Skip to main content
← Back to GamesDec 3, 2016Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

TCU by 5.7

Home Win Probability

TCU 67%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Dec 3, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Kansas StateKansas State
3713730
TCUTCU
33006

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-33-33-106-106-236-30
TCUKansas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KSTCUKSTCUKSTCUKSTCUKSTCUKSTCUKSTCUKSTCUKSTCUKSTCUKSTCUKSTCUKSTCUFG1368ydPUNT938ydPUNT518ydFG830ydPUNT615ydPUNT616ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT3-6ydTD361ydPUNT826ydTO649ydFG1240ydEND1-1ydPUNT35ydTD383ydPUNT39ydTD672ydPUNT39ydPUNT519ydPUNT725ydPUNT523ydPUNT34ydPUNT61ydPUNT36ydTD1155ydTO769yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kansas State and TCU
StatisticKansas StateTCU
Passing9-2117-36
Pass Yards159138
Rush Yards336142
Total Yards495280
Turnovers11
3rd Down10-177-20
Penalties6-614-45
Possession34:3425:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kansas State
passing
Jesse Ertz
9/21, 159 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jesse Ertz
19 CAR, 170 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Byron Pringle
6 REC, 126 YDS, 1 TD
defense
TCU
passing
Foster Sawyer
12/25, 86 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Kyle Hicks
17 CAR, 60 YDS
receiving
Deante Gray
2 REC, 59 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.55

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Byron Pringle for 12 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron Pringle, broken up by Jeff Gladney

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Jesse Ertz run for 8 yds to the KanSt 42

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.55

Charles Jones run for 5 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.41

Jesse Ertz run for 29 yds to the TCU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Charles Jones run for 7 yds to the TCU 17

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Charles Jones run for 1 yd to the TCU 16

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.21

Jesse Ertz run for 3 yds to the TCU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Winston Dimel run for 5 yds to the TCU 8

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jesse Ertz run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 10

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron Pringle

4th & 7Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.67

Ian Patterson 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.87

Foster Sawyer pass complete to Kyle Hicks for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 20

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Foster Sawyer run for 4 yds to the TCU 24

3rd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.74

Foster Sawyer pass complete to Deante Gray for 20 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Foster Sawyer pass complete to Desmon White for no gain to the TCU 44

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Foster Sawyer pass incomplete to John Diarse

3rd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.87

Foster Sawyer run for 10 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Kyle Hicks run for 1 yd to the KanSt 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Foster Sawyer pass complete to John Diarse for 6 yds to the KanSt 39

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Foster Sawyer pass incomplete to John Diarse

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Adam Nunez punt for 36 yds, downed at the KanSt 3

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Justin Silmon run for 1 yd to the KanSt 4

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.48

Jesse Ertz run for 9 yds to the KanSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Jesse Ertz run for 3 yds to the KanSt 16

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete, broken up by Chris Bradley

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jesse Ertz run for 5 yds to the KanSt 21

4th & 2Punt+13 yds

Nick Walsh punt for 36 yds , KaVontae Turpin returns for 13 yds to the KanSt 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Foster Sawyer pass incomplete to Jarrison Stewart

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.57

Foster Sawyer pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 14 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Foster Sawyer pass complete to Desmon White for 3 yds to the KanSt 27

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Foster Sawyer run for 4 yds to the KanSt 23

3rd & 3Penalty+11 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, personal foul (11 Yards) to the KanSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.42

Kyle Hicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 14

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Foster Sawyer pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Foster Sawyer pass incomplete to Kyle Hicks

4th & 12Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.08

Brandon Hatfield 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Dalvin Warmack run for no gain to the KanSt 26

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.16

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Byron Pringle for 12 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Dalvin Warmack run for 2 yds to the KanSt 40

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Dalvin Warmack run for 1 yd to the KanSt 41

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+5 yds

Nick Walsh punt for 45 yds , KaVontae Turpin returns for 5 yds to the TCU 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kyle Hicks run for 5 yds to the TCU 24

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Foster Sawyer pass complete to Taj Williams for 4 yds to the TCU 28

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.83

Kyle Hicks run for 3 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Kyle Hicks run for no gain to the TCU 31

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Foster Sawyer pass incomplete to Taj Williams

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Foster Sawyer run for 4 yds to the TCU 35

4th & 6Punt-8 yds

Adam Nunez punt for 28 yds , Byron Pringle returns for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Charles Jones run for 2 yds to the KanSt 31

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron Pringle

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 26

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Deante Burton

4th & 13Punt+7 yds

Nick Walsh punt for 36 yds , KaVontae Turpin returns for 7 yds to the TCU 33 TCU Penalty, illegal block (Sammy Douglas) to the TCU 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Foster Sawyer pass incomplete to Taj Williams

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Foster Sawyer pass incomplete to Deante Gray

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.49

Foster Sawyer sacked by Jordan Willis for a loss of 8 yards to the TCU 29 Foster Sawyer fumbled, recovered by TCU Foster Sawyer , return for 0 yards

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Adam Nunez punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 39

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.84

Justin Silmon run for 35 yds to the TCU 26 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Deante Burton) to the TCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jesse Ertz run for 4 yds to the TCU 32

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.08

Jesse Ertz run for 32 yds for a TD, (Ian Patterson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Foster Sawyer pass incomplete to KaVontae Turpin

2nd & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +3.09

Kyle Hicks run for 27 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

TCU Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the TCU 37

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.65

Kyle Hicks run for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 33

2nd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.60

Foster Sawyer pass complete to Daniel Walsh for 13 yds to the TCU 46

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Kyle Hicks run for 5 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Sawyer, Foster pass complete to Stewart, J. for 3 yards to the KS46, out-of-bounds (Lee, Elijah), PENALTY TCU holding (White, Desmon) 10 yards to the TCU41, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Kyle Hicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 40

2nd & 21Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.31

Foster Sawyer pass complete to Desmon White for 13 yds to the KanSt 47

3rd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.15

Foster Sawyer run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 49

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Adam Nunez punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.58

Justin Silmon run for 11 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Justin Silmon run for 15 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Justin Silmon run for 2 yds to the KanSt 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Byron Pringle for 6 yds to the KanSt 48

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.40

Jesse Ertz run for 4 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -3.31

Winston Dimel run for 9 yds to the TCU 37 Winston Dimel fumbled, forced by Niko Small, recovered by TCU Nick Orr

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Foster Sawyer run for 2 yds to the TCU 39

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kyle Hicks run for 6 yds to the TCU 45

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Kyle Hicks run for 3 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Darius Anderson run for 8 yds to the KanSt 44

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.22

Darius Anderson run for 11 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Foster Sawyer pass incomplete to Taj Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Foster Sawyer pass complete to John Diarse for 7 yds to the KanSt 26

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.54

Foster Sawyer pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 5 yds to the KanSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.06

Foster Sawyer sacked by Reggie Walker for a loss of 6 yards to the KanSt 27

2nd & 16Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Foster Sawyer pass complete to Trevorris Johnson for 4 yds to the KanSt 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Foster Sawyer pass incomplete to Desmon White, broken up by Elijah Lee

4th & 12Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA +0.68

Brandon Hatfield 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 39

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Deante Gray run for no gain to the TCU 36

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kyle Hicks run for 5 yds to the TCU 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Foster Sawyer pass incomplete to John Diarse, broken up by Trent Tanking

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Adam Nunez punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Justin Silmon run for no gain to the KanSt 17

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron Pringle, broken up by Julius Lewis

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+83 ydsPPA +7.24

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Byron Pringle for 83 yds for a TD, (Ian Patterson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Kenny Hill run for 9 yds to the TCU 37

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.76

Kyle Hicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 35

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Kyle Hicks run for 2 yds to the TCU 37

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Adam Nunez punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Scott Frantz) to the KanSt 23

1st & 15Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.77

Justin Silmon run for 26 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.31

Jesse Ertz run for 31 yds to the TCU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Justin Silmon run for no gain to the TCU 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Byron Pringle for 4 yds to the TCU 16

