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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2016Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Kentucky by 16

Home Win Probability

Western Kentucky 88%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 12, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North TexasNorth Texas
00707
Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky
171414045

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-017-024-031-038-045-7
Western KentuckyNorth Texas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WKNTWKNTWKNTWKNTWKNTWKNTWKNTNTWKNTWKNTWKNTWKNTWKNTWKTD575ydPUNT33ydTD175ydDOWNS48ydFG831ydPUNT3-6ydDOWNS1135ydPUNT35ydPUNT618ydTO1-3ydTD133ydMISS1250ydTD1170ydEND33ydPUNT515ydTD686ydPUNT34ydPUNT635ydTD380ydTD333ydPUNT37ydMISS1240ydTO837ydDOWNS4-3ydPUNT3-1ydEND21yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Texas and Western Kentucky
StatisticNorth TexasWestern Kentucky
Passing17-3317-33
Pass Yards117329
Rush Yards115214
Total Yards232543
Turnovers20
3rd Down3-147-13
Penalties8-669-55
Possession23:5336:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Texas
passing
Alec Morris
14/26, 108 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Andrew Tucker
3 CAR, 82 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Willie Robinson
2 REC, 31 YDS
defense
E.J. Ejiya
0.5 TFL
Western Kentucky
passing
Mike White
14/25, 316 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Anthony Wales
18 CAR, 121 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Taywan Taylor
6 REC, 166 YDS, 3 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Anthony Wales run for 4 yds to the WKent 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Mike White pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.47

Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 15 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Taywan Taylor run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 41

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

WHITE, Mike pass complete to NORRIS, N. for 36 yards to the NT23, QB hurry by DILONGA, Malik, PENALTY WKU ineligible downfield on pass (EDWARDS, Dennis) 5 yards to the WKU36, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Passing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +6.80

Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 64 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Mason Fine run for 3 yds to the NoTex 27

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Willy Ivery run for no gain to the NoTex 27

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Mason Fine pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Eric Keena punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 75 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Mason Fine run for no gain to the NoTex 30

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Mason Fine pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

FINE, Mason pass incomplete to THOMPSON, T., QB hurry by OVERSTREET, D., PENALTY WKU offside (BRYANT, Omarius) 5 yards to the NT35, NO PLAY.

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 4 yds to the NoTex 39

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

James Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.43

Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 15 yds to the NoTex 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas Norris

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan Taylor

3rd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.75

Mike White pass complete to Stevie Donatell for 18 yds to the NoTex 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the NoTex 3

2nd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.67

Anthony Wales run for a loss of 4 yards to the NoTex 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Mike White pass incomplete to Stevie Donatell, broken up by James Gray

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.79

Skyler Simcox 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Mason Fine run for 7 yds to the NoTex 34

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.22

Anthony Wyche run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 33

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -0.83

Mason Fine sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the NoTex 21 Mason Fine fumbled, recovered by NoTex Trey Keenan , return for 0 yards

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Eric Keena punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the WKent 17

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Anthony Wales run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 15

2nd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 10 yds to the WKent 25

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan Taylor

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 yds

Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 20 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the WKent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas Norris

2nd & 10Penalty+11 yds

WHITE, Mike pass incomplete to JACKSON, Lucky, PENALTY NT pass interference (DAVIS, Chad) 11 yards to the NT41, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.40

Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 10 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas Norris

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.20

Anthony Wales run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 33

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Mike White pass incomplete to Anthony Wales, broken up by Kishawn McClain

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Mason Fine pass incomplete to Thaddeous Thompson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Mason Fine pass complete to Willy Ivery for 1 yd to the NoTex 34

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Mason Fine pass complete to Terian Goree for 4 yds to the NoTex 38

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Eric Keena punt for 53 yds, downed at the WKent 9

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Anthony Wales run for 7 yds to the WKent 16

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Brandon Ray) to the WKent 11

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan Taylor

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.81

Anthony Wales run for 8 yds to the WKent 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the WKent 24

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Mike White run for no gain to the WKent 24

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 3 yds to the WKent 27

4th & 2Punt+8 yds

Jake Collins punt for 45 yds , Turner Smiley returns for 8 yds to the NoTex 36

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.49

Mason Fine sacked by Joe Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 33 Mason Fine fumbled, recovered by WKent Omarius Bryant , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 33 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Alec Morris pass complete to Turner Smiley for 8 yds to the NoTex 28

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Willy Ivery run for 2 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Alec Morris pass complete to Kenny Buyers for 4 yds to the NoTex 34

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Alec Morris run for 3 yds to the NoTex 37

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.51

Alec Morris pass complete to Kenny Buyers for 4 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Alec Morris pass complete to Willie Robinson for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.38

Alec Morris pass incomplete to Turner Smiley, broken up by De'Andre Simmons

3rd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.74

Willy Ivery run for 15 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Alec Morris pass complete to Thaddeous Thompson for 5 yds to the WKent 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Alec Morris pass incomplete to Thaddeous Thompson

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Alec Morris pass incomplete to Terian Goree, broken up by Joe Brown

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Trevor Moore 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Marquez Trigg run for 6 yds to the WKent 36

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Marquez Trigg run for 3 yds to the WKent 39

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.36

Marquez Trigg run for 5 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Marquez Trigg run for 4 yds to the WKent 48

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.12

Marquez Trigg run for 8 yds to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 12 yds to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Mike White pass complete to Marquez Trigg for 11 yds to the NoTex 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Marquez Trigg run for 2 yds to the NoTex 19

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Anthony Wales run for 10 yds to the NoTex 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 6 yds to the NoTex 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Anthony Wales run for 3 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Alec Morris pass complete to Kenny Buyers for 1 yd to the NoTex 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Alec Morris pass incomplete, broken up by Joel Iyiegbuniwe

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Andrew Tucker run for 2 yds to the NoTex 43

0th & 9End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Willy Ivery run for 9 yds to the NoTex 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Alec Morris pass complete to Terian Goree for 6 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Alec Morris pass incomplete to Thaddeous Thompson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Alec Morris pass incomplete to Turner Smiley

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Alec Morris pass incomplete to Kenny Buyers

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Eric Keena punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 14

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the WKent 19

2nd & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.63

Anthony Wales run for 19 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the WKent 39

2nd & 9Rush+37 ydsPPA +3.16

Anthony Wales run for 37 yds to the NoTex 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Chad Davis

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.12

Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 24 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Alec Morris pass complete to Willy Ivery for 1 yd to the NoTex 27

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Willy Ivery run for 3 yds to the NoTex 30

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Alec Morris pass incomplete to Kenny Buyers, broken up by Keith Brown

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Eric Keena punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 24

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.38

Anthony Wales run for 27 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Tyler Ferguson pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the NoTex 46

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

FERGUSON, Tyler pass incomplete to TAYLOR, Taywan (GRAY, James), PENALTY NT pass interference (GRAY, James) 15 yards to the NT31, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.43

Anthony Wales run for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 36

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Tyler Ferguson pass incomplete to Nicholas Norris, broken up by Ashton Preston

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 41

3rd & 20Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.60

Tyler Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Wales for no gain to the NoTex 41

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Jake Collins punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Alec Morris pass complete to Willy Ivery for 8 yds Willy Ivery fumbled, forced by Julien Lewis, recovered by NoTex

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Alec Morris pass incomplete to Turner Smiley, broken up by De'Andre Simmons

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +6.39

Andrew Tucker run for 71 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Darrell Williams Jr.) to the NoTex 38

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Quinton Baker run for 7 yds to the NoTex 31

2nd & 8Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.55

Quinton Baker run for 27 yds to the NoTex 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Tyler Ferguson pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 4 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Anthony Wyche run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Alec Morris pass complete to Terian Goree for 8 yds to the NoTex 27

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Alec Morris pass incomplete to Willy Ivery

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Eric Keena punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Marquez Trigg run for 2 yds to the WKent 33

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Marquez Trigg run for 3 yds to the WKent 36

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.98

Marquez Trigg run for 7 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Marquez Trigg run for 1 yd to the WKent 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.78

Tyler Ferguson pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 9 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Marquez Trigg run for 7 yds to the NoTex 40

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Marquez Trigg run for 2 yds to the NoTex 38

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Marquez Trigg run for 5 yds to the NoTex 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FERGUSON, Tyler pass complete to MAXWELL, D. for 24 yards to the NT9 (MUHAMMAD, K.), PENALTY WKU ineligible downfield on pass (MANLEY, Joe) 5 yards to the NT38, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Quinton Baker run for 4 yds to the NoTex 34

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Tyler Ferguson pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Quinton Baker run for no gain to the NoTex 34

4th & 11Penalty+5 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the NoTex 29

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Skyler Simcox 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Anthony Wyche run for 3 yds to the NoTex 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.84

Alec Morris pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 13 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Alec Morris pass complete to Terian Goree for no gain to the NoTex 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.54

Alec Morris pass complete to Willie Robinson for 22 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Sid Moore) to the WKent 38

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Anthony Wyche run for 6 yds to the WKent 32

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

MORRIS, Alec pass complete to SMITH, Kelvin for 6 yards to the WKU26 (HOLT, Ben), PENALTY NT holding (KEENAN, Trey) 10 yards to the WKU42, NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Alec Morris pass incomplete to Terian Goree

3rd & 19Penalty-10 yds

MORRIS, Alec pass complete to GOREE, Terian for 37 yards to the WKU5 (JOHNSON, Jason), PENALTY NT holding (MOORE, Sid) 10 yards to the NT48, NO PLAY, QB hurry by WHYTE, Masai.

3rd & 29Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.53

Alec Morris pass complete to Anthony Wyche for 18 yds to the WKent 34

4th & 11Pass Interception Return-63 ydsPPA -1.38

Alec Morris pass intercepted Tacorian Darden return for 63 yds to the NoTex 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Quinton Baker run for 1 yd to the NoTex 28

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Quinton Baker run for 1 yd to the NoTex 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Deon Yelder, broken up by Khairi Muhammad

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Cullen Reynolds) to the NoTex 32

4th & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.34

Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Deon Yelder

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 27

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Quinn Shanbour run for no gain to the NoTex 27

2nd & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.44

Andrew Tucker run for 9 yds to the NoTex 36

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 31

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Quinn Shanbour pass incomplete to Terian Goree, broken up by AJ Jackson

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Eric Keena punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 21

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.73

Marquez Trigg run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 19

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Marquez Trigg run for 3 yds to the WKent 22

Situational Analysis

North Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
17 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Western Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
43%
30 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
45%
11 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays