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← Back to GamesOct 2, 2016Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan State by 4.8

Home Win Probability

Indiana 35%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 2, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
Michigan StateMichigan State
7077021
IndianaIndiana
00714324

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-1414-1421-21
IndianaMichigan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSINDMSINDMSINDMSINDMSINDMSINDMSINDMSINDMSINDMSINDMSINDMSINDMISS1452ydPUNT624ydTD287ydPUNT64ydPUNT31ydPUNT514ydTO843ydTO425ydPUNT612ydMISS723ydEND621ydDOWNS1165ydPUNT30ydMISS48ydTD777ydTD775ydPUNT940ydTD890ydPUNT37ydTD570ydTD1375ydEND1-5ydMISS3-7ydFG622yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan State and Indiana
StatisticMichigan StateIndiana
Passing21-3517-28
Pass Yards263281
Rush Yards175156
Total Yards438437
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-159-16
Penalties11-987-60
Possession33:2326:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan State
passing
Tyler O'Connor
21/35, 263 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Gerald Holmes
9 CAR, 51 YDS
receiving
R.J. Shelton
7 REC, 141 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Chris Frey
0.5 TFL
Indiana
passing
Richard Lagow
16/26, 276 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Devine Redding
19 CAR, 100 YDS
receiving
Ricky Jones
5 REC, 124 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

LJ Scott run for no gain to the MchSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 12 yds to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the MchSt 39

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Tyler O'Connor run for 9 yds to the MchSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Monty Madaris

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 43

3rd & 15Penalty+15 yds

INDIANA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Ind 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the Ind 39

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

LJ Scott run for 4 yds to the Ind 35

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyler O'Connor run for 1 yd to the Ind 34

4th & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.75

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Josiah Price for 6 yds to the Ind 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Monty Madaris

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Donnie Corley for 5 yds to the Ind 23

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton

4th & 5Blocked Field Goal+40 yds

Michael Geiger 40 yd FG BLOCKED by Patrick Dougherty, Indiana ball at the Ind 22

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Ind 23

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 25

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Ind 30

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.41

Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 7 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Devine Redding run for no gain to the Ind 37

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky Jones

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 9 yds to the Ind 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Joseph Gedeon punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Brandon Sowards at the MchSt 13

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyler O'Connor run for 1 yd to the MchSt 14 Tyler O'Connor fumbled, recovered by MchSt

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+86 ydsPPA +7.03

R.J. Shelton 86 Yd pass from Tyler O'Connor (Michael Geiger Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

INDIANA Penalty, Face Mask (5 yards) (-5 Yards) to the Ind 28

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.52

Devine Redding run for no gain to the Ind 28

2nd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 12 yds to the Ind 40

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.68

Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

INDIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Ind 35

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Mike Majette run for 2 yds to the Ind 37

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mike Majette

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Richard Lagow pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Joseph Gedeon punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MchSt 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

LJ Scott run for 4 yds to the MchSt 34

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 29

2nd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Josiah Price for 2 yds to the MchSt 31

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Monty Madaris

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 34 yds, downed at the Ind 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 10 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.37

Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 22 yds to the MchSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

INDIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MchSt 43

1st & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tyler Natee run for no gain to the MchSt 43

2nd & 20Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 2 yds to the MchSt 41

3rd & 18Penalty-10 yds

INDIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Ind 49

3rd & 28Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Richard Lagow pass incomplete

4th & 28Punt+1 yds

Joseph Gedeon punt for 42 yds , Brandon Sowards returns for 1 yd to the MchSt 10

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.46

Madre London run for 24 yds to the MchSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Madre London run for 6 yds to the MchSt 40

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.67

Madre London run for 5 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -2.25

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 4 yds to the MchSt 49 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MchSt 39

1st & 16Penalty+5 yds

INDIANA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MchSt 44

1st & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Felton Davis III for 11 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MchSt 45

1st & 20Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.17

Tyler O'Connor run for 10 yds to the Ind 45

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Madre London run for 5 yds to the Ind 40

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-7 ydsPPA -2.60

TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 47 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Ind Nile Sykes

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.71

Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 14 yds to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Devine Redding run for 9 yds to the MchSt 28

2nd & 1Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.73

Richard Lagow pass intercepted, touchback. Vayante Copeland return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Monty Madaris

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.35

Madre London run for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 17

3rd & 13Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.60

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Donnie Corley for 13 yds to the MchSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Madre London run for 2 yds to the MchSt 32

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Felton Davis III

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Donnie Corley

4th & 8Punt+24 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 39 yds for a 1ST down MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Ind 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Devine Redding run for 9 yds to the MchSt 47

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.31

Devine Redding run for no gain to the MchSt 47

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.41

Tyler Natee run for 11 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Tyler Natee run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 37

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Richard Lagow pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the MchSt 33

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Griffin Oakes 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Tyler O'Connor run for 9 yds to the MchSt 42

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.43

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Donnie Corley

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.72

LJ Scott run for 9 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MchSt 41

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Felton Davis III

2nd & 20Penalty+5 yds

INDIANA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MchSt 46

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Donnie Corley for 8 yds to the Ind 46

0th & 15End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Devine Redding

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Devine Redding run for 7 yds to the Ind 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.19

Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 11 yds to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.02

Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 22 yds to the MchSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Nick Westbrook

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the MchSt 25

3rd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.53

Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 19 yds to the MchSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Devine Redding run for no gain to the MchSt 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky Jones

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the MchSt 2

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.15

Tyler Natee pass incomplete to Ian Thomas

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Prescott Line run for no gain to the MchSt 3

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.11

Madre London run for no gain to the MchSt 3

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Donnie Corley

4th & 10Punt+31 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 59 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for 31 yds to the MchSt 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Mike Majette run for 2 yds to the MchSt 29

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mike Majette run for no gain to the MchSt 29

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Mike Majette run for 6 yds to the MchSt 23

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Griffin Oakes 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 8 yds to the MchSt 31

2nd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.59

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Donnie Corley for 9 yds to the MchSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Monty Madaris for 12 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

LJ Scott run for 4 yds to the Ind 44

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.77

Tyler O'Connor run for 7 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.37

LJ Scott run for 13 yds to the Ind 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Delton Williams 24 Yd pass from Tyler O'Connor (Michael Geiger Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +3.49

Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 57 yds to the MchSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Devonte Williams run for 2 yds to the MchSt 16

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Devonte Williams run for 6 yds to the MchSt 10

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.44

Devonte Williams run for 3 yds to the MchSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Devonte Williams run for 3 yds to the MchSt 4

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Devonte Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Richard Lagow 5 Yd pass from Mitchell Paige (Griffin Oakes Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

LJ Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 22

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 17

2nd & 16Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.16

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Josiah Price for 8 yds to the MchSt 25

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 18 yds to the MchSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Tyler O'Connor run for 1 yd to the MchSt 44

2nd & 9Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.46

Gerald Holmes run for 22 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Gerald Holmes run for 1 yd to the Ind 33

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Gerald Holmes run for 1 yd to the Ind 32

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete

4th & 8Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.92

Tyler O'Connor run for 5 yds to the Ind 27 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Ind 37

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Ind 11

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.31

Richard Lagow pass complete to Devine Redding for 8 yds to the Ind 19

3rd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.70

Richard Lagow pass complete to Devine Redding for 6 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.11

Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 40 yds to the MchSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the MchSt 32

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Tyler Natee run for 6 yds to the MchSt 26

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

Tyler Natee run for 4 yds to the MchSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Ricky Jones 22 Yd pass from Richard Lagow (Griffin Oakes Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 7 yds to the MchSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

LJ Scott run for 1 yd to the MchSt 33

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

LJ Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 30

1st & 10Rush+44 ydsPPA +2.97

Devine Redding run for 44 yds to the MchSt 26 Devine Redding fumbled, recovered by Ind

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Tyler Natee run for 9 yds to the MchSt 17

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyler Natee run for 2 yds to the MchSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Richard Lagow pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.88

Mitchell Paige 15 Yd pass from Richard Lagow (Griffin Oakes Kick)

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line. Malik McDowell ejected for Targeting.

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Gerald Holmes for 1 yd to the MchSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.10

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Monty Madaris for 16 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 6 yds to the MchSt 48

2nd & 4Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.23

R.J. Shelton run for 18 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Donnie Corley

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Monty Madaris for 5 yds to the Ind 29

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.86

Gerald Holmes run for 5 yds to the Ind 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Gerald Holmes run for 9 yds to the Ind 15

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.01

Gerald Holmes run for 9 yds to the Ind 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Gerald Holmes run for 1 yd to the Ind 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Gerald Holmes run for 4 yds to the Ind 1

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Gerald Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 2

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Josiah Price for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.92

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyler O'Connor run for 2 yds to the Ind 23

2nd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.98

Tyler O'Connor sacked by Patrick Dougherty for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 26

3rd & 11Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.14

Tyler O'Connor sacked by Nate Hoff for a loss of 6 yards to the Ind 32

4th & 17Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Michael Geiger 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the MchSt 21

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the MchSt 18

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyler Natee run for 2 yds to the MchSt 16

4th & 1Penalty+8 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (8 Yards) to the MchSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyler Natee run for 3 yds to the MchSt 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Tyler Natee run for 2 yds to the MchSt 3

3rd & 3Field Goal Good+20 ydsPPA -1.38

Griffin Oakes 20 yd FG GOOD

Situational Analysis

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
36%
28 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
53%
15 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Indiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
25 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
60%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
78%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play