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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2016Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia State by 7

Home Win Probability

Georgia State 71%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 2, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ball StateBall State
7731431
Georgia StateGeorgia State
770721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-714-714-1414-1714-2421-31
Georgia StateBall State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSBSGSBSGSBSGSBSGSBSGSBSGSBSGSBSGSGSBSGSBSGSBSGSBSGSBSTD3-1ydTO37ydDOWNS46ydPUNT36ydTO413ydMISS44ydTO10ydTD941ydTD1161ydPUNT30ydPUNT36ydPUNT37ydPUNT611ydPUNT35ydPUNT33ydTD1444ydEND10ydPUNT619ydFG853ydPUNT726ydDOWNS1579ydPUNT844ydTD482ydPUNT3-2ydTD559ydTD879ydEND651yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ball State and Georgia State
StatisticBall StateGeorgia State
Passing15-2925-40
Pass Yards130195
Rush Yards32577
Total Yards455272
Turnovers22
3rd Down7-187-15
Penalties5-396-52
Possession35:5624:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ball State
passing
Riley Neal
15/29, 130 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
James Gilbert
29 CAR, 160 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
KeVonn Mabon
8 REC, 69 YDS
defense
Georgia State
passing
Conner Manning
21/32, 163 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Aaron Winchester
8 CAR, 59 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Robert Davis
8 REC, 61 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

NEAL, Riley pass complete to HOGUE, Jordan for 26 yards to the GSU32 (Smith, Jerome;Shaw, Michael), PENALTY BALL holding (MILLER, Drake) 10 yards to the BALL32, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Riley Neal pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Riley Neal pass complete to Jordan Hogue for 9 yds to the BalSt 41

3rd & 11Interception Return Touchdown-48 ydsPPA -7.34

Riley Neal pass intercepted for a TD Jerome Smith return for 48 yds for a TD, (Rogier Ten Lohuis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the BalSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the BalSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA -0.53

Riley Neal pass intercepted Jerome Smith return for 2 yds to the BalSt 32

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Glenn Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 35

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Glenn Smith run for no gain to the BalSt 35

3rd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.25

Conner Manning pass complete to Todd Boyd for 11 yds to the BalSt 24

4th & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -3.31

Emiere Scaife run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 26

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the BalSt 31

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the BalSt 32

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Riley Neal pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kyle Schmidt punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Conner Manning pass complete to Todd Boyd for 5 yds to the GeoSt 27

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.66

Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for no gain to the GeoSt 27

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.51

Conner Manning pass complete to Keith Rucker for 7 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -1.66

Glenn Smith run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 35 Glenn Smith fumbled, forced by Anthony Winbush, recovered by BalSt Anthony Winbush

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Riley Neal pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 31

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jordan Hogue

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Morgan Hagee 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-11 ydsPPA -1.39

Conner Manning pass intercepted Corey Hall return for 11 yds to the GeoSt 41

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Riley Neal run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 34

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Darian Green run for no gain to the GeoSt 34

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.82

Darian Green run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Teddy Williamson run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 25

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Darian Green run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 21

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.17

James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 4 yds to the GeoSt 16

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.71

Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 15 yds to the GeoSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

James Gilbert run for 1 yd for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 9 yds to the GeoSt 48

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.41

Kendrick Dorn run for no gain to the GeoSt 48

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.07

Kendrick Dorn run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 6 yds to the BalSt 44

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn Smith, broken up by Sean Wiggins

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.49

Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 5 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Kyler Neal run for 1 yd to the BalSt 38

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 43

2nd & 14Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.06

Conner Manning pass complete to Kyler Neal for 16 yds to the BalSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 24 yds to the BalSt 3 GEORGIA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Penny Hart) to the BalSt 18

1st & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -1.42

Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 4 yds to the BalSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 14 yds for a TD, (Rogier Ten Lohuis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Teddy Williamson run for 5 yds to the BalSt 31

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Riley Neal pass incomplete to Darian Green

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

BALL ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 26

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Riley Neal pass incomplete to KeVonn Mabon, broken up by Chandon Sullivan

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kyle Schmidt punt for 49 yds , Penny Hart returns for no gain to the GeoSt 26 GEORGIA ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the GeoSt 15

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, delay of game (Conner Manning) to the GeoSt 10

1st & 15Penalty+4 yds

Manning, Conner pass incomplete to Rucker, Keith, PENALTY BALL pass interference (RYAN, Zack) 4 yards to the GSU14, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.52

Conner Manning run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 12 Conner Manning fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Conner Manning

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.30

Conner Manning pass complete to Todd Boyd for 9 yds to the GeoSt 21

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Conner Manning pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+15 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 55 yds , Aaron Hepp returns for 15 yds to the BalSt 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 7 yds to the BalSt 46

