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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2016Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Nebraska by 13.8

Home Win Probability

Nebraska 85%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 1, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IllinoisIllinois
0133016
NebraskaNebraska
7302131

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-710-710-1010-1310-1617-1624-1631-16
NebraskaIllinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEBILLNEBILLNEBILLNEBILLILLNEBILLNEBILLNEBILLNEBILLNEBTD1375ydPUNT519ydMISS1147ydTD860ydFG1053ydFG1069ydTO228ydEND321ydPUNT3-4ydTO517ydFG874ydTD1875ydPUNT35ydTD1159ydPUNT39ydTD270ydDOWNS44ydEND2-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Illinois and Nebraska
StatisticIllinoisNebraska
Passing14-2316-23
Pass Yards146220
Rush Yards124203
Total Yards270423
Turnovers02
3rd Down2-910-14
Penalties7-483-35
Possession21:5938:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Illinois
passing
Wes Lunt
13/22, 133 YDS
rushing
Reggie Corbin
9 CAR, 72 YDS
receiving
Malik Turner
5 REC, 57 YDS
defense
Nebraska
passing
Tommy Armstrong Jr.
16/23, 220 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Terrell Newby
27 CAR, 140 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jordan Westerkamp
4 REC, 65 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Terrell Newby run for 4 yds to the Neb 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.34

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 10 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Terrell Newby run for 6 yds to the Neb 45

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Neb 48

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 3 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Cethan Carter for 2 yds to the Illin 47

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Terrell Newby run for no gain to the Illin 47

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.70

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 18 yds to the Illin 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Bryan Reimers

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.75

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 13 yds to the Illin 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Illin 14

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.81

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 13 yds to the Illin 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty0 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Offside (James Crawford) to the Illin 1

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Reggie Corbin run for 7 yds to the Illin 32

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Gabe Megginson) to the Illin 22

2nd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.93

Reggie Corbin run for 12 yds to the Illin 34

3rd & 1Penalty+15 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, Personal Foul (Joshua Kalu) to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Kendrick Foster run for 3 yds to the Neb 48

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd to the Neb 47

3rd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.89

Wes Lunt sacked by Freedom Akinmoladun for a loss of 9 yards to the Illin 44

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 42 yds, fair catch by De'Mornay Pierson-El at the Neb 14

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Terrell Newby run for 6 yds to the Neb 20

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Neb 23

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.50

Terrell Newby run for 1 yd to the Neb 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.06

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 18

2nd & 16Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.73

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 37 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon Reilly

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.54

Brandon Reilly run for 11 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Illin 29

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon Reilly

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Illin 34

3rd & 10Penalty-15 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Jordan Westerkamp) to the Illin 49

3rd & 25Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.55

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 10 yds to the Illin 39

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+56 yds

Drew Brown 56 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Malik Turner

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Illin 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.82

Wes Lunt pass complete to Zach Grant for 11 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 49

2nd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.49

Wes Lunt pass complete to Reggie Corbin for 11 yds to the Neb 40

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.99

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 5 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kendrick Foster run for 4 yds to the Neb 31

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.04

Kendrick Foster run for 31 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Neb 39

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Neb 44

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 3 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.22

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 21 yds to the Illin 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon Reilly

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Mikale Wilbon for 13 yds to the Illin 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the Illin 19

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Devine Ozigbo run for 7 yds to the Illin 12

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-El

4th & 3Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.84

Drew Brown 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 10 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Reggie Corbin run for 13 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Reggie Corbin run for 8 yds to the Neb 44

2nd & 2Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.53

Wes Lunt pass complete to Nathan Echard for 26 yds to the Neb 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Nathan Echard run for 1 yd to the Neb 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Chayce Crouch pass complete to Malik Turner for 13 yds to the Neb 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Neb 9

1st & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Nathan Echard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Wes Lunt pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Wes Lunt pass complete to Justin Hardee for 4 yds to the Neb 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.87

Chase McLaughlin 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.40

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 28 yds to the Illin 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-24 ydsPPA -3.71

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass intercepted Darius Mosely return for 24 yds to the Neb 46

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.67

Wes Lunt run for 14 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Wes Lunt pass complete to Reggie Corbin for 7 yds to the Neb 25

2nd & 3Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA -1.50

Chase McLaughlin 43 yd FG GOOD

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn

2nd & 10Penalty-8 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Personal Foul (Dionte Taylor) to the Illin 8

2nd & 18Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Reggie Corbin run for 4 yds to the Illin 12

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Dionte Taylor

4th & 14Punt+27 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 44 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 27 yds to the Illin 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Terrell Newby run for 5 yds to the Illin 24

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-El

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.74

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Sam Cotton for 12 yds to the Illin 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 15

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Mikale Wilbon run for 3 yds to the Illin 12 Mikale Wilbon fumbled, recovered by Illin

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.68

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 25 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Kendrick Foster run for 1 yd to the Illin 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.44

Wes Lunt pass complete to Zach Grant for 17 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +0.93

Reggie Corbin run for 31 yds to the Neb 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Kendrick Foster run for 1 yd to the Neb 13

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kendrick Foster run for 4 yds to the Neb 9

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Nathan Echard

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Neb 14

4th & 10Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.25

Chase McLaughlin 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Neb 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Neb 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.51

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 6 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Neb 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.23

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 10 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the Illin 47

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.44

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 49

3rd & 12Penalty+15 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Chunky Clements) to the Illin 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Illin 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Terrell Newby for 5 yds to the Illin 27

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Terrell Newby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 28

4th & 4Penalty+5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Darius Mosely) to the Illin 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

De'Mornay Pierson-El run for 4 yds to the Illin 19

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.67

Terrell Newby run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 21

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 8 yds to the Illin 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Terrell Newby run for 6 yds to the Illin 7

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Illin 5

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Terrell Newby run for 1 yd to the Illin 4

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.37

Terrell Newby run for 1 yd to the Illin 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Terrell Newby run for 3 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Wes Lunt pass complete to Justin Hardee for 6 yds to the Illin 31

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Malik Turner

4th & 5Punt+13 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 42 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 13 yds to the Neb 41

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Terrell Newby run for 5 yds to the Neb 46

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.94

Terrell Newby run for 7 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Terrell Newby run for 7 yds to the Illin 40

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Illin 38

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.67

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 3 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Terrell Newby run for 5 yds to the Illin 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

Terrell Newby run for no gain to the Illin 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.18

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Terrell Newby for 21 yds to the Illin 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Terrell Newby run for 1 yd to the Illin 8

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Illin 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Trey Foster for 6 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kendrick Foster run for 2 yds to the Illin 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Wes Lunt pass complete to Justin Hardee for 7 yds to the Illin 34

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Malik Turner

4th & 1Punt+2 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 38 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 2 yds to the Neb 30

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Terrell Newby run for 7 yds to the Neb 37

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +5.02

Terrell Newby run for 63 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Wes Lunt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 4 yds to the Illin 32

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Dominic Thieman

4th & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA +0.10

Wes Lunt pass complete to Reggie Corbin for no gain to the Illin 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Terrell Newby run for 1 yd to the Illin 31

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 33

Situational Analysis

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
20 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
41%
29 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
12 plays
60%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
63%
8 plays
100%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays