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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2016Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Kentucky by 21.4

Home Win Probability

Western Kentucky 94%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 1, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Houston Christian
30003
Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky
141620050

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-321-324-330-350-3
Western KentuckyHouston Christian

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WKHCWKHCWKHCWKHCWKHCHCWKHCHCWKHCWKHCWKHCWKHCWKTD482ydDOWNS1247ydTD460ydFG1576ydTD1068ydPUNT31ydFG1041ydPUNT930ydTD490ydEND10ydPUNT1133ydTD185ydTD3-2ydPUNT3-4ydTD545ydPUNT36ydPUNT32ydTO3-3ydMISS512ydDOWNS1153ydPUNT38ydPUNT64ydEND542yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Houston Christian and Western Kentucky
StatisticHouston ChristianWestern Kentucky
Passing13-3316-22
Pass Yards138283
Rush Yards86252
Total Yards224535
Turnovers10
3rd Down9-224-8
Penalties5-283-35
Possession38:1221:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Houston Christian
passing
Tony Dawson
10/20, 107 YDS
rushing
Craig Bell
15 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
Ethan Fry
5 REC, 70 YDS
defense
Western Kentucky
passing
Mike White
11/13, 225 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Anthony Wales
7 CAR, 87 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Taywan Taylor
7 REC, 146 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 5 yds to the WKent 23

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 8 yds to the WKent 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.13

Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 24 yds to the HstnB 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.48

Anthony Wales run for 45 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

B.J. Kelly run for no gain to the HstnB 13

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

B.J. Kelly run for 4 yds to the HstnB 17

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.61

Tony Dawson pass complete to Ethan Fry for 15 yds to the HstnB 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Mev Ajdin run for 2 yds to the HstnB 34

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.64

Tony Dawson run for 9 yds to the HstnB 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Tony Dawson pass complete to Ethan Fry for 8 yds to the WKent 49

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.31

Tony Dawson pass incomplete to Ethan Fry

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.25

B.J. Kelly run for 3 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Ethan Fry run for 2 yds to the WKent 44

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

B.J. Kelly run for no gain to the WKent 44

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tony Dawson pass complete to David Racine for 5 yds to the WKent 39

4th & 3Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.87

Tony Dawson sacked by Joe Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 40

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the WKent 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.90

Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 16 yds to the HstnB 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 34 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Mev Ajdin run for 1 yd to the HstnB 17

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Tony Dawson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -0.18

Tony Dawson pass complete to B.J. Kelly for 6 yds to the HstnB 23 for a 1ST down HOUSTON BAPTIST Penalty, roughing passer (-15 Yards) to the HstnB 38 for a 1ST down for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Tony Dawson pass complete to David Racine for 10 yds to the HstnB 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

B.J. Kelly run for 3 yds to the WKent 49

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Tony Dawson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.35

Tony Dawson pass complete to B.J. Kelly for 9 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

B.J. Kelly run for no gain to the WKent 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Tony Dawson pass incomplete to Ethan Fry

3rd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.36

Tony Dawson run for 15 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.19

Tony Dawson pass complete to Ethan Fry for 15 yds to the WKent 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

B.J. Kelly run for no gain to the WKent 10

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

B.J. Kelly run for 2 yds to the WKent 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tony Dawson pass incomplete to Mev Ajdin, broken up by Ben Holt

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.70

Alec Chadwick 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan Taylor

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.26

Anthony Wales run for 14 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.28

Mike White sacked by Andre Walker for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 40

2nd & 16Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Mike White pass complete to Anthony Wales for 7 yds to the WKent 47

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.92

Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 13 yds to the HstnB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 10 yds to the HstnB 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Anthony Wales run for no gain to the HstnB 30

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.59

Anthony Wales run for 9 yds to the HstnB 21

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.18

Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the HstnB 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 19 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Ethan Fry run for 3 yds to the HstnB 22

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tony Dawson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.23

Tony Dawson sacked by Chris Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the HstnB 20

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Christian Guzman punt for 53 yds, downed at the WKent 27

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.84

Nacarius Fant run for 20 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tyler Ferguson pass incomplete to Nacarius Fant

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Quinton Baker run for 4 yds to the HstnB 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Tyler Ferguson pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 19 yds to the HstnB 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tyler Ferguson pass incomplete to Nicholas Norris

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Tyler Ferguson pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 10 yds to the HstnB 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tyler Ferguson pass incomplete to Taywan Taylor

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Quinton Baker run for 3 yds to the HstnB 17

3rd & 7Sack-15 ydsPPA -3.34

Tyler Ferguson sacked by Cody Moncure for a loss of 15 yards to the HstnB 32

4th & 22Field Goal Good+50 ydsPPA +2.47

Skyler Simcox 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Tony Dawson pass incomplete to Buddy Tuamasaga

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Craig Bell run for 1 yd to the HstnB 15

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.63

Tony Dawson pass complete to Ricardo Barnett for 16 yds to the HstnB 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Craig Bell run for 4 yds to the HstnB 35

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Tony Dawson pass incomplete to Ethan Fry

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.03

Tony Dawson pass complete to Craig Bell for 7 yds to the HstnB 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Craig Bell run for no gain to the HstnB 42

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Ethan Fry run for 1 yd to the HstnB 43

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Tony Dawson run for 1 yd to the HstnB 44

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Christian Guzman punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Mike White pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.22

Mike White sacked by La'Travien Gee for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 4 Mike White fumbled, recovered by WKent Max Halpin , return for 0 yards

3rd & 16Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.99

Anthony Wales run for 16 yds to the WKent 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.39

Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 80 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

