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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2016Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Southern Miss by 7.6

Home Win Probability

UTSA 28%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 8, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern MissSouthern Miss
7143832
UTSAUTSA
281071055

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425614-021-728-1435-2138-2445-2448-3255-32
UTSASouthern Miss

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UTSSMUTSSMUTSSMUTSSMUTSSMUTSSMUTSSMUTSSMUTSSMUTSUTSSMUTSSMUTSSMTD375ydPUNT37ydTD280ydPUNT35ydTD657ydTD1084ydTD582ydTD1079ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT636ydTD180ydTD1080ydFG634ydFG1375ydTD657ydDOWNS766ydPUNT3-10ydTO615ydPUNT38ydFG45ydTD1386ydPUNT3-2ydTO322ydTD485ydEND652yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Miss and UTSA
StatisticSouthern MissUTSA
Passing25-5010-12
Pass Yards378193
Rush Yards179339
Total Yards557532
Turnovers30
3rd Down10-183-9
Penalties5-5710-81
Possession34:4125:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Miss
passing
Nick Mullens
24/47, 370 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ito Smith
20 CAR, 94 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Allenzae Staggers
6 REC, 92 YDS
defense
UTSA
passing
Dalton Sturm
10/12, 193 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jalen Rhodes
14 CAR, 165 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Josh Stewart
2 REC, 85 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jarveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 24

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jarveon Williams run for 5 yds to the TexSA 29

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +6.84

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 71 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Nick Mullens pass incomplete, broken up by Nate Gaines

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Ito Smith run for 7 yds to the SoMis 34

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to Allenzae Staggers

4th & 3Punt-2 yds

Tyler Sarrazin punt for 44 yds , JaBryce Taylor returns for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+77 ydsPPA +4.92

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 77 yds to the SoMis 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jarveon Williams run for 3 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

George Payne run for 1 yd to the SoMis 13

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Nick Mullens pass complete to Ito Smith for 4 yds to the SoMis 17

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to Allenzae Staggers

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tyler Sarrazin punt for 40 yds, fair catch by JaBryce Taylor at the TexSA 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Shaq Williams for 8 yds to the SoMis 49

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Jalen Rhodes run for 3 yds to the SoMis 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.75

Dalton Sturm run for 17 yds to the SoMis 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.74

Jalen Rhodes run for 23 yds to the SoMis 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the SoMis 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Jalen Rhodes run for 4 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nick Mullens pass complete to Korey Robertson for 28 yds Korey Robertson fumbled, forced by Nate Gaines, recovered by SoMis Korey Robertson for a 1ST down , return for 5 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to Ito Smith

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to Ito Smith

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.05

Nick Mullens pass complete to Korey Robertson for 11 yds to the TexSA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to Allenzae Staggers, broken up by Jarrod McLin

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Mullens rush left for no gain to the UTSA26 (Tauaefa), PENALTY UTSA offside defense 5 yards to the UTSA21, NO PLAY.

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Ito Smith run for 2 yds to the TexSA 19

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Ito Smith run for 2 yds to the TexSA 17

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.78

Ito Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 48

2nd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.25

Nick Mullens pass complete to D.J. Thompson for 10 yds to the TexSA 42

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

Mullens crossing pass incomplete to Thompson (Strong Jr.), PENALTY UTSA offside defense 5 yards to the UTSA37, 1ST DOWN USM, NO PLAY.

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.21

Nick Mullens pass complete to Jay'Shawn Washington for 17 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jalen Rhodes run for 6 yds to the TexSA 24

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.44

Dalton Sturm run for 5 yds to the TexSA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+43 ydsPPA +3.01

Jalen Rhodes run for 28 yds to the TEXASSAN 43 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the SoMis 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.23

Jalen Rhodes run for 15 yds to the SoMis 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+7 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, IP (7 Yards) to the SoMis 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Jarveon Williams run for 6 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

George Payne run for 2 yds to the SoMis 23

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

George Payne run for 1 yd to the SoMis 24

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.89

Nick Mullens pass complete to D.J. Thompson for 12 yds to the SoMis 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Nick Mullens pass complete to D.J. Thompson for 3 yds to the SoMis 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.80

