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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2016Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Toledo by 0.5

Home Win Probability

Arkansas State 48%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 3, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ToledoToledo
02110031
Arkansas StateArkansas State
300710

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-73-143-213-243-3110-31
Arkansas StateToledo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TOLASTOLASTOLASTOLASTOLASTOLASASTOLASTOLASTOLASTOLASTOLASTOLPUNT534ydPUNT612ydMISS1071ydPUNT32ydTO424ydFG632ydTD1275ydPUNT3-6ydTD1151ydPUNT37ydTD633ydEND743ydPUNT30ydFG740ydPUNT621ydTD586ydPUNT31ydTO255ydDOWNS1034ydPUNT38ydTD694ydPUNT3-4ydDOWNS836ydEND1076yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Toledo and Arkansas State
StatisticToledoArkansas State
Passing23-3111-25
Pass Yards371124
Rush Yards185142
Total Yards556266
Turnovers20
3rd Down12-173-16
Penalties6-586-48
Possession34:3525:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Toledo
passing
Logan Woodside
23/31, 371 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Damion Jones-Moore
11 CAR, 81 YDS
receiving
Cody Thompson
5 REC, 174 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Arkansas State
passing
Chad Voytik
11/24, 124 YDS
rushing
Warren Wand
12 CAR, 77 YDS
receiving
Blake Mack
2 REC, 87 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.80

Kareem Hunt run for 13 yds to the Toled 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 13 yds to the Toled 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Kareem Hunt run for 2 yds to the Toled 44

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Logan Woodside run for 2 yds to the Toled 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Logan Woodside pass complete to Michael Roberts for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Chad Voytik pass complete to Kendall Sanders for 3 yds to the ArkSt 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Chad Voytik pass complete to Blake Mack for 4 yds to the ArkSt 27

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.00

Chad Voytik run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Chad Voytik pass complete to Christian Booker for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 29

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Chad Voytik pass complete to Christian Booker for 3 yds to the ArkSt 32

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Chad Voytik pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+6 yds

Cameron Echols-Luper punt for 68 yds , Corey Jones returns for 6 yds to the Toled 6

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Kareem Hunt run for 1 yd to the Toled 7

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15

Kareem Hunt run for no gain to the Toled 7

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.15

Logan Woodside pass complete to Kareem Hunt for 17 yds to the Toled 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Terry Swanson run for 3 yds to the Toled 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.19

Logan Woodside pass complete to Terry Swanson for 8 yds to the Toled 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.54

Logan Woodside pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 40 yds to the ArkSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Terry Swanson run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Logan Woodside pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Logan Woodside pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Jameson Vest 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Cameron Echols-Luper

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.41

Chad Voytik run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 20

3rd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Chad Voytik pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 5 yds to the ArkSt 25

4th & 8Punt+3 yds

Damon Foncham punt for 48 yds , Corey Jones returns for 3 yds to the Toled 34 Corey Jones fumbled, forced by Justin Clifton, recovered by Toled Kadar Hollman

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Terry Swanson run for 4 yds to the Toled 38

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

WOODSIDE, Logan pass complete to THOMPSON, Cody for 26 yards to the ASU36 (Hunter, Money), PENALTY TOLEDO ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TOLEDO33, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

Terry Swanson run for no gain to the Toled 33

3rd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.13

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+12 ydsPPA -3.16

Terry Swanson run for 12 yds to the ArkSt 42 Terry Swanson fumbled, forced by Chris Humes, recovered by ArkSt Chris Humes

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Chad Voytik pass complete to Christian Booker for 11 yds to the Toled 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Omar Bayless

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, personal foul (Olasunkanmi Adeniyi) to the Toled 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Chad Voytik run for 8 yds to the Toled 24

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Chad Voytik run for 1 yd to the Toled 23

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.21

Christian Booker run for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 26

4th & 4Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA +0.06

J.D. Houston 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Corey Jones

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Kareem Hunt run for 11 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 11 yds to the Toled 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 47

3rd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.16

Kareem Hunt run for 19 yds to the ArkSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Damion Jones-Moore run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 20

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Damion Jones-Moore run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 19

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.22

Damion Jones-Moore run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Damion Jones-Moore run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 8

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Logan Woodside pass complete to Michael Roberts for 5 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Warren Wand run for no gain to the ArkSt 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Cameron Echols-Luper

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.17

Justice Hansen sacked by Treyvon Hester for a loss of 6 yards to the ArkSt 14

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Damon Foncham punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Corey Jones at the Toled 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.87

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 14 yds to the ArkSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Logan Woodside pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Terry Swanson run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 35

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.64

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 10 yds to the ArkSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Terry Swanson run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 21

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Terry Swanson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 22

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.82

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 11 yds to the ArkSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Damion Jones-Moore run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 9

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Damion Jones-Moore run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 2

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.52

Kareem Hunt run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Kareem Hunt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Chad Voytik run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 20

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Blake Mack) to the ArkSt 15

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Omar Bayless

3rd & 13Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Warren Wand run for 10 yds to the ArkSt 25

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Cameron Echols-Luper punt for 8 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArkSt 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Corey Jones, broken up by Blaise Taylor

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 9 yds to the ArkSt 24

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.23

Terry Swanson run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Terry Swanson run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 19

