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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2016Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio State by 2.8

Home Win Probability

Oklahoma 41%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 17, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ohio StateOhio State
14217345
OklahomaOklahoma
7107024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-2110-2117-3517-4224-4224-45
OklahomaOhio State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OKLOSOKLOSOKLOKLOSOKLOSOKLOSOKLOSOKLOSOKLOSOKLOSOKLOSOKLOSOKLOSMISS1265ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-5ydTD445ydTD842ydTD00ydTD1189ydFG873ydPUNT520ydTO26ydTD137ydTD572ydTD1075ydEND1-1ydTD1075ydPUNT418ydPUNT37ydTD1188ydPUNT3-1ydDOWNS742ydFG725ydDOWNS420ydPUNT37ydPUNT36ydEND936yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ohio State and Oklahoma
StatisticOhio StateOklahoma
Passing14-2017-32
Pass Yards152226
Rush Yards291177
Total Yards443403
Turnovers02
3rd Down6-145-13
Penalties11-754-28
Possession35:4924:11

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ohio State
passing
J.T. Barrett
14/20, 152 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Mike Weber
18 CAR, 123 YDS
receiving
Noah Brown
5 REC, 72 YDS, 4 TD
defense
Oklahoma
passing
Baker Mayfield
17/32, 226 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Joe Mixon
9 CAR, 78 YDS
receiving
A.D. Miller
3 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Samaje Perine run for no gain to the Okla 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.22

Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 17 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Okla 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.90

Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 17 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the OhSt 36

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Baker Mayfield run for 11 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the OhSt 21

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.21

Samaje Perine run for 10 yds to the OhSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the OhSt 10

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Dede Westbrook

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Baker Mayfield pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+27 yds

Austin Seibert 27 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Curtis Samuel run for 5 yds to the OhSt 25

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 20

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the OhSt 21

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Parris Campbell

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 68 yds, downed at the Okla 11

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Baker Mayfield run for no gain to the Okla 11

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Joe Mixon

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to A.D. Miller

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 6

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Austin Seibert punt for 39 yds, downed at the Okla 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 5 yds to the Okla 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Curtis Samuel

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the Okla 36

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +4.56

Curtis Samuel 36 Yd Run (Tyler Durbin Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the Okla 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 8 yds to the Okla 34

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.92

Joe Mixon run for 12 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.00

Baker Mayfield pass complete to Geno Lewis for 14 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Joe Mixon run for 8 yds to the OhSt 32

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Samaje Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 33

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark Andrews

4th & 3Interception Return Touchdown-68 ydsPPA -9.45

Jerome Baker 68 Yd Interception Return (Tyler Durbin Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return Touchdown+97 yds

Joe Mixon 97 Yd Kickoff Return (Austin Seibert Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Mike Weber run for 9 yds to the OhSt 20

2nd & 1Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.43

Mike Weber run for 35 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Curtis Samuel run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 47

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 7 yds to the Okla 40

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.56

J.T. Barrett run for 9 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Dontre Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the Okla 25

3rd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.69

J.T. Barrett run for 12 yds to the Okla 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Mike Weber run for 7 yds to the Okla 6

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the Okla 4

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.48

Noah Brown 4 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Tyler Durbin Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 4 yds to the Okla 22

2nd & 6Rush+35 ydsPPA +3.21

Dede Westbrook run for 35 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Joe Mixon run for 4 yds to the OhSt 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.99

Baker Mayfield pass complete to A.D. Miller for 36 yds to the OhSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Sack-13 ydsPPA -1.71

Baker Mayfield sacked by Malik Hooker and Jalyn Holmes for a loss of 13 yards to the OhSt 16

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark Andrews

3rd & 16Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 7 yds to the OhSt 9

4th & 9Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.60

Austin Seibert 26 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30

2nd & 5Penalty+4 yds

OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (4 Yards) to the OhSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 6 yds to the OhSt 43

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 38

2nd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.29

J.T. Barrett sacked by Ahmad Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the OhSt 30

3rd & 17Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.87

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 15 yds to the OhSt 45

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Joe Mixon at the Okla 14

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Baker Mayfield run for 6 yds to the Okla 20

2nd & 4Pass Interception Return-21 ydsPPA -0.58

Baker Mayfield pass intercepted Marshon Lattimore return for 21 yds to the Okla 37

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Noah Brown 37 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Tyler Durbin Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Samaje Perine run for 5 yds to the Okla 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.14

Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 20 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the OhSt 46

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.46

Baker Mayfield run for 11 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

A.D. Miller 35 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 20

1st & 15Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.87

Curtis Samuel run for 18 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.41

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 16 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Curtis Samuel run for 7 yds to the Okla 39

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.04

J.T. Barrett pass complete to James Clark for 4 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the Okla 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

J.T. Barrett pass complete to James Clark for 5 yds to the Okla 27

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the Okla 26

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.09

Curtis Samuel run for 5 yds to the Okla 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus Baugh

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.02

Noah Brown 21 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Tyler Durbin Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Curtis Samuel run for 14 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.24

J.T. Barrett run for 14 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.01

J.T. Barrett run for 9 yds to the Okla 38 J.T. Barrett fumbled, recovered by OhSt

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.27

J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.22

Mike Weber run for 10 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 27

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.01

Curtis Samuel run for no gain to the Okla 27 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Face Mask (14 yards) (14 Yards) to the Okla 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Curtis Samuel run for 8 yds to the Okla 5

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Okla 10

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Curtis Samuel run for 2 yds to the Okla 8

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.81

Noah Brown 8 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Tyler Durbin Kick)

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Samaje Perine run for 20 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Baker Mayfield pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mykel Jones for 3 yds to the Okla 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark Andrews

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 43

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Austin Seibert punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 30

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Mike Weber run for 6 yds to the OhSt 36

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the OhSt 37

3rd & 3Penalty-10 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OhSt 27

3rd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.35

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 10 yds to the OhSt 37

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Joe Mixon at the Okla 11

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Joe Mixon run for no gain to the Okla 12

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Baker Mayfield pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.35

Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 15 yds to the Okla 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.64

Joe Mixon run for 31 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Baker Mayfield pass complete to A.D. Miller for 1 yd to the OhSt 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Baker Mayfield pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.29

Baker Mayfield pass complete to Geno Lewis for 14 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.23

Joe Mixon run for 17 yds to the OhSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Joe Mixon run for 2 yds to the OhSt 8

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Baker Mayfield run for 3 yds to the OhSt 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Mark Andrews 5 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the OhSt 48

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

J.T. Barrett run for no gain to the OhSt 48

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.47

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 45

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Joe Mixon at the Okla 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Okla 13

2nd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.79

Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 23 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Joe Mixon run for 5 yds to the Okla 41

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Okla 44

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.46

Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the OhSt 48

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Baker Mayfield pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 49

4th & 7Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.59

Baker Mayfield sacked by Sam Hubbard and Jerome Baker for a loss of 12 yards to the Okla 39

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the Okla 35

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the Okla 31

3rd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.74

Mike Weber run for 14 yds to the Okla 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Curtis Samuel run for 5 yds to the Okla 12

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the Okla 9

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Noah Brown

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Okla 14

4th & 7Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.48

Tyler Durbin 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Joe Mixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.81

Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 8 yds to the OhSt 43

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Samaje Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 44

4th & 4Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Baker Mayfield sacked by Jerome Baker for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the OhSt 47

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Mike Weber run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 46

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the Okla 48

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 47 yds, downed at the Okla 1

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Baker Mayfield pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the Okla 2

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Baker Mayfield pass incomplete

4th & 9Penalty+5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Okla 7

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Austin Seibert punt for 45 yds , Dontre Wilson returns for no gain to the OhSt 48

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Mike Weber run for 6 yds to the Okla 46

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the Okla 43

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.96

Mike Weber run for 5 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the Okla 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.83

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 12 yds to the Okla 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the Okla 23

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Mike Weber run for 11 yds to the Okla 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.42

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 14

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.58

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 16

Situational Analysis

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
63%
27 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
0%
5 plays
50%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Oklahoma

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
28 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
57%
7 plays
46%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays