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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2016Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Memphis by 3.9

Home Win Probability

Cincinnati 38%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 19, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MemphisMemphis
13147034
CincinnatiCincinnati
00077

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-130-200-270-347-34
CincinnatiMemphis

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MEMCINMEMCINMEMCINMEMCINMEMCINMEMCINMEMCINMEMCINMEMCINMEMCINMEMCINMEMCINFG1351ydTO36ydTD418ydTO25ydFG43ydPUNT931ydTD1480ydPUNT517ydPUNT413ydPUNT513ydPUNT413ydTO27ydTD632ydPUNT725ydEND11ydPUNT31ydTD537ydDOWNS1771ydPUNT36ydTD965ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT3-17ydTO1467ydEND425yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Memphis and Cincinnati
StatisticMemphisCincinnati
Passing16-2023-34
Pass Yards159144
Rush Yards172100
Total Yards331244
Turnovers13
3rd Down8-165-14
Penalties5-455-52
Possession33:1526:45

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Memphis
passing
Jason Stewart
13/15, 138 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Doroland Dorceus
13 CAR, 66 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Phil Mayhue
3 REC, 42 YDS
defense
Cincinnati
passing
Hayden Moore
23/34, 144 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Deionte Buckley
7 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
Nate Cole
6 REC, 34 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Riley Ferguson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Doroland Dorceus run for 5 yds to the Memph 34

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.99

Riley Ferguson run for 8 yds to the Memph 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Darrell Henderson run for 3 yds to the Memph 45

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Darrell Henderson run for no gain to the Memph 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.44

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 8 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the Cincy 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.19

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Tony Pollard for 9 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.29

Doroland Dorceus run for 10 yds to the Cincy 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Riley Ferguson run for 2 yds to the Cincy 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Tony Pollard for 4 yds to the Cincy 20

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Anthony Miller, broken up by Mike Tyson

4th & 4Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -0.37

Jake Elliott 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Hayden Moore run for 6 yds to the Cincy 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin Gray

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return-20 ydsPPA -0.39

Hayden Moore pass intercepted Curtis Akins return for 20 yds to the Cincy 18

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Anthony Miller run for 5 yds to the Cincy 13

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Doroland Dorceus run for 8 yds to the Cincy 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Tony Pollard run for 3 yds to the Cincy 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Doroland Dorceus run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Hayden Moore pass complete to DJ Dowdy for 5 yds to the Cincy 10

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return-9 ydsPPA -0.15

Hayden Moore pass intercepted Chris Morley return for 9 yds to the Cincy 18

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Patrick Taylor Jr. run for no gain to the Cincy 18

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 19

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jason Stewart run for 4 yds to the Cincy 15

4th & 7Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.42

Jake Elliott 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tion Green run for 5 yds to the Cincy 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 6 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 1 yd to the Cincy 37

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

GREEN, Tion rush for 7 yards to the CIN44, out-of-bounds, PENALTY MEMPHIS offside (SUTTLES, Ernest) 5 yards to the CIN42, NO PLAY.

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin Gray

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.74

Hayden Moore pass complete to Nate Cole for 4 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.13

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 17 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -3.32

Hayden Moore sacked by Genard Avery for a loss of 13 yards to the 50 yard line CINCINNATI Penalty, intentional grounding (Hayden Moore) to the 50 yard line

2nd & 23Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Hayden Moore run for 7 yds to the Memph 43

3rd & 16Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.79

Hayden Moore pass complete to Tion Green for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 44

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Sam Geraci punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

DORCEUS, D. rush for 20 yards to the MEMPHIS40 (COPELAND, M.), PENALTY MEMPHIS holding (TATE, Trevon) 10 yards to the MEMPHIS10, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 5 yds to the Memph 15

2nd & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.53

Jason Stewart pass complete to Daniel Montiel for 15 yds to the Memph 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jason Stewart pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.28

Jason Stewart pass complete to Anthony Miller for 15 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the Memph 47

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.95

Jason Stewart pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for 6 yds to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Tony Pollard run for 12 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jason Stewart pass complete to Sean Dykes for 6 yds to the Cincy 26

2nd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.14

Doroland Dorceus run for 16 yds to the Cincy 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Jason Stewart run for 9 yds to the Cincy 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jason Stewart run for no gain to the Cincy 1

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Doroland Dorceus run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 2

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Jason Stewart pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tion Green run for 4 yds to the Cincy 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Hayden Moore pass complete to Nate Cole for 9 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Hayden Moore run for 4 yds to the Cincy 47

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Sam Geraci punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Anthony Miller at the Memph 11

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.55

Tony Pollard run for 12 yds to the Memph 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Tony Pollard run for 2 yds to the Memph 25

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Tony Pollard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 24

3rd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.17

Jason Stewart pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for no gain to the Memph 24

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Spencer Smith punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Kahlil Lewis run for 7 yds to the Cincy 41

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.87

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 10 yds to the Memph 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin Gray

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Hayden Moore run for 4 yds to the Memph 45

3rd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.97

Hayden Moore sacked by Chris Morley for a loss of 8 yards to the Cincy 47

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Sam Geraci punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Anthony Miller at the Memph 13

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Doroland Dorceus run for 1 yd to the Memph 14

2nd & 9Penalty+7 yds

STEWART, Jason pass incomplete to MILLER, Anthony (TYSON, Mike), PENALTY CIN pass interference (TYSON, Mike) 7 yards to the MEMPHIS21, 1ST DOWN MEMPHIS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Tony Pollard run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 18

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.14

Tony Pollard run for 1 yd to the Memph 19

3rd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Jason Stewart pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for 7 yds to the Memph 26

