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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2016Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Texas by 1.5

Home Win Probability

North Texas 55%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 19, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern MissSouthern Miss
0713323
North TexasNorth Texas
1730929

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-020-020-720-2027-2329-23
North TexasSouthern Miss

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NTSMNTSMNTSMNTSMNTSMNTSMNTSMNTSMNTSMNTSMNTSMSMNTSMNTSMNTSMNTTO39ydMISS58ydFG765ydTO420ydTD760ydPUNT39ydTD155ydPUNT623ydFG873ydTO332ydPUNT415ydPUNT621ydPUNT3-1ydTD353ydEND1-3ydTD375ydPUNT3-4ydTD866ydTO640ydDOWNS1458ydPUNT3-11ydPUNT3-4ydFG54ydTD665ydTO437ydPUNT34ydSAF4-4ydPUNT36ydTO23ydEND2-10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Miss and North Texas
StatisticSouthern MissNorth Texas
Passing11-2714-29
Pass Yards182267
Rush Yards198111
Total Yards380378
Turnovers43
3rd Down3-132-11
Penalties9-7912-95
Possession33:2526:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Miss
passing
Keon Howard
10/26, 135 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Ito Smith
19 CAR, 113 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Ito Smith
3 REC, 67 YDS
defense
North Texas
passing
Alec Morris
14/29, 267 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Willy Ivery
18 CAR, 111 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Turner Smiley
7 REC, 162 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.77

Sam Rice run for no gain to the NoTex 30 Sam Rice fumbled,

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Andrew Tucker run for 6 yds to the NoTex 36

3rd & 1Pass Interception Return-4 ydsPPA -1.04

Alec Morris pass intercepted Devonta Foster return for 4 yds to the NoTex 34

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Keon Howard run for 10 yds to the NoTex 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Ito Smith run for 1 yd to the NoTex 23

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.01

George Payne run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 26

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, false start (Wil Freeman) to the NoTex 31

3rd & 17Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Keon Howard pass complete to Allenzae Staggers for 5 yds to the NoTex 26

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Stephen Brauchle 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 21

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Alec Morris pass incomplete to Kenny Buyers, broken up by Dylan Bradley

2nd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.32

Alec Morris pass complete to Elijah McIntyre for 9 yds to the NoTex 30

3rd & 6Penalty+10 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Defensive holding (Cornell Armstrong) to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +2.24

Alec Morris pass complete to Kenny Buyers for 49 yds to the SoMis 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Andrew Tucker run for 2 yds to the SoMis 9

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Alec Morris pass incomplete to Turner Smiley

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Alec Morris pass incomplete to Andrew Tucker

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.66

Trevor Moore 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Ito Smith run for 3 yds to the SoMis 36

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.20

Keon Howard run for 17 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Ito Smith run for no gain to the NoTex 47

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA -2.34

Keon Howard pass intercepted Nate Brooks return for 2 yds to the NoTex 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Willy Ivery run for 2 yds to the NoTex 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Alec Morris pass incomplete to Thaddeous Thompson

3rd & 8Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.65

Alec Morris pass complete to Turner Smiley for 32 yds to the SoMis 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Willy Ivery run for 2 yds to the SoMis 24

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.41

Willy Ivery run for 9 yds to the SoMis 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Alec Morris pass complete to Willy Ivery for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 17

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.02

Alec Morris pass complete to Turner Smiley for 17 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Keon Howard pass incomplete to Allenzae Staggers, broken up by Nate Brooks

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ito Smith run for 4 yds to the SoMis 14

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Keon Howard pass complete to Ito Smith for 5 yds to the SoMis 19

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tyler Sarrazin punt for 36 yds, downed at the NoTex 45

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.28

Alec Morris pass complete to Turner Smiley for 55 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Keon Howard pass complete to Ito Smith for 15 yds to the SoMis 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ito Smith run for 4 yds to the SoMis 46

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.04

Ito Smith run for 6 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.97

Keon Howard sacked by Joshua Wheeler for a loss of 4 yards to the SoMis 48

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Keon Howard run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Keon Howard pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Tyler Sarrazin punt for 45 yds, downed at the NoTex 5

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.32

Andrew Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 4

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Alec Morris run for 5 yds to the NoTex 9