3rd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.16

Jesse Ertz run for 11 yds to the TCU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Justin Silmon run for 5 yds for a TD, (Ian Patterson PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Kenny Hill pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 24

2nd & 11Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.43

Kenny Hill sacked by Reggie Walker for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 19

3rd & 16Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.51

Kenny Hill run for 15 yds to the TCU 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Adam Nunez punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Justin Silmon run for 3 yds to the KanSt 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.51

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Byron Pringle for 9 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jesse Ertz run for 3 yds to the KanSt 46

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Justin Silmon run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nick Walsh punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 1

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Daniel Walsh

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Kyle Hicks run for 6 yds to the TCU 7

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.40

Kenny Hill pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 4 yds to the TCU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.55

Kenny Hill run for 12 yds to the TCU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Kenny Hill pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 3 yds to the TCU 26

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kenny Hill run for no gain to the TCU 26

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Jarrison Stewart

4th & 7Punt+3 yds

Adam Nunez punt for 42 yds , Dominique Heath returns for 3 yds to the KanSt 35

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Justin Silmon run for no gain to the KanSt 35

2nd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.71

Jesse Ertz run for 19 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Justin Silmon run for no gain to the TCU 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Isaiah Harris for 4 yds to the TCU 42

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron Pringle

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nick Walsh punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Taj Williams

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kenny Hill run for 4 yds to the TCU 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Jaelan Austin

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Adam Nunez punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Dominique Heath at the KanSt 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Justin Silmon run for 2 yds to the KanSt 32

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Jesse Ertz run for no gain to the KanSt 32

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.20

Jesse Ertz run for 9 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Silmon, Justin rush for no gain to the KS41 (Douglas, Sammy), PENALTY KS personal foul (Mitchell, Tyler) 15 yards to the KS26, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Justin Silmon run for 3 yds to the KanSt 29

2nd & 22Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Justin Silmon run for 2 yds to the KanSt 31

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Deante Burton, broken up by Jeff Gladney

4th & 20Punt-7 yds

Nick Walsh punt for 47 yds , KaVontae Turpin returns for a loss of 7 yards to the TCU 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kyle Hicks run for 4 yds to the TCU 19

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Kyle Hicks run for 2 yds to the TCU 21

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Kenny Hill pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+8 yds

Adam Nunez punt for 42 yds , Dominique Heath returns for 8 yds to the KanSt 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Justin Silmon run for 3 yds to the KanSt 48

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Justin Silmon run for 3 yds to the TCU 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Isaiah Harris for 10 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.88

Jesse Ertz run for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 44

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Justin Silmon run for 4 yds to the TCU 40

3rd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.55

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Isaiah Harris for 19 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Justin Silmon run for 4 yds to the TCU 17

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jesse Ertz run for 4 yds to the TCU 13

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.18

Jesse Ertz run for 3 yds to the TCU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Justin Silmon run for 7 yds to the TCU 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Justin Silmon run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ian Patterson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.03

Kenny Hill pass complete to Deante Gray for 39 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Darius Anderson run for 4 yds to the KanSt 31

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Hill, Kenny pass incomplete to Williams, Taj, PENALTY KS pass interference (Reed, D.J.) 15 yards to the KS16, 1ST DOWN TCU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Darius Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 17

2nd & 11Penalty-10 yds

Hill, Kenny pass complete to Anderson, D. for 6 yards to the KS11 (Tanking, Trent), PENALTY TCU holding (Noteboom, J.) 10 yards to the KS27, NO PLAY.

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Kenny Hill pass incomplete

3rd & 21Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Kenny Hill pass complete to Ty Slanina for 7 yds to the KanSt 20

4th & 14Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.74

Kenny Hill run for 15 yds to the KanSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Interception Return-11 ydsPPA -5.12

Foster Sawyer pass intercepted Trent Tanking return for 11 yds to the KanSt 13

Situational Analysis

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
28%
29 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
38%
16 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

TCU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
19%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
54%
13 plays
29%
7 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
67%
3 plays