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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2016Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 8.2

Home Win Probability

Air Force 74%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 3, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Abilene Christian
077721
Air ForceAir Force
7210937

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-714-721-728-728-1431-1437-1437-21
Air ForceAbilene Christian

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AFACAFACAFACAFACAFACAFACAFACAFACACAFACAFACAFACAFACAFACAFTO326ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT423ydPUNT3-2ydTO310ydPUNT37ydTD482ydPUNT830ydPUNT745ydTD1085ydTD575ydPUNT3-1ydTD955ydPUNT36ydTD590ydEND435ydPUNT38ydPUNT34ydTD343ydPUNT531ydPUNT620ydPUNT30ydMISS1054ydFG1072ydPUNT39ydTD1379ydTD375ydUncategorized424yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Abilene Christian and Air Force
StatisticAbilene ChristianAir Force
Passing16-336-11
Pass Yards274201
Rush Yards86401
Total Yards360602
Turnovers02
3rd Down7-176-13
Penalties8-597-72
Possession25:3234:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Abilene Christian
passing
Dallas Sealey
16/33, 274 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Tracy James
10 CAR, 42 YDS
receiving
D.J. Fuller
5 REC, 109 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Air Force
passing
Nate Romine
5/10, 184 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jacobi Owens
13 CAR, 121 YDS
receiving
Ryan Reffitt
2 REC, 70 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Brendan Conn kickoff for 62 yds , Timothy McVey return for 24 yds to the AFA 27

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Tyler Williams run for 10 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Nate Romine pass complete to Ryan Reffitt for 8 yds to the AFA 45

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -2.99

Jacobi Owens run for 8 yds to the AblCh 47 Jacobi Owens fumbled, forced by D.J. Arnold, recovered by AblCh Dylan Douglass

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AblCh 42

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

De'Andre Brown run for 2 yds to the AblCh 44

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Dallas Sealey pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Dallas Sealey pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Austin Kilcullen punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.02

Jacobi Owens run for 24 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Nate Romine pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jacobi Owens run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.79

Nate Romine run for a loss of 7 yards to the AFA 43

4th & 11Punt+5 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 47 yds , Justin Miller returns for 5 yds to the AblCh 15

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.62

Dallas Sealey sacked by Ryan Watson for a loss of 4 yards to the AblCh 11

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.06

De'Andre Brown run for 2 yds to the AblCh 13

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Dallas Sealey pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Austin Kilcullen punt for 34 yds, downed at the AblCh 47

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.56

Timothy McVey run for 10 yds to the AblCh 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Shayne Davern run for 4 yds to the AblCh 33

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -3.87

Nate Romine run for a loss of 3 yards to the AblCh 37 Nate Romine fumbled, recovered by AblCh Temisan Kuyatsemi

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Adrian Duncan run for no gain to the AblCh 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Dallas Sealey pass complete to Trevor Crain for 4 yds to the AblCh 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Dallas Sealey pass complete to D.J. Fuller for 3 yds to the AblCh 44

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Austin Kilcullen punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.63

Jacobi Owens run for 10 yds to the AFA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jacobi Owens run for 4 yds to the AFA 32

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.03

Shayne Davern run for 6 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +4.95

Nate Romine pass complete to Ryan Reffitt for 62 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Adrian Duncan run for 5 yds to the AblCh 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Dallas Sealey pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.78

Dallas Sealey pass complete to Trevor Crain for 8 yds to the AblCh 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Adrian Duncan run for 3 yds to the AblCh 41

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AblCh 36

2nd & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.77

Dallas Sealey pass complete to Justin Miller for 17 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Dallas Sealey run for 2 yds to the AFA 45

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Adrian Duncan run for no gain to the AFA 45

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Dallas Sealey pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Cody Ennis punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Tyler Williams, broken up by R Griffin Iii

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the AFA 6

2nd & 15Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.45

Parker Wilson run for 33 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Parker Wilson run for 6 yds to the AFA 45