Nick Mullens pass complete to Allenzae Staggers for 33 yds to the TEXASSAN 28 for a 1ST down TEXASSAN Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Nick Mullens run for no gain to the TexSA 28

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Nick Mullens pass complete to Allenzae Staggers for 5 yds to the TexSA 23

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to D.J. Thompson, broken up by Michael Egwuagu

4th & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.99

Nick Mullens pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 22 yds to the TexSA 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Ito Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Corbin White for 3 yds to the TexSA 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.84

Dalton Sturm sacked by Sherrod Ruff and Xavier Thigpen for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 34

4th & 13Punt+16 yds

Yannis Routsas punt for 49 yds , Allenzae Staggers returns for 16 yds to the 50 yard line SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the SoMis 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.65

Nick Mullens pass complete to Korey Robertson for 19 yds to the SoMis 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Smith,I rush right for 1 yard to the USM43 (Bass), PENALTY UTSA offside defense 5 yards to the USM47, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.32

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to D.J. Thompson

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.91

George Payne run for 7 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ito Smith run for 5 yds to the TexSA 41

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to D.J. Thompson, broken up by N'Keal Bailey

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to Korey Robertson

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tyler Sarrazin punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.39

Jalen Rhodes run for 80 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ito Smith run for 5 yds to the SoMis 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to Allenzae Staggers

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.39

Nick Mullens pass complete to D.J. Thompson for 7 yds to the SoMis 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Nick Mullens pass complete to Allenzae Staggers for 9 yds to the SoMis 41

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.88

Ito Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 39

3rd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.41

Ito Smith run for 14 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Nick Mullens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Nick Mullens pass incomplete, broken up by Nate Gaines

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.75

Nick Mullens pass complete to Allenzae Staggers for 12 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Nick Mullens pass complete to D.J. Thompson for 35 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jarveon Williams run for 6 yds to the TexSA 45

2nd & 4Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.61

Dalton Sturm run for 24 yds to the SoMis 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Jarveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 32

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Jarveon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 34

3rd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Jarveon Williams for 7 yds to the SoMis 27

4th & 6Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA +0.37

Victor Falcon 45 yd FG GOOD

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Ito Smith run for 3 yds to the SoMis 18

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Mullens deep pass incomplete to Jones, PENALTY UTSA pass interference 15 yards to the USM33, 1ST DOWN USM, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ito Smith run for 5 yds to the SoMis 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.78

Nick Mullens pass complete to Allenzae Staggers for 16 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to D.J. Thompson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

George Payne run for 1 yd to the TexSA 45

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.66

Nick Mullens pass complete to Chase Whitehead for 17 yds to the TexSA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ito Smith run for 5 yds to the TexSA 23

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Ito Smith run for 4 yds to the TexSA 19

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Ito Smith run for 7 yds to the TexSA 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Ito Smith run for 2 yds to the TexSA 10

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to D.J. Thompson

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to D.J. Thompson

4th & 8Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.61

Parker Shaunfield 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Sturm deep pass incomplete to Stewart (Armstrong), PENALTY USM pass interference 15 yards to the USM42, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Jarveon Williams run for 9 yds to the SoMis 33

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh Stewart, broken up by Devonta Foster

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.43

Jarveon Williams run for 1 yd to the SoMis 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Corbin White for 5 yds to the SoMis 27

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Jarveon Williams run for 7 yds to the SoMis 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Matt Guidry run for 20 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nick Mullens pass complete to Ito Smith for 5 yds to the SoMis 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.84

Nick Mullens pass complete to Allenzae Staggers for 17 yds to the SoMis 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +0.66

Allenzae Staggers run for 28 yds to the TexSA 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Parker Adamson pass incomplete to D.J. Thompson

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Parker Adamson run for 3 yds to the TexSA 9

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 11 Team fumbled, recovered by SoMis Parker Adamson , return for 3 yds to the TexSA 11

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.50

Parker Adamson pass incomplete

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.58

Dalton Sturm sacked by Curtis Mikell for a loss of 8 yards to the TexSA 3

2nd & 18Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.04

Jarveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 2

3rd & 19Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.01

Jarveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 1

4th & 20Punt+5 yds

Yannis Routsas punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 45 , D'Nerius Antoine returns for 5 yds to the TexSA 6 SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, IB (10 Yards) to the TexSA 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Nick Mullens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.73

Ito Smith run for 18 yds to the TexSA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to Ito Smith

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

George Payne run for 1 yd to the TexSA 26

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

George Payne run for 3 yds to the TexSA 23

4th & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.97

Nick Mullens sacked by Strong Jr. Kevin for a loss of 8 yards to the TexSA 30 Nick Mullens fumbled, recovered by TexSA La'Kel Bass , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the TexSA 32

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the TexSA 34 TEXASSAN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Dalton Sturm pass complete to JaBryce Taylor for 4 yds to the TexSA 38

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Yannis Routsas punt for 48 yds , D'Nerius Antoine returns for no gain to the SoMis 13 D'Nerius Antoine fumbled, recovered by TexSA Andrew Martel

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jalen Rhodes run for no gain to the SoMis 13

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 8 yds to the SoMis 5

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.57

Jalen Rhodes run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 8

4th & 5Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.86

Victor Falcon 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to Chase Whitehead

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to Chase Whitehead, broken up by C.J. Levine

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.33

Nick Mullens pass complete to Chase Whitehead for 13 yds to the SoMis 27 for a 1ST down TEXASSAN Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to D.J. Thompson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Ito Smith run for 4 yds to the SoMis 31

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.40

Nick Mullens pass complete to Ito Smith for 13 yds to the SoMis 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Nick Mullens pass incomplete to Korey Robertson, broken up by Teddrick McGhee

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Ito Smith run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.74

Ito Smith run for 5 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Ito Smith run for 4 yds to the TexSA 41

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Mullens deep pass incomplete to Robertson (Dahlquist), PENALTY UTSA offside defense 5 yards to the UTSA36, NO PLAY.

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

George Payne run for 1 yd to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

George Payne run for 2 yds to the TexSA 33

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +3.34

Nick Mullens pass complete to Chase Whitehead for 33 yds for a TD, (Nick Mullens pass for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jalen Rhodes run for no gain to the TexSA 25

2nd & 10Penalty-12 yds

Rhodes rush over left tackle for 13 yards to the UTSA38, PENALTY UTSA personal foul 12 yards to the UTSA13, NO PLAY.

2nd & 22Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Trevor Stevens for 3 yds to the TexSA 16

3rd & 19Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.03

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for 7 yds to the TexSA 23

4th & 12Punt+31 yds

Yannis Routsas punt for 39 yds , D'Nerius Antoine returns for 31 yds to the TexSA 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nick Mullens pass complete to D.J. Thompson for 5 yds to the TexSA 26

2nd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.34

Nick Mullens pass complete to D.J. Thompson for 17 yds to the TexSA 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Interception Return-14 ydsPPA -4.58

Nick Mullens pass intercepted Josiah Tauaefa return for 14 yds to the TexSA 15

1st & 10Penalty-7 yds

TEXASSAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-7 Yards) to the TexSA 8

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jarveon Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 5

2nd & 13Penalty-2 yds

TEXASSAN Penalty, false start (-2 Yards) to the TexSA 3

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Jarveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexSA 5

3rd & 13Rush+92 ydsPPA +5.89

Jarveon Williams run for 92 yds to the SoMis 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jalen Rhodes run for 3 yds for a TD, (Victor Falcon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tez Parks run for 2 yds to the SoMis 27

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Tez Parks run for 11 yds to the SoMis 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Tez Parks run for 9 yds to the SoMis 47

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.11

Parker Adamson pass complete to Shawn Brickley for 8 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Tez Parks run for 11 yds to the TexSA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.27

Tez Parks run for 11 yds to the TexSA 23 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
39%
36 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
41%
17 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
63%
8 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays

UTSA

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
60%
20 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
100%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
75%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays