 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.58

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 21 yds to the Illin 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Ty Isaac run for 3 yds to the Illin 16

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Wilton Speight run for 10 yds to the Illin 6 for a 1ST down

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the Illin 1

3rd & 1Penalty0 yds

Speight, Wilton pass incomplete to Butt, Jake, PENALTY ILLINOIS pass interference (Jones, Julian) 0 yards to the ILLINOIS1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Khalid Hill 1 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

George Jr., Jeff pass incomplete to White, Tyler, PENALTY MICHIGAN roughing passer (Godin, Matthew) 15 yards to the MICHIGAN47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ILLINOIS.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Mich 44

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Mich 42

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Malik Turner

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Delay of Game (Ryan Frain) to the Mich 47

4th & 10Blocked Punt+9 yds

TEAM punt for 9 yds, blocked by Khaleke Hudson to the Mich 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jake Butt

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.28

De'Veon Smith run for 13 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jabrill Peppers run for 4 yds to the Illin 45

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.11

Karan Higdon run for 16 yds to the Illin 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.31

De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 34

2nd & 15Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.91

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 27 yds to the Illin 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jabrill Peppers run for 3 yds to the Illin 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

De'Veon Smith 4 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kendrick Foster run for 4 yds to the Illin 19

2nd & 6Rush+45 ydsPPA +3.68

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 45 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Mich 33

3rd & 7Penalty-10 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Nick Allegretti) to the Mich 43

3rd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Reggie Corbin run for 5 yds to the Mich 38

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 30 yds, downed at the Mich 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Mich 11

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.90

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 14 yds to the Mich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Mich 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 7 yds to the Mich 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jehu Chesson run for 5 yds to the Mich 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.59

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 14 yds to the Illin 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.71

Jabrill Peppers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 49

2nd & 13Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.85

Wilton Speight sacked by Carroll Phillips for a loss of 9 yards to the Mich 42

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to De'Veon Smith

4th & 22Punt+13 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 41 yds , Darius Mosely returns for 13 yds to the Illin 30

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-4 ydsPPA -1.31

Jeff George Jr. pass intercepted Dymonte Thomas return for 4 yds to the Illin 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Illin 23

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.43

De'Veon Smith run for 13 yds to the Illin 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

De'Veon Smith run for 6 yds to the Illin 4

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Illin 2

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.54

De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 5

4th & 4Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.99

Kenny Allen 23 Yd Field Goal

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kendrick Foster run for 2 yds to the Illin 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Kendrick Foster run for 4 yds to the Illin 31

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Jeff George Jr. run for 1 yd to the Illin 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 44 yds, downed at the Mich 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.29

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 15 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.44

De'Veon Smith run for 17 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jehu Chesson

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.59

Ty Isaac run for 15 yds to the Illin 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Ty Isaac run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 31

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Amara Darboh

3rd & 12Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.29

Wilton Speight sacked by Hardy Nickerson for a loss of 8 yards to the Illin 39

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 24 yds, downed at the Illin 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kendrick Foster run for 4 yds to the Illin 19

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Malik Turner run for no gain to the Illin 19

3rd & 6Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +4.00

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Malik Turner for 43 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Zach Grant for 6 yds to the Mich 32

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Kendrick Foster run for 7 yds to the Mich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -4.30

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 27 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Mich Mike McCray

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 25

2nd & 17Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+17 ydsPPA +0.20

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 17 yds Jehu Chesson fumbled, forced by Stanley Green, recovered by Illin James Crawford

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Kendrick Foster run for 2 yds to the Mich 35

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kendrick Foster run for 5 yds to the Mich 30

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Zach Grant

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.72

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Kendrick Foster

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Devin Asiasi) to the Mich 20

1st & 20Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.21

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.19

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 22 yds to the Illin 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Kekoa Crawford

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Karan Higdon run for 9 yds to the Illin 19

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.16

Khalid Hill run for 3 yds to the Illin 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Amara Darboh

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Illin 14

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Wilton Speight pass complete to Nate Johnson for 4 yds to the Illin 10

4th & 4Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.85

Kenny Allen 27 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Reggie Corbin run for no gain to the Illin 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Zach Grant for 3 yds to the Illin 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Malik Turner

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 21

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Henry Poggi) to the Mich 11

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Ty Isaac run for 1 yd to the Mich 12

2nd & 19Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.04

John O'Korn pass complete to Maurice Ways for 2 yds to the Mich 14

3rd & 17Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.20

Karan Higdon run for 22 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

John O'Korn run for 3 yds to the Mich 39

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Eddie McDoom run for 4 yds to the Mich 43

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

John O'Korn run for 2 yds to the Mich 45

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.75

Ben Gedeon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 43 Ben Gedeon fumbled, recovered by Mich Ben Gedeon

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Malik Turner 43 Yd pass from Jeff George Jr. (Jeff George Jr. Pass to Zach Grant for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Ty Isaac run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 38

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Ty Isaac run for 2 yds to the Mich 40

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

O'Korn, John pass incomplete to Harris, Drake, PENALTY ILLINOIS roughing passer (Watson, Tre) 15 yards to the ILLINOIS45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN. Tre Watson ejected for Targeting.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.48

Karan Higdon 45 Yd Run (Ryan Tice Kick)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 46

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 13Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.84

Jeff George Jr. sacked by Maurice Hurst for a loss of 13 yards to the Illin 33

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 67 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

John O'Korn pass incomplete to Eddie McDoom

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Mich 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.30

John O'Korn pass complete to Tyrone Wheatley for 6 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 32

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Ty Isaac run for 3 yds to the Mich 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.21

John O'Korn pass complete to Bobby Henderson for 23 yds to the Illin 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Joe Hewlett run for no gain to the Illin 42

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Tru Wilson run for 1 yd to the Illin 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

John O'Korn pass complete to Drake Harris for 7 yds to the Illin 34

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.67

Bobby Henderson run for 3 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 33

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.11

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 34

3rd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 35

Situational Analysis

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
13%
15 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
29%
34 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
71%
7 plays
67%
15 plays
29%
7 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays