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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2016Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 1.4

Home Win Probability

Michigan 55%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 1, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WisconsinWisconsin
00707
MichiganMichigan
070714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-07-714-7
MichiganWisconsin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISMICWISMICWISMICWISMICWISMICWISMICMICWISMICWISMICWISMICWISMICWISMICWISMICWISMICPUNT937ydPUNT532ydPUNT428ydTD1177ydPUNT34ydMISS1143ydPUNT3-8ydMISS614ydPUNT614ydPUNT3-6ydTO418ydPUNT32ydPUNT911ydTD531ydMISS1164ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-16ydPUNT416ydPUNT421ydPUNT3-3ydTD464ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-6ydTO23ydPUNT34ydTO40ydEND34yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wisconsin and Michigan
StatisticWisconsinMichigan
Passing9-2520-32
Pass Yards88219
Rush Yards71130
Total Yards159349
Turnovers31
3rd Down4-153-15
Penalties3-306-45
Possession24:1935:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wisconsin
passing
Alex Hornibrook
9/25, 88 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Corey Clement
17 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Robert Wheelwright
3 REC, 46 YDS
defense
Jack Cichy
0.5 TFL
Michigan
passing
Wilton Speight
20/32, 219 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
De'Veon Smith
17 CAR, 66 YDS
receiving
Amara Darboh
6 REC, 87 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Wisc 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Wisc 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.25

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 24 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Mich 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 6 yds to the Mich 39

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.67

Alec Ingold run for 2 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Austin Ramesh run for 2 yds to the Mich 35

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Jacob Maxwell) to the Mich 40

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the Mich 38

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to George Rushing, broken up by Channing Stribling

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 27 yds, downed at the Mich 11

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Wilton Speight run for 2 yds to the Mich 13

2nd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.85

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 23 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 6 yds to the Mich 42

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the Mich 43

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Amara Darboh, broken up by D'Cota Dixon

4th & 3Punt+7 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 55 yds , Jazz Peavy returns for 7 yds to the Wisc 9

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.97

Corey Clement run for 19 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Wisc 29

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Dare Ogunbowale run for 1 yd to the Wisc 30

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 7 yds to the Wisc 37

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 40 yds, downed at the Mich 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 6 yds to the Mich 29

2nd & 4Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.13

Chris Evans run for 22 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Chris Evans run for no gain to the Wisc 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.81

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 12 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Wilton Speight pass complete to Chris Evans for 9 yds to the Wisc 28

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jehu Chesson, broken up by Leo Musso

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 11 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jehu Chesson run for 8 yds to the Wisc 6

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.16

De'Veon Smith run for 5 yds to the Wisc 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Khalid Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Wisc 23

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jazz Peavy

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jazz Peavy

4th & 6Punt+6 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 39 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 6 yds to the Mich 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jehu Chesson, broken up by Chikwe Obasih

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.52

Wilton Speight pass complete to Grant Perry for 20 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

De'Veon Smith run for 7 yds to the Wisc 29

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ty Isaac run for 4 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

De'Veon Smith run for 6 yds to the Wisc 19

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Wisc 16

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.10

Khalid Hill run for 1 yd to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Grant Perry

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Wisc 13

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Grant Perry, broken up by Lubern Figaro

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Kenny Allen 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jazz Peavy, broken up by Jourdan Lewis

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Corey Clement run for no gain to the Wisc 20

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.18

Alex Hornibrook sacked by Ryan Glasgow and Taco Charlton for a loss of 8 yards to the Wisc 12

4th & 18Punt+13 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 40 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 13 yds to the Wisc 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 7 yds to the Wisc 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.04

Chris Evans run for 5 yds to the Wisc 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 2 yds to the Wisc 25

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Kekoa Crawford run for no gain to the Wisc 25

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jake Butt

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Kenny Allen 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Robert Wheelwright

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 7 yds to the Wisc 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.78

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 20 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Corey Clement run for no gain to the Mich 48

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Corey Clement

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-13 ydsPPA -1.50

TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the Wisc 39 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Wisc Alex Hornibrook

4th & 23Punt0 yds

P.J. Rosowski punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Amara Darboh

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Chris Evans run for 4 yds to the Mich 35

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Grant Perry

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mich 30

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mich 25

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 56 yds, downed at the Wisc 19

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.29

Jazz Peavy run for 17 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Wisc 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jazz Peavy, broken up by Ryan Glasgow

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return-5 ydsPPA -0.28

Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Channing Stribling return for 5 yds to the Wisc 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Wilton Speight pass complete to De'Veon Smith for 4 yds to the Wisc 40

2nd & 6Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.48

Wilton Speight sacked by Jack Cichy and Chikwe Obasih for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 42

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jehu Chesson, broken up by Sojourn Shelton

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 28 yds, downed at the Wisc 14

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 5 yds to the Mich 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Wilton Speight pass complete to Grant Perry for 6 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Mich 38

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.03

Chris Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 36

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Wilton Speight pass complete to De'Veon Smith for 5 yds to the Mich 41

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

Allen, Kenny punt 52 yards to the WISCONSIN7, fair catch by Peavy, Jazz, PENALTY MICHIGAN illegal motion 5 yards to the MICHIGAN36, NO PLAY.

4th & 10Penalty+15 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Personal Foul (Garrett Rand) to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Chris Evans run for no gain to the Wisc 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.16

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 24 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.63

Shane Morris run for 2 yds to the Wisc 23 MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Juwann Bushell-Beatty) to the Wisc 33

1st & 18Pass Interception Return-46 ydsPPA -3.45

Wilton Speight pass intercepted Derrick Tindal return for 46 yds to the Mich 31

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Mich 30

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jazz Peavy run for 6 yds to the Mich 24

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.48

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 5 yds to the Mich 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Austin Ramesh run for 2 yds to the Mich 17

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.80

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 17 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 5 yds to the Mich 19

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.07

De'Veon Smith run for 13 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.22

De'Veon Smith run for 16 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Holding (Olive Sagapolu) to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Wisc 40

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ty Isaac run for 5 yds to the Wisc 35

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Ty Isaac run for 8 yds to the Wisc 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.16

Ty Isaac run for 10 yds to the Wisc 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ty Isaac run for 5 yds to the Wisc 12

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 13

3rd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.96

Wilton Speight sacked by Alec James for a loss of 9 yards to the Wisc 22

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Ryan Tice 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jazz Peavy

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Corey Clement run for 7 yds to the Wisc 30

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Alec Ingold

4th & 3Punt0 yds

P.J. Rosowski punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 35

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Evans, Chris rush for 13 yards to the MICHIGAN48, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Braden, Ben) 10 yards to the MICHIGAN25, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 5 yds to the Mich 30

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Amara Darboh

3rd & 15Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.22

Wilton Speight sacked by T.J. Watt for a loss of 11 yards to the Mich 19

4th & 26Punt+12 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 54 yds , Jazz Peavy returns for 12 yds to the Wisc 39 MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wisc 49

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.95

Corey Clement run for 16 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.25

Alex Hornibrook run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 38

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Mich 35

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jazz Peavy

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 7

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.49

Ty Isaac run for 13 yds to the Mich 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Mich 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Wilton Speight pass complete to Henry Poggi for 5 yds to the Mich 28

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Amara Darboh, broken up by D'Cota Dixon

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 47 yds, downed at the Wisc 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Wisc 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jazz Peavy, broken up by Channing Stribling

3rd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.33

Alex Hornibrook sacked by Chris Wormley for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

P.J. Rosowski punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 36

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jehu Chesson run for no gain to the Mich 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 3 yds to the Mich 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.92

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 15 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.54

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 46 yds for a TD, (Ryan Tice KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Corey Clement run for no gain to the Wisc 25

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Wisc 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 2 yds to the Wisc 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

P.J. Rosowski punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 28

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Ty Isaac run for no gain to the Mich 28

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Chris Evans run for 4 yds to the Mich 32

3rd & 6Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.63

Wilton Speight sacked by Garret Dooley for a loss of 10 yards to the Mich 22

4th & 16Punt+2 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 53 yds , Jazz Peavy returns for 2 yds to the Wisc 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 30

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return-4 ydsPPA -0.75

Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Channing Stribling return for 4 yds to the Wisc 45

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the Wisc 45

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Ty Isaac run for 3 yds to the Wisc 42

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the Wisc 41

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jazz Peavy at the Wisc 8

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.32

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for no gain to the Wisc 8

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Robert Wheelwright

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy Fumagalli, broken up by Ben Gedeon

4th & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.37

Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Jourdan Lewis return for no gain to the Wisc 46

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Wisc 44

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the Wisc 44

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Wisc 42

Situational Analysis

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
15%
20 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
43%
14 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
8 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
45%
31 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
47%
15 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th