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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2016Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 5.7

Home Win Probability

Wyoming 33%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 8, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Air ForceAir Force
0671326
WyomingWyoming
7714735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-314-314-621-628-1328-2035-26
WyomingAir Force

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOTD1175ydPUNT30ydPUNT519ydPUNT31ydTO36ydTO63ydPUNT415ydFG950ydTD1475ydPUNT33ydPUNT33ydFG47ydEND1-1ydPUNT418ydPUNT740ydTD10ydPUNT39ydPUNT34ydPUNT4-12ydTD243ydTD175ydPUNT36ydTO214ydPUNT412ydTD1184ydPUNT618ydTD365ydTD537ydTO30ydEND410yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Air Force and Wyoming
StatisticAir ForceWyoming
Passing6-1915-27
Pass Yards188173
Rush Yards149189
Total Yards337362
Turnovers41
3rd Down4-145-14
Penalties4-455-50
Possession26:0034:00

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Air Force
passing
Nate Romine
6/19, 188 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT
rushing
D.J. Johnson
7 CAR, 73 YDS
receiving
Jalen Robinette
3 REC, 101 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Wyoming
passing
Josh Allen
15/27, 173 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Brian Hill
29 CAR, 92 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jake Maulhardt
3 REC, 42 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 8 yds to the Wyom 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for 14 yds to the 50 yard line WYOMING Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Wyom 40

3rd & 15Rush+27 ydsPPA +4.00

Josh Allen run for 27 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Brian Hill run for 7 yds to the AFA 24

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.10

Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for 7 yds to the AFA 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Josh Allen pass incomplete

1st & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Brian Hill run for 7 yds to the Wyom 47

2nd & 4Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.19

Josh Allen sacked by Jack Flor for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 42

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner Gentry

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.92

Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 17 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tyler Williams run for no gain to the AFA 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Nate Romine pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Nate Romine pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+4 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 47 yds , Austin Conway returns for 4 yds to the Wyom 37

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.55

Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 9 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 49

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner Gentry

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 7 yds to the AFA 44

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ethan Wood punt for 35 yds, downed at the AFA 9

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.53

Nate Romine run for a loss of 8 yards to the AFA 1 Nate Romine fumbled,

2nd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Shayne Davern run for 5 yds to the AFA 6

3rd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Shayne Davern run for 4 yds to the AFA 10

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Josh Allen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Shaun Wick run for 6 yds to the AFA 48

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -1.97

Josh Allen run for 1 yd to the AFA 48 Josh Allen fumbled, forced by Roland Ladipo, recovered by AFA Roland Ladipo

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

D.J. Johnson run for 4 yds to the Wyom 46

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.73

Timothy McVey run for 8 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-16 ydsPPA -3.69

Nate Romine sacked by Logan Wilson for a loss of 16 yards to the AFA 46

2nd & 26Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Shayne Davern run for 5 yds to the Wyom 49

3rd & 21Pass Interception Return-42 ydsPPA -0.23

Nate Romine pass intercepted Marcus Epps return for 27 yds to the Wyom 22 WYOMING Penalty, illegal block (15 Yards) to the Wyom 39

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.31

Brian Hill run for 15 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Brian Hill run for no gain to the AFA 46

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Josh Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Josh Allen pass incomplete to C.J. Johnson, broken up by Haji Dunn Jr.

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ethan Wood punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

D.J. Johnson run for 4 yds to the AFA 24

2nd & 6Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.06

D.J. Johnson run for 32 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jacobi Owens run for 2 yds to the Wyom 42

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.51

Shayne Davern run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 44

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Nate Romine pass complete to Ryan Reffitt for 10 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the Wyom 31

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Nate Romine run for 1 yd to the Wyom 30

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Nate Romine pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +0.64

Luke Strebel 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for 3 yds to the Wyom 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.70

Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 7 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner Gentry

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.59

Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 10 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Brian Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 47

2nd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.14

Josh Allen run for 12 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner Gentry

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.30

Josh Allen run for 11 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for no gain to the AFA 30

2nd & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.22

Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the AFA 27 WYOMING Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the AFA 37

2nd & 17Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.97

Josh Allen pass complete to James Price for 17 yds to the AFA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 20 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Williams run for no gain to the AFA 25

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the AFA 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Nate Romine pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt-6 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 62 yds , Austin Conway returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 4

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 4

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.12

Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 4

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Josh Allen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 7

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ethan Wood punt for 23 yds, downed at the Wyom 30

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Nate Romine run for 8 yds to the Wyom 22

