Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 8, 2016Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Toledo by 10.3

Home Win Probability

Eastern Michigan 21%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 8, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ToledoToledo
07141435
Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan
0310720

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-76-713-2113-2820-35
Eastern MichiganToledo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TOLEMTOLEMTOLEMTOLEMTOLEMTOLEMTOLEMTOLEMTOLEMTOLEMTOLEMTOLEMTOLDOWNS1460ydPUNT39ydPUNT835ydPUNT631ydPUNT824ydPUNT30ydTD546ydPUNT51ydPUNT422ydPUNT37ydPUNT30ydFG544ydEND1-2ydFG1352ydTD272ydTO05ydTD316ydTD772ydPUNT38ydPUNT4-2ydTD1386ydTD875ydTD1483ydTO318ydEND413yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Toledo and Eastern Michigan
StatisticToledoEastern Michigan
Passing25-3120-38
Pass Yards247255
Rush Yards22062
Total Yards467317
Turnovers02
3rd Down11-172-10
Penalties6-605-51
Possession37:1222:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Toledo
passing
Logan Woodside
25/31, 247 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Kareem Hunt
29 CAR, 141 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Cody Thompson
7 REC, 126 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Eastern Michigan
passing
Brogan Roback
20/38, 255 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Breck Turner
10 CAR, 21 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Sergio Bailey II
5 REC, 89 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kareem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Toled 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kareem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Toled 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Kareem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Toled 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kareem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Toled 41

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Toled 44

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.78

Kareem Hunt run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Logan Woodside pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Terry Swanson run for 7 yds to the EMich 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.29

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 5 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.41

Terry Swanson run for 14 yds to the EMich 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Terry Swanson run for 1 yd to the EMich 23

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Terry Swanson run for 4 yds to the EMich 19

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Corey Jones, broken up by Vince Calhoun

4th & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -3.35

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 4 yds to the EMich 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Brogan Roback pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Ian Eriksen run for 8 yds to the EMich 23

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the EMich 24

4th & 1Punt+5 yds

Austin Barnes punt for 52 yds , Corey Jones returns for 5 yds to the Toled 29

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.30

Kareem Hunt run for 16 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the EMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Corey Jones run for 3 yds to the EMich 42

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the EMich 39

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.23

Logan Woodside pass complete to Michael Roberts for 5 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Logan Woodside pass complete to Zach Yousey for 10 yds to the EMich 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Kareem Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 25

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.17

Kareem Hunt run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 28

3rd & 14Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.59

Logan Woodside sacked by Kwanii Figueroa for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 31

4th & 17Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the EMich 36

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 36 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Brogan Roback pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 14 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Breck Turner run for 1 yd to the EMich 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.31

Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Breck Turner run for 1 yd to the Toled 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for no gain to the Toled 49

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Brogan Roback pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Austin Barnes punt for 29 yds, downed at the Toled 20

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Kareem Hunt run for 6 yds to the Toled 26

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 3 yds to the Toled 29

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.15

Kareem Hunt run for 6 yds to the Toled 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Kareem Hunt run for 2 yds to the Toled 37

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.78

Kareem Hunt run for 10 yds to the Toled 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Logan Woodside run for no gain to the Toled 47

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Kareem Hunt run for 2 yds to the Toled 49

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Toled 44

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Corey Jones

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brogan Roback pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Brogan Roback pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.12

Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the EMich 20

4th & 10Punt+26 yds

Austin Barnes punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Corey Jones at the EASTMICH 39 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the EMich 46

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Terry Swanson run for 6 yds to the EMich 40

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.26

Terry Swanson run for 5 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Terry Swanson run for 8 yds to the EMich 27

2nd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA -0.17

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 10 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 17 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Brody Hoying) to the EMich 9

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Breck Turner run for 3 yds to the EMich 12

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Sergio Bailey II run for 10 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Breck Turner run for 1 yd to the EMich 23

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Breck Turner run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 20

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey II

4th & 12Punt+46 yds

Austin Barnes punt for 31 yds, downed at the EASTMICH 49 TOLEDO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Toled 34

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.50

Kareem Hunt run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Kareem Hunt run for 2 yds to the EMich 48

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Kareem Hunt run for 6 yds to the EMich 42

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Kareem Hunt run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 44

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the EMich 14

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey II, broken up by Aaron Covington

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Brogan Roback pass complete to Breck Turner for 5 yds to the EMich 19

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Austin Barnes punt for 57 yds , Corey Jones returns for no gain to the Toled 20 Corey Jones fumbled, recovered by Toled Corey Jones , return for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 20

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 17

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Damion Jones-Moore run for 3 yds to the Toled 20

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.12

Logan Woodside pass complete to Damion Jones-Moore for no gain to the Toled 20

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +2.19

Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 44 yds to the Toled 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brogan Roback pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey II

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Nigel Kilby

4th & 10Field Goal Good+34 ydsPPA -0.11

Paul Fricano 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 14

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 6 yds to the EMich 31

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.65

Brogan Roback pass complete to Breck Turner for 18 yds to the Toled 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brogan Roback pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 5 yds to the Toled 43

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.49

Breck Turner run for 5 yds to the Toled 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 6 yds to the Toled 32

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Breck Turner

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.90

Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 6 yds to the Toled 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Antoine Porter

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Breck Turner

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Isaac Holder

4th & 10Field Goal Good+44 ydsPPA +0.74

Paul Fricano 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 9 yds to the Toled 37

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +4.54

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 63 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

No play data available
1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 7 yds to the EMich 9

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.80

Kareem Hunt run for 6 yds to the EMich 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Penalty+1 yds

WOODSIDE, Logan pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Delando (PHELPS, Jalen), PENALTY EMU pass interference (PHELPS, Jalen) 1 yards to the EMU2, 1ST DOWN TOLEDO, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Kareem Hunt run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the EMich 28

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.81

Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Breck Turner run for 5 yds to the Toled 45

2nd & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.02

Breck Turner run for 4 yds to the Toled 41 for a 1ST down TOLEDO Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Toled 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Isaac Holder

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.73

Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 23 yds to the Toled 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Breck Turner run for 3 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Toled 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Logan Woodside pass complete to Michael Roberts for 5 yds to the Toled 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 36 yds, downed at the EMich 31

1st & 10Rush-14 ydsPPA -1.72

Breck Turner run for 1 yd to the EMich 32 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the EMich 17

1st & 24Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 4 yds to the EMich 21

2nd & 20Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.13

Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 8 yds to the EMich 29

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dan Buschman

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Austin Barnes punt for 54 yds , Corey Jones returns for no gain to the Toled 14 Corey Jones fumbled, recovered by Toled Corey Jones , return for 17 yds to the Toled 46 TOLEDO Penalty, personal foul (Jeremi Powell) to the Toled 14

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Terry Swanson run for 7 yds to the Toled 21

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.22

Logan Woodside pass complete to Michael Roberts for 5 yds to the Toled 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Terry Swanson run for 4 yds to the Toled 30

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Corey Jones, broken up by Jalen Phelps

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Toled 25

3rd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.20

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 13 yds to the Toled 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Logan Woodside pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 3 yds to the Toled 41

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Terry Swanson run for 3 yds to the Toled 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.84

Logan Woodside pass complete to Michael Roberts for 5 yds to the Toled 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.16

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 23 yds to the EMich 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.17

Damion Jones-Moore run for 10 yds to the EMich 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Terry Swanson run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 19

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Terry Swanson run for 4 yds to the EMich 15

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.07

Logan Woodside pass complete to Michael Roberts for 15 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Sergio Bailey II run for 10 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 8 yds to the EMich 43

2nd & 2Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.02

Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 17 yds to the Toled 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Isaac Holder

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.39

Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 18 yds to the Toled 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.76

Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 17 yds to the Toled 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie Daugherty

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 12 yds to the Toled 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Kareem Hunt run for 8 yds to the Toled 37

2nd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 11 yds to the Toled 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.57

Kareem Hunt run for 12 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Kareem Hunt run for 7 yds to the EMich 31

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Kareem Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.88

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 5 yds to the EMich 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 6 yds to the EMich 21

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Terry Swanson run for 3 yds to the EMich 18

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.14

Terry Swanson run for 2 yds to the EMich 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Terry Swanson run for 4 yds to the EMich 12

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Darryl Richards

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.94

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 12 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brogan Roback run for 4 yds to the EMich 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.73

Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 14 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.53

Brogan Roback pass intercepted DeJuan Rogers return for no gain to the Toled 34

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Kareem Hunt run for 6 yds to the Toled 40

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Kareem Hunt run for 6 yds to the Toled 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kareem Hunt run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.77

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 47

Situational Analysis

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
36 plays
2nd
67%
6 plays
22%
9 plays
56%
9 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Eastern Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
36%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
80%
5 plays
54%
13 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays