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← Back to GamesNov 5, 2016Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Middle Tennessee by 11.2

Home Win Probability

Middle Tennessee 80%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 5, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UTSAUTSA
141414345
Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee
737825

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-77-147-217-2810-2817-3517-4225-45
Middle TennesseeUTSA

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UTSMTUTSMTUTSMTUTSMTUTSMTMTUTSMTUTSMTUTSMTUTSMTUTSMTUTSMTUTSMTUTSMTUTSTD1166ydTD575ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-13ydTD543ydDOWNS1045ydTD1570ydTO37ydTD940ydFG762ydTO311ydPUNT32ydTD580ydTD239ydTO532ydTO631ydTO4-1ydTO34ydPUNT3-5ydTD749ydPUNT31ydPUNT37ydPUNT36ydPUNT36ydTD983ydFG616ydDOWNS46ydEND510yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UTSA and Middle Tennessee
StatisticUTSAMiddle Tennessee
Passing9-2122-38
Pass Yards108259
Rush Yards270110
Total Yards378369
Turnovers24
3rd Down11-192-12
Penalties3-254-32
Possession37:5022:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UTSA
passing
Dalton Sturm
9/19, 108 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jarveon Williams
21 CAR, 109 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Josh Stewart
3 REC, 38 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Middle Tennessee
passing
John Urzua
14/27, 161 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
I'Tavius Mathers
15 CAR, 93 YDS
receiving
Richie James
5 REC, 100 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Jarveon Williams run for 7 yds to the TexSA 41

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.45

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 5 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jalen Rhodes run for 3 yds to the TexSA 49

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Matt Guidry run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 47

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.42

Jarveon Williams run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Jarveon Williams run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.30

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Aron Taylor for 14 yds to the MTnSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Jalen Rhodes run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 12

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.70

Dalton Sturm run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Jarveon Williams run for 6 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brent Stockstill pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

I'Tavius Mathers run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +4.31

Brent Stockstill pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 48 yds to the TexSA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 9 yds to the TexSA 16

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.05

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Dennis Andrews for 16 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jarveon Williams run for 6 yds to the TexSA 31

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Sturm rush for 10 yards to the UTSA41, out-of-bounds (MELTON, Chris), QB hurry by MINTER, Mike, PENALTY UTSA IM 5 yards to the UTSA26, NO PLAY.

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jarveon Williams run for 5 yds to the TexSA 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for 1 yd to the TexSA 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Yannis Routsas punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty Lee

2nd & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -0.42

Brent Stockstill pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for a loss of 6 yards to the MTnSt 15

3rd & 16Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.06

Brent Stockstill sacked by Eric Banks for a loss of 7 yards to the MTnSt 8

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Matt Bonadies punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Aron Taylor at the MTnSt 43

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jalen Rhodes run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 38

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jalen Rhodes run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jalen Rhodes run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 28

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 26

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.28

Jalen Rhodes run for 26 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 6 yds to the MTnSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Brent Stockstill run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

I'Tavius Mathers run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 44

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.24

I'Tavius Mathers run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brent Stockstill run for 5 yds to the TexSA 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 15 yds to the TexSA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brent Stockstill pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for no gain to the TexSA 33

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.32

Brent Stockstill sacked by Baylen Baker for a loss of 7 yards to the TexSA 40

3rd & 17Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.10

Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 10 yds to the TexSA 30

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.23

Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Jarveon Williams for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jalen Rhodes run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 47

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jalen Rhodes run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 44

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.66

Dalton Sturm run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Brady Jones pass incomplete to Josh Stewart

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jalen Rhodes run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 29

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Dalton Sturm run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 26

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.04

Dalton Sturm run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jarveon Williams run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 21

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jalen Rhodes run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 16

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Jalen Rhodes run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Aron Taylor

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jarveon Williams run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 10

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.78

Dalton Sturm run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jarveon Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

John Urzua pass incomplete to Dennis Andrews

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

I'Tavius Mathers run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return+2 ydsPPA -0.53

John Urzua pass intercepted Jordan Moore return for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh Stewart, broken up by Jeremy Cutrer

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Matt Guidry run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 39

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.12

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 13 yds to the MTnSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jarveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 27

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 25

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.11

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 10 yds to the MTnSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 13

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.83

Jalen Rhodes run for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 16 Jalen Rhodes fumbled, recovered by TexSA Jalen Rhodes TEXASSAN Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declined

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.34

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 16 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

John Urzua pass complete to Dennis Andrews for 4 yds to the MTnSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.63

John Urzua pass complete to Richie James for 13 yds to the MTnSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

John Urzua pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 5 yds to the MTnSt 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.26

John Urzua pass complete to Tyshawn Brown for 13 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

URZUA, John pass complete to BROWN, Tyshawn for 26 yards to the UTSA14 (Tauaefa), QB hurry by Banks, PENALTY MT illegal touching 0 yards to the UTSA40, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

John Urzua pass incomplete to Patrick Smith, broken up by Austin Jupe

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

URZUA, John pass incomplete to JAMES, Richie (McGhee), PENALTY UTSA personal foul (McGhee) 15 yards to the UTSA25, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.16

John Urzua pass complete to Dennis Andrews for 12 yds to the TexSA 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -1.46

Canon Rooker 30 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

TEXASSAN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the MTnSt 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

I'Tavius Mathers run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 31

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

I'Tavius Mathers run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 36

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.65

John Urzua pass intercepted Devron Davis return for no gain to the TexSA 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jarveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexSA 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Marquez McNair

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+3 yds

Yannis Routsas punt for 41 yds , Richie James returns for 3 yds to the MTnSt 20

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

I'Tavius Mathers run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 28

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

I'Tavius Mathers run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

John Urzua pass complete to Richie James for 13 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

John Urzua pass incomplete to Richie James

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +5.25

John Urzua pass complete to Richie James for 53 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.49

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Marquez McNair for 17 yds to the MTnSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Jarveon Williams run for 22 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.78

John Urzua pass complete to Ty Lee for 22 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

I'Tavius Mathers run for 10 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

John Urzua pass incomplete to Patrick Smith

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

John Urzua pass incomplete to Richie James

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.10

John Urzua pass intercepted Michael Egwuagu return for no gain to the TexSA 41

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Jalen Rhodes run for 7 yds to the TexSA 48

2nd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.82

Dalton Sturm run for 13 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Dalton Sturm run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jarveon Williams run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 30

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.37

Jarveon Williams run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-14 ydsPPA -4.24

Dalton Sturm pass intercepted Charvarius Ward return for 14 yds to the MTnSt 15

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.54

I'Tavius Mathers run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

I'Tavius Mathers run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

John Urzua pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 6 yds to the MTnSt 34

3rd & 1Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.16

John Urzua sacked by Team for a loss of 8 yards to the MTnSt 14 John Urzua fumbled, recovered by TexSA La'Kel Bass , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Jalen Rhodes, broken up by Charvarius Ward

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jalen Rhodes run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 10

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.11

Dalton Sturm pass intercepted, touchback. Michael Minter return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

John Urzua pass complete to Patrick Smith for 2 yds to the MTnSt 22

2nd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.58

John Urzua sacked by Marcus Davenport for a loss of 7 yards to the MTnSt 15

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

John Urzua pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by Josiah Tauaefa

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Matt Bonadies punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Aron Taylor at the MTnSt 49

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.79

Jarveon Williams run for 14 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.35

Jarveon Williams run for no gain to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the MTnSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jarveon Williams run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 13

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.09

Jarveon Williams run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Jarveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 3

2nd & 3Penalty+2 yds

MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Defensive offside (Raynard Felton) to the MTnSt 1

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Trevor Stevens

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Dalton Sturm run for 1 yd for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK)

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.28

John Urzua sacked by La'Kel Bass for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 26

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

I'Tavius Mathers run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 31

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

John Urzua pass incomplete to Richie James

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matt Bonadies punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Aron Taylor at the TexSA 32

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.46

Jalen Rhodes run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 27

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Brady Jones

3rd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.47

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 12 yds to the TexSA 39

4th & 3Punt+6 yds

Yannis Routsas punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 22 , Richie James returns for 6 yds to the MTnSt 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

John Urzua pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 4 yds to the MTnSt 26

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

I'Tavius Mathers run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 28

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

John Urzua pass incomplete to Richie James

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Matt Bonadies punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Aron Taylor at the TexSA 38

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Jarveon Williams run for 8 yds to the TexSA 46

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.85

Jarveon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Kerry Thomas Jr.

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Yannis Routsas punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Richie James at the MTnSt 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

John Urzua pass complete to Dennis Andrews for 8 yds to the MTnSt 25

2nd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.15

I'Tavius Mathers run for 16 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

I'Tavius Mathers run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 49

2nd & 2Rush+25 ydsPPA +0.93

Ty Lee run for 25 yds to the TexSA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Terelle West run for 10 yds to the TexSA 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Terelle West run for 11 yds to the TexSA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Terelle West run for 3 yds to the TexSA 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

John Urzua run for 1 yd to the TexSA 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Terelle West run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Urzua pass to CJ Windham for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Isaiah Clay run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.17

Isaiah Clay run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Isaiah Clay run for no gain to the MTnSt 21

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Isaiah Clay run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 17

3rd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.21

Isaiah Clay run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 21

4th & 10Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA +0.28

Victor Falcon 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

John Urzua pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 3 yds to the MTnSt 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

John Urzua pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 3 yds to the MTnSt 35

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

John Urzua pass incomplete to Patrick Smith

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

John Urzua pass incomplete to Dennis Andrews

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaiah Clay run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Isaiah Clay run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 26

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Brett Winnegan run for no gain to the MTnSt 26

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.04

Kirk Johnson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 25

Situational Analysis

UTSA

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
50%
32 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
12 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
29%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Middle Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
30 plays
2nd
83%
6 plays
80%
5 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play