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Spencer Smith punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tion Green run for 2 yds to the Cincy 27

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.47

Tion Green run for 3 yds to the Cincy 32 Tion Green fumbled, forced by Chris Morley, recovered by Memph Latarius Brady CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jason Stewart run for 3 yds to the Cincy 29

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the Cincy 25

3rd & 3Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.19

Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Cincy 22 MEMPHIS Penalty, Offensive holding (Dustin Woodard) to the Cincy 32

3rd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.06

Jason Stewart pass complete to Doroland Dorceus for 14 yds to the Cincy 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Doroland Dorceus run for 10 yds to the Cincy 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Doroland Dorceus run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 8 yds to the Cincy 29

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.17

Hayden Moore pass complete to Brayden Beard for 5 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Hayden Moore run for 1 yd to the Cincy 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.39

Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 16 yds to the Memph 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin Gray

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Brayden Beard

3rd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.16

Hayden Moore sacked by Genard Avery for a loss of 5 yards to the Cincy 46

4th & 15Punt+5 yds

Sam Geraci punt for 40 yds , Anthony Miller returns for 5 yds to the Memph 19

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Jason Stewart run for 1 yd to the Memph 20

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Hayden Moore pass complete to Nate Cole for 4 yds to the Cincy 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.94

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 25

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Hayden Moore run for 1 yd to the Cincy 26

4th & 9Punt+30 yds

Sam Geraci punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 37 , John Williams returns for 30 yds to the Cincy 37

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Tony Pollard run for no gain to the Cincy 37

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Tony Pollard run for 11 yds to the Cincy 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Doroland Dorceus run for 1 yd to the Cincy 25

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Doroland Dorceus run for 3 yds to the Cincy 22

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.26

Jason Stewart pass complete to Anthony Miller for 22 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tion Green run for 1 yd to the Cincy 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Hayden Moore pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 6 yds to the Cincy 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.81

Hayden Moore pass complete to Brayden Beard for 9 yds to the Cincy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Tion Green run for 1 yd to the Cincy 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Hayden Moore pass complete to Nate Cole for 4 yds to the Cincy 46

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.19

Hayden Moore run for 8 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Deionte Buckley run for 3 yds to the Memph 43

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Deionte Buckley run for 6 yds to the Memph 37

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.59

Tion Green run for 2 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.34

Tion Green run for 14 yds to the Memph 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Hayden Moore pass complete to Avery Johnson for 6 yds to the Memph 15

2nd & 4Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Hayden Moore pass complete to Jerron Rollins for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 17

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Hayden Moore run for 7 yds to the Memph 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Tion Green run for 3 yds to the Memph 7

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Hayden Moore pass complete to Tion Green for 3 yds to the Memph 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin Gray

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.02

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin Gray

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jason Stewart pass incomplete to Sean Dykes, broken up by Zach Edwards

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.12

Patrick Taylor Jr. run for no gain to the Memph 4

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Jason Stewart run for 6 yds to the Memph 10

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Spencer Smith punt for 55 yds, downed at the Cincy 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Tion Green run for 2 yds to the Cincy 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.19

Hayden Moore pass complete to Tion Green for 15 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Tion Green run for 1 yd to the Memph 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Hayden Moore pass complete to Nate Cole for 7 yds to the Memph 40

3rd & 2Penalty+15 yds

MOORE, Hayden pass incomplete to GRAY, Devin, PENALTY MEMPHIS pass interference (MAULET, Arthur) 15 yards to the MEMPHIS25, 1ST DOWN CIN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.19

Deionte Buckley run for 15 yds to the Memph 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Tion Green run for 1 yd to the Memph 9

2nd & 9Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.93

Devin Gray run for a loss of 7 yards to the Memph 16

3rd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Hayden Moore pass complete to Nate Cole for 6 yds to the Memph 10

4th & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.51

Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 10 yds for a TD, (Josh Pasley KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Jason Stewart run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 25

2nd & 13Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.42

Jason Stewart sacked by Caleb Ashworth for a loss of 9 yards to the Memph 16

3rd & 22Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.05

Jason Stewart pass complete to Doroland Dorceus for 9 yds to the Memph 25

4th & 13Punt+20 yds

Spencer Smith punt for 37 yds , Brayden Beard returns for 20 yds to the Memph 42

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, personal foul (Carter Jacobs) to the Cincy 43

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Avery Johnson run for 1 yd to the Cincy 44

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Hayden Moore run for 2 yds to the Cincy 46

3rd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.12

Hayden Moore sacked by Jonathan Wilson for a loss of 5 yards to the Cincy 41 CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Sam Geraci punt for 42 yds, fair catch by John Williams at the Memph 17

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 16

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the Memph 18

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.60

Jason Stewart pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 13 yds to the Memph 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Jason Stewart pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 16 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Doroland Dorceus run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 46

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Doroland Dorceus run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.58

Jason Stewart pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 13 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 7 yds to the Cincy 30

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd to the Cincy 29

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 8 yds to the Cincy 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the Cincy 19

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 6 yds to the Cincy 13

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 14

4th & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -3.76

Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 16 Patrick Taylor Jr. fumbled, forced by Eric Wilson, recovered by Cincy Eric Wilson

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Deionte Buckley run for 6 yds to the Cincy 22

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.32

Deionte Buckley run for 4 yds to the Cincy 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Deionte Buckley run for 9 yds to the Cincy 35

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Deionte Buckley run for 6 yds to the Cincy 41 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Memphis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
34%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
38%
13 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
28 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
38%
13 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play