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Parker Wilson run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Ryan Reffitt

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.51

Shayne Davern run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 47

3rd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Nate Romine run for 9 yds to the AblCh 44

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 29 yds, fair catch by D.J. Fuller at the AblCh 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

De'Andre Brown run for 2 yds to the AblCh 17

2nd & 8Penalty+11 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Hayes Linn) to the AblCh 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Tracy James run for 1 yd to the AblCh 29

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Tracy James run for 4 yds to the AblCh 33

3rd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.19

Dallas Sealey pass complete to Troy Grant for 23 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Dallas Sealey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.48

Justin Miller run for 11 yds to the AFA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, roughing passer (Santo Coppola) to the AFA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Dallas Sealey pass complete to Josh Fink for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 20

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Dallas Sealey pass complete to Josh Fink for 9 yds to the AFA 11

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.41

Tracy James run for 3 yds to the AFA 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Dallas Sealey pass complete to Josh Fink for 8 yds for a TD, (Brendan Conn KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Tyler Williams run for 14 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

D.J. Johnson run for 7 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jabari Butler) to the AblCh 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the AblCh 37

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Nate Romine run for 4 yds to the AblCh 33

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +3.69

Ronald Cleveland run for 33 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dallas Sealey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.49

Dallas Sealey sacked by Grant Ross for a loss of 4 yards to the AblCh 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Dallas Sealey pass complete to Justin Miller for 3 yds to the AblCh 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Austin Kilcullen punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

D.J. Johnson run for 1 yd to the AFA 46

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jacobi Owens run for 5 yds to the AblCh 49

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.71

Tyler Williams run for 5 yds to the AblCh 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Jacobi Owens run for 7 yds to the AblCh 37

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

D.J. Johnson run for 5 yds to the AblCh 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Nate Romine pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 11 yds to the AblCh 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.31

D.J. Johnson run for 13 yds to the AblCh 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty+4 yds

ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, offside defense (4 Yards) to the AblCh 4

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Shayne Davern run for 1 yd to the AblCh 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Timothy McVey run for 3 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dallas Sealey pass incomplete to Justin Miller

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Justin Miller run for 6 yds to the AblCh 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Dallas Sealey pass incomplete to Troy Grant

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Austin Kilcullen punt for 59 yds, downed at the AFA 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Shayne Davern run for 4 yds to the AFA 14

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Shayne Davern run for 8 yds to the AFA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-11 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul (Shayne Davern) to the AFA 11

1st & 21Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.14

Timothy McVey run for 8 yds to the AFA 19

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Shayne Davern run for 4 yds to the AFA 23

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jabari Butler) to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +4.95

Nate Romine pass complete to Ronald Cleveland for 62 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tracy James run for 1 yd to the AblCh 26

2nd & 9Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.57

Tracy James run for 21 yds to the AblCh 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Dallas Sealey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.06

Tracy James run for 13 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Luke Strebel kickoff for 65 yds , Justin Miller return for 27 yds to the AblCh 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Adrian Duncan run for 3 yds to the AblCh 30

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Adrian Duncan run for 5 yds to the AblCh 35

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Adrian Duncan run for no gain to the AblCh 35

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Austin Kilcullen punt for 65 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jacobi Owens run for 4 yds to the AFA 24

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Shayne Davern run for 2 yds to the AFA 26

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the AFA 29

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, DL (-5 Yards) to the AFA 24

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 19 yds, downed at the AFA 43

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Tracy James run for no gain to the AFA 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Dallas Sealey pass incomplete to Justin Miller

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +5.35

Dallas Sealey pass complete to D.J. Fuller for 43 yds for a TD, (Brendan Conn KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Brendan Conn kickoff for 63 yds , Timothy McVey return for 18 yds to the AFA 21 Timothy McVey fumbled, forced by Adrian Duncan,

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Ryan Reffitt

2nd & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.91

Jacobi Owens run for 27 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the AblCh 49

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

D.J. Johnson run for 1 yd to the AblCh 48

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Ryan Reffitt

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 42 yds , Justin Miller returns for no gain to the AblCh 6

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Adrian Duncan run for 1 yd to the AblCh 7

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Dallas Sealey pass incomplete to D.J. Fuller

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.09

Dallas Sealey pass complete to D.J. Fuller for 16 yds to the AblCh 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Dallas Sealey pass incomplete to D.J. Fuller

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Adrian Duncan run for 3 yds to the AblCh 26

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Dallas Sealey pass incomplete to Troy Grant

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Austin Kilcullen punt for 40 yds, downed at the AFA 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyler Williams run for 3 yds to the AFA 37

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

D.J. Johnson run for no gain to the AFA 37

3rd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.61

Nate Romine sacked by Gavin Burford for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 34

4th & 10Punt+6 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 44 yds , D.J. Fuller returns for 6 yds to the AblCh 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Tracy James run for 1 yd to the AblCh 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Dallas Sealey pass complete to Josh Fink for 4 yds to the AblCh 33

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.60

Dallas Sealey pass complete to Vasquez Haynes for 15 yds to the AblCh 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Dallas Sealey pass complete to D.J. Fuller for 12 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.48

Tracy James run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 43

2nd & 13Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.35

Dallas Sealey pass complete to D.J. Fuller for 35 yds to the AFA 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Dallas Sealey pass incomplete to D.J. Fuller, broken up by Jr. Haji Dunn

2nd & 0Penalty-5 yds

ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, false start (Austin Hisler) to the AFA 13

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Dallas Sealey pass incomplete to Justin Miller, broken up by Ryan Watson

3rd & 0Penalty-5 yds

ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the AFA 18

3rd & 0Pass Incompletion0 yds

Dallas Sealey pass incomplete to Troy Grant

4th & 0Field Goal Missed+35 yds

Brendan Conn 35 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Nate Romine run for 8 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.84

Nate Romine pass complete to Tyler Williams for 41 yds to the AblCh 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the AblCh 26

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Ronald Cleveland run for 7 yds to the AblCh 19

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Shayne Davern run for 7 yds to the AblCh 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Shayne Davern run for a loss of 3 yards to the AblCh 15

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Ronald Cleveland run for 1 yd to the AblCh 14

3rd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Nate Romine run for 6 yds to the AblCh 8

4th & 6Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.81

Luke Strebel 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Justin Miller run for 5 yds to the AblCh 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Adrian Duncan run for 4 yds to the AblCh 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Adrian Duncan run for no gain to the AblCh 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Austin Kilcullen punt for 45 yds, downed at the AFA 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Shayne Davern run for 3 yds to the AFA 24

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.63

Jacobi Owens run for 14 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the AFA 28

1st & 20Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.41

Shayne Davern run for 13 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Shayne Davern run for 4 yds to the AFA 45

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the AFA 47

4th & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.63

Tyler Williams run for 8 yds to the AblCh 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

D.J. Johnson run for 4 yds to the AblCh 41

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

D.J. Johnson run for 7 yds to the AblCh 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Ronald Cleveland run for 7 yds to the AblCh 27

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.07

Shayne Davern run for 7 yds to the AblCh 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Arion Worthman run for 2 yds to the AblCh 18

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

D.J. Johnson run for 1 yd to the AblCh 17

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.14

Arion Worthman pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 17 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

DeShun Qualls run for a loss of 2 yards to the AblCh 23

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Tracy James run for 1 yd to the AblCh 24

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+76 ydsPPA +7.17

Dallas Sealey pass complete to Tracy James for 76 yds for a TD, (Brendan Conn KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the AFA 30

1st & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.39

D.J. Johnson run for 7 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

D.J. Johnson run for 4 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

D.J. Johnson run for 1 yd to the AFA 42

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.13

Jacobi Owens run for 7 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Santo Coppola run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 47

Situational Analysis

Abilene Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
17%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
38%
13 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
46%
35 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
45%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play