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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2016Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Florida by 0.5

Home Win Probability

South Florida 51%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 24, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Florida StateFlorida State
281071055
South FloridaSouth Florida
14071435

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425614-714-2114-2814-3114-3814-4521-4828-4835-55
South FloridaFlorida State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SFFSSFFSSFFSSFFSSFFSSFFSSFFSSFFSSFFSSFFSSFFSSFFSSFFSSFFSTD184ydTD175ydTD972ydTD476ydPUNT3-3ydTD550ydPUNT36ydTD864ydPUNT39ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-1ydFG1074ydTO10ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT30ydTD651ydEND744ydTO523ydTO10ydTD1095ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-1ydTD590ydFG1048ydTD875ydTD343ydTD575ydEND1363yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida State and South Florida
StatisticFlorida StateSouth Florida
Passing11-195-14
Pass Yards169160
Rush Yards478290
Total Yards647450
Turnovers12
3rd Down6-124-11
Penalties4-508-68
Possession40:1919:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida State
passing
Deondre Francois
11/19, 169 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Dalvin Cook
28 CAR, 267 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Dalvin Cook
4 REC, 62 YDS
defense
South Florida
passing
Quinton Flowers
5/14, 160 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Quinton Flowers
18 CAR, 159 YDS
receiving
Rodney Adams
1 REC, 84 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+84 ydsPPA +6.58

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for 84 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Dalvin Cook run for 75 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Marlon Mack run for 3 yds to the SFla 31

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.43

Marlon Mack run for 9 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.89

Quinton Flowers run for 28 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.30

Quinton Flowers run for 16 yds to the FlaSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Ryeshene Bronson

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Rodney Adams run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 13

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.13

Marlon Mack run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Marlon Mack run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Marlon Mack run for 1 yd for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.87

Deondre Francois pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST down lat. to Jesus Wilson for 6 yds to the FlaSt 30 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (15 Yards) to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.21

Deondre Francois pass complete to Auden Tate for 39 yds to the SFla 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Dalvin Cook run for 9 yds to the SFla 13

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.02

Dalvin Cook run for 13 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Rodney Adams

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Darius Tice run for 2 yds to the SFla 18

3rd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.19

Quinton Flowers sacked by Brian Burns for a loss of 5 yards to the SFla 13

4th & 13Punt+13 yds

Jonathan Hernandez punt for 50 yds , Jesus Wilson returns for 13 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.18

Deondre Francois pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 27 yds to the SFla 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jacques Patrick run for 5 yds to the SFla 18

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.16

Jacques Patrick run for 9 yds to the SFla 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Deondre Francois run for 8 yds to the SFla 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Freddie Stevenson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Rodney Adams

2nd & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.55

Quinton Flowers run for a loss of 7 yards to the SFla 18

3rd & 17Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.28

Marlon Mack run for 13 yds to the SFla 31

4th & 4Punt+16 yds

Jonathan Hernandez punt for 54 yds , Jesus Wilson returns for 16 yds to the FlaSt 47 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 36

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Dalvin Cook run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 45

2nd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.47

Freddie Stevenson run for 13 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.35

Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 44

2nd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.83

Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 14 yds to the SFla 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Deondre Francois pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 11 yds to the SFla 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jacques Patrick run for 4 yds to the SFla 15

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Deondre Francois run for 2 yds to the SFla 13

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.84

Deondre Francois pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 13 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Marlon Mack run for no gain to the SFla 25

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Marlon Mack run for 7 yds to the SFla 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Quinton Flowers run for 2 yds to the SFla 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jonathan Hernandez punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Kermit Whitfield

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Dalvin Cook run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 21

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Travis Rudolph

4th & 4Punt+8 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 41 yds , D'Ernest Johnson returns for 8 yds to the SFla 29 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the SFla 36

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.60

Marlon Mack run for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 32

2nd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Quinton Flowers pass complete to D'Ernest Johnson for 11 yds to the SFla 43

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Quinton Flowers run for 2 yds to the SFla 45

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Elkanah Dillon) to the SFla 40

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SFla 35

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jonathan Hernandez punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jesus Wilson at the FlaSt 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Dalvin Cook

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Dalvin Cook run for 17 yds to the FlaSt 35 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Alec Eberle) to the FlaSt 20

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.39

Dalvin Cook run for 13 yds to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Deondre Francois pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 8 yds to the FlaSt 41

2nd & 2Rush+45 ydsPPA +1.85

Dalvin Cook run for 45 yds to the SFla 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Jacques Patrick run for 11 yds to the SFla 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds to the SFla 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jacques Patrick run for no gain to the SFla 1

3rd & 1Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.85

Deondre Francois sacked by Mike Love for a loss of 7 yards to the SFla 8

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.70

Ricky Aguayo 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.92

Quinton Flowers pass intercepted Tarvarus McFadden return for no gain to the FlaSt 47

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.16

Deondre Francois sacked by Bruce Hector for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 42

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Kermit Whitfield

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Kermit Whitfield

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 33 yds, downed at the SFla 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Marlon Mack run for 2 yds to the SFla 27

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Marlon Mack run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 25

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.16

Quinton Flowers run for no gain to the SFla 25

4th & 10Punt+12 yds

Jonathan Hernandez punt for 38 yds , Jesus Wilson returns for 12 yds to the FlaSt 49

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.14

Jacques Patrick run for 22 yds to the SFla 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Jacques Patrick run for 3 yds to the SFla 26

2nd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.07

Deondre Francois pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 21 yds to the SFla 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.86

Freddie Stevenson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 9

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Deondre Francois pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 8 yds to the SFla 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Freddie Stevenson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

D'Ernest Johnson run for 17 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

D'Ernest Johnson run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 49

2nd & 1Penalty+5 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Marcus Lewis) to the FlaSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.70

Quinton Flowers sacked by DeMarcus Walker for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaSt 36

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Rodney Adams

3rd & 17Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.91

Quinton Flowers run for 18 yds to the FlaSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to D'Ernest Johnson

2nd & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -2.74

Quinton Flowers sacked by DeMarcus Walker for a loss of 13 yards to the FlaSt 31

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Dalvin Cook run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.46

Deondre Francois run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the SFla 47

2nd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.09

Deondre Francois sacked by Auggie Sanchez for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 48 Deondre Francois fumbled, forced by Auggie Sanchez, recovered by SFla Auggie Sanchez , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.31

Quinton Flowers pass intercepted Nate Andrews return for no gain to the FlaSt 5

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Dalvin Cook run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 10

2nd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.00

Deondre Francois run for 18 yds to the FlaSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 32

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.62

Deondre Francois pass complete to Mavin Saunders for 12 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.13

Dalvin Cook run for 15 yds to the SFla 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +0.69

Jacques Patrick run for 27 yds to the SFla 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jacques Patrick run for 8 yds to the SFla 6

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.64

Jacques Patrick run for 3 yds to the SFla 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Freddie Stevenson run for 1 yd to the SFla 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Marlon Mack run for 1 yd to the SFla 9

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Quinton Flowers run for 3 yds to the SFla 12

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+18 yds

Jonathan Hernandez punt for 45 yds , Jesus Wilson returns for 18 yds to the SFla 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Deondre Francois pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 40

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Auden Tate

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 30 yds, downed at the SFla 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Darius Tice run for 2 yds to the SFla 12

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Quinton Flowers run for 5 yds to the SFla 17

3rd & 3Rush+48 ydsPPA +4.00

Quinton Flowers run for 48 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Darius Tice for 11 yds to the FlaSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

D'Ernest Johnson run for 24 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Dalvin Cook run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 43

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Dalvin Cook run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Dalvin Cook run for 8 yds to the SFla 43

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the SFla 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 41

2nd & 12Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.66

Deondre Francois pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 16 yds to the SFla 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jacques Patrick run for 3 yds to the SFla 22

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Jesus Wilson

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the SFla 18

4th & 3Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA -0.57

Ricky Aguayo 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.39

Quinton Flowers run for 27 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Quinton Flowers run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 47

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Marcus Norman) to the SFla 48

2nd & 14Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.46

D'Ernest Johnson run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 41

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Quinton Flowers run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 42

4th & 4Rush+29 ydsPPA +3.01

Quinton Flowers run for 29 yds to the FlaSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Quinton Flowers pass complete to D'Ernest Johnson for 2 yds to the FlaSt 11

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

D'Ernest Johnson run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 4

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.48

D'Ernest Johnson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dalvin Cook run for 5 yds to the SFla 38

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the SFla 35

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +3.57

Deondre Francois run for 35 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +3.41

Quinton Flowers pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 52 yds to the FlaSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Quinton Flowers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.57

Quinton Flowers run for 13 yds to the FlaSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

D'Ernest Johnson run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

D'Ernest Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 28

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Deondre Francois run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jacques Patrick run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 41

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jacques Patrick run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 45

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Deondre Francois run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the SFla 48

3rd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.44

Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the SFla 47 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the SFla 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the SFla 28

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jacques Patrick run for no gain to the SFla 28

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Jacques Patrick run for 8 yds to the SFla 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds to the SFla 18

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jacques Patrick run for 5 yds to the SFla 13

Situational Analysis

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
53%
36 plays
2nd
78%
9 plays
50%
8 plays
55%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

South Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
26 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
45%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play