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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2016Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 6.1

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 68%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 24, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Colorado StateColorado State
7010724
MinnesotaMinnesota
7107731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-717-717-1424-1731-1731-24
MinnesotaColorado State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CSMINCSMINCSMINCSMINCSMINCSMINCSMINCSMINCSMINCSMINCSMINPUNT35ydPUNT421ydTO954ydTD1194ydTD675ydTD975ydPUNT737ydPUNT37ydTO5-1ydFG823ydPUNT31ydTO25ydMISS718ydPUNT59ydTD853ydTD476ydFG1659ydTD1181ydTD1075ydPUNT30ydDOWNS731ydEND631yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colorado State and Minnesota
StatisticColorado StateMinnesota
Passing16-3116-20
Pass Yards211174
Rush Yards158243
Total Yards369417
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-157-13
Penalties3-259-68
Possession28:5731:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colorado State
passing
Collin Hill
15/30, 182 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Izzy Matthews
7 CAR, 47 YDS
receiving
Michael Gallup
6 REC, 53 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Minnesota
passing
Mitch Leidner
16/20, 174 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Rodney Smith
17 CAR, 99 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Drew Wolitarsky
5 REC, 74 YDS
defense
Antonio Shenault
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.22

Collin Hill sacked by Steven Richardson for a loss of 10 yards to the ColSt 15

2nd & 20Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.09

Dalyn Dawkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 11

3rd & 24Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.28

Collin Hill pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for 19 yds to the ColSt 30

4th & 5Punt+1 yds

Hayden Hunt punt for 46 yds , Jalen Myrick returns for 1 yd to the Minn 25

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Rodney Smith run for 12 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew Wolitarsky

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Mitch Leidner run for 7 yds to the Minn 44

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 46

4th & 1Punt+10 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 42 yds , Robert Ruiz returns for 10 yds to the ColSt 22 Robert Ruiz fumbled, forced by Julian Huff,

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Dalyn Dawkins run for 6 yds to the ColSt 28

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the ColSt 31

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.77

Collin Hill run for 1 yd to the ColSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.19

Dalyn Dawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 30

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Collin Hill run for 6 yds to the ColSt 36

3rd & 6Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.80

Collin Hill pass complete to Robert Ruiz for 37 yds to the Minn 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the Minn 24

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Olabisi Johnson

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.56

Collin Hill pass intercepted Damarius Travis return for no gain to the Minn 6

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 6

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 8

3rd & 8Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.22

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 29 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Eric Carter for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the ColSt 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.10

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for no gain to the ColSt 48

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.44

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Brian Smith for 9 yds to the ColSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Shannon Brooks run for 4 yds to the ColSt 35

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the ColSt 32

3rd & 3Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.57

Rodney Smith run for 31 yds to the ColSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ColSt 6

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Mitch Leidner run for 6 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the ColSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.45

Izzy Matthews run for 21 yds to the ColSt 49 for a 1ST down

2nd & 3Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.62

Detrich Clark run for 19 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Izzy Matthews run for 7 yds to the Minn 18

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Izzy Matthews run for 7 yds to the Minn 44

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.37

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 18 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Nate Wozniak for 18 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Shannon Brooks run for 8 yds to the ColSt 49

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.52

Mitch Leidner run for 14 yds to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 3 yds to the ColSt 32

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the ColSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.99

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 10 yds to the ColSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Mitch Leidner run for 6 yds to the ColSt 14

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Mitch Leidner run for 9 yds to the ColSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Rodney Smith run for 5 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Detrich Clark run for 3 yds to the ColSt 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Collin Hill pass complete to Danny Nwosu for 15 yds to the ColSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Detrich Clark run for 2 yds to the ColSt 34

2nd & 8Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.42

Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, personal foul (Steven Richardson) to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Collin Hill pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 49

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Collin Hill pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Hayden Hunt punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jalen Myrick at the Minn 14

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kobe McCrary run for 5 yds to the Minn 19

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Kobe McCrary run for 2 yds to the Minn 21

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew Wolitarsky, broken up by Justin Sweet

4th & 3Punt+4 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 49 yds , Robert Ruiz returns for 4 yds to the ColSt 34

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Izzy Matthews run for 9 yds to the ColSt 43

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Izzy Matthews run for 2 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Izzy Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 44

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Elroy Masters Jr., broken up by Antonio Shenault

3rd & 11Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.85

Collin Hill sacked by Tai'yon Devers for a loss of 11 yards to the ColSt 33 Collin Hill fumbled, recovered by Minn Gaelin Elmore , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the ColSt 31

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Mitch Leidner run for 6 yds to the ColSt 25

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (Jared Weyler) to the ColSt 30

3rd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Rodney Smith run for 13 yds to the ColSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Rodney Smith run for 15 yds to the ColSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Rodney Smith run for no gain to the ColSt 2

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Rodney Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 3

3rd & 3Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.89

Mitch Leidner run for a loss of 7 yards to the ColSt 10

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.49

Emmit Carpenter 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Dalyn Dawkins