B.J. Kelly run for no gain to the HstnB 11

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

B.J. Kelly run for 2 yds to the HstnB 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Tony Dawson pass incomplete to B.J. Kelly

3rd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.24

Tony Dawson pass complete to Ethan Fry for 16 yds to the HstnB 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Tony Dawson pass incomplete to Ethan Fry, broken up by Joe Brown

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Tony Dawson run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

B.J. Kelly run for 3 yds to the WKent 47

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

B.J. Kelly run for 5 yds to the WKent 42

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.94

B.J. Kelly run for 2 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

B.J. Kelly run for 3 yds to the WKent 37

2nd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.78

Tony Dawson sacked by Derik Overstreet for a loss of 9 yards to the WKent 46

3rd & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Tony Dawson run for no gain to the WKent 46

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Christian Guzman punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 15

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+85 ydsPPA +6.62

Nicholas Norris run for 85 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Mev Ajdin run for 3 yds to the HstnB 15

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Max Staver pass incomplete to Ricardo Barnett, broken up by Leverick Johnson

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Max Staver pass incomplete to Ricardo Barnett

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

HOUSTON BAPTIST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the HstnB 10

4th & 12Punt+50 yds

Christian Guzman punt for 40 yds , Nacarius Fant returns for 50 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Craig Bell run for 1 yd to the HstnB 15

2nd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.36

Max Staver sacked by Keith Brown and Ben Holt for a loss of 9 yards to the HstnB 6

3rd & 18Penalty-3 yds

HOUSTON BAPTIST Penalty, false start (Sterling Savell) to the HstnB 3

3rd & 21Penalty+5 yds

Staver, Max pass incomplete to Fry, Ethan, PENALTY WKU offside defense (IYIEGBUNIWE, J.) 5 yards to the HBU8, NO PLAY.

3rd & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.02

Craig Bell run for 2 yds to the HstnB 10

4th & 14Punt+14 yds

Christian Guzman punt for 49 yds , Nacarius Fant returns for 14 yds to the HstnB 45

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Marquez Trigg run for 8 yds to the HstnB 37

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.13

Marquez Trigg run for 5 yds to the HstnB 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Tyler Ferguson pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 3 yds to the HstnB 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.53

Tyler Ferguson pass complete to Stevie Donatell for 17 yds to the HstnB 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Marquez Trigg run for 12 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Craig Bell run for 6 yds to the HstnB 21

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Craig Bell run for no gain to the HstnB 21

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Max Staver pass incomplete to Isaiah Hall, broken up by Juwan Gardner

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Christian Guzman punt for 41 yds, downed at the WKent 38

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Quinton Baker run for 9 yds to the WKent 47

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -1.42

TEAM run for no gain to the WKent 31 TEAM fumbled,

3rd & 17Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.22

Drew Eckels pass complete to Kylen Towner for 9 yds to the WKent 40

4th & 8Punt+2 yds

Jake Collins punt for 35 yds , Brandon Taylor returns for 2 yds to the HstnB 27

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

HOUSTON BAPTIST Penalty, false start (Mev Ajdin) to the HstnB 22

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Craig Bell run for 2 yds to the HstnB 24

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Max Staver pass incomplete to Ricardo Barnett, broken up by Drew Davis

3rd & 13Pass Interception Return-5 ydsPPA +0.22

Max Staver pass intercepted Drew Davis return for 5 yds to the HstnB 35

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Quinton Baker run for 10 yds to the HstnB 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Quinton Baker run for 1 yd to the HstnB 24

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Quinton Baker run for 1 yd to the HstnB 23

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Otis Lanier

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Ryan Nuss 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Craig Bell run for 2 yds to the HstnB 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.97

Max Staver pass complete to Ethan Fry for 16 yds to the HstnB 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Craig Bell run for 3 yds to the HstnB 44

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.80

Craig Bell run for 14 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Max Staver pass incomplete to David Racine

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Craig Bell run for 1 yd to the WKent 41

3rd & 9Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.37

Max Staver run for 3 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Julien Lewis) to the WKent 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Max Staver pass incomplete to Ethan Fry

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

HOUSTON BAPTIST Penalty, false start (Eduardo Osegueda) to the WKent 28

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Max Staver pass incomplete to David Racine

3rd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Max Staver pass complete to Craig Bell for 4 yds to the WKent 24

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.34

Max Staver pass incomplete to Isaiah Hall, broken up by Daeshawn Bertram

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Ben Holt run for 1 yd to the WKent 25

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Marquez Trigg run for 6 yds to the WKent 31

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Marquez Trigg run for 1 yd to the WKent 32

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Joseph Occhipinti punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Brandon Taylor at the HstnB 33

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.23

Craig Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the HstnB 31

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Craig Bell run for 5 yds to the HstnB 36

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.53

Max Staver pass complete to Brandon Taylor for 11 yds to the HstnB 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Max Staver pass incomplete to David Racine

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.96

TEAM run for no gain to the HstnB 33 TEAM fumbled, recovered by HstnB Max Staver

3rd & 24Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Craig Bell run for 4 yds to the HstnB 37

4th & 20Punt+4 yds

Christian Guzman punt for 35 yds , Nacarius Fant returns for 4 yds to the WKent 32

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Quinton Baker run for 13 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Quinton Baker run for 7 yds to the HstnB 48

2nd & 3Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.92

Quinton Baker run for 23 yds to the HstnB 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Marquez Trigg run for 1 yd to the HstnB 24

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.88

Quinton Baker run for a loss of 2 yards to the HstnB 26

Situational Analysis

Houston Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
14%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
25%
20 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
58%
12 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Western Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
57%
28 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
55%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play