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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2016Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio State by 14.8

Home Win Probability

Michigan State 13%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 19, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ohio StateOhio State
737017
Michigan StateMichigan State
730616

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-07-710-710-1010-1716-17
Michigan StateOhio State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSTD275ydPUNT828ydPUNT3-1ydTD550ydPUNT619ydPUNT414ydFG876ydFG1050ydTO22ydTO621ydTO427ydEND628ydPUNT619ydPUNT517ydPUNT4-2ydPUNT37ydTD469ydPUNT52ydPUNT37ydPUNT934ydPUNT35ydTD856ydPUNT616ydTO2-10ydEND3-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ohio State and Michigan State
StatisticOhio StateMichigan State
Passing10-228-21
Pass Yards86127
Rush Yards224207
Total Yards310334
Turnovers12
3rd Down7-173-12
Penalties4-406-60
Possession30:5329:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ohio State
passing
J.T. Barrett
10/22, 86 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Mike Weber
14 CAR, 111 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Curtis Samuel
4 REC, 40 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Michigan State
passing
Tyler O'Connor
6/16, 105 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
LJ Scott
19 CAR, 160 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
LJ Scott
2 REC, 76 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

R.J. Shelton run for 11 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +5.15

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to LJ Scott for 64 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Mike Weber run for 7 yds to the OhSt 45

2nd & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.10

Mike Weber run for 16 yds to the MchSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds to the MchSt 34

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the MchSt 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.93

J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 5 yds to the MchSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 2 yds to the MchSt 26

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to K.J. Hill

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.48

J.T. Barrett sacked by Shane Jones and Chris Frey for a loss of 8 yards to the MchSt 34

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 30 yds, downed at the MchSt 4

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.31

LJ Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 3

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Monty Madaris) declined

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Monty Madaris

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 47 yds, downed at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.65

J.T. Barrett run for 10 yds to the MchSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Parris Campbell

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

J.T. Barrett run for 7 yds to the MchSt 33

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.89

J.T. Barrett run for 9 yds to the MchSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 24 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

LJ Scott run for 5 yds to the MchSt 30

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (Prescott Line) to the MchSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Donnie Corley for 13 yds to the MchSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

LJ Scott run for 5 yds to the MchSt 43

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

LJ Scott run for 1 yd to the MchSt 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton

4th & 4Punt+12 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 39 yds , Curtis Samuel returns for 12 yds to the OhSt 29

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.77

J.T. Barrett run for 19 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.17

J.T. Barrett sacked by Demetrius Cooper for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 43

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus Baugh

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Curtis Samuel

4th & 15Punt-3 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 41 yds , Brandon Sowards returns for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 13

1st & 10Rush+61 ydsPPA +3.98

LJ Scott run for 61 yds to the OhSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler O'Connor run for 3 yds to the OhSt 23

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Prescott Line run for 1 yd to the OhSt 22

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.73

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Donnie Corley for 10 yds to the OhSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.81

Gerald Holmes run for a loss of 7 yards to the OhSt 19

2nd & 17Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Tyler O'Connor run for 8 yds to the OhSt 11

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

R.J. Shelton run for no gain to the OhSt 11

4th & 9Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.50

Michael Geiger 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the OhSt 29

2nd & 9Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.51

Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the OhSt 33 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (Demetrius Cooper) to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 6 yds to the MchSt 46

2nd & 4Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.49

Mike Weber run for 9 yds to the OhSt 37 OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Michael Jordan) to the OhSt 48

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Montae Nicholson) to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Curtis Samuel run for 7 yds to the MchSt 30

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the MchSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Terry McLaurin

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the MchSt 22

4th & 6Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA -0.05

Tyler Durbin 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the MchSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.47

Tyler O'Connor pass intercepted Chris Worley return for no gain to the MchSt 37

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.99

J.T. Barrett sacked by Robert Bowers and Mike Panasiuk for a loss of 6 yards to the MchSt 43

2nd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the MchSt 37

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.11

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 14 yds to the MchSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the MchSt 19

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Curtis Samuel run for 3 yds to the MchSt 16

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -4.17

Mike Weber run for no gain to the MchSt 16 Mike Weber fumbled, forced by Auston Robertson, recovered by MchSt Justice Alexander

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.82

LJ Scott run for 24 yds to the MchSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Damion Terry pass incomplete to Monty Madaris

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

LJ Scott run for no gain to the MchSt 40

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Tyler O'Connor run for 3 yds to the MchSt 43

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 53 yds , Curtis Samuel returns for no gain to the OhSt 4 Curtis Samuel fumbled, recovered by OhSt Curtis Samuel

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Curtis Samuel run for no gain to the OhSt 4

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.30

J.T. Barrett run for 9 yds to the OhSt 13

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.37

J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the OhSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Curtis Samuel run for 3 yds to the OhSt 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 6 yds to the OhSt 26

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.01

Mike Weber run for 6 yds to the OhSt 32 for a 1ST down

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 6 yds to the OhSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the OhSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to James Clark

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

J.T. Barrett pass complete to James Clark for 9 yds to the OhSt 45

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Mike Weber run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 44

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 45 yds, downed at the MchSt 11

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Damion Terry run for 7 yds to the MchSt 18

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.16

Damion Terry run for 5 yds to the MchSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Damion Terry pass incomplete to Josiah Price

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Monty Madaris

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Josiah Price for 5 yds to the MchSt 28 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Benny McGowan) declined

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 40 yds, downed at the OhSt 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Noah Brown

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 6 yds to the OhSt 38

3rd & 4Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.05

J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the OhSt 40 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OhSt 30

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Curtis Samuel

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Brandon Sowards at the MchSt 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the MchSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 5 yds to the MchSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Curtis Samuel at the OhSt 31

1st & 10Rush+52 ydsPPA +3.03

Mike Weber run for 52 yds to the MchSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds to the MchSt 12

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

J.T. Barrett run for 8 yds to the MchSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Mike Weber run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Monty Madaris for 8 yds to the MchSt 43

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.11

LJ Scott run for 4 yds to the MchSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

O'Connor, Tyler rush for 5 yards to the OHIOST48, PENALTY MICHIGANST holding (Clemons, Brandon) 10 yards to the MICHIGANST37, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to LJ Scott

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

3rd & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyler O'Connor run for no gain to the MchSt 37

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 32 yds, downed at the OhSt 31

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the OhSt 35

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus Baugh

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 30

3rd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.27

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 8 yds to the OhSt 38

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Brandon Sowards at the MchSt 21

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

LJ Scott run for 1 yd to the MchSt 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.48

Damion Terry pass complete to LJ Scott for 12 yds to the MchSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 29

1st & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.62

Gerald Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 28

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Damion Terry pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton

3rd & 16Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Damion Terry pass complete to Josiah Price for 10 yds to the MchSt 38

4th & 6Rush+25 ydsPPA +3.90

Chris Frey run for 25 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Holmes, Gerald rush for 2 yards to the OHIOST35, PENALTY MICHIGANST holding (Clemons, Brandon) 10 yards to the OHIOST47, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

R.J. Shelton run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 48

2nd & 21Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Damion Terry run for 8 yds to the OhSt 40

3rd & 13Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.46

Damion Terry sacked by Sam Hubbard and Tyquan Lewis for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 45

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Curtis Samuel at the OhSt 9

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the OhSt 10

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the OhSt 14

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Parris Campbell

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 42 yds , Brandon Sowards returns for no gain to the MchSt 44

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.56

LJ Scott run for 26 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

LJ Scott run for 6 yds to the OhSt 24

2nd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.07

LJ Scott run for 12 yds to the OhSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

LJ Scott run for 4 yds to the OhSt 8

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the OhSt 5

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.71

LJ Scott run for 4 yds to the OhSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

LJ Scott run for no gain to the OhSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

LJ Scott run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler O'Connor intercepted )

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.74

J.T. Barrett run for 8 yds to the OhSt 45

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.61

J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Mike Weber run for a loss of 6 yards to the MICHIGANST 45 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Pat Elflein) declined

2nd & 16Penalty-10 yds

Barrett, J.T. rush for 10 yards to the MICHIGANST45, PENALTY OHIOST holding (Prince, Isaiah) 10 yards to the OHIOST35, NO PLAY.

2nd & 26Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.47

Mike Weber run for 11 yds to the OhSt 46

3rd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

J.T. Barrett run for 7 yds to the MchSt 47

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -0.95

Tyler O'Connor sacked by Tyquan Lewis for a loss of 10 yards to the MchSt 10 Tyler O'Connor fumbled, forced by Tyquan Lewis, recovered by MchSt Tyler O'Connor , return for 0 yards

2nd & 20Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.33

Tyler O'Connor pass intercepted Gareon Conley return for no gain to the MchSt 33

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 35

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 36

3rd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.30

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 38

Situational Analysis

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
38%
26 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
70%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
20 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play