Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 22, 2016Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Toledo by 10.5

Home Win Probability

Toledo 79%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 22, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Central MichiganCentral Michigan
0010717
ToledoToledo
30141431

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-017-717-1024-1031-17
ToledoCentral Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CMTOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLTOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLPUNT945ydFG1163ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT622ydPUNT37ydPUNT939ydPUNT32ydMISS633ydTO1080ydEND15ydTD762ydTO37ydTD439ydTD573ydPUNT418ydFG847ydTD1074ydDOWNS530ydTD555ydTD876ydDOWNS89yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Central Michigan and Toledo
StatisticCentral MichiganToledo
Passing19-3323-32
Pass Yards247264
Rush Yards97140
Total Yards344404
Turnovers20
3rd Down2-107-15
Penalties6-777-67
Possession27:0033:00

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Central Michigan
passing
Cooper Rush
18/31, 229 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Devon Spalding
10 CAR, 65 YDS
receiving
Tyler Conklin
5 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Toledo
passing
Logan Woodside
23/32, 264 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Kareem Hunt
20 CAR, 87 YDS
receiving
Cody Thompson
7 REC, 122 YDS, 4 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the CMich 15

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Cooper Rush pass complete to Brandon Childress for 4 yds to the CMich 19

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Cooper Rush pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 9 yds to the CMich 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Devon Spalding run for 14 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Tyler Conklin

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.47

Devon Spalding run for 17 yds to the Toled 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Devon Spalding run for no gain to the Toled 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 42

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Brandon Childress, broken up by Tyler Taafe

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Cooper Mojsiejenko punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 20

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Kareem Hunt run for 6 yds to the Toled 26

2nd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.71

Logan Woodside pass complete to Kareem Hunt for no gain to the Toled 26

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

WOODSIDE, Logan pass incomplete to JONES, Corey (DANNA, Mike), PENALTY CMU offside defense 5 yards to the TOLEDO31, 1ST DOWN TOLEDO, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Logan Woodside run for 2 yds to the Toled 33

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kareem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Toled 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.19

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 25 yds to the CMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 9 yds to the CMich 29

2nd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA -0.31

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 10 yds to the CMich 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the CMich 16

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Kareem Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 17

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson, broken up by Tony Annese

4th & 8Field Goal Good+34 ydsPPA -0.22

Jameson Vest 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Samuel Vucelich kickoff for 65 yds , Jamil Sabbagh return for 29 yds to the CMich 29

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jahray Hayes run for 3 yds to the CMich 32

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Tyler Conklin

3rd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.48

Cooper Rush sacked by John Stepec for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 28

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jack Sheldon punt for 54 yds, downed at the Toled 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 3 yds to the Toled 21

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.24

Logan Woodside pass complete to Kareem Hunt for 3 yds to the Toled 24 for a 1ST down CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (Nathan Ricketts) to the Toled 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Logan Woodside run for no gain to the Toled 39

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Kareem Hunt run for 7 yds to the Toled 46

3rd & 3Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.57

Logan Woodside sacked by Kelby Latta for a loss of 6 yards to the Toled 40

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.62

Mark Chapman run for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 11

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.10

Devon Spalding run for no gain to the CMich 11

3rd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 11 yds to the CMich 22

4th & 3Punt+52 yds

Jack Sheldon punt for 52 yds , Corey Jones returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 11 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.67

Terry Swanson run for 19 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Logan Woodside pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 5 yds to the CMich 40

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.25

Terry Swanson run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Logan Woodside pass complete to Michael Roberts for 5 yds to the CMich 36

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.63

Terry Swanson run for 2 yds to the CMich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

SWANSON, Terry rush for no gain to the CMU34 (DEAN, Jabari), PENALTY TOLEDO holding (PERSCHON, Paul) 10 yards to the CMU44, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Terry Swanson run for no gain to the CMich 44

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Terry Swanson, broken up by Amari Coleman

3rd & 20Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 8 yds to the CMich 36

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 36 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Mark Chapman

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Cooper Rush run for 2 yds to the CMich 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Devon Spalding

4th & 8Punt+10 yds

Jack Sheldon punt for 37 yds , Cody Thompson returns for 10 yds to the CMich 49

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Kareem Hunt run for 7 yds to the CMich 42

2nd & 3Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.55

Kareem Hunt run for 21 yds to the CMich 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Art Thompkins run for 5 yds to the CMich 16

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Corey Jones

3rd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.50

Logan Woodside pass complete to Kareem Hunt for no gain to the CMich 16

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Jameson Vest 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jahray Hayes run for 6 yds to the CMich 26

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Jahray Hayes run for 10 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.60

Jahray Hayes run for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 32

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Corey Willis

3rd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.32

Cooper Rush pass complete to Jahray Hayes for 9 yds to the CMich 41

4th & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.55

Jack Sheldon pass complete to Nate Brisson-Fast for 18 yds to the Toled 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Brandon Childress pass incomplete to Cooper Rush

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.49

Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 20 yds to the Toled 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Devon Spalding run for 4 yds to the Toled 17

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+16 ydsPPA -4.34

Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 16 yds Devon Spalding fumbled, forced by Trevon Mathis, recovered by Toled

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Terry Swanson run for 5 yds to the Toled 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+33 yds

Kaden Keon kickoff for 60 yds , Corey Jones return for 33 yds to the Toled 38

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Kareem Hunt run for no gain to the Toled 38

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.19

Logan Woodside pass complete to Michael Roberts for 16 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the CMich 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 44

3rd & 8Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.67

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 33 yds to the CMich 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 16

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.85

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 16 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 0Penalty+15 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jabari Dean) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Cooper Rush pass complete to Jahray Hayes for 3 yds to the CMich 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jahray Hayes run for 4 yds to the CMich 32

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA -0.53

Cooper Rush pass intercepted Connery Swift return for 3 yds to the CMich 39

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.49

Kareem Hunt run for 2 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST down CENTRAL MICH Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Kelby Latta) to the CMich 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Michael Roberts, broken up by Alex Briones

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Logan Woodside pass complete to Kareem Hunt for 6 yds to the CMich 16

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.91

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 16 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

Samuel Vucelich kickoff for 45 yds , Zach Oakley return for 7 yds to the CMich 27

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jahray Hayes run for no gain to the CMich 28 Jahray Hayes fumbled, recovered by CMich Jahray Hayes

2nd & 9Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.52

Cooper Rush pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 35 yds to the Toled 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.48

Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 21 yds to the Toled 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.65

Jahray Hayes run for a loss of 4 yards to the Toled 20

2nd & 14Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.21

Cooper Rush run for 20 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Kaden Keon kickoff for 59 yds , Corey Jones return for 14 yds to the Toled 49 TOLEDO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jordan Martin) to the Toled 10

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.58

Terry Swanson run for 13 yds to the Toled 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Cody Thompson, broken up by Amari Coleman

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Terry Swanson run for 5 yds to the Toled 28

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Michael Roberts

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Cooper Rush pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 10 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.30

Devon Spalding run for 20 yds to the Toled 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the Toled 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 9 yds to the Toled 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Devon Spalding run for 5 yds to the Toled 19

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the Toled 18

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Brandon Childress

4th & 4Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA -0.49

Brian Eavey 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Kaden Keon kickoff for 60 yds , Corey Jones return for 21 yds to the Toled 26

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Kareem Hunt run for 9 yds to the Toled 35

2nd & 1Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.63

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 12 yds to the Toled 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Kareem Hunt run for 1 yd to the Toled 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.82

Logan Woodside pass complete to Zach Yousey for 12 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kareem Hunt run for 5 yds to the CMich 35

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Terry Swanson run for no gain to the CMich 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.15

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 5 yds to the CMich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WOODSIDE, Logan pass incomplete to THOMPSON, Cody, PENALTY CMU pass interference (COX, Josh) 15 yards to the CMU15, 1ST DOWN TOLEDO, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Terry Swanson run for 4 yds to the CMich 11

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.91

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 11 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Cooper Rush pass complete to Zach Crouch for 30 yds to the Toled 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Cooper Rush run for no gain to the Toled 45

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Tyler Conklin

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Brandon Childress, broken up by DeJuan Rogers

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Tyler Conklin, broken up by DeJuan Rogers

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Damion Jones-Moore run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.47

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 25 yds to the CMich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Damion Jones-Moore run for 3 yds to the CMich 22

2nd & 7Penalty-15 yds

WOODSIDE, Logan pass complete to JONES, Corey for 22 yards to the CMU0, clock 08:15, PENALTY TOLEDO personal foul (ATARIWA, Yazeed) 15 yards to the CMU37, NO PLAY.

2nd & 22Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Damion Jones-Moore run for 3 yds to the CMich 34

3rd & 19Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +5.53

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 34 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 0Penalty0 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Samuel Vucelich kickoff for 60 yds , Jamil Sabbagh return for 19 yds to the CMich 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.39

Cooper Rush pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 16 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 11 yds to the Toled 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Mark Chapman

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jamil Sabbagh

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.89

Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 13 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

RUSH, Cooper pass intercepted by ROGERS, DeJuan at the TOLEDO0, ROGERS, DeJuan return to the TOLEDO0, touchback, PENALTY TOLEDO roughing passer (ADENIYI, Olasunkanmi) 15 yards to the TOLEDO21, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Cooper Rush pass complete to Brandon Childress for 8 yds to the Toled 13

2nd & 2Penalty+7 yds

RUSH, Cooper pass intercepted by MARTIN, Jordan at the TOLEDO1, MARTIN, Jordan return to the CMU45, out-of-bounds, PENALTY TOLEDO roughing passer (ADENIYI, Olasunkanmi) 7 yards to the TOLEDO6, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY.

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Jahray Hayes run for 2 yds to the Toled 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Cooper Rush pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 4 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the CMich 46

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.00

Kareem Hunt run for 7 yds to the CMich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the CMich 36

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Kareem Hunt run for 9 yds to the CMich 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.74

Kareem Hunt run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 29

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, false start (Nate Jeppesen) to the CMich 34

2nd & 17Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.59

Kareem Hunt run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 37

3rd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the CMich 34

4th & 17Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.79

Team run for a loss of 6 yards to the CMich 40

Situational Analysis

Central Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
25 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
36%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
27 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
12 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
71%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play