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.30

James Gilbert run for no gain to the BalSt 46

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Riley Neal pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kyle Schmidt punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Demarcus Kirk run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 3 yds to the GeoSt 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.17

Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 5 yds to the GeoSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Penny Hart

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.83

Conner Manning sacked by Kevin Thurmon for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 25

3rd & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Kendrick Dorn run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31

4th & 11Punt+12 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 39 , Aaron Hepp returns for 12 yds to the BalSt 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Darian Green run for 5 yds to the BalSt 44

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Riley Neal pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Riley Neal pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kyle Schmidt punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Glenn Smith at the GeoSt 16

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Glenn Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 14

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Todd Boyd GEORGIA ST Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declined

3rd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Conner Manning pass complete to Penny Hart for 5 yds to the GeoSt 19

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 44

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Teddy Williamson run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 41

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 38

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 37

4th & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +2.03

Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 4 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Riley Neal pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 8 yds to the GeoSt 25

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.36

James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.16

Riley Neal sacked by Alonzo McGee for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSt 29

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Riley Neal pass incomplete to Darian Green

3rd & 16Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.28

Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 20 yds to the GeoSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 6

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 4

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 3 yds to the GeoSt 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

James Gilbert run for 1 yd for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Todd Boyd

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Glenn Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 32

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Glenn Smith run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 34

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.63

Conner Manning pass complete to Keith Rucker for 15 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Todd Boyd

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Conner Manning pass complete to Todd Boyd for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 48

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Penny Hart

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

James Gilbert run for 11 yds to the BalSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BALL ST Penalty, false start (Vinnie Palazeti) to the BalSt 26

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Riley Neal pass complete to Danny Pinter for 4 yds to the BalSt 30

2nd & 11Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.27

Darian Green run for 14 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.47

James Gilbert run for 23 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Darian Green run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 30

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Darian Green run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 26

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.96

James Gilbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 27

4th & 4Field Goal Good+44 ydsPPA +0.14

Morgan Hagee 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 7 yds to the GeoSt 35

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 7 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Conner Manning pass complete to Todd Boyd for 5 yds to the GeoSt 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.91

Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 7 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Penny Hart

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Conner Manning pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Todd Boyd

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.73

Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 21 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Riley Neal run for 1 yd to the BalSt 42

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Darian Green run for 4 yds to the BalSt 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.25

Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 9 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Darian Green run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 37

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.10

Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 4 yds to the GeoSt 27

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

James Gilbert run for no gain to the GeoSt 27

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.90

Riley Neal pass complete to Devin Reece for 7 yds to the GeoSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 16

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.45

Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 9 yds to the GeoSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty+2 yds

GREEN, Darian rush for 2 yards to the GSU5 (Ringer, Kaleb), PENALTY GSU offside defense (Cheridor, M.) 2 yards to the GSU5, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

James Gilbert run for no gain to the GeoSt 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

James Gilbert run for no gain to the GeoSt 1

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.21

Riley Neal pass incomplete to Sam Brunner, broken up by Bobby Baker

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Aaron Winchester run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 4

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Kyler Neal run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 6

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.63

Aaron Winchester run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Aaron Winchester run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.54

Aaron Winchester run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 28 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, personal foul (Corey Hall) to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Aaron Winchester run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 45

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Glenn Smith run for no gain to the GeoSt 45

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Keith Rucker

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Aaron Hepp at the BalSt 18

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.25

Darian Green run for 17 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Darian Green run for 4 yds to the BalSt 39

2nd & 6Rush+46 ydsPPA +2.84

Riley Neal run for 46 yds to the GeoSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Teddy Williamson run for 15 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Penny Hart

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Keith Rucker

3rd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.52

Aaron Winchester run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 38

4th & 12Uncategorized0 yds

TEAM fumbled, Brandon Wright punt for 21 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the BalSt 45

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.06

James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.04

James Gilbert run for 23 yds to the GeoSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.40

Darian Green run for 18 yds to the GeoSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Darian Green run for 8 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.48

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Penny Hart for 18 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Penny Hart for 10 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Robert Davis

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.24

Aaron Winchester run for 21 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Robert Davis for 2 yds to the BalSt 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Ari Werts for 2 yds to the BalSt 26

3rd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.92

Glenn Smith run for 13 yds to the BalSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Aaron Winchester run for 13 yds for a TD, (Rogier Ten Lohuis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

James Gilbert run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 49

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.72

James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 47

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.01

James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+43 ydsPPA +2.47

James Gilbert run for 43 yds to the GeoSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 3

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 5

Situational Analysis

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
60%
30 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
6 plays
36%
11 plays
20%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
8 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
41%
29 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
11%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play