3rd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.36

Alec Morris pass complete to Thaddeous Thompson for 19 yds to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Xavier Thigpen) to the NoTex 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.82

Alec Morris pass complete to Turner Smiley for 35 yds to the SoMis 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Alec Morris pass incomplete to Kenny Buyers

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Alec Morris pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Alec Morris pass incomplete to Turner Smiley

4th & 10Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.37

Trevor Moore 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Keon Howard pass complete to Allenzae Staggers for 4 yds to the SoMis 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

George Payne run for 3 yds to the SoMis 32

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+19 ydsPPA -0.53

Keon Howard run for 19 yds to the NoTex 43 Keon Howard fumbled, forced by Nate Brooks, recovered by NoTex Fred Scott

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.22

Willy Ivery run for 16 yds to the SoMis 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Alec Morris pass complete to Anthony Wyche for 4 yds to the SoMis 37

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Willy Ivery run for no gain to the SoMis 37

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Sam Rice) to the SoMis 42

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Alec Morris pass incomplete to Turner Smiley

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Eric Keena punt for 33 yds, downed at the SoMis 9

1st & 10Penalty-4 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Allenzae Staggers) to the SoMis 5

1st & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Tez Parks run for 3 yds to the SoMis 8

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.14

Tez Parks run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 7

3rd & 12Penalty+15 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (James Gray) to the SoMis 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.94

Ito Smith run for 12 yds to the SoMis 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.99

Keon Howard sacked by Malik Dilonga for a loss of 7 yards to the SoMis 23 Keon Howard fumbled, recovered by SoMis Julian Allen , return for 0 yards , return for 0 yards to the SoMis 23

2nd & 21Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.16

Keon Howard sacked by LaDarius Hamilton for a loss of 9 yards to the SoMis 14

3rd & 30Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.10

Keon Howard pass complete to Chase Whitehead for 16 yds to the SoMis 30

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Tyler Sarrazin punt for 45 yds , Turner Smiley returns for no gain to the NoTex 25

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, illegal formation (Trey Keenan) to the NoTex 20

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Alec Morris pass incomplete to Turner Smiley

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Alec Morris pass complete to Turner Smiley for 6 yds to the NoTex 26

3rd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.23

Alec Morris run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Eric Keena punt for 29 yds, downed at the SoMis 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.04

Allenzae Staggers pass complete to Ito Smith for 47 yds to the NoTex 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Keon Howard run for 5 yds to the NoTex 1 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) to the NoTex 1

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Ito Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Stephen Brauchle KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.41

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 4

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+69 ydsPPA +4.03

Ito Smith run for 69 yds to the NoTex 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Ito Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 7

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Kishawn McClain) to the NoTex 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Ito Smith run for 2 yds for a TD, (Stephen Brauchle PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NoTex 20

1st & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Alec Morris pass complete to Turner Smiley for 6 yds to the NoTex 26

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Anthony Wyche run for 5 yds to the NoTex 31

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Alec Morris pass incomplete to Turner Smiley

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 26

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Eric Keena punt for 40 yds, downed at the SoMis 34

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, illegal motion (Wil Freeman) to the SoMis 29

1st & 15Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.96

Keon Howard pass complete to Julian Allen for 27 yds to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

George Payne run for 9 yds to the NoTex 35

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Keon Howard pass incomplete to Allenzae Staggers

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

George Payne run for 7 yds to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Keon Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.71

George Payne run for 12 yds to the NoTex 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Keon Howard pass incomplete to Allenzae Staggers

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.90

George Payne run for 16 yds for a TD, (Stephen Brauchle KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Willy Ivery run for 2 yds to the NoTex 41

2nd & 8Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.85

Willy Ivery run for 35 yds to the SoMis 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the SoMis 39

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Willy Ivery run for 13 yds to the SoMis 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Willy Ivery run for 2 yds to the SoMis 24

2nd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.40

Alec Morris sacked by Sherrod Ruff for a loss of 5 yards to the SoMis 29

3rd & 13Penalty+10 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Defensive holding (Kelsey Douglas) to the SoMis 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -4.40

Willy Ivery run for a loss of 4 yards to the SoMis 21 Willy Ivery fumbled, forced by Xavier Thigpen, recovered by SoMis Paxton Schrimsher

