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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2016Week 12

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina by 3.7

Home Win Probability

North Carolina 61%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 19, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
The Citadel
00077
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
141710041

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-028-038-041-041-7
North CarolinaThe Citadel

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TCNCTCNCTCNCTCNCTCTCNCTCNCTCNCTCNCTCNCTCNCTCNCTCMISS1267ydPUNT36ydPUNT38ydTD976ydPUNT37ydTD172ydDOWNS835ydTD460ydTD30ydPUNT37ydPUNT38ydTO629ydFG741ydEND412ydTD00ydPUNT517ydPUNT745ydTO27ydFG43ydTO1053ydMISS734ydTD880ydPUNT5-4ydEND1445yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing The Citadel and North Carolina
StatisticThe CitadelNorth Carolina
Passing3-812-21
Pass Yards27193
Rush Yards344163
Total Yards371356
Turnovers40
3rd Down8-171-8
Penalties4-346-61
Possession42:2517:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

The Citadel
passing
Dominique Allen
2/6, 17 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Tyler Renew
22 CAR, 82 YDS
receiving
Rod Johnson
1 REC, 15 YDS
defense
North Carolina
passing
Mitch Trubisky
11/20, 184 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Elijah Hood
13 CAR, 83 YDS
receiving
Ryan Switzer
4 REC, 93 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Reggie Williams run for 4 yds to the Citad 29

2nd & 6Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.18

Tyler Renew run for 4 yds to the Citad 33 for a 1ST down NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Cayson Collins) to the Citad 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Renew run for 4 yds to the NCaro 48

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Renew run for 4 yds to the NCaro 44

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.13

Tyler Renew run for 4 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Tyler Renew run for 6 yds to the NCaro 34

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyler Renew run for 4 yds to the NCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.26

Rod Johnson run for 15 yds to the NCaro 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyler Renew run for 3 yds to the NCaro 12

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

THE CITADEL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 17

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Tyler Renew run for 5 yds to the NCaro 12

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Reggie Williams run for 4 yds to the NCaro 8

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+25 yds

Cody Clark 25 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Ryan Switzer

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 6 yds to the NCaro 26

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Austin Proehl

4th & 4Punt+2 yds

Tom Sheldon punt for 42 yds , DeAndre Schoultz returns for 2 yds to the Citad 34

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Reggie Williams run for 9 yds to the Citad 43

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.44

Dominique Allen pass incomplete to Rod Johnson

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Tyler Renew run for a loss of 1 yard to the Citad 42

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Will Vanvick punt for 34 yds, downed at the NCaro 24

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Elijah Hood run for 7 yds to the NCaro 31

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Mitch Trubisky run for 12 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Austin Proehl

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Elijah Hood run for 1 yd to the NCaro 44

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.14

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Austin Proehl for 16 yds to the Citad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Elijah Hood run for 4 yds to the Citad 36

2nd & 6Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.69

Elijah Hood run for 18 yds to the Citad 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Elijah Hood run for a loss of 1 yard to the Citad 19

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.02

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Brandon Fritts for 19 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Reggie Williams run for no gain to the Citad 25

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tyler Renew run for 5 yds to the Citad 30

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Reggie Williams run for 2 yds to the Citad 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Will Vanvick punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ryan Switzer at the NCaro 28

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +5.86

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 72 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.11

N/A run for a loss of 6 yards to the Citad 19

2nd & 16Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Dominique Allen pass complete to Rod Johnson for 15 yds to the Citad 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Tyler Renew run for 2 yds to the Citad 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.73

Rod Johnson run for 20 yds to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyler Renew run for 4 yds to the NCaro 40

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Rod Johnson run for 2 yds to the NCaro 38

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyler Renew run for 3 yds to the NCaro 35

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

THE CITADEL Penalty, false start (Reggie Williams) to the NCaro 40

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.39

Dominique Allen pass incomplete to Rod Johnson

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.79

T.J. Logan run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 36

2nd & 14Penalty+15 yds

Trubisky, M sideline pass incomplete to Logan, T, QB hurry by Kevin Graham, PENALTY CIT pass interference (Myles Pierce) 15 yards to the CIT49, 1ST DOWN NC, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.04

T.J. Logan run for 23 yds to the Citad 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

T.J. Logan run for 3 yds to the Citad 23

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.87

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to T.J. Logan for 23 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tyler Renew run for no gain to the Citad 35

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Rod Johnson run for no gain to the Citad 35

3rd & 10Interception Return Touchdown-58 ydsPPA -7.14

Dominique Allen pass intercepted for a TD Dominquie Green return for 58 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyler Renew run for 4 yds to the Citad 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyler Renew run for 3 yds to the Citad 32

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tyler Renew run for no gain to the Citad 32

4th & 3Punt+31 yds

Will Vanvick punt for 53 yds , Ryan Switzer returns for 31 yds to the UNC 37 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (M.J. Stewart) to the NCaro 36

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Elijah Hood run for 5 yds to the NCaro 41

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Thomas Jackson

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Elijah Hood for 3 yds to the NCaro 44

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tom Sheldon punt for 38 yds, downed at the Citad 18

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Dominique Allen run for no gain to the Citad 18

2nd & 10Penalty-9 yds

Rod Johnson rush left for 4 yards to the CIT22 (Bonilla, A), PENALTY CIT holding (Isaiah Pinson) 9 yards to the CIT9, NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.64

Dominique Allen run for 21 yds to the Citad 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Reggie Williams run for 4 yds to the Citad 34

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyler Renew run for 1 yd to the Citad 35

3rd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.32

Rod Johnson run for 11 yds to the Citad 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -2.82

