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← Back to GamesOct 22, 2016Week 8
MemphisMemphis
28
-Final
42
NavyNavy
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Navy by 5.6

Home Win Probability

Navy 67%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 22, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MemphisMemphis
1407728
NavyNavy
14714742

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-1421-1428-1428-2135-2135-2842-28
NavyMemphis

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMTD775ydTD1165ydTD00ydTD1061ydPUNT42ydTO569ydDOWNS1177ydPUNT53ydMISS40ydTD970ydEND57ydTD1175ydTD1382ydTD1275ydPUNT418ydPUNT39ydTD470ydMISS872ydTO723ydTD543ydEND1372yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Memphis and Navy
StatisticMemphisNavy
Passing25-403-4
Pass Yards33385
Rush Yards98447
Total Yards431532
Turnovers11
3rd Down8-158-13
Penalties3-253-20
Possession20:1239:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Memphis
passing
Riley Ferguson
25/40, 333 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Doroland Dorceus
8 CAR, 41 YDS
receiving
Anthony Miller
9 REC, 134 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Navy
passing
Will Worth
3/4, 85 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Will Worth
31 CAR, 201 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Darryl Bonner
1 REC, 52 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 16 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Doroland Dorceus run for 3 yds to the Memph 44

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.33

Doroland Dorceus run for 7 yds to the Navy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Doroland Dorceus run for 8 yds to the Navy 41

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (Dustin Woodard) to the Navy 46

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 49

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.99

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 16 yds to the Navy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 33 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chris High run for 4 yds to the Navy 39

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Toneo Gulley run for 5 yds to the Navy 44

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Will Worth run for no gain to the Navy 44

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.13

Darryl Bonner run for 2 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Will Worth run for 8 yds to the Memph 46

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Will Worth run for 5 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Toneo Gulley run for 4 yds to the Memph 37

2nd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.67

Dishan Romine run for 14 yds to the Memph 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Will Worth run for 7 yds to the Memph 16

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+10 ydsPPA +0.29

Chris High run for 10 yds to the Memph 4 Chris High fumbled, forced by Chris Morley, recovered by Navy Tyler Carmona for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Shawn White run for 4 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+100 yds

Bennett Moehring kickoff for 65 yds , Tony Pollard return for 100 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Jake Elliott kickoff for 40 yds , Nizaire Cromartie return for 14 yds to the Navy 39

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Chris High run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 38

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Dishan Romine run for 4 yds to the Navy 42

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

WORTH, Will pass incomplete to BONNER, Darryl, PENALTY MEM-ROAD pass interference (MORLEY, Chris) 15 yards to the MEM-ROAD43, 1ST DOWN NAVY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Chris High run for 9 yds to the Memph 34

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Will Worth run for 1 yd to the Memph 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Shawn White run for 3 yds to the Memph 30

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Will Worth run for 6 yds to the Memph 24

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.25

Shawn White run for 3 yds to the Memph 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Chris High run for 3 yds to the Memph 18

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Tre Walker run for 3 yds to the Memph 15

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.88

Will Worth pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 15 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Bennett Moehring kickoff for 60 yds , Doroland Dorceus return for 20 yds to the Memph 25

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Tony Pollard run for 10 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 6 yds to the Memph 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Tony Pollard for no gain to the Memph 41

3rd & 4Sack-14 ydsPPA -1.34

Riley Ferguson sacked by D.J. Palmore for a loss of 14 yards to the Memph 27

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Spencer Smith punt for 42 yds , Calvin Cass Jr. returns for no gain to the Navy 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Will Worth pass incomplete to Tyler Carmona, broken up by Jonathan Cook

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Shawn White run for 1 yd to the Navy 32

3rd & 9Rush+36 ydsPPA +4.04

Dishan Romine run for 36 yds to the Memph 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Chris High run for 3 yds to the Memph 29

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+28 ydsPPA -3.94

Will Worth run for 28 yds Will Worth fumbled, forced by Chauncey Lanier, recovered by Memph

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Daniel Hurd for 16 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Doroland Dorceus run for 6 yds to the Memph 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.06

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Daniel Hurd for 10 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.78

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 15 yds to the Navy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the Navy 29

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Darrell Henderson run for 8 yds to the Navy 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.17

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 18 yds to the Navy 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Anthony Miller, broken up by Elijah Merchant

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the Navy 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Darrell Henderson run for no gain to the Navy 1

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -4.21

Riley Ferguson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 3

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Will Worth run for 9 yds to the Navy 12

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Will Worth run for 1 yd to the Navy 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (Andrew Wood) to the Navy 8

1st & 15Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.24

Calvin Cass Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the Navy 3

2nd & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.02

Will Worth run for 2 yds to the Navy 5

3rd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.01

Darryl Bonner run for 1 yd to the Navy 6

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Alex Barta punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Anthony Miller, broken up by Elijah Merchant

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Riley Ferguson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Anthony Miller, broken up by Alohi Gilman

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Jake Elliott 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Will Worth run for 10 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Chris High run for 8 yds to the Navy 48

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.07

Will Worth run for 1 yd to the Navy 49

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.97

Will Worth run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Calvin Cass Jr. run for 11 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.51

Will Worth run for 18 yds to the Memph 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Will Worth run for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 25

2nd & 14Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.96

Will Worth run for 22 yds to the Memph 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Will Worth run for 3 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Bennett Moehring kickoff for 60 yds , Tony Pollard return for 13 yds to the Memph 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Riley Ferguson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.51

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 9 yds to the Memph 27

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.25

Doroland Dorceus run for 8 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Riley Ferguson sacked by Tyler Sayles for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 34

2nd & 11Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.89

Riley Ferguson sacked by D.J. Palmore for a loss of 9 yards to the Memph 25

0th & 11End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Dishan Romine run for 8 yds to the Navy 33

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Chris High run for 5 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Darryl Bonner run for 8 yds to the Navy 46

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.63

Will Worth run for 12 yds to the Memph 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Will Worth run for 4 yds to the Memph 38

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Shawn White run for 2 yds to the Memph 36

3rd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.22

Dishan Romine run for 11 yds to the Memph 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chris High run for 5 yds to the Memph 20

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.74

Josh Brown run for 15 yds to the Memph 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Josh Brown run for 1 yd to the Memph 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Will Worth run for 4 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tony Pollard run for 5 yds to the Memph 23

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the Memph 27

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.54

Darrell Henderson run for 11 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Darrell Henderson run for 7 yds to the Memph 45

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 9 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Doroland Dorceus run for 2 yds to the Navy 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Riley Ferguson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.46

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Daniel Hurd for 17 yds to the Navy 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

FERGUSON, Riley pass complete to HURD, Daniel for 7 yards to the NAVY20 (THOMAS, Micah), PENALTY NAVY substitution infraction 5 yards to the NAVY22, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Darrell Henderson

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Anthony Miller

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 10 yds to the Navy 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Doroland Dorceus run for 3 yds to the Navy 9

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.63

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Daniel Hurd for 9 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Dishan Romine run for 15 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Darryl Bonner run for 11 yds to the Memph 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Chris High run for 2 yds to the Memph 47

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Tre Walker run for 7 yds to the Memph 40

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.75

Will Worth run for 3 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Chris High run for 7 yds to the Memph 30

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Chris High run for 2 yds to the Memph 28

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Dishan Romine run for 4 yds to the Memph 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.65

Calvin Cass Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 26

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Will Worth run for 6 yds to the Memph 20

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Will Worth run for 2 yds to the Memph 18

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.51

Will Worth pass complete to Tyler Carmona for 18 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Tony Pollard for 13 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 41

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the Memph 43

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Daniel Montiel

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Spencer Smith punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 16

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Calvin Cass Jr. run for 6 yds to the Navy 22

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Will Worth run for 2 yds to the Navy 24

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Will Worth run for 1 yd to the Navy 25

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Alex Barta punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Anthony Miller at the Memph 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Tony Pollard for 7 yds to the Memph 37

2nd & 3Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.12

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Sean Dykes for 30 yds to the Navy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.71

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Daniel Hurd for 26 yds to the Navy 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Jake Elliott kickoff for 57 yds , Tre Walker return for 15 yds to the 50 yard line NAVY Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Navy 13

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Chris High run for 7 yds to the Navy 20

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Chris High run for 4 yds to the Navy 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Chris High run for no gain to the Navy 24

2nd & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +4.14

Will Worth pass complete to Darryl Bonner for 52 yds to the Memph 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Chris High run for 2 yds to the Memph 22

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Will Worth run for 5 yds to the Memph 17

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Shawn White run for 2 yds to the Memph 15

4th & 1Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Bennett Moehring 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 7 yds to the Memph 27

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (Anthony Miller) to the Memph 22

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Doroland Dorceus run for 4 yds to the Memph 26 Doroland Dorceus fumbled, forced by Hudson Sullivan,

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Tony Pollard

4th & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.72

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 7 yds to the Memph 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the Memph 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Daniel Hurd

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -0.26

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Roderick Proctor for 8 yds Roderick Proctor fumbled, forced by Elijah Merchant, recovered by Navy Tyler Sayles

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Will Worth run for 7 yds to the Memph 36

2nd & 3Rush+27 ydsPPA +0.44

Will Worth run for 27 yds to the Memph 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Will Worth run for 1 yd to the Memph 8

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Will Worth run for 7 yds to the Memph 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Will Worth run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Bennett Moehring kickoff for 65 yds , Tony Pollard return for 21 yds to the Memph 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Riley Ferguson run for 3 yds to the Memph 24

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Riley Ferguson run for 5 yds to the Memph 29

3rd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.75

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 11 yds to the Memph 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -2.46

Riley Ferguson sacked by Amos Mason for a loss of 13 yards to the Memph 27

2nd & 23Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.12

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 21 yds to the Memph 48

3rd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.00

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 14 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Phil Mayhue

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Tony Pollard for 6 yds to the Navy 32

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Riley Ferguson pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.84

Riley Ferguson pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for 5 yds to the Navy 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Anthony Miller, broken up by Sean Williams

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Phil Mayhue, broken up by Daiquan Thomasson

3rd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.70

Riley Ferguson run for 20 yds to the Navy 7 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Memphis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
55%
29 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
42%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
55%
31 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
60%
10 plays
67%
6 plays
63%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
63%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play