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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2016Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 16.2

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 89%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 17, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia StateGeorgia State
0010717
WisconsinWisconsin
6071023

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-06-06-313-313-1020-1723-17
WisconsinGeorgia State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISGSWISGSWISGSWISGSWISGSWISGSWISGSWISGSWISGSWISGSWISFG1552ydPUNT2-12ydFG1058ydTO4-2ydTO417ydMISS1366ydPUNT834ydPUNT829ydDOWNS655ydPUNT37ydPUNT67ydFG1049ydTD669ydTD675ydTO730ydTD368ydTD859ydPUNT37ydFG719ydPUNT30ydEND615yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia State and Wisconsin
StatisticGeorgia StateWisconsin
Passing20-3018-30
Pass Yards269213
Rush Yards33187
Total Yards302400
Turnovers02
3rd Down4-138-16
Penalties5-450-0
Possession22:3237:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia State
passing
Conner Manning
20/29, 269 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kyler Neal
15 CAR, 41 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Glenn Smith
5 REC, 131 YDS
defense
Wisconsin
passing
Alex Hornibrook
8/12, 122 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Dare Ogunbowale
20 CAR, 65 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jazz Peavy
3 REC, 67 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Taiwan Deal run for 5 yds to the Wisc 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Taiwan Deal run for 6 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Taiwan Deal run for 3 yds to the Wisc 39

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.64

Taiwan Deal run for 10 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Bart Houston pass incomplete to Jazz Peavy

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Dare Ogunbowale run for no gain to the Wisc 49

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.87

Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 11 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Taiwan Deal run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 33

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Taiwan Deal run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 32

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Austin Ramesh run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 31

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.32

Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Bradrick Shaw run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 24

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Bradrick Shaw run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 23

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Bart Houston pass incomplete to Kyle Penniston

4th & 4Field Goal Good+41 ydsPPA -0.17

Rafael Gaglianone 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kyler Neal run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Kendrick Dorn run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 28

3rd & 7Penalty-15 yds

Manning, Conner pass incomplete, PENALTY GEORGIAST intentional grounding 15 yards to the GEORGIAST13, NO PLAY.

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 55 yds , Jazz Peavy returns for no gain to the Wisc 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.11

Bart Houston pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 24 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Bart Houston pass incomplete to Dare Ogunbowale

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.64

Bart Houston pass complete to George Rushing for 7 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Bradrick Shaw run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 26

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.08

Bradrick Shaw run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Dare Ogunbowale run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 13

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 11

3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Bart Houston pass complete to Alec Ingold for 1 yd to the GeoSt 10

4th & 1Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -1.03

Rafael Gaglianone 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kyler Neal run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kyler Neal run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Emiere Scaife run for no gain to the GeoSt 34

4th & 1Rush-11 ydsPPA -0.20

TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the GeoSt 23 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Wisc

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.34

Bradrick Shaw run for 15 yds to the GeoSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Bradrick Shaw run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 1

3rd & 1Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.67

Bradrick Shaw run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSt 6 Bradrick Shaw fumbled, recovered by GeoSt

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Kyler Neal run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 8

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 6 yds to the GeoSt 14

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.48

Kyler Neal run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.54

Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 20 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Kyler Neal run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Conner Manning pass complete to Keith Rucker for 7 yds to the GeoSt 47

3rd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.32

Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 5 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Kyler Neal run for 2 yds to the Wisc 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.44

Conner Manning pass complete to Keith Rucker for 15 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Kyler Neal run for 2 yds to the Wisc 29

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.27

Kyler Neal run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 32

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 4 yds to the Wisc 28

4th & 7Blocked Field Goal+46 yds

Rogier Ten Lohuis 46 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Conor Sheehy

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Dare Ogunbowale run for 5 yds to the Wisc 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.80

Bart Houston pass complete to Kyle Penniston for 5 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Jazz Peavy run for 8 yds to the Wisc 46

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.08

Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Bart Houston pass complete to Alec Ingold for 12 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Bart Houston pass incomplete to Kyle Penniston

