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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2016Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami (OH) by 8.9

Home Win Probability

Miami (OH) 75%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 23, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ball StateBall State
7103020
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
707721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-77-1414-2021-20
Miami (OH)Ball State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(PUNT526ydTD474ydPUNT523ydMISS849ydTD470ydPUNT411ydTD780ydDOWNS941ydTO847ydPUNT39ydFG1458ydTD174ydFG1357ydPUNT622ydPUNT627ydPUNT1031ydPUNT833ydTD975ydPUNT618ydEND761yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ball State and Miami (OH)
StatisticBall StateMiami (OH)
Passing22-3426-35
Pass Yards188380
Rush Yards24762
Total Yards435442
Turnovers10
3rd Down8-158-14
Penalties4-344-25
Possession29:0130:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ball State
passing
Riley Neal
22/34, 188 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
James Gilbert
18 CAR, 117 YDS
receiving
KeVonn Mabon
11 REC, 122 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Miami (OH)
passing
Gus Ragland
26/35, 380 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Alonzo Smith
11 CAR, 84 YDS
receiving
Rokeem Williams
6 REC, 145 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

N/A run for 6 yds to the BalSt 28

2nd & 4Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.04

Riley Neal run for 21 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

N/A run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Riley Neal pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.96

- 15 pass complete to - 25 for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 48

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Kyle Schmidt punt for 26 yds, downed at the MiaOh 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.96

Riley Neal pass complete to Darian Green for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.17

Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the BalSt 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Gus Ragland pass complete to Ryan Smith for 9 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Gus Ragland pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 36 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Riley Neal run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 17

2nd & 13Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.18

Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 21 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Riley Neal pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the BalSt 43

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Riley Neal pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kyle Schmidt punt for 36 yds, downed at the MiaOh 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 9 yds to the MiaOh 30

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.53

Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 11 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Spencer McInnis run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.73

Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 22 yds to the MIAMIOH 35 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, targeting (David Moore) to the BalSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 25

1st & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.90

Kenny Young run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 28

2nd & 18Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 33

2nd & 23Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.85

Gus Ragland sacked by John Whitman III for a loss of 6 yards to the BalSt 39

3rd & 29Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.56

Gus Ragland pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 9 yds to the BalSt 30

4th & 20Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Nick Dowd 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +2.88

James Gilbert run for 40 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 4 yds to the MiaOh 25

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.32

Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 25 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 12 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 39

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Rokeem Williams

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James Gardner

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 12 yds to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Darian Green run for 15 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.00

Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 15 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.45

Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 16 yds to the MiaOh 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Riley Neal pass complete to Jordan Hogue for 8 yds to the MiaOh 14

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.72

James Gilbert run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Riley Neal run for 3 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Kenny Young run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 31

2nd & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Alonzo Smith run for 16 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the BalSt 49

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Spencer McInnis run for no gain to the BalSt 49

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.17

Gus Ragland run for 8 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Rokeem Williams

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Gus Ragland pass incomplete

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.40

Gus Ragland sacked by Anthony Winbush for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 41 Gus Ragland fumbled, , return for 0 yards

4th & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.88

Gus Ragland pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 6 yds to the BalSt 35

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Riley Neal run for 7 yds to the BalSt 42

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.99

Darian Green run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 7 yds to the MiaOh 39

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.23

James Gilbert run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 27

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 21

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.29

Riley Neal run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.41

Riley Neal pass intercepted, touchback. Heath Harding return for no gain

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.56

Gus Ragland sacked by Anthony Winbush for 0 yards to the MiaOh 20

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kenny Young run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 4 yds to the MiaOh 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Darian Green run for 2 yds to the BalSt 30

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.00

Riley Neal run for 14 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 5 yds to the BalSt 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.72

Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 5 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Riley Neal pass complete to Darian Green for 4 yds to the MiaOh 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 4 yds to the MiaOh 38

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.86

Darian Green run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Riley Neal pass complete to Darian Green for 4 yds to the MiaOh 30

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Riley Neal pass incomplete, broken up by De'Andre Montgomery

3rd & 6Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.20

Riley Neal run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 20 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive holding (Junior McMullen) to the MiaOh 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 5 yds to the MiaOh 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Riley Neal pass incomplete

