Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 26, 2016Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon by 4.3

Home Win Probability

Oregon State 37%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 26, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
OregonOregon
7710024
Oregon StateOregon State
7771334

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-714-1414-2121-2428-2434-24
Oregon StateOregon

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OREOSOREOSOREOSOREOSOREOSOREOSOREOSOREOSOREOSOREOSOREOSPUNT37ydTD961ydTD1075ydPUNT35ydPUNT36ydTO830ydTD583ydTD1075ydTO568ydPUNT826ydEND11ydPUNT3-10ydTD460ydPUNT32ydFG1150ydTD775ydPUNT56ydTD1180ydPUNT34ydTD968ydDOWNS1044ydEND2-6yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Oregon and Oregon State
StatisticOregonOregon State
Passing17-2913-20
Pass Yards213101
Rush Yards171310
Total Yards384411
Turnovers11
3rd Down3-107-12
Penalties6-757-65
Possession20:0539:55

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Oregon
passing
Justin Herbert
16/28, 180 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Royce Freeman
19 CAR, 106 YDS
receiving
Darren Carrington II
3 REC, 76 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Oregon State
passing
Marcus McMaryion
13/20, 101 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Ryan Nall
31 CAR, 155 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
Ryan Nall
2 REC, 34 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Justin Herbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Justin Herbert pass complete to Royce Freeman for 4 yds to the Oregn 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ian Wheeler punt for 29 yds , Andre Bodden returns for no gain to the OrgSt 39

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Marcus McMaryion run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 48

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.19

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ryan Nall for 4 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ryan Nall run for no gain to the Oregn 48

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.79

Ryan Nall run for 13 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Paul Lucas run for 7 yds to the Oregn 28

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Marcus McMaryion run for 8 yds to the Oregn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Victor Bolden Jr. for 8 yds to the Oregn 12

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.16

Ryan Nall run for 12 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)

1st & 0Penalty+15 yds

OREGON Penalty, personal foul (Elijah George) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Royce Freeman run for 1 yd to the Oregn 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.42

Justin Herbert pass complete to Jalen Brown for 9 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Justin Herbert pass complete to Charles Nelson for no gain to the Oregn 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 9 yds to the Oregn 44

3rd & 1Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.32

Royce Freeman run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down OREGON ST Penalty, personal foul (Manase Hungalu) to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 31

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.38

Tony Brooks-James run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.14

Tony Brooks-James run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Tony Brooks-James run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 3

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.08

Tony Brooks-James run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 20

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Ryan Nall run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 21

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.16

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Artavis Pierce for 9 yds to the OrgSt 30

4th & 5Punt+3 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 46 yds , Dillon Mitchell returns for 3 yds to the Oregn 33 OREGON Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Oregn 17

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Royce Freeman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 15

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 8 yds to the Oregn 23

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Charles Nelson, broken up by Treston Decoud

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ian Wheeler punt for 31 yds , Victor Bolden Jr. returns for no gain to the Oregn 47 Victor Bolden Jr. fumbled, recovered by OrgSt Andre Bodden

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Ryan Nall run for 4 yds to the Oregn 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.73

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 7 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Marcus McMaryion run for 8 yds to the Oregn 28

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Victor Bolden Jr. run for 1 yd to the Oregn 27

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.32

Ryan Nall run for 3 yds to the Oregn 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Victor Bolden Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Ryan Nall run for 4 yds to the Oregn 20

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -3.82

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Victor Bolden Jr. for 5 yds Victor Bolden Jr. fumbled, forced by Arrion Springs, recovered by Oregn Justin Hollins

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Treston Decoud) to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Royce Freeman run for no gain to the Oregn 47

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jalen Brown

3rd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +3.16

Royce Freeman run for 16 yds to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 33

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +3.13

Jalen Brown pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 33 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ryan Nall run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 4 yds to the OrgSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.46

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 15 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.58

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ryan Nall for 30 yds to the Oregn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Ryan Nall run for 2 yds to the Oregn 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 5 yds to the Oregn 18

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Marcus McMaryion run for 6 yds to the Oregn 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Ryan Nall run for 2 yds to the Oregn 10

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Marcus McMaryion run for 4 yds to the Oregn 6

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.72

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ricky Ortiz for 6 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Adley Rutschman kickoff for 60 yds , Tony Brooks-James return for 21 yds to the Oregn 26

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Herbert, Justin pass incomplete to Brown, Jalen, dropped pass, PENALTY OSU offside defense (Hughes-Murray) 5 yards to the ORE31, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.72

Justin Herbert pass complete to Charles Nelson for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 46

2nd & 6Rush+34 ydsPPA +1.45

Royce Freeman run for 34 yds to the OrgSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tony Brooks-James run for no gain to the OrgSt 12

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -4.17

Tony Brooks-James run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 6 Tony Brooks-James fumbled, recovered by OrgSt Kendall Hill

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Artavis Pierce run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 15

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

Marcus McMaryion run for no gain to the OrgSt 15

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.38

Ryan Nall run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 4 yds to the OrgSt 22

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Ryan Nall run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Victor Bolden Jr. for 3 yds to the OrgSt 32

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Trevon Bradford

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dillon Mitchell at the Oregn 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Royce Freeman run for 1 yd to the Oregn 33

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ryan Nall run for no gain to the OrgSt 25

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ryan Nall run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 28

3rd & 7Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.46

Marcus McMaryion sacked by T.J. Daniel for a loss of 13 yards to the OrgSt 15

4th & 20Punt+1 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 46 yds , Dillon Mitchell returns for 1 yd to the Oregn 40

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Royce Freeman run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.97

Tony Brooks-James run for 20 yds to the OrgSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Tony Brooks-James run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 23

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.58

Justin Herbert pass complete to Charles Nelson for 23 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Matt Wogan kickoff for 65 yds , Victor Bolden Jr. return for 22 yds to the OREGONST 43 OREGON Penalty, personal foul (Charles Nelson) to the OrgSt 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Marcus McMaryion run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Victor Bolden Jr., broken up by Wayne Tei-Kirby

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Victor Bolden Jr.

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dillon Mitchell at the Oregn 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.39

Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 22 yds to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.19

Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Mundt for 7 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Royce Freeman run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Mundt, broken up by Dwayne Williams

3rd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.37

Justin Herbert pass complete to Royce Freeman for 21 yds to the OrgSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.37

Tony Brooks-James run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 14 OREGON Penalty, personal foul (Cameron Hunt) to the OrgSt 29

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Mundt

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Mundt, broken up by Devin Chappell

4th & 18Field Goal Good+46 ydsPPA +1.91

Aidan Schneider 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ryan Nall run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.71

Ryan Nall run for 13 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.42

Marcus McMaryion run for 18 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Artavis Pierce run for 5 yds to the Oregn 36

2nd & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.57

Artavis Pierce run for 19 yds to the Oregn 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Artavis Pierce for 3 yds to the Oregn 14

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.69

Ryan Nall run for 14 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Offensive offside (Andre Bodden) to the OrgSt 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Justin Herbert pass complete to Royce Freeman for 8 yds to the Oregn 46

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.00

Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Justin Herbert sacked by Caleb Saulo for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 47

2nd & 12Penalty-10 yds

Herbert, Justin pass incomplete to Brown, Jalen, PENALTY ORE holding (Hanson, Jake) 10 yards to the ORE37, NO PLAY.

2nd & 22Penalty+5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, offside defense (Elu Aydon) to the Oregn 42

2nd & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Royce Freeman run for no gain to the Oregn 42

3rd & 17Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Justin Herbert pass complete to Jalen Brown for 2 yds to the Oregn 44

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Ian Wheeler punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ryan Nall run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 25

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ryan Nall run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 29

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.70

Ryan Nall run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Ryan Nall run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 29

2nd & 11Rush+33 ydsPPA +3.59

Marcus McMaryion run for 33 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Ryan Nall run for 2 yds to the Oregn 36

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.79

Ryan Nall run for 10 yds to the Oregn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Artavis Pierce run for 6 yds to the Oregn 20

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.01

Artavis Pierce run for 8 yds to the Oregn 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Marcus McMaryion run for 6 yds to the Oregn 6

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.35

Ryan Nall run for 6 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

OREGON Penalty, Offensive holding (Cameron Hunt) to the Oregn 15

1st & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.13

Royce Freeman run for 7 yds to the Oregn 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Justin Herbert pass complete to Charles Nelson for 1 yd to the Oregn 23

3rd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Royce Freeman run for 6 yds to the Oregn 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ian Wheeler punt for 39 yds, downed at the OrgSt 32

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Ryan Nall run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 36

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.20

Ryan Nall run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Ryan Nall run for 8 yds to the Oregn 49

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ryan Nall run for 5 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ryan Nall run for 5 yds to the Oregn 39

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.58

Ryan Nall run for 12 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Artavis Pierce run for 6 yds to the Oregn 21

2nd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.33

Artavis Pierce run for 19 yds to the Oregn 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Ryan Nall run for 2 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jalen Brown

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Mundt for 4 yds to the Oregn 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Charles Nelson, broken up by Brandon Arnold

4th & 6Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.68

Justin Herbert pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 26 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Mundt

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.71

Justin Herbert pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 17 yds to the OrgSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jalen Brown

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.28

Justin Herbert sacked by Elu Aydon for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 31

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Charles Nelson, broken up by Treston Decoud

4th & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.44

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Mundt

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.24

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 28

2nd & 13Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.41

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 25

Situational Analysis

Oregon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
25%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
100%
4 plays
45%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
78%
9 plays
50%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th