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Bart Houston pass incomplete to Kyle Penniston

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Bart Houston pass incomplete to Jazz Peavy

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Glenn Smith at the GeoSt 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Kyler Neal run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 11

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.71

Conner Manning pass complete to Keith Rucker for 11 yds to the GeoSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Todd Boyd

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kyler Neal run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 26

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.60

Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 8 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 3 yds to the GeoSt 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Robert Davis

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Robert Davis

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.95

Bart Houston pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 7 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Bart Houston pass incomplete to Robert Wheelwright

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.63

Bart Houston pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 14 yds to the GeoSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Bart Houston run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 25

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.10

Bart Houston run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+30 yds

Rafael Gaglianone 30 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Conner Manning pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Conner Manning pass complete to Kendrick Dorn for 7 yds to the GeoSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.51

Conner Manning pass complete to Keith Rucker for no gain to the GeoSt 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Dare Ogunbowale run for 1 yd to the Wisc 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Bart Houston pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 5 yds to the Wisc 34

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.61

Bart Houston pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 5 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Dare Ogunbowale run for 1 yd to the Wisc 40

2nd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.28

Bart Houston sacked by Jameel Spencer for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 35

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Bart Houston pass incomplete to Jazz Peavy

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Glenn Smith at the GeoSt 23

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Glenn Smith run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.18

Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 38 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Todd Boyd run for 9 yds to the Wisc 25

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Glenn Smith pass incomplete to Keith Rucker

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Kyler Neal run for no gain to the Wisc 25

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.99

Kyler Neal run for 2 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Conner Manning pass complete to Keith Rucker for 3 yds to the Wisc 20

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wisc 30

2nd & 17Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Conner Manning pass complete to Keith Rucker for 2 yds to the Wisc 28

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Robert Davis

4th & 15Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA +1.50

Rogier Ten Lohuis 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Bradrick Shaw run for 4 yds to the Wisc 35

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.24

Dare Ogunbowale run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 31

3rd & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.80

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 29 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.56

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to George Rushing for 19 yds to the GeoSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.42

Dare Ogunbowale run for 19 yds to the GeoSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kendrick Dorn run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Demarcus Kirk run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +4.14

Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 40 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Demarcus Kirk run for 1 yd to the Wisc 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.90

Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 20 yds to the Wisc 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 13 yds for a TD, (Rogier Ten Lohuis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 5 yds to the Wisc 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Dare Ogunbowale run for 3 yds to the Wisc 33

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Bradrick Shaw run for 6 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the Wisc 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.05

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 14 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Dare Ogunbowale

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.53

Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Chandon Sullivan return for no gain to the GeoSt 32

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Kyler Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 31

2nd & 11Pass Reception+60 ydsPPA +4.16

Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 60 yds to the Wisc 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Kyler Neal run for 9 yds for a TD, (Rogier Ten Lohuis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the Wisc 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.80

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 11 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.96

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kyle Penniston for 29 yds to the GeoSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Bradrick Shaw run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 11

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.51

Bradrick Shaw run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Bradrick Shaw run for no gain to the GeoSt 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kyle Penniston for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Robert Davis

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.18

Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 10

3rd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.10

Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 8 yds to the GeoSt 18

4th & 3Punt+15 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 39 yds , Jazz Peavy returns for 15 yds to the GeoSt 42

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Dare Ogunbowale run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 39

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.88

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 14 yds to the GeoSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 23

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Dare Ogunbowale run for no gain to the GeoSt 23

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. Taylor

4th & 8Field Goal Good+41 ydsPPA +0.24

Rafael Gaglianone 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Conner Manning pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Robert Davis

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Conner Manning pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 40 yds, downed at the Wisc 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds to the Wisc 39

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dare Ogunbowale run for 5 yds to the Wisc 44

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Alec Ingold run for 4 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Bradrick Shaw run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 49

3rd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.01

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

Situational Analysis

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
21 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
46%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
52%
33 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
55%
11 plays
42%
12 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play