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← Back to GamesSep 10, 2016Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 8.7

Home Win Probability

Air Force 75%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 10, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia StateGeorgia State
770014
Air ForceAir Force
101714748

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-710-713-720-1427-1441-1448-14
Air ForceGeorgia State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSAFGSAFGSAFGSAFGSAFGSAFGSAFAFAFGSAFGSAFGSAFTD775ydTD00ydPUNT33ydFG1438ydPUNT33ydFG1587ydPUNT31ydTD640ydTD26ydPUNT513ydPUNT35ydTD763ydMISS640ydEND24ydTD575ydTD950ydPUNT69ydPUNT512ydPUNT66ydTD1480ydPUNT3-4ydEND1239yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia State and Air Force
StatisticGeorgia StateAir Force
Passing9-273-9
Pass Yards14267
Rush Yards27464
Total Yards169531
Turnovers00
3rd Down4-1213-19
Penalties5-252-30
Possession14:4645:14

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia State
passing
Conner Manning
8/24, 135 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kendrick Dorn
5 CAR, 15 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Robert Davis
3 REC, 79 YDS
defense
Air Force
passing
Nate Romine
3/9, 67 YDS
rushing
Nate Romine
20 CAR, 124 YDS
receiving
Jalen Robinette
2 REC, 46 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.84

Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 34 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Conner Manning pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Robert Davis, broken up by Haji Dunn Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.48

Conner Manning pass complete to Glenn Smith for 17 yds to the AFA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kyler Neal run for 2 yds to the AFA 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn Smith

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.42

Conner Manning pass complete to Ari Werts for 22 yds for a TD, (Rogier Ten Lohuis KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+99 yds

Rogier Ten Lohuis kickoff for 64 yds , Timothy McVey return for 99 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kendrick Dorn run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Robert Davis

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn Smith

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 48

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Nate Romine run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Shayne Davern run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 45

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyler Williams run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 43

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.00

Shayne Davern run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Nate Romine run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 37

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

D.J. Johnson run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.68

D.J. Johnson run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Shayne Davern run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 24

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nate Romine run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 19

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.16

Nate Romine run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Shayne Davern run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 10

2nd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.71

Nate Romine run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 14

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Nate Romine pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.41

Luke Strebel 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 20

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Demarcus Kirk run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 5 yds to the GeoSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Conner Manning pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 60 yds, downed at the AFA 12

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jacobi Owens run for 6 yds to the AFA 18

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Shayne Davern run for 6 yds to the AFA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.58

Tyler Williams run for 18 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Nate Romine pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nate Romine run for 5 yds to the AFA 47

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.96

D.J. Johnson run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.78

Timothy McVey run for 15 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Nate Romine run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 30

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Shayne Davern run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Shayne Davern run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 16

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

D.J. Johnson run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Nate Romine pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Jacobi Owens run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 3

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.16

D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 1 D.J. Johnson fumbled, forced by Shawanye Lawrence,

4th & 1Field Goal Good+18 ydsPPA -1.21

Luke Strebel 18 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Ari Werts

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 14

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Conner Manning pass complete to Todd Boyd for 6 yds to the GeoSt 20

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn Smith, broken up by Weston Steelhammer

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Nate Romine run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.06

Nate Romine pass complete to Tyler Williams for 21 yds to the GeoSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

D.J. Johnson run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 13

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

D.J. Johnson run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

D.J. Johnson run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Jacobi Owens run for 2 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Aaron Winchester run for 1 yd to the AFA 2 Aaron Winchester fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Aaron Winchester , return for 3 yds to the AFA 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Kendrick Dorn run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rogier Ten Lohuis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Nate Romine run for 6 yds to the AFA 31

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Shayne Davern run for 4 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Nate Romine pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the AFA 38

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Nate Romine pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Glenn Smith at the GeoSt 22

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.77

Aaron Winchester run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 20

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Robert Davis

3rd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.09

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Kendrick Dorn for 7 yds to the GeoSt 27

4th & 5Punt0 yds

O Holdensen punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 37

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the AFA 22

1st & 25Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.87

Nate Romine pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 14 yds to the AFA 36

2nd & 11Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.42

Nate Romine pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 32 yds to the GeoSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nate Romine run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 27

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 24

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.44

Jacobi Owens run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

D.J. Johnson run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 10

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.57

Tyler Williams run for 10 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.68

Conner Manning pass complete to Robert Davis for 40 yds to the AFA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Todd Boyd

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Todd Boyd

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn Smith

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Rogier Ten Lohuis 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Shayne Davern run for 2 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Shayne Davern run for 2 yds to the AFA 32

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Nate Romine run for 21 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nate Romine run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 49

2nd & 5Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.38

Jacobi Owens run for 24 yds to the GeoSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Jacobi Owens run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 18

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.37

Timothy McVey run for 18 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 48

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Nate Romine run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 41

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.78

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 36

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Timothy McVey run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 35

3rd & 7Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.02

Timothy McVey run for 28 yds to the GeoSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.41

Shayne Davern run for no gain to the GeoSt 7 Shayne Davern fumbled, recovered by AFA Nate Romine

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Shayne Davern run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Tyler Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Demarcus Kirk run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 38

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Demarcus Kirk run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.92

Conner Manning pass complete to Keith Rucker for 5 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Demarcus Kirk run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 49

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Ari Werts, broken up by Haji Dunn Jr.

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (Gabe Mobley) to the GeoSt 44

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Robert Davis, broken up by Jesse Washington

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 32

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nate Romine run for 5 yds to the AFA 37

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Nate Romine run for 8 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, clipping (James Rast) to the AFA 30

1st & 25Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Tyler Williams run for 10 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

D.J. Johnson run for 4 yds to the AFA 44

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 26 yds, downed at the GeoSt 30

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Kendrick Dorn run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 37

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Kendrick Dorn run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 39

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (Sebastian Willer) to the GeoSt 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.88

Conner Manning pass complete to Todd Boyd for 6 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Kendrick Dorn run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 41

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (Gabe Mobley) to the GeoSt 36

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Todd Boyd

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Conner Manning pass incomplete to Glenn Smith, broken up by Weston Steelhammer

4th & 14Punt0 yds

O Holdensen punt for 64 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Nate Romine run for 7 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

D.J. Johnson run for 1 yd to the AFA 28

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.22

D.J. Johnson run for 6 yds to the AFA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Shayne Davern run for 3 yds to the AFA 37

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Shayne Davern run for 4 yds to the AFA 41

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.78

Nate Romine run for 6 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Nate Romine run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 49

3rd & 6Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.76

Nate Romine run for 27 yds to the GeoSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

D.J. Johnson run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 17

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 14

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.19

Shayne Davern run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Nate Romine run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 5

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.34

Shayne Davern run for 5 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Kyler Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Glenn Smith

3rd & 11Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.18

Aaron Winchester sacked by Grant Ross for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 21

4th & 14Punt0 yds

O Holdensen punt for 34 yds, downed at the AFA 45

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Parker Wilson run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 49

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.42

Parker Wilson run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Parker Wilson run for 11 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Parker Wilson run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 31

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jacob Stafford run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 27

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.58

Parker Wilson run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jacob Stafford run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 19

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jacob Stafford run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 14

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.18

Jacob Stafford run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 13

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.53

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 15

3rd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.85

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 16

Situational Analysis

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
15%
13 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
17%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
4th

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
43%
35 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
71%
14 plays
57%
14 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
83%
12 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play