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the ColSt 30

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Faton Bauta run for 4 yds to the ColSt 34

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ColSt 29

4th & 9Punt+2 yds

Hayden Hunt punt for 38 yds , Jalen Myrick returns for 2 yds to the Minn 31 MINNESOTA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Minn 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 5 yds to the Minn 30

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.02

Mitch Leidner pass intercepted Braylin Scott return for no gain to the Minn 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Collin Hill pass complete to Michael Gallup for 9 yds to the Minn 37

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Danny Nwosu

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.66

Collin Hill run for 4 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Robert Ruiz

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Michael Gallup

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Collin Hill run for 5 yds to the Minn 28

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Wyatt Bryan 46 yd FG MISSED

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Nate Wozniak for 4 yds to the Minn 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Colton Beebe for 7 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Rodney Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 35

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Shannon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Minn 39

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Shannon Brooks

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (Antonio Shenault) to the Minn 34

4th & 12Punt+19 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 38 yds , Robert Ruiz returns for 19 yds to the ColSt 47

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Faton Bauta run for 9 yds to the Minn 44

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 2 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Collin Hill pass complete to Michael Gallup for 4 yds to the Minn 38

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Collin Hill run for 8 yds to the Minn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 4 yds to the Minn 26

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive offside (Steven Richardson) to the Minn 21

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 1 yd to the Minn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.40

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 15 yds to the Minn 5 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive holding (Steven Richardson) to the Minn 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Detrich Clark run for 2 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Shannon Brooks run for no gain to the Minn 24

2nd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.41

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 32 yds to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +0.99

Shannon Brooks run for 35 yds to the ColSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Shannon Brooks run for 9 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 3 yds to the ColSt 21

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Robert Ruiz

3rd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.44

Collin Hill pass complete to Michael Gallup for 20 yds to the ColSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

HILL, Collin pass complete to GALLUP, Michael for 7 yards to the CS48 (Celestin, J;Travis,Damarius), PENALTY MINN offside (Devers, Tai'yon) 5 yards to the CS46, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.62

Dalyn Dawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.14

Collin Hill pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 7 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Michael Gallup

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Faton Bauta run for 9 yds to the Minn 39

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Faton Bauta run for no gain to the Minn 39

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.80

Izzy Matthews run for 2 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Detrich Clark run for 2 yds to the Minn 35

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Collin Hill run for 4 yds to the Minn 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.86

Collin Hill pass complete to Michael Gallup for 6 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Michael Gallup

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Detrich Clark run for 2 yds to the Minn 23

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Nolan Peralta

4th & 8Field Goal Good+41 ydsPPA +0.24

Wyatt Bryan 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Leidner, Mitch pass incomplete to Wozniak, Nate, PENALTY CS pass interference (NUTT, Kevin) 15 yards to the MINN34, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.49

Drew Wolitarsky run for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 30

2nd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Mitch Leidner run for 7 yds to the Minn 37

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.39

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Kobe McCrary for 9 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.00

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Brian Smith for 14 yds to the ColSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kobe McCrary run for 5 yds to the ColSt 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.48

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rodney Smith for 15 yds to the ColSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 3 yds to the ColSt 17

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the ColSt 13

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.25

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the ColSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Rodney Smith run for 8 yds to the ColSt 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards to the ColSt 19

2nd & 16Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.19

Collin Hill sacked by Cody Poock for a loss of 6 yards to the ColSt 13

3rd & 22Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.27

Collin Hill pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for 17 yds to the ColSt 30

4th & 5Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.87

Hayden Hunt pass complete to Braylin Scott for 29 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Collin Hill pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.30

Collin Hill pass complete to Robert Ruiz for 11 yds to the Minn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the Minn 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.44

Collin Hill pass complete to Marvin Kinsey Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 29 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jalen Myrick) to the Minn 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Detrich Clark run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 15

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.93

Collin Hill pass complete to Michael Gallup for 15 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd to the Minn 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Colton Beebe for 3 yds to the Minn 29

3rd & 6Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.44

Mitch Leidner sacked by Darnell Thompson for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 51 yds, downed at the ColSt 24

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.10

Faton Bauta run for 13 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Faton Bauta run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 35

2nd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.60

Collin Hill pass complete to Danny Nwosu for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Dalyn Dawkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 46

2nd & 14Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Collin Hill pass complete to Michael Gallup for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 45 COLORADO ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Collin Hill pass complete to Danny Nwosu for 10 yds to the Minn 45

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Collin Hill pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Shannon Brooks run for 6 yds to the ColSt 49

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.48

Shannon Brooks run for 5 yds to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Mitch Leidner run for 6 yds to the ColSt 38

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the ColSt 35

3rd & 1Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.18

Shannon Brooks run for a loss of 5 yards to the ColSt 40

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the ColSt 35

4th & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.79

Shannon Brooks run for 11 yds to the ColSt 24 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Colorado State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
27%
30 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
46%
13 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
56%
27 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play