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Keon Howard pass incomplete to Korey Robertson

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

George Payne run for 6 yds to the SoMis 27

3rd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.40

Keon Howard pass complete to Allenzae Staggers for 17 yds to the SoMis 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Ito Smith run for 8 yds to the NoTex 48

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.29

Ito Smith run for no gain to the NoTex 48

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.35

Ito Smith run for 5 yds to the NoTex 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Ito Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 44

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Keon Howard pass incomplete to Allenzae Staggers

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Ito Smith run for 6 yds to the NoTex 38

4th & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.58

Keon Howard pass complete to Korey Robertson for 12 yds to the NoTex 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.99

Keon Howard sacked by Calvin Minor and Khairi Muhammad for a loss of 4 yards to the NoTex 30

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Keon Howard run for 5 yds to the NoTex 25

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Keon Howard pass incomplete to Korey Robertson

4th & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -2.47

Tyler Sarrazin run for 4 yds to the NoTex 21

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.91

Willy Ivery run for a loss of 6 yards to the NoTex 15

2nd & 16Penalty-5 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (T.J. Henson) to the NoTex 10

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Alec Morris pass incomplete to Turner Smiley

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Alec Morris pass incomplete

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Eric Keena punt for 43 yds, downed at the SoMis 47

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Ito Smith run for no gain to the SoMis 47

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.50

Ito Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the SoMis 43

3rd & 14Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.36

Keon Howard pass complete to Allenzae Staggers for no gain to the SoMis 43

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Tyler Sarrazin punt for 44 yds , Turner Smiley returns for no gain to the NoTex 12 Turner Smiley fumbled, forced by D'Nerius Antoine, recovered by SoMis Cody Block

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.91

Jordan Mitchell run for a loss of 8 yards to the NoTex 20

2nd & 18Penalty+10 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (Jareid Combs) to the NoTex 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Tez Parks run for 2 yds to the NoTex 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Keon Howard pass incomplete to Allenzae Staggers

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Keon Howard pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.70

Stephen Brauchle 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Alec Morris pass complete to Turner Smiley for 11 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Alec Morris pass complete to Kenny Buyers for 13 yds to the SoMis 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.48

Alec Morris pass complete to Elijah McIntyre for 13 yds to the SoMis 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.24

Willy Ivery run for 17 yds to the SoMis 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Alec Morris pass incomplete to Elijah McIntyre

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.81

Willy Ivery run for 11 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)

1st & 65Penalty+15 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.84

Keon Howard pass complete to Marquise Ricard for 34 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.31

Ito Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 43

2nd & 12Penalty+15 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Chad Davis) to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NoTex 38

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Keon Howard pass incomplete to Allenzae Staggers

2nd & 20Pass Interception Return-13 ydsPPA -1.97

Keon Howard pass intercepted Khairi Muhammad return for 13 yds to the NoTex 38

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Willy Ivery run for 4 yds to the NoTex 42

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Willy Ivery run for no gain to the NoTex 42

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Alec Morris pass incomplete to Thaddeous Thompson

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Eric Keena punt for 54 yds, downed at the SoMis 4

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Keon Howard run for 1 yd to the SoMis 5

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Keon Howard pass incomplete to Chase Whitehead

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Keon Howard pass incomplete to Allenzae Staggers

4th & 9Safety-5 ydsPPA -1.63

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 80Punt+11 yds

Tyler Sarrazin punt for 60 yds , Anthony Wyche returns for 11 yds to the NoTex 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Willy Ivery run for 2 yds to the NoTex 33

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Willy Ivery run for 5 yds to the NoTex 38

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.78

Willy Ivery run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 37

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Eric Keena punt for 44 yds, downed at the SoMis 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Keon Howard run for 3 yds to the SoMis 22

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return-35 ydsPPA -0.34

Keon Howard pass intercepted Nate Brooks return for 40 yds to the NORTHTEXAS 38 SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, personal foul (Devin Farrior) to the SoMis 5

1st & 5Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.95

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the SoMis 10

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.74

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the SoMis 15

Situational Analysis

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
30%
27 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
36%
11 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays

North Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
36%
25 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
83%
6 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays