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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2016Week 1
Cal Poly
27
-Final
30
NevadaNevada

House Prediction

Model Margin

Nevada by 5.4

Home Win Probability

Nevada 66%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 3, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
Cal Poly
73014327
NevadaNevada
21300630

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-014-721-1024-1024-24
NevadaCal Poly

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEVCPNEVCPNEVCPNEVCPNEVCPNEVCPCPNEVCPNEVCPNEVCPNEVCPCPNEVTD675ydTO3-2ydTD427ydPUNT724ydPUNT3-1ydTD450ydTD675ydFG1770ydPUNT1430ydPUNT33ydFG545ydEND1-1ydDOWNS1043ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT813ydPUNT30ydTD868ydMISS954ydTD1879ydPUNT33ydEND229ydFG46ydTD425yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Cal Poly and Nevada
StatisticCal PolyNevada
Passing5-1217-24
Pass Yards62189
Rush Yards383174
Total Yards445363
Turnovers10
3rd Down10-207-14
Penalties9-754-40
Possession36:0923:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Cal Poly
passing
Dano Graves
5/12, 62 YDS
rushing
Dano Graves
26 CAR, 140 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Carson McMurtrey
2 REC, 25 YDS
defense
Nevada
passing
Tyler Stewart
17/23, 189 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
James Butler
21 CAR, 123 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Andrew Celis
2 REC, 47 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

James Butler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 10 yds to the Nevad 34

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.44

James Butler run for 7 yds to the Nevad 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Andrew Celis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 40

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.28

James Butler run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +4.72

James Butler run for 50 yds for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Dano Graves run for 3 yds to the CPoly 32

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Joe Protheroe run for 3 yds to the CPoly 35

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-8 ydsPPA -0.59

Dano Graves run for a loss of 8 yards to the CPoly 27 Dano Graves fumbled, recovered by Nevad Dameon Baber

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.21

Tyler Stewart run for 15 yds to the CPoly 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

James Butler run for 3 yds to the CPoly 9

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

James Butler run for 3 yds to the CPoly 6

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.72

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 6 yds for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Dano Graves run for 2 yds to the CPoly 22

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Dano Graves run for 6 yds to the CPoly 28

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.04

Joe Protheroe run for 4 yds to the CPoly 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Kori Garcia run for 10 yds to the CPoly 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Dano Graves pass incomplete to Kyle Lewis

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Kori Garcia run for 2 yds to the CPoly 44

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Dano Graves pass incomplete, broken up by Jaden Sawyer

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alex Vega punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

James Butler run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 17

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

James Butler run for 1 yd to the Nevad 18

3rd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Tyler Stewart pass complete to James Butler for 1 yd to the Nevad 19

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Alex Boy punt for 31 yds, downed at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Joe Protheroe run for 5 yds to the Nevad 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.95

Dano Graves pass complete to Kory Fox for 16 yds to the Nevad 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.53

Dano Graves run for no gain to the Nevad 28 Dano Graves fumbled, forced by Dameon Baber, recovered by CPoly Dano Graves

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.20

Joe Protheroe run for 28 yds for a TD, (Casey Sublette KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +3.29

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Victor Gonzalez for 46 yds to the CPoly 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Tyler Stewart pass complete to James Butler for a loss of 2 yards to the CPoly 31

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Akeel Lynch run for 3 yds to the CPoly 28

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.31

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jarred Gipson for 12 yds to the CPoly 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Akeel Lynch run for 7 yds to the CPoly 9

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.26

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 9 yds for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Joe Protheroe run for 6 yds to the CPoly 26

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Kori Garcia run for a loss of 3 yards to the CPoly 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.91

Dano Graves pass complete to Carson McMurtrey for 13 yds to the CPoly 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dano Graves run for 4 yds to the CPoly 40

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.99

Joe Protheroe run for no gain to the CPoly 45 Joe Protheroe fumbled, forced by Kendall Johnson, recovered by CPoly Joe Protheroe

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Joe Protheroe run for 2 yds to the CPoly 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Kori Garcia run for a loss of 2 yards to the CPoly 45

2nd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.28

Kori Garcia run for 10 yds to the Nevad 45

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Joe Protheroe run for 1 yd to the Nevad 44

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.04

Dano Graves run for 2 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Dano Graves run for 8 yds to the Nevad 34

2nd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA -0.06

Dano Graves pass complete to Dj Peluso for 10 yds to the Nevad 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.16

Dj Peluso run for 13 yds to the Nevad 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Joe Protheroe run for 4 yds to the Nevad 7

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Dano Graves pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.61

Kori Garcia run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 10

4th & 9Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.55

Casey Sublette 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.73

James Butler run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 19

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico Richardson

3rd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.33

Tyler Stewart run for 11 yds to the Nevad 30

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.32

Tyler Stewart run for 1 yd to the Nevad 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Tyler Stewart pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.74

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for 20 yds to the CPoly 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 3 yds to the CPoly 46

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

James Butler run for 6 yds to the CPoly 40

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.82

James Butler run for 5 yds to the CPoly 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Akeel Lynch run for 8 yds to the CPoly 27

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Akeel Lynch run for 3 yds to the CPoly 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

LYNCH, Akeel rush for loss of 1 yard to the CP25 (Chris Santini), PENALTY NEV illegal block 15 yards to the CP39, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Penalty-10 yds

STEWART, Tyler pass complete to RICHARDSON, J. for 16 yards to the CP23 (Kitu Humphrey), PENALTY NEV holding (GOLTRY, Nathan) 10 yards to the CP49, NO PLAY.

1st & 35Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Ahki Muhammad NEVADA Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declined

2nd & 35Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tyler Stewart run for 4 yds to the CPoly 45

3rd & 31Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.28

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for a loss of 4 yards to the CPoly 49

4th & 35Punt0 yds

Alex Boy punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Dano Graves run for 2 yds to the CPoly 22

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Dano Graves run for 4 yds to the CPoly 26

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Joe Protheroe run for 2 yds to the CPoly 28

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

CAL POLY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CPoly 23

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Alex Vega punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nevad 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.35

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Andrew Celis for 26 yds to the CPoly 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.18

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 12 yds to the CPoly 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+7 yds

STEWART, Tyler pass incomplete to DEMPS, Wyatt, PENALTY CP personal foul (Kelly Shepard) 7 yards to the CP8, 1ST DOWN NEV, NO PLAY.

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyler Stewart pass incomplete

2nd & 8Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -1.32

Brent Zuzo 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the CPoly 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Dano Graves run for 11 yds to the CPoly 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Joe Protheroe run for a loss of 2 yards to the CPoly 34

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Joe Protheroe run for 6 yds to the CPoly 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.62

Dano Graves pass complete to Carson McMurtrey for 12 yds to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Kyle Lewis run for 2 yds to the Nevad 46

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.31

Joe Protheroe run for 11 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Dano Graves pass incomplete to J.J. Koski

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Dano Graves run for 3 yds to the Nevad 32

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kori Garcia run for no gain to the Nevad 32

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.04

Dano Graves pass incomplete to Carson McMurtrey

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico Richardson

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

James Butler run for 3 yds to the Nevad 35

3rd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.62

Tyler Stewart sacked by B.J. Nard for a loss of 6 yards to the Nevad 29

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Alex Boy punt for 71 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CAL POLY Penalty, false start (Nick Enriquez) to the CPoly 15

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

CAL POLY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the CPoly 10

1st & 20Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.48

Dano Graves run for 12 yds to the CPoly 22

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Dano Graves run for 5 yds to the CPoly 27

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.09

Joe Protheroe run for 4 yds to the CPoly 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Dano Graves run for 4 yds to the CPoly 35

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.09

Jared Mohamed run for 6 yds to the CPoly 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jared Mohamed run for 3 yds to the CPoly 44

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Dano Graves run for 2 yds to the CPoly 46

3rd & 5Penalty-15 yds

CAL POLY Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the CPoly 31

3rd & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Dano Graves run for 2 yds to the CPoly 33

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Alex Vega punt for 45 yds, downed at the Nevad 22

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MUHAMMAD, Ahki rush for 5 yards to the NEV27 (Kevin Griffin), PENALTY NEV holding (BUTLER, James) 10 yards to the NEV12, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico Richardson

2nd & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.03

James Butler run for 2 yds to the Nevad 14

3rd & 18Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.05

Tyler Stewart run for 8 yds to the Nevad 22

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Alex Boy punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kory Fox at the CPoly 31

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Joe Protheroe rush for 5 yards to the CP37 (JOSEPH, Jarid), PENALTY CP illegal block (Joey Kuperman) 15 yards to the CP17, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Dano Graves run for 4 yds to the CPoly 21

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Dano Graves pass incomplete to Kory Fox

3rd & 21Rush+30 ydsPPA +3.58

Dano Graves run for 30 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Joe Protheroe run for 3 yds to the Nevad 46

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Joe Protheroe run for 4 yds to the Nevad 42

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.24

Joe Protheroe run for 5 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +0.54

Jared Mohamed run for 27 yds to the Nevad 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

James Butler run for no gain to the Nevad 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Brandon Scott for 6 yds to the Nevad 31

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, false start (Jeremy Macauley) to the Nevad 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.98

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Andrew Celis for 21 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 8 yds to the CPoly 45

2nd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.40

James Butler run for 16 yds to the CPoly 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

James Butler run for 2 yds to the CPoly 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 3 yds to the CPoly 24

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

James Butler run for 3 yds to the CPoly 21

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Brent Zuzo 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Dano Graves run for 6 yds to the CPoly 27

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Joe Protheroe run for 3 yds to the CPoly 30

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

Joe Protheroe run for 3 yds to the CPoly 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-13 yds

DJ Peluso rush for 4 yards to the CP37 (RUFUS, Asauni;BERTRANDO, Alex), PENALTY CP illegal block (T. Whisenhunt) 13 yards to the CP20, NO PLAY.

1st & 23Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.93

Kori Garcia run for 14 yds to the CPoly 34

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Dano Graves run for 7 yds to the CPoly 41

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.80

Joe Protheroe run for 8 yds to the CPoly 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Joe Protheroe run for 4 yds to the Nevad 47

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Joe Protheroe run for 4 yds to the Nevad 43

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Joe Protheroe run for 1 yd to the Nevad 42

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.96

Joe Protheroe run for 2 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.56

Kori Garcia run for 19 yds to the Nevad 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Dano Graves run for 2 yds to the Nevad 19

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

CAL POLY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 24

2nd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.62

Dano Graves pass complete to Joe Protheroe for 11 yds to the Nevad 13

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Joe Protheroe run for 1 yd to the Nevad 12

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.51

Joe Protheroe run for 2 yds to the Nevad 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Dano Graves run for 6 yds to the Nevad 1 Dano Graves fumbled, forced by Elijah Moody, recovered by CPoly Joey Kuperman

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Joe Protheroe run for no gain to the Nevad 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Dano Graves 1 Yd Run (Casey Sublette Kick)

1st & 3Penalty-5 yds

CAL POLY Penalty, false start (Billy Shipman) to the Nevad 8

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Tyler Stewart sacked by Josh Letuligasenoa for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 22

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

James Butler run for 5 yds to the Nevad 27

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Tyler Stewart run for 1 yd to the Nevad 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Alex Boy punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Kory Fox at the CPoly 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Dano Graves pass incomplete to Carson McMurtrey, broken up by EJ Muhammad

2nd & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.98

Kori Garcia run for 29 yds to the Nevad 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.45

Dj Peluso run for no gain to the Nevad 26 Dj Peluso fumbled, forced by Asauni Rufus, recovered by CPoly

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Kori Garcia run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 27

3rd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Dano Graves run for 8 yds to the Nevad 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.16

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 12 yds to the CPoly 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

James Butler run for 8 yds to the CPoly 5

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

James Butler run for no gain to the CPoly 5

Situational Analysis

Cal Poly

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
34%
29 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
12 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
70%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays

Nevada

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
23 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
38%
8 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play