3rd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.34

Riley Neal sacked by Ikeem Allen for a loss of 9 yards to the MiaOh 14 BALL ST Penalty, intentional grounding (Riley Neal) to the MiaOh 14

4th & 14Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA +0.10

Morgan Hagee 31 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+74 ydsPPA +6.01

Gus Ragland pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 74 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Riley Neal run for 5 yds to the BalSt 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 9 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.87

Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 14 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Riley Neal pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton Jr., broken up by Heath Harding

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.72

Riley Neal pass complete to Damon Hazelton Jr. for 15 yds to the MiaOh 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Riley Neal run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 14

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.70

Darian Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 17

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

NEAL, Riley pass complete to GREEN, Darian for no gain to the MIAMI17 (DANIELS, D.), PENALTY MIAMI OF (JONES, JT) 5 yards to the MIAMI12, NO PLAY.

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.25

Riley Neal run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Riley Neal pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton Jr., broken up by Heath Harding

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Riley Neal pass incomplete to Corey Lacanaria

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.70

Morgan Hagee 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Gus Ragland pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Gus Ragland pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 7 yds to the MiaOh 34

3rd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Gus Ragland pass complete to Sam Shisso for 15 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Rokeem Williams, broken up by Josh Miller

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James Gardner

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jared Murphy

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 41 yds , Aaron Hepp returns for no gain to the BalSt 10

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

James Gilbert run for 9 yds to the BalSt 19

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the BalSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Riley Neal run for 11 yds to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

James Gilbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 31

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 6 yds to the BalSt 37

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Riley Neal pass incomplete to KeVonn Mabon, broken up by Deondre Daniels

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kyle Schmidt punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.68

Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 19 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.74

Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the BalSt 48

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -3.10

Gus Ragland sacked by Brian Whitaker and Anthony Winbush for a loss of 11 yards to the MiaOh 43

2nd & 21Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.45

Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 13 yds to the BalSt 44

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.38

Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 14 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.77

Gus Ragland sacked by Stu Stanley for a loss of 7 yards to the BalSt 37

2nd & 17Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Gus Ragland pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 5 yds to the BalSt 32

3rd & 12Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -2.48

Gus Ragland sacked by Kevin Thurmon for a loss of 11 yards to the BalSt 45 Gus Ragland fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Gus Ragland , return for 0 yards

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 38 yds, downed at the BalSt 7

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Riley Neal pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton Jr., broken up by Heath Harding

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.23

James Gilbert run for 8 yds to the BalSt 15

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.51

Teddy Williamson run for 4 yds to the BalSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-9 yds

NEAL, Riley rush over right end for 4 yards to the BALLST23, out-of-bounds (REID, Tony), PENALTY BALLST holding (MABON, KeVonn) 9 yards to the BALLST10, NO PLAY.

1st & 19Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.43

James Gilbert run for 11 yds to the BalSt 21

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.36

Riley Neal run for 12 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Riley Neal pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton Jr., broken up by JT Jones

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Riley Neal pass complete to Aaron Hepp for 4 yds to the BalSt 37

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 3 yds to the BalSt 40

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kyle Schmidt punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 6 yds to the MiaOh 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.56

Gus Ragland pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 15 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.21

Gus Ragland pass complete to Maurice Thomas for 19 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Gus Ragland pass complete to Maurice Thomas for 7 yds to the BalSt 28

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Gus Ragland pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 5 yds to the BalSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 25

2nd & 12Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.02

Gus Ragland sacked by Kevin Thurmon for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 27

3rd & 14Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +4.31

Gus Ragland pass complete to Sam Shisso for 27 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Riley Neal run for 2 yds to the BalSt 34

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Riley Neal run for 7 yds to the BalSt 41

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Riley Neal run for 4 yds to the BalSt 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Riley Neal pass complete to Sam Brunner for 4 yds to the MiaOh 48

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

James Gilbert run for no gain to the MiaOh 48

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kyle Schmidt punt for 33 yds, downed at the MiaOh 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 17

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 7 yds to the MiaOh 24

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.61

Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 27

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 28

3rd & 8Rush+50 ydsPPA +4.34

Alonzo Smith run for 50 yds to the BalSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 24

Situational Analysis

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
55%
11 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play