Reggie Williams run for 1 yd to the Citad 47 Reggie Williams fumbled, forced by Cayson Collins, recovered by NCaro Malik Carney

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.74

Elijah Hood run for 15 yds to the Citad 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 7 yds to the Citad 25

2nd & 3Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.62

Mitch Trubisky run for 20 yds to the Citad 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Elijah Hood run for a loss of 3 yards to the Citad 8

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Anthony Ratliff-Williams run for 2 yds to the Citad 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Austin Proehl, broken up by Ben Roberts

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.87

Nick Weiler 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Grant Drakeford run for 6 yds to the Citad 31

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Reggie Williams run for 4 yds to the Citad 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Dominique Allen pass incomplete to Rudder Brown

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Dominique Allen pass complete to Grant Drakeford for 2 yds to the Citad 37

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

3rd & 8Kickoff Return Touchdown+100 yds

Jacob Godek kickoff for 65 yds , T.J. Logan return for 100 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Dominique Allen run for 6 yds to the Citad 23

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Reggie Williams run for 7 yds to the Citad 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Grant Drakeford run for 2 yds to the Citad 32

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Reggie Williams run for 1 yd to the Citad 33

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Grant Drakeford run for 1 yd to the Citad 34

4th & 6Punt-6 yds

Will Vanvick punt for 48 yds , Ryan Switzer returns for a loss of 6 yards to the NCaro 28 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block (Des Lawrence) to the NCaro 6

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Elijah Hood run for 1 yd to the NCaro 7

2nd & 9Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.93

Elijah Hood run for 16 yds to the NCaro 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 8 yds to the NCaro 31

2nd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.34

Elijah Hood run for 17 yds to the NCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Austin Proehl

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

T.J. Logan run for 1 yd to the NCaro 49

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to T.J. Logan for 2 yds T.J. Logan fumbled, forced by Travis Johnson, recovered by NCaro R.J. Prince

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tom Sheldon punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Dominique Allen run for 11 yds to the Citad 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -1.39

Grant Drakeford run for a loss of 4 yards to the Citad 27 Grant Drakeford fumbled, recovered by NCaro M.J. Stewart

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Elijah Hood run for 3 yds to the Citad 24

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Elijah Hood run for no gain to the Citad 24

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+41 ydsPPA +0.22

Nick Weiler 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyler Renew run for 3 yds to the Citad 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyler Renew run for 4 yds to the Citad 32

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.51

Tyler Renew run for 6 yds to the Citad 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Grant Drakeford run for 4 yds to the Citad 42

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Reggie Williams run for 1 yd to the Citad 43

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Grant Drakeford run for 3 yds to the Citad 46

4th & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +3.10

Reggie Williams run for 14 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Dominique Allen run for 7 yds to the NCaro 33

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Grant Drakeford run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 36

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+25 ydsPPA -2.82

Tyler Renew run for 11 yds to the NCaro 47 Tyler Renew fumbled, forced by Malik Carney, recovered by NCaro M.J. Stewart , return for 25 yds to the NCaro 47

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.28

Mitch Trubisky run for 23 yds to the Citad 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.85

Khris Francis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Citad 32

2nd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.07

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 14 yds to the Citad 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Francis, K rush left for 2 yards to the CIT16 (Kailik Williams), PENALTY NC holding (Crowley, L) 10 yards to the CIT28, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Penalty-5 yds

Trubisky, M sideline pass incomplete to Ratliff, A, PENALTY NC ineligible downfield on pass (Sweet, W) 5 yards to the CIT33, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Jordan Cunningham

2nd & 25Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.63

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Khris Francis for 14 yds to the Citad 19

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Nick Weiler 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Reggie Williams run for 7 yds to the Citad 27

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Grant Drakeford run for 9 yds to the Citad 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Evan McField run for 6 yds to the Citad 42

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.27

Reggie Williams run for 13 yds to the NCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Grant Drakeford run for 7 yds to the NCaro 38

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.02

Dominique Allen run for 4 yds to the NCaro 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Evan McField run for 6 yds to the NCaro 28

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.71

Grant Drakeford run for 28 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Jordon Brown run for 1 yd to the NCaro 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.69

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Thomas Jackson for 9 yds to the NCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Jordon Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 40

2nd & 11Penalty-15 yds

Brown, J rush draw play for 8 yards to the NC48 (Malik Diggs), PENALTY NC face mask (Henson, B) 15 yards to the NC25, NO PLAY.

2nd & 26Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Nathan Elliott run for 2 yds to the NCaro 27

3rd & 24Rush0 ydsPPA -0.04

Jordon Brown run for no gain to the NCaro 27

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Tom Sheldon punt for 48 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Schoultz at the Citad 25

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Grant Drakeford run for 8 yds to the Citad 31 Grant Drakeford fumbled, forced by Ayden Bonilla, recovered by Citad Jorian Jordan , return for no gain to the Citad 31

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Evan McField run for no gain to the Citad 31

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Evan McField run for 4 yds to the Citad 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jonathan Dorogy run for 6 yds to the Citad 41

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Evan McField run for 3 yds to the Citad 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Evan McField run for 2 yds to the Citad 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Grant Drakeford run for 8 yds to the NCaro 46

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Jordan Black pass incomplete to Grant Drakeford

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.32

Grant Drakeford run for 6 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jonathan Dorogy run for 6 yds to the NCaro 34

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.04

Jonathan Dorogy run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.27

Jordan Black pass complete to Rudder Brown for 10 yds to the NCaro 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.10

Jordan Black sacked by Aaron Crawford for a loss of 5 yards to the NCaro 30

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Grant Drakeford run for no gain to the NCaro 30

Situational Analysis

The Citadel

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
33 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
43%
14 plays
20%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
8 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play