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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2016Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 9.3

Home Win Probability

Michigan 77%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 24, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Penn StatePenn State
003710
MichiganMichigan
141471449

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-028-028-335-335-1042-1049-10
MichiganPenn State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPUNT3-8ydTD79ydDOWNS829ydTD954ydPUNT3-5ydTD964ydPUNT32ydDOWNS932ydPUNT36ydTD1380ydPUNT426ydEND1-1ydPUNT34ydFG871ydDOWNS858ydPUNT39ydTD980ydTD1375ydTD1076ydTO612ydTD431ydTO227ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Penn State and Michigan
StatisticPenn StateMichigan
Passing16-2721-35
Pass Yards121189
Rush Yards70326
Total Yards191515
Turnovers20
3rd Down2-1211-16
Penalties2-137-80
Possession24:1135:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Penn State
passing
Trace McSorley
16/27, 121 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Saquon Barkley
15 CAR, 59 YDS
receiving
Saquon Barkley
5 REC, 77 YDS
defense
Malik Golden
1 TFL, 1 PD
Michigan
passing
Wilton Speight
21/34, 189 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
De'Veon Smith
12 CAR, 107 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Amara Darboh
7 REC, 44 YDS
defense
Ben Gedeon
1.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Trace McSorley sacked by Matthew Godin for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 7

2nd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.08

Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 1 yd to the PnSt 8

3rd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.08

Trace McSorley sacked by Chris Wormley for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 1

4th & 18Punt+53 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 61 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 53 yds to the PnSt 9

1st & 9Penalty-15 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the PnSt 24

1st & 24Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.07

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 26

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.48

Wilton Speight pass complete to De'Veon Smith for 9 yds to the PnSt 17

3rd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.65

Wilton Speight pass complete to Khalid Hill for 15 yds to the PnSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 2 yds to the PnSt 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Khalid Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 17 yds to the PnSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 45

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Saquon Barkley run for 6 yds to the Mich 49

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.00

Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Trace McSorley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Trace McSorley pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Saquon Barkley run for 5 yds to the Mich 42

4th & 5Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.33

Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 46

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Karan Higdon run for 6 yds to the PnSt 48

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 5 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 9 yds to the PnSt 34

2nd & 1Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.00

Eddie McDoom run for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 39

3rd & 6Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.90

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 25 yds to the PnSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Ian Bunting

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Karan Higdon run for 6 yds to the PnSt 8

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.54

Wilton Speight pass complete to Grant Perry for 6 yds to the PnSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 27

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 28

3rd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.49

Trace McSorley sacked by Chase Winovich for a loss of 9 yards to the PnSt 19

4th & 15Punt+1 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 46 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 1 yd to the Mich 36

1st & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +2.45

De'Veon Smith run for 39 yds to the PnSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the PnSt 20

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.56

Eddie McDoom run for 6 yds to the PnSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

De'Veon Smith run for 6 yds to the PnSt 8

3rd & 4Penalty+4 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (4 Yards) to the PnSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the PnSt 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Wilton Speight pass complete to Devin Asiasi for 3 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the PnSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 4 yds to the PnSt 31

3rd & 4Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.62

Trace McSorley sacked by Chris Wormley and Taco Charlton for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.59

De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 26

3rd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.63

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 16 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Wilton Speight run for no gain to the Mich 42

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.10

Ty Isaac run for 11 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Khalid Hill run for 1 yd to the PnSt 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Wilton Speight pass complete to De'Veon Smith for 7 yds to the PnSt 39

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.00

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Chris Godwin

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 9 yds to the PnSt 48

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 45

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 20

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Karan Higdon run for 7 yds to the Mich 27

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

De'Veon Smith run for 8 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Ty Isaac run for 3 yds to the Mich 38

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 39

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.89

Wilton Speight pass complete to Grant Perry for 16 yds to the PnSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.74

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 18 yds to the PnSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Chris Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 28

2nd & 11Penalty-10 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (De'Veon Smith) to the PnSt 38

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Amara Darboh

3rd & 21Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.87

Wilton Speight pass complete to Chris Evans for 14 yds to the PnSt 24

4th & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.66

Wilton Speight run for 9 yds to the PnSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the PnSt 11

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 9 yds to the PnSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 30 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Trace McSorley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Trace McSorley pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.32

Trace McSorley sacked by Maurice Hurst for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 49

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 41 yds, downed at the Mich 8

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 7

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 24

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

De'Veon Smith run for 5 yds to the Mich 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Grant Perry

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 44 yds, fair catch by John Reid at the PnSt 27

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.74

Saquon Barkley run for 33 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Chris Godwin

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Mich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 26

2nd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.07

Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 19 yds to the Mich 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Saquon Barkley run for 5 yds to the Mich 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Saquon Barkley

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Chris Godwin

4th & 2Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.15

Tyler Davis 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 9 yds to the Mich 23

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.21

Chris Evans run for 4 yds to the Mich 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 9 yds to the Mich 36

2nd & 1Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.70

De'Veon Smith run for 30 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Ty Isaac run for 4 yds to the PnSt 30

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the PnSt 28

4th & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -2.78

Wilton Speight pass complete to De'Veon Smith for no gain to the PnSt 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the PnSt 30

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre Thompkins

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Trace McSorley run for 7 yds to the PnSt 37

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 20

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +3.03

Chris Evans run for 37 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

De'Veon Smith run for 8 yds to the PnSt 35

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.76

Ty Isaac run for 5 yds to the PnSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the PnSt 27

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chris Evans run for 5 yds to the PnSt 22

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.37

De'Veon Smith run for 8 yds to the PnSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Karan Higdon run for 11 yds to the PnSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Chris Evans run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the PnSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 5 yds to the PnSt 34

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.56

Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 32

2nd & 13Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.44

Trace McSorley sacked by Taco Charlton for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 31

3rd & 14Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 6 yds to the Mich 48

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.91

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.58

Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 12 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Trace McSorley pass complete to Miles Sanders for 3 yds to the Mich 36

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Mich 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.12

Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 11 yds to the Mich 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the Mich 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ty Isaac run for 5 yds to the Mich 29

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Ty Isaac run for 1 yd to the Mich 30

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.41

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 5 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the Mich 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.19

Wilton Speight pass complete to Henry Poggi for 15 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Chris Evans run for 4 yds to the PnSt 44

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 49

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.28

Ty Isaac run for 10 yds to the PnSt 39

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.74

Ty Isaac run for 4 yds to the PnSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 40

2nd & 15Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +4.63

Karan Higdon run for 40 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 23

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.31

Miles Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 21

3rd & 14Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.47

Trace McSorley run for 13 yds to the PnSt 34

4th & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 3 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Mark Allen run for no gain to the PnSt 37

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-22 ydsPPA -0.88

Trace McSorley pass intercepted Mike McCray return for 22 yds to the PnSt 31

2nd & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.37

Ty Isaac run for 25 yds to the PnSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Ty Isaac run for 3 yds to the PnSt 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Ty Isaac run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Andre Robinson run for 3 yds to the PnSt 30

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+24 ydsPPA -0.75

Miles Sanders run for 24 yds to the PnSt 37 Miles Sanders fumbled, recovered by Mich , return for 17 yds to the PnSt 37

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 39

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 40

Situational Analysis

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
23 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
30%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
38%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
73%
11 plays
67%
6 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
83%
6 plays
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play