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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2016Week 6
HoustonHouston
40
-Final
46
NavyNavy
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Houston by 3.1

Home Win Probability

Navy 40%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 8, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
HoustonHouston
101071340
NavyNavy
101021546

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-710-1017-1317-2027-2034-2741-2741-3346-40
NavyHouston

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUPUNT30ydTD570ydTD112ydFG725ydFG1166ydFG925ydTD771ydTD680ydPUNT717ydTO841ydEND1042ydTO616ydTD641ydTD36ydTD1481ydTD780ydTD873ydDOWNS1259ydSAF4-16ydFG47ydTD1370ydPUNT3-3ydUncategorized2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Houston and Navy
StatisticHoustonNavy
Passing32-503-5
Pass Yards35976
Rush Yards125306
Total Yards484382
Turnovers30
3rd Down7-166-15
Penalties4-301-5
Possession25:1634:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Houston
passing
Greg Ward Jr.
32/50, 359 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Greg Ward Jr.
17 CAR, 94 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Linell Bonner
9 REC, 117 YDS
defense
Navy
passing
Will Worth
3/5, 76 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Will Worth
32 CAR, 115 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Darryl Bonner
2 REC, 42 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Will Worth run for no gain to the Navy 16

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.28

Will Worth run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 13

3rd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Will Worth run for 3 yds to the Navy 16

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Alex Barta punt for 54 yds, fair catch by D'Eriq King at the Houst 30

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Dillon Birden run for 7 yds to the Houst 37

2nd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 5 yds to the Navy 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 13 yds to the Navy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Steven Dunbar 32 Yd pass from Greg Ward Jr. (Ty Cummings Kick)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Chris High 12 Yd Run (Bennett Moehring Kick)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Dillon Birden run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 49

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Dillon Birden run for 2 yds to the Navy 47

3rd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.02

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 22 yds to the Navy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Chance Allen, broken up by Tyris Wooten

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Dillon Birden run for no gain to the Navy 25

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Greg Ward Jr. run for 4 yds to the Navy 22 Greg Ward Jr. fumbled, forced by Elijah Merchant, recovered by Houst

4th & 7Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.05

Ty Cummings 39 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Chris High run for 13 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Will Worth run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 37

2nd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Will Worth run for 8 yds to the Navy 45

3rd & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.72

Toneo Gulley run for 17 yds to the Houst 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Will Worth run for 3 yds to the Houst 35

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.64

Toneo Gulley run for 10 yds to the Houst 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Darryl Bonner run for 11 yds to the Houst 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Will Worth run for 5 yds to the Houst 9

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.49

Darryl Bonner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 11 Darryl Bonner fumbled, recovered by Navy Darryl Bonner

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Will Worth run for 4 yds to the Houst 7

4th & 3Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.99

Bennett Moehring 24 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Dillon Birden run for 12 yds to the Navy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Greg Ward Jr. run for no gain to the Navy 32

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 9 yds to the Navy 23

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.02

Greg Ward Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 25

4th & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Greg Ward Jr. run for 5 yds to the Navy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Dillon Birden run for 6 yds to the Navy 14

2nd & 4Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.91

D'Eriq King run for a loss of 5 yards to the Navy 19

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Steven Dunbar

4th & 9Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA +0.02

Ty Cummings 36 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Shawn White run for 6 yds to the Navy 35

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.40

Will Worth run for 13 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.10

Toneo Gulley run for 19 yds to the Houst 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Will Worth run for 8 yds to the Houst 25

2nd & 2Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.48

Will Worth run for 20 yds to the Houst 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Will Worth run for 3 yds to the Houst 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Will Worth 2 Yd Run (Bennett Moehring Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Dillon Birden run for 2 yds to the Houst 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 11 yds to the Houst 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.38

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 30 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Dillon Birden for 9 yds to the Navy 28

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.34

Greg Ward Jr. run for 9 yds to the Navy 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Dillon Birden 19 Yd pass from Greg Ward Jr. (Ty Cummings Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Will Worth run for no gain to the Navy 28

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Darryl Bonner run for 6 yds to the Navy 34

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Dishan Romine run for 3 yds to the Navy 37

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.93

Will Worth run for 3 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Toneo Gulley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 39

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Will Worth pass incomplete to Darryl Bonner, broken up by Garrett Davis

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Dishan Romine run for 6 yds to the Navy 45

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Alex Barta punt for 40 yds, fair catch by D'Eriq King at the Houst 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 6 yds to the Houst 21

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.37

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 5 yds to the Houst 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Greg Ward Jr. sacked by Jarvis Polu for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 24

3rd & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.54

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 17 yds to the Houst 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.25

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 15 yds to the Navy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Tyler McCloskey

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.62

Greg Ward Jr. pass intercepted Josiah Powell return for no gain to the Navy 37

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Will Worth run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 35

2nd & 12Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.77

Will Worth run for a loss of 5 yards to the Navy 30

3rd & 17Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.14

Will Worth run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 28

4th & 19Penalty+15 yds

HOUSTON Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (Isaiah Johnson) to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Will Worth run for 8 yds to the Houst 49

2nd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -2.06

Dishan Romine run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.81

Will Worth pass complete to Darryl Bonner for 25 yds to the Houst 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Toneo Gulley run for 7 yds to the Houst 20

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.66

Will Worth run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 21

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Will Worth pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA -0.31

Bennett Moehring 38 Yd Field Goal

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Linell Bonner

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Steven Dunbar

3rd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.27

Greg Ward Jr. run for 14 yds to the Houst 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Greg Ward Jr. run for 4 yds to the Houst 43

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Chance Allen

3rd & 6Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.85

Greg Ward Jr. sacked by Dylan Fischer for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 41 Greg Ward Jr. fumbled, recovered by Navy Patrick Forrestal , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Dishan Romine run for 11 yds to the Houst 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Darryl Bonner run for 3 yds to the Houst 27

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Shawn White run for 3 yds to the Houst 24

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.56

Dishan Romine run for 4 yds to the Houst 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Shawn White run for 3 yds to the Houst 17

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.74

Darryl Bonner 17 Yd pass from Will Worth (Bennett Moehring Kick)

2nd & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Bennett Moehring kickoff for 59 yds , D'Eriq King return for 15 yds to the Houst 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Dillon Birden run for 3 yds to the Houst 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to D'Eriq King for 3 yds to the Houst 27

3rd & 4Interception Return Touchdown-34 ydsPPA -7.23

Josiah Powell 34 Yd Interception Return (Bennett Moehring Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Bennett Moehring kickoff for 55 yds , D'Eriq King return for 9 yds to the Houst 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dillon Birden run for 5 yds to the Houst 24

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 9 yds to the Houst 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Mulbah Car run for 3 yds to the Houst 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 5 yds to the Houst 41

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.54

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Mulbah Car for 5 yds to the Houst 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Linell Bonner

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 6 yds to the Navy 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.05

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 13 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to D'Eriq King for 11 yds to the Navy 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Dillon Birden run for 6 yds to the Navy 18

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.05

Dillon Birden run for 5 yds to the Navy 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Dillon Birden run for 3 yds to the Navy 10

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Greg Ward Jr. run for 2 yds to the Navy 8

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.81

Greg Ward Jr. 8 Yd Run (Ty Cummings Kick)

3rd & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Ty Cummings kickoff for 65 yds , Dishan Romine return for 20 yds to the Navy 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Shawn White run for 4 yds to the Navy 24

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Shawn White run for 4 yds to the Navy 28

3rd & 2Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.46

Dishan Romine run for 19 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Shawn White run for 9 yds to the Houst 44

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Darryl Bonner run for 2 yds to the Houst 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Will Worth run for 8 yds to the Houst 34

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.62

Brandon Colon 34 Yd pass from Will Worth (Bennett Moehring Kick)

2nd & 2Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Bennett Moehring kickoff for 57 yds , D'Eriq King return for 19 yds to the Houst 27

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.74

Greg Ward Jr. run for 33 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

HOUSTON Penalty, Illegal Touching (Chance Allen) to the Navy 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.50

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 25 yds to the Navy 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Greg Ward Jr. run for 2 yds to the Navy 13

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 5 yds to the Navy 8

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 13

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Greg Ward Jr. run for 4 yds to the Navy 9

4th & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.91

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to D'Eriq King for 7 yds to the Navy 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Dillon Birden 2 Yd Run (Ty Cummings PAT blocked)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Will Worth run for 5 yds to the Navy 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Will Worth run for 4 yds to the Navy 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Will Worth run for 1 yd to the Navy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Shawn White run for 6 yds to the Navy 41

2nd & 4Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.70

Will Worth run for 20 yds to the Houst 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Shawn White run for 3 yds to the Houst 36

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Shawn White run for no gain to the Houst 36

3rd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.60

Toneo Gulley run for 11 yds to the Houst 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Will Worth run for 4 yds to the Houst 21

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Myles Swain run for 2 yds to the Houst 19

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Will Worth run for 3 yds to the Houst 16

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.83

Shawn White run for no gain to the Houst 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 2 yds to the Houst 18

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 8Safety-18 ydsPPA -1.69

Team Safety

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Will Worth run for 2 yds to the Houst 28

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Will Worth run for 2 yds to the Houst 26

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Will Worth run for 3 yds to the Houst 23

4th & 3Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA -0.27

Bennett Moehring 40 Yd Field Goal

4th & 3Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Bennett Moehring kickoff for 55 yds , D'Eriq King return for 20 yds to the Houst 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 5 yds to the Houst 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.83

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 5 yds to the Houst 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 15 yds to the Navy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Steven Dunbar

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Dillon Birden

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 6 yds to the Navy 39

4th & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.36

Greg Ward Jr. run for 6 yds to the Navy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Greg Ward Jr. run for 2 yds to the Navy 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.68

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 16 yds to the Navy 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Greg Ward Jr. run for 8 yds to the Navy 7

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Steven Dunbar

3rd & 2Penalty-10 yds

HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Alex Fontana) to the Navy 17

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Steven Dunbar

4th & 12Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +4.15

Chance Allen 17 Yd pass from Greg Ward Jr. (Ty Cummings Kick)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Will Worth run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 48 Will Worth fumbled, recovered by Navy Will Worth

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Myles Swain run for 3 yds to the Houst 49

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Will Worth run for no gain to the Houst 49

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Navy 46

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Alex Barta punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Linell Bonner

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.61

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 14 yds to the Houst 34 lat. to Isaiah Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the Houst 28 lat. to Dillon Birden for a loss of 6 yards to the Houst 22 lat. to Greg Ward Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 18

Situational Analysis

Houston

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
34 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
44%
16 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
27 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play