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Terry Swanson run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 16

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.91

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 16 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.48

Warren Wand run for 14 yds to the ArkSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Warren Wand run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 18

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Warren Wand run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 21

3rd & 8Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.47

Chad Voytik run for 20 yds to the ArkSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.45

Chad Voytik sacked by Olasunkanmi Adeniyi for a loss of 11 yards to the ArkSt 30

2nd & 21Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.86

Warren Wand run for 18 yds to the ArkSt 48

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Chad Voytik pass incomplete

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Warren Wand run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Dijon Paschal

3rd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.35

Chad Voytik sacked by Josh Teachey for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Damon Foncham punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Corey Jones at the Toled 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Logan Woodside pass complete to Kareem Hunt for 13 yds to the Toled 48 TOLEDO Penalty, HL (-10 Yards) to the Toled 38

1st & 7Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.89

Logan Woodside pass complete to Kareem Hunt for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.63

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 44 yds to the ArkSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Kareem Hunt run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 23

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Terry Swanson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 25

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Michael Roberts

4th & 14Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA +1.10

Jameson Vest 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Blake Mack

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.25

Armond Weh-Weh run for 10 yds to the ArkSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Armond Weh-Weh run for 12 yds to the ArkSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Armond Weh-Weh run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 45

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Armond Weh-Weh run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 47

3rd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.42

Chad Voytik sacked by John Stepec for a loss of 6 yards to the ArkSt 41

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Damon Foncham punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Corey Jones at the Toled 14

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Kareem Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 13

2nd & 11Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +4.23

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 54 yds to the ArkSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.24

Kareem Hunt run for 10 yds to the ArkSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Terry Swanson run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 22

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.99

Logan Woodside pass complete to Michael Roberts for 22 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.68

Chad Voytik pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 15

2nd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Chad Voytik pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 4 yds to the ArkSt 19

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Dijon Paschal, broken up by Kadar Hollman

4th & 9Punt+5 yds

Damon Foncham punt for 41 yds , Corey Jones returns for 5 yds to the Toled 45

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kareem Hunt run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+49 ydsPPA -2.83

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 49 yds Cody Thompson fumbled, forced by Xavier Woodson-Luster, recovered by ArkSt Damon Foncham

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Christian Booker, broken up by Ja'Wuan Woodley

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.70

Warren Wand run for 15 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Warren Wand run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 41

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Warren Wand run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 43

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Chad Voytik run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 44

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.13

Chad Voytik run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Wand, Warren rush for 8 yards to the TOLEDO46 (TAAFE, Tyler), PENALTY ASU HL (Mondie, Devin) 10 yards to the ASU36, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.50

Chad Voytik run for 12 yds to the ArkSt 48

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Chad Voytik run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Chad Voytik pass complete to Justin McInnis for 4 yds to the Toled 46

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.34

Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Chris Murray

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Terry Swanson run for 1 yd to the Toled 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 7 yds to the ArkSt 46

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Logan Woodside pass incomplete, broken up by Cody Brown

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArkSt 6

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Chad Voytik run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 12

2nd & 4Pass Reception+83 ydsPPA +4.82

Chad Voytik pass complete to Blake Mack for 83 yds to the Toled 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Chad Voytik run for 1 yd to the Toled 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Armond Weh-Weh

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Chad Voytik run for 2 yds to the Toled 2

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Armond Weh-Weh run for 2 yds for a TD, (J.D. Houston KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Kareem Hunt run for 2 yds to the Toled 10

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Logan Woodside pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Toled 5

3rd & 13Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.04

Logan Woodside pass complete to Kareem Hunt for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 4

4th & 14Punt+24 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 41 , Cameron Echols-Luper returns for 24 yds to the Toled 28 ARKANSAS ST Penalty, HL (10 Yards) to the Toled 41

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Voytik, Chad pass incomplete, PENALTY TOLEDO pass interference 15 yards to the TOLEDO26, 1ST DOWN ASU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Chad Voytik pass complete to Chris Murray for 11 yds to the Toled 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Blake Mack

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Cameron Echols-Luper run for 7 yds to the Toled 8

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.00

Warren Wand run for 4 yds to the Toled 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Warren Wand run for 3 yds to the Toled 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Chad Voytik run for no gain to the Toled 1

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Devin Mondie) to the Toled 6

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Chad Voytik run for 1 yd to the Toled 5

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.95

Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Dijon Paschal

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Damion Jones-Moore run for 4 yds to the Toled 9

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.26

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for no gain to the Toled 9

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Logan Woodside pass complete to Michael Roberts for 10 yds to the Toled 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Damion Jones-Moore run for 4 yds to the Toled 23

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.83

Kareem Hunt run for 7 yds to the Toled 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Damion Jones-Moore run for no gain to the Toled 30

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Damion Jones-Moore run for 2 yds to the Toled 32

3rd & 8Rush+55 ydsPPA +4.32

Damion Jones-Moore run for 42 yds to the ARKST 26 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS ST Penalty, personal foul (Blaise Taylor) to the ArkSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.50

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 16

2nd & 13Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.82

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 19

Situational Analysis

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
24%
33 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
44%
16 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Arkansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
33%
21 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
9 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays