Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 10, 2016Week 2
UCFUCF
14
-Final
51
MichiganMichigan

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 15

Home Win Probability

Michigan 87%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 10, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UCFUCF
077014
MichiganMichigan
211310751

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-024-034-741-744-1451-14
MichiganUCF

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCFMICUCFMICUCFMICUCFMICUCFMICUCFMICUCFMICUCFMICUCFMICMICUCFMICUCFMICUCFMICUCFMICPUNT416ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT3-5ydTD642ydMISS842ydTD757ydPUNT3-2ydTD145ydTO30ydFG519ydPUNT4-21ydTD312ydTD287ydFG1269ydMISS945ydPUNT613ydEND1-2ydTD766ydFG4-2ydTD572ydTO613ydDOWNS613ydPUNT38ydDOWNS1242ydTD872ydDOWNS1040ydEND1454yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UCF and Michigan
StatisticUCFMichigan
Passing6-2227-41
Pass Yards56328
Rush Yards275119
Total Yards331447
Turnovers20
3rd Down2-148-18
Penalties9-762-20
Possession25:3534:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UCF
passing
Nick Patti
3/11, 37 YDS
rushing
Adrian Killins Jr.
1 CAR, 87 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Taylor Oldham
3 REC, 29 YDS
defense
Chequan Burkett
1 TFL, 1 PD
Michigan
passing
Wilton Speight
25/37, 312 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
De'Veon Smith
10 CAR, 38 YDS
receiving
Amara Darboh
5 REC, 111 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Jawon Hamilton run for 11 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Justin Holman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Justin Holman pass complete to Taylor Oldham for 9 yds to the UCF 45

3rd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.59

Justin Holman run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 41

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 13 yds, downed at the Mich 46

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the Mich 47

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.33

Chris Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 45

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Grant Perry

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, False Start (Jason Rae) to the UCF 15

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Jawon Hamilton run for no gain to the UCF 15

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Justin Holman pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 27 yds, downed at the UCF 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jehu Chesson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the UCF 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.92

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 35 yds to the UCF 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the UCF 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Ty Isaac run for 1 yd to the UCF 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 3 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Justin Holman run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 22

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jawon Hamilton run for 4 yds to the UCF 26

3rd & 9Rush+30 ydsPPA +3.66

Justin Holman run for 30 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.57

Justin Holman pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 13 yds to the Mich 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Jawon Hamilton run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 33

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jawon Hamilton run for no gain to the Mich 33

4th & 12Blocked Field Goal+50 yds

Matthew Wright 50 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Chris Wormley

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.77

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 32 yds to the UCF 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 11 yds to the UCF 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the UCF 11

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.18

Wilton Speight pass complete to Henry Poggi for 8 yds to the UCF 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the UCF 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Khalid Hill run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

3rd & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Kenny Allen kickoff for 65 yds , Tristan Payton return for 11 yds to the UCF 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.14

Dontravious Wilson run for 1 yd to the UCF 12

3rd & 9Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.11

Justin Holman pass complete to Dontravious Wilson for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 9

4th & 12Punt+11 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 47 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 11 yds to the UCF 45

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.48

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 45 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jawon Hamilton run for 2 yds to the UCF 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Jawon Hamilton

3rd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.28

Justin Holman sacked by Chase Winovich for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 25 Justin Holman fumbled, forced by Chase Winovich, recovered by Mich Maurice Hurst , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.28

Eddie McDoom run for 16 yds to the UCF 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Khalid Hill run for 2 yds to the UCF 7

2nd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 8

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Wilton Speight pass complete to Chris Evans for 2 yds to the UCF 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.87

Kenny Allen 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-11 ydsPPA -1.24

Justin Holman run for 2 yds to the UCF 27 UCF Penalty, Illegal Block (-13 Yards) to the UCF 14

1st & 21Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.20

Justin Holman sacked by Rashan Gary and Ben Gedeon for a loss of 12 yards to the UCF 2

2nd & 33Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.01

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tristan Payton

3rd & 33Penalty-1 yds

UCF Penalty, False Start (Aaron Evans) to the UCF 1

3rd & 34Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.00

Dontravious Wilson run for 3 yds to the UCF 4

4th & 31Punt+35 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 43 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 35 yds to the UCF 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 14

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.31

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 14 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Justin Holman pass incomplete to Cam Stewart

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+87 ydsPPA +7.10

Adrian Killins run for 87 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Wilton Speight pass complete to Henry Poggi for 2 yds to the Mich 15

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Henry Poggi

2nd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.71

Wilton Speight pass complete to Eddie McDoom for 5 yds to the Mich 20 for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, Personal Foul (Demeitre Brim) to the Mich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Wilton Speight pass complete to De'Veon Smith for 8 yds to the Mich 43

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

UCF Penalty, Defensive Offside (Joey Connors) to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Wilton Speight sacked by Errol Clarke for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 45

2nd & 13Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.72

De'Veon Smith run for 17 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Chris Evans run for 9 yds to the UCF 29

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA -0.29

De'Veon Smith run for 12 yds to the UCF 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ty Isaac run for 4 yds to the UCF 13

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Amara Darboh

3rd & 6Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.17

Wilton Speight pass complete to De'Veon Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the UCF 18

4th & 11Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA +0.13

Kenny Allen 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Dredrick Snelson run for 1 yd to the UCF 24

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jawon Hamilton run for no gain to the UCF 24

3rd & 9Rush+35 ydsPPA +3.87

Justin Holman run for 35 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jawon Hamilton run for 4 yds to the Mich 37

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.62

Jawon Hamilton run for 11 yds to the Mich 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Nick Patti pass incomplete to Dredrick Snelson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Nick Patti pass incomplete to Jordan Franks

3rd & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.14

Nick Patti run for a loss of 6 yards to the Mich 32

4th & 16Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Matthew Wright 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Wilton Speight pass complete to Ian Bunting for 4 yds to the Mich 36

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

De'Veon Smith run for 5 yds to the Mich 41

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.00

Ty Isaac run for 1 yd to the Mich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jake Butt

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the Mich 45

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Grant Perry

4th & 7Punt+48 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MICHIGAN 12 UCF Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the UCF 7

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.38

Dontravious Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 5

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.98

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 23 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.63

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 17 yds to the UCF 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the UCF 23

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the UCF 22

3rd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.05

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 20 yds to the UCF 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Khalid Hill run for 1 yd to the UCF 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Khalid Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 18

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 8 yds to the UCF 10

3rd & 3Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.60

Wilton Speight sacked by T.J. Mutcherson for a loss of 9 yards to the UCF 19

4th & 12Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA +0.32

Kenny Allen 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Nick Patti pass complete to Taylor Oldham for 7 yds to the UCF 35

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.45

Dontravious Wilson run for 5 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Nick Patti run for no gain to the UCF 40

2nd & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.94

Nick Patti run for 26 yds to the Mich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

Dontravious Wilson run for 34 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jehu Chesson

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.64

Chris Evans run for 18 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the UCF 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 5 yds to the UCF 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jake Butt

4th & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -1.54

Kenny Allen run for a loss of 11 yards to the Mich 48 Kenny Allen fumbled, recovered by Mich Kenny Allen

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Nick Patti run for no gain to the Mich 48

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.92

Jawon Hamilton run for 2 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Maurice Hurst) to the Mich 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.24

Nick Patti sacked by Chris Wormley for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 35

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Nick Patti pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Nick Patti pass incomplete to Jawon Hamilton

4th & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Nick Patti pass incomplete to Adrian Killins

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 6 yds to the Mich 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Wilton Speight pass complete to Ian Bunting for 2 yds to the Mich 43

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Amara Darboh

4th & 2Punt+12 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 39 yds , Chris Johnson returns for 12 yds to the UCF 30

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Nick Patti run for 7 yds to the UCF 37

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Jawon Hamilton run for 4 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Dontravious Wilson run for 8 yds to the UCF 49

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dontravious Wilson run for 5 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Dontravious Wilson run for 1 yd to the Mich 45

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jawon Hamilton run for 3 yds to the Mich 42

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jabrill Peppers) to the Mich 37

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Nick Patti pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.69

Dontravious Wilson run for 2 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, False Start (Tyler Hudanick) to the Mich 40

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Dontravious Wilson run for no gain to the Mich 40

2nd & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Nick Patti run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 41 Nick Patti fumbled, forced by Mike McCray, recovered by UCF Jordan Johnson

3rd & 16Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.74

Nick Patti pass complete to Taylor Oldham for 13 yds to the Mich 28

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.89

Nick Patti pass incomplete to Taylor Oldham

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the Mich 29

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jake Butt

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 8 yds to the Mich 37

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.93

Khalid Hill run for 3 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.78

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 25 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Chris Evans run for no gain to the UCF 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Wilton Speight pass complete to Khalid Hill for 5 yds to the UCF 30

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.60

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 30 yds for a TD, (Ryan Tice KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dontravious Wilson run for 5 yds to the UCF 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Dontravious Wilson run for 2 yds to the UCF 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Dontravious Wilson run for 2 yds to the UCF 34

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.95

Dontravious Wilson run for 5 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Dontravious Wilson run for 6 yds to the UCF 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.36

Nick Patti pass complete to Jordan Akins for 17 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Dontravious Wilson run for 3 yds to the Mich 35

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Dontravious Wilson run for 1 yd to the Mich 34

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Nick Patti pass incomplete to Cal Bloom

4th & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.97

Nick Patti run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

John O'Korn run for 2 yds to the Mich 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

John O'Korn pass incomplete to Devin Asiasi

3rd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.64

Kekoa Crawford run for 11 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the UCF 47

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

John O'Korn pass incomplete to Kekoa Crawford

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the UCF 43

4th & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +2.10

John O'Korn pass complete to Khalid Hill for 4 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the UCF 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.72

John O'Korn pass complete to Michael Jocz for 12 yds to the UCF 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the UCF 22

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

John O'Korn run for 2 yds to the UCF 20

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the UCF 18

4th & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.97

Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the UCF 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Michael Hirsch run for 2 yds to the UCF 11

Situational Analysis

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
24 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
0%
6 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
35%
31 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
40%
15 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays