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← Back to GamesSep 1, 2016Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Cincinnati by 2.4

Home Win Probability

Cincinnati 58%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 1, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UT Martin
70007
CincinnatiCincinnati
0681428

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-76-714-721-728-7
CincinnatiUT Martin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UMCINUMCINUMCINUMCINUMCINUMCINUMCINUMCINUMCINUMCINUMUMTD1475ydMISS867ydPUNT628ydTO423ydTO831ydTO730ydMISS1041ydTO1-12ydMISS4-6ydTD1280ydEND1-3ydPUNT35ydDOWNS831ydPUNT30ydPUNT35ydTD1375ydPUNT436ydPUNT732ydTO511ydTD1177ydTD1040ydEND414yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UT Martin and Cincinnati
StatisticUT MartinCincinnati
Passing12-2621-34
Pass Yards146260
Rush Yards177140
Total Yards323400
Turnovers33
3rd Down9-165-13
Penalties8-675-60
Possession37:0622:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UT Martin
passing
Gunnar Holcombe
12/26, 146 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jaimiee Bowe
18 CAR, 102 YDS
receiving
Caylon Weathers
4 REC, 66 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Kahlid Hagens
0.5 TFL, 1 PD
Cincinnati
passing
Hayden Moore
21/34, 260 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tion Green
16 CAR, 97 YDS
receiving
Devin Gray
5 REC, 111 YDS
defense
Eric Wilson
3 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaimiee Bowe run for 3 yds to the TnMar 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Najee Ray for 9 yds to the TnMar 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Jaimiee Bowe for 6 yds to the TnMar 43

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.64

Jaimiee Bowe run for 5 yds to the TnMar 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Jaimiee Bowe run for 9 yds to the Cincy 43

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.46

Ladevin Fair run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 44

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.02

Gunnar Holcombe run for 2 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ladevin Fair run for 5 yds to the Cincy 37

2nd & 5Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.60

Gunnar Holcombe sacked by Kimoni Fitz for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 40

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

HOLCOMBE pass incomplete to AXLINE (GILBERT, Tyrell), PENALTY CIN pass interference (GILBERT, Tyrell) 15 yards to the CIN25, 1ST DOWN UTM, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Gunnar Holcombe run for 3 yds to the Cincy 22

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, encroachment (Alex Pace) to the Cincy 17

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Gunnar Holcombe pass incomplete to Kyle Kerrick, broken up by Tyrell Gilbert

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Jaimiee Bowe run for 12 yds to the Cincy 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jaimiee Bowe run for 3 yds to the Cincy 2

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

TENN MARTIN Penalty, false start (Olandrious Booker) to the Cincy 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Caylon Weathers for 7 yds for a TD, (Mitch Mersman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Tion Green run for 7 yds to the Cincy 33

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.95

Hayden Moore pass complete to Nate Cole for 10 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST down

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin Gray, broken up by Tae Martin

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +1.95

Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 47 yds to the TnMar 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.59

Mike Boone run for a loss of 5 yards to the TnMar 15

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to DJ Dowdy, broken up by Chris Williams-Hall

3rd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Hayden Moore pass complete to Tion Green for 8 yds to the TnMar 7

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+24 yds

Josh Pasley 24 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jaimiee Bowe run for 4 yds to the TnMar 24

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Gunnar Holcombe run for 2 yds to the TnMar 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.71

Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Caylon Weathers for 21 yds to the TnMar 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jaimiee Bowe run for 1 yd to the TnMar 48

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Gunnar Holcombe pass incomplete to Ben Axline

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Gunnar Holcombe pass incomplete to Ben Axline, broken up by Chris Murphy

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brett Arkelian punt for 33 yds, downed at the Cincy 19

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Tion Green run for 11 yds to the Cincy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tion Green run for 3 yds to the Cincy 33

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Tion Green run for 6 yds to the Cincy 39

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -1.27

Tion Green run for 3 yds to the Cincy 42 Tion Green fumbled, forced by Kahlid Hagens, recovered by TnMar Jay Murphy

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Ladevin Fair run for 6 yds to the Cincy 36

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Gunnar Holcombe run for no gain to the Cincy 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.38

Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Caylon Weathers for 23 yds to the Cincy 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jaimiee Bowe run for 4 yds to the Cincy 9

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.34

Gunnar Holcombe run for 7 yds to the Cincy 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.39

Jaimiee Bowe run for a loss of 5 yards to the Cincy 7

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

TENN MARTIN Penalty, false start (Robert Burleigh) to the Cincy 12

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jaimiee Bowe run for 3 yds to the Cincy 9

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -3.99

Jaimiee Bowe run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 11 Jaimiee Bowe fumbled, recovered by Cincy Alex Pace

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Mike Boone run for 2 yds to the Cincy 13

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.99

Mike Boone run for 13 yds to the Cincy 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to DJ Dowdy

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.69

Hayden Moore pass complete to Nate Cole for 11 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mike Boone run for 4 yds to the Cincy 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis, broken up by Kahlid Hagens

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.76

Hayden Moore pass intercepted Joseph Este return for no gain to the TnMar 39

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Marquez Grayson run for 2 yds to the TnMar 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Gunnar Holcombe pass incomplete to Ben Axline, broken up by Zach Edwards

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.50

Ladevin Fair run for 8 yds to the TnMar 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ladevin Fair run for 5 yds to the Cincy 46

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Ladevin Fair run for 4 yds to the Cincy 42

3rd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.22

Jaimiee Bowe run for 15 yds to the Cincy 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Marquez Grayson run for 7 yds to the Cincy 20

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Gunnar Holcombe pass incomplete to Caylon Weathers

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Gunnar Holcombe pass incomplete to Ben Axline, broken up by Eric Wilson

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Mitch Mersman 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.91

Hayden Moore sacked by Kevin Prather Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the Cincy 8 Hayden Moore fumbled, recovered by TnMar Anthony Brown , return for 0 yards

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jaimiee Bowe run for 3 yds to the Cincy 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Gunnar Holcombe pass incomplete to Caylon Weathers

3rd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.64

Gunnar Holcombe sacked by Eric Wilson for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 9

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

TENN MARTIN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 14

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Mitch Mersman 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tion Green run for 5 yds to the Cincy 25

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Tion Green run for 8 yds to the Cincy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Tion Green run for 7 yds to the Cincy 40

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 9 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Mike Boone run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 47

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Hayden Moore run for no gain to the Cincy 47

3rd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.24

Hayden Moore run for 11 yds to the TnMar 42

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.96

Mike Boone run for 2 yds to the TnMar 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to DJ Dowdy

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.35

Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 16 yds to the TnMar 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.22

Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 21 yds to the TnMar 3 for a 1ST down TENN MARTIN Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Hayden Moore pass complete to Nate Cole for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Pasley PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the TnMar 22

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Tion Green run for 1 yd to the Cincy 24

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Tion Green run for 1 yd to the Cincy 25

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Hayden Moore pass complete to Tion Green for 3 yds to the Cincy 28

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Sam Geraci punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

TENN MARTIN Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the TnMar 17

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Gunnar Holcombe run for 5 yds to the TnMar 22

2nd & 5Rush+34 ydsPPA +3.04

Jaimiee Bowe run for 34 yds to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Najee Ray for 8 yds to the Cincy 36

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.04

Jaimiee Bowe run for 9 yds to the Cincy 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Jaimiee Bowe run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 28

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Ladevin Fair run for 1 yd to the Cincy 27

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Gunnar Holcombe pass incomplete

4th & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.17

Gunnar Holcombe sacked by Eric Wilson for a loss of 10 yards to the Cincy 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin Gray

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin Gray, broken up by Joseph Este

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Sam Geraci punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Ladevin Fair run for 2 yds to the TnMar 30

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ladevin Fair run for 5 yds to the TnMar 35

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.75

Ladevin Fair run for a loss of 2 yards to the TnMar 33

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Brett Arkelian punt for 42 yds, downed at the Cincy 25

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Kahlil Lewis run for a loss of 5 yards to the Cincy 20

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Tion Green run for 5 yds to the Cincy 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 13 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Hayden Moore pass complete to Avery Johnson for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Hayden Moore run for 12 yds to the TnMar 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Hayden Moore pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 4 yds to the TnMar 34

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Thomas Geddis

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Avery Johnson

4th & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.33

Hayden Moore pass complete to Nate Cole for 9 yds to the TnMar 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Hayden Moore run for 2 yds to the TnMar 23

2nd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.75

Mike Boone run for 16 yds to the TnMar 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty-10 yds

BOONE, Mike rush for no gain to the UTM7 (PRATHER JR.;DAWSON), PENALTY CIN holding (RAY, Idarius) 10 yards to the UTM17, NO PLAY.

1st & 17Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.73

Hayden Moore pass complete to Nate Cole for 14 yds to the TnMar 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 3 yds for a TD, (Hayden Moore pass to DJ Dowdy for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Jaimiee Bowe for 23 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, roughing passer (Cortez Broughton) to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Gunnar Holcombe run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 45

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Gunnar Holcombe pass incomplete to Jaimiee Bowe

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Gunnar Holcombe pass incomplete, broken up by Alex Thomas

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Brett Arkelian punt for 43 yds, downed at the Cincy 2

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.35

Tion Green run for 13 yds to the Cincy 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Tion Green run for no gain to the Cincy 15

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin Gray

3rd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.83

Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 18 yds to the Cincy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.34

Hayden Moore pass complete to Brayden Beard for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 30

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Mike Boone

3rd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Mike Boone run for 4 yds to the Cincy 34

4th & 9Punt+5 yds

Sam Geraci punt for 41 yds , Londell Lee returns for 5 yds to the TnMar 30

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jaylon Moore run for 6 yds to the TnMar 36

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jaimiee Bowe run for 2 yds to the TnMar 38

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.31

Ladevin Fair run for 3 yds to the TnMar 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.14

Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Najee Ray for no gain to the TnMar 41

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+7 ydsPPA -1.20

Gunnar Holcombe pass intercepted Linden Stephens return for a loss of 7 yards to the Cincy 23

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.03

Tion Green run for 23 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tion Green run for no gain to the Cincy 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.10

Hayden Moore pass complete to Brayden Beard for 13 yds to the TnMar 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Tion Green run for 4 yds to the TnMar 37

2nd & 6Penalty-15 yds

BOONE, Mike rush for 1 yard to the UTM36 (MARTIN;WILLIAMS-HALL), PENALTY CIN tripping (RAY, Idarius) 15 yards to the CIN48, NO PLAY.

2nd & 21Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Hayden Moore pass complete to Sam Geraci for 6 yds to the TnMar 46

3rd & 15Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.37

Hayden Moore pass complete to Nate Cole for 17 yds to the TnMar 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Mike Boone run for 1 yd to the TnMar 28

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Mike Boone run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnMar 29

3rd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.12

Hayden Moore pass complete to Avery Johnson for 26 yds to the TnMar 3 for a 1ST down TENN MARTIN Penalty, personal foul (Kahlid Hagens) to the TnMar 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Mike Boone run for no gain to the TnMar 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Mike Boone run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Pasley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Ben Axline for 6 yds to the TnMar 16

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Gunnar Holcombe pass incomplete to Ben Axline

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Gunnar Holcombe run for 8 yds to the TnMar 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Jaimiee Bowe for 8 yds to the TnMar 32

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Gunnar Holcombe pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.11

Jaimiee Bowe run for 3 yds to the TnMar 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Caylon Weathers for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

TENN MARTIN Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the TnMar 35

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.64

Ladevin Fair run for a loss of 5 yards to the TnMar 30

2nd & 15Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.04

Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Ben Axline for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown-58 ydsPPA -10.16

Gunnar Holcombe pass intercepted for a TD Tyrell Gilbert return for 58 yds for a TD, (Josh Pasley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Ladevin Fair run for 4 yds to the TnMar 12

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Ladevin Fair run for 6 yds to the TnMar 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Ladevin Fair run for 1 yd to the TnMar 19

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

GRAYSON rush for no gain to the UTM19 (JACOBS, Carter), PENALTY UTM illegal block (BOND) 10 yards to the UTM9, NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.29

Marquez Grayson run for 13 yds to the TnMar 22

Situational Analysis

UT Martin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
45%
29 plays
2nd
0%
5 plays
36%
11 plays
50%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
36%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
60%
10 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play