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← Back to GamesNov 25, 2016Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boise State by 3.3

Home Win Probability

Air Force 40%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 25, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Boise StateBoise State
733720
Air ForceAir Force
7107327

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-710-717-717-1024-1327-1327-20
Air ForceBoise State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSAFBSAFBSAFBSAFBSBSAFBSAFBSAFBSAFBSAFBSAFBSAFTD260ydTD1083ydPUNT620ydPUNT3-13ydPUNT32ydPUNT1037ydPUNT35ydFG1563ydTD30ydPUNT410ydTO624ydFG859ydPUNT717ydPUNT36ydTD360ydFG1178ydPUNT827ydPUNT3-4ydFG927ydTD175ydPUNT830ydTO689ydEND612yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Boise State and Air Force
StatisticBoise StateAir Force
Passing9-263-6
Pass Yards31645
Rush Yards84314
Total Yards400359
Turnovers11
3rd Down1-128-18
Penalties3-273-30
Possession18:3341:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Boise State
passing
Brett Rypien
9/26, 316 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jeremy McNichols
22 CAR, 88 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Cedrick Wilson
4 REC, 193 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Air Force
passing
Arion Worthman
3/5, 45 YDS
rushing
Arion Worthman
26 CAR, 80 YDS
receiving
Jalen Robinette
3 REC, 45 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+56 ydsPPA +3.07

Jeremy McNichols run for 56 yds to the AFA 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Jeremy McNichols 4 Yd Run (Tyler Rausa Kick)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.29

Timothy McVey run for 18 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Arion Worthman pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 4 yds to the AFA 39

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.39

Jacobi Owens run for 9 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Arion Worthman run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 47

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Timothy McVey run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.47

Arion Worthman run for 23 yds to the BoiSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Shayne Davern run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 11

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.25

Arion Worthman run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

D.J. Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jeremy McNichols run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, Defensive holding (Brodie Hicks) to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brett Rypien pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Brett Rypien pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Brett Rypien pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Sean Wale punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd to the AFA 16

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.27

Jacobi Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 15

3rd & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.14

Arion Worthman sacked by David Moa for a loss of 13 yards to the AFA 2

4th & 23Punt+10 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 56 yds , Cedrick Wilson returns for 10 yds to the AFA 48

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Brett Rypien pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Brett Rypien pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Sean Wale punt for 42 yds, downed at the AFA 4

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

D.J. Johnson run for 4 yds to the AFA 8

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

D.J. Johnson run for 5 yds to the AFA 13

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Shayne Davern run for 7 yds to the AFA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Arion Worthman run for 4 yds to the AFA 24

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.78

Jacobi Owens run for 6 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

D.J. Johnson run for 8 yds to the AFA 38

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

D.J. Johnson run for 4 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.72

Jacobi Owens run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 39

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Shayne Davern run for 5 yds to the AFA 44

3rd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.83

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 41

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Cedrick Wilson at the BoiSt 27

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 28

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 32

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick Wilson

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Sean Wale punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd to the AFA 19

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Arion Worthman run for 10 yds to the AFA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Timothy McVey run for 2 yds to the AFA 31

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.45

Jacobi Owens run for 8 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Arion Worthman run for 6 yds to the AFA 45

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Arion Worthman run for 3 yds to the AFA 48

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.50

Timothy McVey run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Arion Worthman run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 40

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

D.J. Johnson run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.27

Jacobi Owens run for 12 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 28 Arion Worthman fumbled, recovered by AFA Arion Worthman

2nd & 17Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Arion Worthman run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 21

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Jacobi Owens run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 19

4th & 8Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA -0.08

Luke Strebel 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jeremy McNichols run for no gain to the BoiSt 24

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brett Rypien pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Brett Rypien pass incomplete

4th & 10Blocked Punt+11 yds

Sean Wale punt blocked by Brett Baldwin blocked by Brett Baldwin Tyler Weaver return for 11 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 10 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brett Rypien pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brett Rypien pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas Sperbeck, broken up by Weston Steelhammer

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Sean Wale punt for 68 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the AFA 23

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Arion Worthman run for 6 yds to the AFA 29

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.44

D.J. Johnson run for 9 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Williams run for 3 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Shayne Davern run for 3 yds to the AFA 44

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.23

Tyler Williams pass intercepted Leighton Vander Esch return for no gain to the BoiSt 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.78

Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 22 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick Wilson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +2.88

Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 43 yds to the AFA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick Wilson

3rd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.89

Thomas Sperbeck run for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 12

4th & 12Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.22

Tyler Rausa 29 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Timothy McVey run for 7 yds to the AFA 32

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Arion Worthman run for no gain to the AFA 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Arion Worthman run for 2 yds to the AFA 34

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.56

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

D.J. Johnson run for 6 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Arion Worthman run for no gain to the AFA 41

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jacobi Owens run for 1 yd to the AFA 42

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Cedrick Wilson at the BoiSt 14

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 16

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 20

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas Sperbeck

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Sean Wale punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.22

Arion Worthman pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 34 yds to the AIRFORCE 26 for a 1ST down BOISE ST Penalty, personal foul (Chanceller James) to the BoiSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Timothy McVey run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 8

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.46

Shayne Davern run for 8 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.58

Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 14 yds to the BoiSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jeremy McNichols run for no gain to the BoiSt 22

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 9 yds to the BoiSt 31

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jeremy McNichols run for no gain to the BoiSt 31

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.47

Brett Rypien run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +2.92

Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 57 yds to the AFA 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the AFA 7

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the AFA 4

3rd & 4Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.40

Jeremy McNichols run for no gain to the AFA 4 BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the AFA 14

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick Wilson

4th & 14Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyler Rausa 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jacobi Owens run for 5 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

D.J. Johnson run for 1 yd to the AFA 30

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Ronald Cleveland run for 7 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Ronald Cleveland run for 7 yds to the AFA 44

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.50

Shayne Davern run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Arion Worthman run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 46

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Arion Worthman run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 44

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 49

4th & 9Punt+2 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 34 yds , Cedrick Wilson returns for 2 yds to the BoiSt 17

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.69

Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 13

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick Wilson

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Brett Rypien pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt+28 yds

Sean Wale punt for 54 yds , Ronald Cleveland returns for 28 yds to the BoiSt 39

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Arion Worthman run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 35

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jacobi Owens run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 31

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.56

Arion Worthman run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

D.J. Johnson run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 22

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.02

Timothy McVey run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Arion Worthman run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 15

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Shayne Davern run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 13

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 12

4th & 5Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.71

Luke Strebel 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 75 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Timothy McVey run for 5 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Shayne Davern run for 5 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jacobi Owens run for 2 yds to the AFA 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Arion Worthman pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 7 yds to the AFA 44

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.37

D.J. Johnson run for 5 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Arion Worthman run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 45

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

D.J. Johnson run for no gain to the BoiSt 45

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Ronald Cleveland run for no gain to the BoiSt 45

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Cedrick Wilson at the BoiSt 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.81

Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 39 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.12

Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 47 yds to the AFA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the AFA 4

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the AFA 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the AFA 1

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -4.21

Brett Rypien run for no gain to the AFA 2 Brett Rypien fumbled, forced by Brodie Hicks, recovered by AFA Haji Dunn Jr.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

D.J. Johnson run for 6 yds to the AFA 8

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the AFA 10

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.33

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the AFA 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

D.J. Johnson run for 4 yds to the AFA 17

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.46

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 15

3rd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.13

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 14

Situational Analysis

Boise State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
42%
19 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
27%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
33 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
44%
16 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
17%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play