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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2016Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio State by 12

Home Win Probability

Ohio State 82%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 29, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NorthwesternNorthwestern
0107320
Ohio StateOhio State
1070724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142810-010-717-717-1017-1724-20
Ohio StateNorthwestern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NOROSNOROSNOROSNOROSNOROSNOROSNOROSNOROSNOROSNOROSPUNT531ydTD994ydTO216ydFG933ydTD1675ydTD1580ydFG1282ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT34ydEND20ydPUNT430ydPUNT635ydPUNT616ydTD1084ydPUNT939ydPUNT34ydTD663ydFG1660ydEND1060yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northwestern and Ohio State
StatisticNorthwesternOhio State
Passing23-4421-32
Pass Yards258223
Rush Yards148208
Total Yards406431
Turnovers10
3rd Down8-1610-17
Penalties2-202-10
Possession27:2032:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northwestern
passing
Clayton Thorson
22/42, 256 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Justin Jackson
17 CAR, 76 YDS
receiving
Austin Carr
8 REC, 158 YDS
defense
Ohio State
passing
J.T. Barrett
21/32, 223 YDS
rushing
Mike Weber
14 CAR, 87 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Curtis Samuel
7 REC, 68 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 17 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 13 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Austin Carr

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the OhSt 44

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Solomon Vault

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dontre Wilson at the OhSt 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 3 yds to the OhSt 9

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 7 yds to the OhSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.89

Mike Weber run for 14 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Terry McLaurin

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.28

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 15 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.43

Parris Campbell run for 24 yds to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.27

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 15 yds to the Nwest 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Mike Weber run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

John Moten IV run for 16 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.34

Clayton Thorson pass intercepted Damon Arnette return for no gain to the OhSt 49

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the Nwest 47

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.88

Mike Weber run for 7 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Dontre Wilson, broken up by Jordan Thompson

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Mike Weber run for 5 yds to the Nwest 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.29

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 11 yds to the Nwest 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus Baugh

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 6 yds to the Nwest 18

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Dontre Wilson run for no gain to the Nwest 18

4th & 4Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyler Durbin 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

John Moten IV run for 7 yds to the Nwest 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.83

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 10 yds to the Nwest 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Macan Wilson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Matt Alviti pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 2 yds to the Nwest 45

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.55

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 8 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.91

Justin Jackson run for 22 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

John Moten IV run for 2 yds to the OhSt 23

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.94

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 11 yds to the OhSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 4 yds to the OhSt 8

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Clayton Thorson run for no gain to the OhSt 8

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 4 yds to the OhSt 4

4th & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.95

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 3 yds to the OhSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Justin Jackson run for no gain to the OhSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Clayton Thorson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 8 yds to the OhSt 28

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Curtis Samuel run for 1 yd to the OhSt 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the OhSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.36

J.T. Barrett pass complete to James Clark for 9 yds to the OhSt 40

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus Baugh

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the OhSt 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.40

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 9 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.93

Dontre Wilson run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.91

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 13 yds to the Nwest 37

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.63

J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the Nwest 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.81

J.T. Barrett sacked by C.J. Robbins for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 40

2nd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the Nwest 36

3rd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.25

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 13 yds to the Nwest 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Mike Weber run for 23 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Charlie Fessler

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.34

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 17 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 7 yds to the Nwest 36

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 9 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Austin Carr

2nd & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.82

Clayton Thorson run for 35 yds to the OhSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the OhSt 13

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the OhSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the OhSt 8

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Matt Alviti run for 2 yds to the OhSt 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Austin Carr

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.87

Jack Mitchell 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus Baugh, broken up by Nate Hall

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 1 yd to the OhSt 26

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Jamarco Jones) to the OhSt 21

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Flynn Nagel at the Nwest 40

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.20

Clayton Thorson sacked by Tyquan Lewis for a loss of 8 yards to the Nwest 32

2nd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 35

3rd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

John Moten IV run for 4 yds to the Nwest 39

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 4 yds to the OhSt 31

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Curtis Samuel, broken up by Kyle Queiro

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Mike Weber

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 27 yds, downed at the Nwest 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Macan Wilson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Austin Carr, broken up by Denzel Ward

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Curtis Samuel run for 23 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 4 yds to the Nwest 48

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Dontre Wilson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 46

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the Nwest 45

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.36

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 11 yds to the Nwest 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Austin Carr

2nd & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.36

Justin Jackson run for 24 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 3 yds to the Nwest 44

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.50

John Moten IV run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 41

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Ben Skowronek

4th & 10Punt+7 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 46 yds , Dontre Wilson returns for 7 yds to the OhSt 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Parris Campbell run for 3 yds to the OhSt 23

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Mike Weber run for 5 yds to the OhSt 28

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.60

J.T. Barrett run for 10 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (James Clark) to the OhSt 33

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Curtis Samuel

2nd & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 3 yds to the OhSt 36

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to James Clark

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Flynn Nagel at the Nwest 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.39

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 30 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Thorson, Clayton pass complete to Carr, Austin for 16 yards to the OHIOST38, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN holding (Olson, Eric) 10 yards to the NORTHWSTRN36, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 38

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Justin Jackson

3rd & 18Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.43

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 16 yds to the OhSt 46

4th & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.47

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Ben Skowronek for 6 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Solomon Vault

2nd & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.15

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 35 yds to the OhSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Garrett Dickerson

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 2 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the OhSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the OhSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.81

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 19 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Curtis Samuel run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.06

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 9 yds to the Nwest 43

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.08

Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Curtis Samuel run for no gain to the Nwest 39

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the Nwest 35

3rd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Curtis Samuel run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 36

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 36 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 21

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Solomon Vault

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 39 yds, downed at the OhSt 37

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the OhSt 41

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.12

Curtis Samuel run for 6 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.18

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 9 yds to the Nwest 44

2nd & 1Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +0.40

J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 34 yds to the Nwest 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

J.T. Barrett run for 7 yds to the Nwest 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Curtis Samuel run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 8 yds to the Nwest 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Macan Wilson

3rd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 2 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Solomon Vault

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.59

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 13 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the OhSt 46

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the OhSt 44

3rd & 7Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.34

Clayton Thorson run for 18 yds to the OhSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.99

Justin Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 30

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel

3rd & 14Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.11

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 27 yds to the OhSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Clayton Thorson run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Andrew Scanlan pass incomplete to James Prather

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Thorson, Clayton pass incomplete to Carr, Austin, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN holding (Hance, Blake) 10 yards to the OHIOST15, NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Austin Carr

4th & 15Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA +0.28

Jack Mitchell 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Noah Brown

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the OhSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.54

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 16 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

J.T. Barrett run for no gain to the OhSt 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Noah Brown, broken up by Marcus McShepard

3rd & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +3.83

J.T. Barrett run for 35 yds to the Nwest 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.13

Mike Weber run for 11 yds to the Nwest 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the Nwest 9

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.59

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nwest 13

3rd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.91

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 15

Situational Analysis

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
37%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
38%
13 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
34%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
42%
12 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play