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← Back to GamesOct 15, 2016Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 6.8

Home Win Probability

Air Force 70%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 15, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
New MexicoNew Mexico
142110045
Air ForceAir Force
10177640

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-710-1410-2117-2824-2827-3527-4234-4540-45
Air ForceNew Mexico

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMTD375ydFG743ydTD375ydTD475ydPUNT418ydPUNT39ydTD1271ydTD675ydTD760ydTD1075ydTD242ydFG755ydPUNT515ydTD980ydTD775ydFG1023ydPUNT518ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT3-5ydTD754ydPUNT33ydDOWNS5-1ydPUNT33ydDOWNS628ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing New Mexico and Air Force
StatisticNew MexicoAir Force
Passing3-812-24
Pass Yards70280
Rush Yards373251
Total Yards443531
Turnovers00
3rd Down9-153-11
Penalties3-254-41
Possession31:2528:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

New Mexico
passing
Lamar Jordan
3/6, 70 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Teriyon Gipson
9 CAR, 140 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Q' Drennan
2 REC, 58 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Air Force
passing
Nate Romine
12/24, 280 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jacobi Owens
10 CAR, 106 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jalen Robinette
7 REC, 182 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.78

Tyrone Owens run for 33 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+41 ydsPPA +2.36

Teriyon Gipson run for 41 yds to the AFA 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Richard McQuarley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

D.J. Johnson run for 4 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 6Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.36

Jacobi Owens run for 21 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.79

Timothy McVey run for 14 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Timothy McVey run for no gain to the NMex 35

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Shayne Davern run for 3 yds to the NMex 32

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Nate Romine run for 1 yd to the NMex 31

4th & 6Field Goal Good+48 ydsPPA +0.74

Luke Strebel 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Tyrone Owens run for 12 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Lamar Jordan run for 3 yds to the NMex 40

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +5.47

Teriyon Gipson run for 60 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.89

D.J. Johnson run for 35 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Shayne Davern run for 4 yds to the NMex 36

2nd & 6Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.42

Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the NMex 33 AIR FORCE Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the NMex 43

2nd & 13Rushing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +4.67

Jacobi Owens run for 43 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.63

Lamar Jordan run for 18 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Richard McQuarley run for no gain to the AFA 47

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Lamar Jordan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Richard McQuarley

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Corey Bojorquez punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jacobi Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 11

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

D.J. Johnson run for 7 yds to the AFA 18

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the AFA 21

4th & 1Punt+4 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 54 yds , Chris Davis Jr. returns for 4 yds to the NMex 29

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Teriyon Gipson run for 15 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

JORDAN, Lamar pass incomplete to REED, Patrick, PENALTY AF pass interference (GRIFFIN, Marqui) 15 yards to the AF41, 1ST DOWN NM, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Richard McQuarley run for 5 yds to the AFA 36

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Tyrone Owens run for 6 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Tyrone Owens run for 6 yds to the AFA 21

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.17

Daryl Chestnut run for 1 yd to the AFA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Richard McQuarley run for 4 yds to the AFA 16

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Richard McQuarley run for no gain to the AFA 16

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+14 ydsPPA +1.83

Dameon Gamblin run for 14 yds to the AFA 2 Dameon Gamblin fumbled, forced by Roland Ladipo, for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the AFA 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the AFA 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

D.J. Johnson run for 5 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

D.J. Johnson run for 5 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Nate Romine run for 7 yds to the AFA 42

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Shayne Davern run for 4 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Shayne Davern run for 1 yd to the AFA 47

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +5.11

Nate Romine pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 53 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the NMex 43

2nd & 7Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.49

Lamar Jordan run for 32 yds to the AFA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Richard McQuarley run for 2 yds to the AFA 23

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Daryl Chestnut run for 6 yds to the AFA 17

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the AFA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Richard McQuarley run for 2 yds to the AFA 12

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.72

Lamar Jordan pass complete to Teriyon Gipson for 12 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 8Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.35

Nate Romine run for 19 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.00

Nate Romine pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 14 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.63

Nate Romine pass complete to Shayne Davern for 25 yds to the NMex 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Shayne Davern run for 4 yds to the NMex 11

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.89

Jacobi Owens run for 7 yds to the NMex 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the NMex 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jacobi Owens run for 1 yd to the NMex 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

D.J. Johnson run for no gain to the NMex 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Nate Romine run for 1 yd for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.57

Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 45

2nd & 13Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +4.87

Lamar Jordan pass complete to Q' Drennan for 45 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Timothy McVey run for 7 yds to the AFA 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Timothy McVey run for 2 yds to the AFA 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Shayne Davern run for 5 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Nate Romine pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.99

Nate Romine pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 26 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.35

Timothy McVey run for 15 yds to the NMex 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -1.38

Luke Strebel 37 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.25

Nate Romine pass complete to Shayne Davern for 18 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Nate Romine run for 2 yds to the AFA 47

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Nate Romine run for 1 yd to the AFA 48

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.38

Nate Romine sacked by Dakota Cox for a loss of 8 yards to the AFA 40

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 20

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Teriyon Gipson run for 8 yds to the NMex 28

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the NMex 29

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.96

Richard McQuarley run for 4 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Lamar Jordan run for 5 yds to the NMex 38

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tyrone Owens run for no gain to the NMex 38

3rd & 5Rush+58 ydsPPA +4.64

Tyrone Owens run for 58 yds to the AFA 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Richard McQuarley run for 2 yds to the AFA 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the AFA 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Richard McQuarley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Shayne Davern

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette

3rd & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +4.29

Nate Romine pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 44 yds to the NMex 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.30

Jacobi Owens run for 18 yds to the NMex 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.30

Ronald Cleveland run for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 20 Ronald Cleveland fumbled, recovered by AFA Ronald Cleveland , return for no gain to the NMex 20

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette, broken up by Nias Martin

3rd & 17Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +4.03

Nate Romine pass complete to Ronald Cleveland for 20 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd to the NMex 46

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMex 48

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.40

Teriyon Gipson run for 8 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the AFA 42

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Richard McQuarley run for 4 yds to the AFA 38

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (Tyrone Owens) to the AFA 43

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.41

Lamar Jordan pass complete to Q' Drennan for 13 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.19

Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 34

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the AFA 32

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Daryl Chestnut

4th & 12Field Goal Good+49 ydsPPA +1.55

Jason Sanders 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ronald Cleveland run for 4 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.92

Jacobi Owens run for 16 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ROMINE, Nate pass incomplete to ROBINETTE, Jale, PENALTY NM pass interference (MARTIN, Nias) 15 yards to the NM40, 1ST DOWN AF, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jacobi Owens run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 45 Jacobi Owens fumbled, recovered by AFA Jacobi Owens , return for no gain to the NMex 45

2nd & 15Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.82

Nate Romine sacked by Nik D'Avanzo for a loss of 7 yards to the AFA 48

3rd & 22Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.38

Nate Romine sacked by Donnie White for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 43

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Chris Davis Jr. at the NMex 6

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Daryl Chestnut run for 6 yds to the NMex 12

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Tyrone Owens run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 10

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Richard McQuarley run for 3 yds to the NMex 13

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Corey Bojorquez punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ronald Cleveland at the AFA 46

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Tyler Williams run for 1 yd to the AFA 47

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.44

Nate Romine run for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 45

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Chris Davis Jr. at the NMex 13

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Daryl Chestnut run for no gain to the NMex 13

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.18

Richard McQuarley run for no gain to the NMex 13

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Patrick Reed, broken up by Jesse Washington

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (Diquon Woodhouse) to the NMex 8

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Corey Bojorquez punt for 46 yds, downed at the AFA 46

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Nate Romine run for no gain to the AFA 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.41

Nate Romine pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 20 yds to the NMex 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.29

Nate Romine pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 12 yds to the NMex 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.73

Nate Romine pass complete to Shayne Davern for 14 yds to the NMex 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Shayne Davern run for 2 yds to the NMex 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Timothy McVey run for 6 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Daryl Chestnut run for no gain to the NMex 25

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Austin Apodaca run for 3 yds to the NMex 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Q' Drennan, broken up by Jesse Washington

4th & 7Punt+7 yds

Corey Bojorquez punt for 42 yds , Ronald Cleveland returns for 7 yds to the AFA 37

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Nate Romine run for 9 yds to the AFA 46 AIR FORCE Penalty, Offensive holding (D.J. Johnson) to the AFA 36

1st & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Nate Romine run for no gain to the AFA 36

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Ryan Reffitt

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Ronald Cleveland

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.17

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Ryan Reffitt

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Richard McQuarley run for 3 yds to the AFA 33

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.01

Austin Apodaca run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 34

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the AFA 33

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Corey Bojorquez punt for 21 yds, fair catch by Ronald Cleveland at the AFA 12

1st & 10Penalty-6 yds

ROMINE, Nate pass complete to ROBINETTE, Jale for 20 yards to the AF32, out-of-bounds, PENALTY AF holding (BARNHORST, Jake) 6 yards to the AF6, NO PLAY.

1st & 16Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.86

Nate Romine pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 13 yds to the AFA 19

2nd & 3Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.57

Nate Romine pass complete to Timothy McVey for 21 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Ronald Cleveland

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Ryan Reffitt, broken up by Lee Crosby

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.05

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Ronald Cleveland, broken up by Dakota Cox

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 42

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.44

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 44

Situational Analysis

New Mexico

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
38%
24 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
45%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
31 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
83%
6 plays
55%
11 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play