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Nate Romine pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.81

Ronald Cleveland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 23

4th & 3Field Goal Good+41 ydsPPA -0.27

Luke Strebel 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALLEN, Josh pass complete to GENTRY, Tanner for 50 yards to the AF25 (STEELHAMMER, We), PENALTY WY ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the WY20, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 24

0th & 15End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Nate Romine run for 15 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Nate Romine run for 6 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.85

Tyler Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 43

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 24

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Brian Hill run for 8 yds to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Brian Hill run for 8 yds to the Wyom 40

2nd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.02

Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 15 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Shaun Wick run for no gain to the AFA 45

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Shaun Wick run for 4 yds to the AFA 41

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Josh Allen run for 1 yd to the AFA 40

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ethan Wood punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Ronald Cleveland at the AFA 15

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+15 ydsPPA -0.38

Jacobi Owens run for no gain Jacobi Owens fumbled, recovered by Wyom D.J. May , return for 15 yds, (Cooper Rothe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Shayne Davern run for 1 yd to the AFA 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Nate Romine run for 4 yds to the AFA 30

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Timothy McVey run for 4 yds to the AFA 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 51 yds , Austin Conway returns for no gain to the Wyom 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner Gentry

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 19

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner Gentry

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ethan Wood punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Ronald Cleveland at the AFA 32

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.63

Tyler Williams run for 2 yds to the AFA 34 AIR FORCE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the AFA 24

1st & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Ronald Cleveland

2nd & 18Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jacobi Owens run for 4 yds to the AFA 28

3rd & 14Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.20

Nate Romine sacked by Lucas Wacha for a loss of 8 yards to the AFA 20

4th & 22Punt+24 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 47 yds , Austin Conway returns for 24 yds to the AFA 43

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

ALLEN, Josh pass incomplete to GENTRY, Tanner, PENALTY AF holding 10 yards to the AF33, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the AFA 32

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.39

Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 32 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Nate Romine pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 75 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Josh Allen pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ethan Wood punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Ronald Cleveland at the AFA 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.09

Nate Romine pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 14 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+2 ydsPPA -1.76

Nate Romine pass intercepted Antonio Hull return for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 33

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

ALLEN, Josh pass incomplete to HOLLISTER, J., PENALTY AF pass interference 15 yards to the WY48, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the AFA 48

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jake Maulhardt, broken up by Weston Steelhammer

3rd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.76

Josh Allen sacked by Santo Coppola for a loss of 8 yards to the Wyom 44

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ethan Wood punt for 40 yds, downed at the AFA 16

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.21

D.J. Johnson run for 28 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Nate Romine run for 3 yds to the AFA 47

2nd & 7Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.10

Timothy McVey run for 28 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Timothy McVey run for no gain to the Wyom 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.22

Nate Romine pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 12 yds to the Wyom 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nate Romine run for 5 yds to the Wyom 8

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Timothy McVey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 9

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.94

Jacobi Owens run for 8 yds to the Wyom 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

D.J. Johnson run for no gain to the Wyom 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Nate Romine run for 1 yd for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Brian Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 7

2nd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.14

Josh Allen run for 8 yds to the Wyom 15

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.84

Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 7 yds to the Wyom 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 24

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Josh Allen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 25

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Josh Allen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 28

4th & 4Punt+4 yds

Ethan Wood punt for 41 yds , Ronald Cleveland returns for 4 yds to the AFA 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.19

Nate Romine pass complete to Timothy McVey for 28 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Nate Romine sacked by Youhanna Ghaifan for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 39

2nd & 12Penalty-10 yds

ROMINE, Nate pass complete to ROBINETTE, Jale for 25 yards to the WY14 (GAFFORD, Rico), PENALTY AF holding 10 yards to the WY49, NO PLAY.

2nd & 22Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +6.22

Timothy McVey 49 Yd pass from Nate Romine (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.40

Tanner Gentry run for 15 yds to the AFA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Brian Hill run for no gain to the AFA 22

2nd & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.61

Josh Allen sacked by Weston Steelhammer for a loss of 11 yards to the AFA 33

3rd & 21Rush+32 ydsPPA +4.72

Josh Allen run for 32 yds to the AFA 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Brian Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette, broken up by Rico Gafford

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Jacobi Owens

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Nate Romine pass intercepted Antonio Hull return for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 34

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Brian Hill run for 7 yds to the Wyom 41

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.45

Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 45

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 44

Situational Analysis

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
11%
9 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Wyoming

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
23%
30 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
15 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
29%
7 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
4th