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← Back to GamesOct 16, 2016Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boise State by 15

Home Win Probability

Boise State 87%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 16, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Colorado StateColorado State
3002023
Boise StateBoise State
0714728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-314-328-328-1028-23
Boise StateColorado State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSCSBSCSBSCSBSCSBSCSBSCSCSBSCSBSCSBSCSCSCSBSCSDOWNS628ydFG1042ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT727ydPUNT522ydPUNT521ydPUNT512ydPUNT423ydPUNT928ydPUNT420ydTD1075ydEND1-2ydPUNT31ydTD1079ydPUNT615ydTD283ydPUNT36ydTD1690ydTD1775ydTD153ydTD654ydDOWNS721ydEND118yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colorado State and Boise State
StatisticColorado StateBoise State
Passing17-3117-25
Pass Yards189218
Rush Yards184226
Total Yards373444
Turnovers00
3rd Down3-149-16
Penalties6-303-19
Possession27:4632:14

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colorado State
passing
Nick Stevens
17/31, 189 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Dalyn Dawkins
14 CAR, 66 YDS
receiving
Michael Gallup
4 REC, 91 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Boise State
passing
Brett Rypien
16/24, 207 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jeremy McNichols
40 CAR, 217 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Thomas Sperbeck
5 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.47

Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 27 yds to the ColSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-11 ydsPPA -2.86

Chaz Anderson run for a loss of 11 yards to the ColSt 45

2nd & 21Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the ColSt 43

3rd & 19Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 6 yds to the ColSt 37

4th & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas Sperbeck

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Nick Stevens run for 12 yds to the ColSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 48

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.86

Nick Stevens pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 13 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Dalyn Dawkins run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 23

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Dalyn Dawkins run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 14

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Dalyn Dawkins run for no gain to the BoiSt 14

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, false start (Nick Callender) to the BoiSt 19

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 24

3rd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for 3 yds to the BoiSt 21

4th & 10Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.28

Wyatt Bryan 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 4 yds to the BoiSt 31

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

RYPIEN, Brett pass complete to McNICHOLS, J. for 4 yards to the BSU35 (SIMMONS, Tyree), PENALTY BSU false start 5 yards to the BSU26, NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, false start (Archie Lewis) to the BoiSt 21

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz Anderson

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Sean Wale punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Robert Ruiz at the ColSt 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the ColSt 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.53

Nick Stevens pass complete to Robert Ruiz for 10 yds to the ColSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Dalyn Dawkins run for 7 yds to the ColSt 48

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.28

Dalyn Dawkins run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael Gallup

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 45

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Nick Stevens pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Hayden Hunt punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas Sperbeck

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.89

Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 18 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 23

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 25

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Brett Rypien pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Sean Wale punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Robert Ruiz at the ColSt 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Nick Stevens pass complete to Nolan Peralta for 6 yds to the ColSt 32

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.81

Izzy Matthews run for 7 yds to the ColSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Izzy Matthews run for 4 yds to the ColSt 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Nick Stevens pass complete to Detrich Clark for 4 yds to the ColSt 47

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael Gallup

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Hayden Hunt punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 12

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Jeremy McNichols run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jeremy McNichols run for no gain to the BoiSt 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Brett Rypien pass complete to Steven Baggett for 4 yds to the BoiSt 24

3rd & 6Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.29

Brett Rypien sacked by Richard King for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 22

4th & 8Punt+7 yds

Sean Wale punt for 58 yds , Robert Ruiz returns for 7 yds to the ColSt 27

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Izzy Matthews run for 15 yds to the ColSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the ColSt 45

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Izzy Matthews run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Olabisi Johnson, broken up by Raymond Ford

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Hayden Hunt punt for 30 yds, downed at the BoiSt 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brett Rypien run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 25

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 29

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.24

Jeremy McNichols run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jeremy McNichols run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 42

2nd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.85

Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.50

Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 9 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz Anderson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 48

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Jabril Frazier

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Sean Wale punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.63

Dalyn Dawkins run for 20 yds to the ColSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Dalyn Dawkins run for 1 yd to the ColSt 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Nick Stevens pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 40

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hayden Hunt punt for 35 yds, downed at the BoiSt 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Jeremy McNichols run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jeremy McNichols run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 42

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas Sperbeck

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.92

Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 6 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Brett Rypien sacked by Toby McBride for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 46

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Brett Rypien run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.18

Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 33 yds to the ColSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the ColSt 12

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.51

Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 12 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 9

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the ColSt 31

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the ColSt 33

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 2 yds to the ColSt 35

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, false start (Bryan Ohene-Gyeni) to the ColSt 30

4th & 9Punt+10 yds

Hayden Hunt punt for 59 yds , Akilian Butler returns for 10 yds to the BoiSt 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 26

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.00

Jeremy McNichols run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 2 yds to the BoiSt 37

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.60

Jeremy McNichols run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jeremy McNichols run for no gain to the BoiSt 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 8 yds to the ColSt 47

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the ColSt 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.64

Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 35 yds to the ColSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Olabisi Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 9 yds to the ColSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for no gain to the ColSt 37

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Nolan Peralta

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, false start (Zack Golditch) to the ColSt 32

3rd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.20

Nick Stevens run for 8 yds to the ColSt 40

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Hayden Hunt punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Akilian Butler at the BoiSt 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 20

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.74

Jeremy McNichols run for 80 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Nick Stevens pass incomplete, broken up by Daniel Auelua

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.41

Nick Stevens sacked by Durrant Miles for a loss of 5 yards to the ColSt 16

3rd & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.19

Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for 11 yds to the ColSt 27

4th & 4Punt+1 yds

Hayden Hunt punt for 55 yds , Akilian Butler returns for 1 yd to the BoiSt 28 BOISE ST Penalty, illegal block (DeAndre Pierce) to the BoiSt 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 13

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 5 yds to the BoiSt 18

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.81

Jeremy McNichols run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Sean Modster

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 9 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 43

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 48

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.44

Jeremy McNichols run for 7 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 47

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Alexander Mattison run for 1 yd to the ColSt 46

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.19

Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 10 yds to the ColSt 36

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.63

Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the ColSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.38

Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 19 yds to the ColSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the ColSt 11

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.58

Thomas Sperbeck pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 11 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for no gain to the ColSt 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Detrich Clark run for 4 yds to the ColSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Nick Stevens pass complete to Izzy Matthews for 4 yds to the ColSt 33

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.66

Nick Stevens run for 2 yds to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Danny Nwosu

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.07

Izzy Matthews run for 11 yds to the ColSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Izzy Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 45

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 4 yds to the ColSt 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Nick Stevens pass complete to Nolan Peralta for 6 yds to the BoiSt 45

4th & 1Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.71

Nick Stevens run for 19 yds to the BoiSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael Gallup

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Robert Ruiz

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Nick Stevens pass complete to Elroy Masters Jr. for 9 yds to the BoiSt 17

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.67

Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael Gallup

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.65

Nick Stevens run for 12 yds to the BoiSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Izzy Matthews run for 2 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.10

Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 53 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Nick Stevens pass complete to Detrich Clark for 9 yds to the BoiSt 45

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.26

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael Gallup

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.94

Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael Gallup

2nd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.68

Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 31 yds to the BoiSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for 11 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.27

Brett Rypien run for 10 yds to the ColSt 40

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.95

Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Jeremy McNichols run for 7 yds to the ColSt 29

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jeremy McNichols run for no gain to the ColSt 29

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the ColSt 27

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.21

Jeremy McNichols run for no gain to the ColSt 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 5 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST down lat. to Robert Ruiz for 8 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST down lat. to Dalyn Dawkins for no gain to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST down lat. to Demontrie Taylor for 5 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST down lat. to Team for no gain to the ColSt 27 for a 1ST down COLORADO ST Penalty, illegal forward pass (Demontrie Taylor) to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Colorado State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
39%
28 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
43%
14 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play

Boise State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
26%
27 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
67%
9 plays
67%
12 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play