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← Back to GamesOct 15, 2016Week 7
USCUSC
48
-Final
14
ArizonaArizona
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

USC by 3.7

Home Win Probability

Arizona 38%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 15, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
USCUSC
14207748
ArizonaArizona
700714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-77-147-217-347-4114-4114-48
ArizonaUSC

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USCARIUSCARIUSCARIUSCARIUSCARIUSCARIUSCARIUSCARIARIUSCARIUSCARIUSCARIUSCARIUSCARIUSCTD1073ydPUNT425ydPUNT36ydTD538ydTD1475ydTO211ydTD210ydDOWNS974ydPUNT828ydPUNT30ydPUNT37ydTO10ydTD315ydPUNT38ydTD880ydEND16ydPUNT621ydTD685ydDOWNS938ydMISS926ydTD1163ydTD465ydPUNT3-10ydPUNT34ydTO768ydDOWNS587ydTO634ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing USC and Arizona
StatisticUSCArizona
Passing22-3511-26
Pass Yards254142
Rush Yards320201
Total Yards574343
Turnovers04
3rd Down7-146-14
Penalties8-984-35
Possession35:2424:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

USC
passing
Sam Darnold
20/32, 235 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Aca'Cedric Ware
12 CAR, 103 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
JuJu Smith-Schuster
9 REC, 132 YDS, 3 TD
defense
Arizona
passing
Matt Morin
4/8, 84 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Khalil Tate
14 CAR, 72 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Cam Denson
1 REC, 51 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Sam Darnold pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Ronald Jones II run for 3 yds to the USC 31

3rd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.99

Sam Darnold pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Sam Darnold pass complete to De'Quan Hampton for 9 yds to the Ariz 41

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.09

Ronald Jones II run for 10 yds to the Ariz 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Ariz 26

1st & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA -0.42

Ronald Jones II run for 14 yds to the Ariz 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Ronald Jones II run for 2 yds to the Ariz 10

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.76

Sam Darnold run for 9 yds to the Ariz 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.50

Ronald Jones II run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ariz 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Ronald Jones II run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Boermeester KICK)

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.46

Khalil Tate run for 28 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Nick Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 49

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 46

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Khalil Tate pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Khalil Tate pass complete to Samajie Grant for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 13Punt+5 yds

Josh Pollack punt for 42 yds , Adoree' Jackson returns for 5 yds to the USC 13

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 3 yds to the USC 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 3 yds to the USC 19

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Sam Darnold pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+49 yds

Chris Tilbey punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARIZONA 47 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the USC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Khalil Tate run for 6 yds to the USC 32

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the USC 29

3rd & 1Penalty+16 yds

Tate, K. pass incomplete to Griffey, T., PENALTY USC pass interference 16 yards to the USC13, 1ST DOWN ARIZ, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Khalil Tate run for 4 yds to the USC 9

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.09

Nick Wilson run for 6 yds to the USC 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Khalil Tate run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sam Darnold pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ronald Jones II run for 3 yds to the USC 28

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Sam Darnold run for 7 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Sam Darnold pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 17 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Sam Darnold pass incomplete to De'Quan Hampton

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Ronald Jones II run for 6 yds to the Ariz 42

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.39

Sam Darnold run for 5 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jalen Greene pass incomplete to Darreus Rogers

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Sam Darnold run for 4 yds to the Ariz 33

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 8 yds to the Ariz 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Sam Darnold pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 11 yds to the Ariz 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 3 yds to the Ariz 11

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Sam Darnold pass incomplete, broken up by Larry Tharpe Jr.

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.96

Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 11 yds for a TD, (Matt Boermeester KICK)

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.26

Khalil Tate sacked by Leon McQuay III for a loss of 12 yards to the Ariz 13

2nd & 22Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+26 ydsPPA +0.33

Khalil Tate run for 23 yds to the Ariz 10 Khalil Tate fumbled, forced by Chris Hawkins, recovered by USC Adoree' Jackson , return for 26 yds to the Ariz 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Ronald Jones II run for 2 yds to the Ariz 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Sam Darnold pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Boermeester KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the Ariz 26

2nd & 9Penalty+10 yds

Tate, K. pass incomplete to Griffey, T., PENALTY USC holding 10 yards to the ARIZ36, 1ST DOWN ARIZ, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Khalil Tate run for 2 yds to the Ariz 38

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Khalil Tate run for 6 yds to the Ariz 44

3rd & 2Rush+39 ydsPPA +2.89

Nick Wilson run for 39 yds to the USC 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Zach Green run for 3 yds to the USC 14

2nd & 7Penalty+7 yds

USC Penalty, face mask (7 yards) (7 Yards) to the USC 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Nick Wilson run for no gain to the USC 7

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Khalil Tate run for 4 yds to the USC 3

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Khalil Tate run for 2 yds to the USC 1

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.21

Khalil Tate pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ronald Jones II run for 4 yds to the USC 5

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 4 yds to the USC 9

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.38

Sam Darnold pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 5 yds to the USC 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Sam Darnold run for 11 yds to the USC 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 4 yds to the USC 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Sam Darnold pass incomplete, broken up by Jace Whittaker

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Chris Tilbey punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Zach Green run for no gain to the Ariz 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Khalil Tate pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Khalil Tate pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+1 yds

Josh Pollack punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 43 , Steven Mitchell Jr. returns for 1 yd to the USC 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Sam Darnold pass incomplete to JuJu Smith-Schuster, broken up by Dane Cruikshank

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Sam Darnold pass complete to De'Quan Hampton for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Sam Darnold pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Chris Tilbey punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-12 ydsPPA -0.30

Khalil Tate pass intercepted Iman Marshall return for 12 yds to the Ariz 15

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 11 yds to the Ariz 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 1 yd to the Ariz 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

JuJu Smith-Schuster 3 Yd pass from Sam Darnold (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Khalil Tate run for 1 yd to the Ariz 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Khalil Tate pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Khalil Tate run for 7 yds to the Ariz 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Josh Pollack punt for 67 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Ronald Jones II run for 2 yds to the USC 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 9 yds to the USC 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Sam Darnold pass incomplete to De'Quan Hampton, broken up by Jace Whittaker

2nd & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.70

Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 11 yds to the USC 42 USC Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the USC 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Sam Darnold pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 9 yds to the USC 36

2nd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.09

Sam Darnold run for 18 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Sam Darnold pass complete to Ronald Jones II for 7 yds to the Ariz 39

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.01

Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 39 yds for a TD, (Matt Boermeester KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Zach Green run for 6 yds to the Ariz 31

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Khalil Tate pass complete to Shun Brown for 9 yds to the Ariz 34

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Khalil Tate run for 1 yd to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Khalil Tate pass complete to Samajie Grant for 12 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Trey Griffey

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.12

Khalil Tate pass complete to Trey Griffey for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 46

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Khalil Tate pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt-2 yds

Josh Pollack punt for 37 yds , Adoree' Jackson returns for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 15

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.93

Ronald Jones II run for 15 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Ronald Jones II run for 7 yds to the USC 37

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Ronald Jones II run for 4 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 13 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.03

Sam Darnold pass complete to Darreus Rogers for no gain to the Ariz 46

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +4.57

Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 46 yds for a TD, (Matt Boermeester KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Zach Green run for 4 yds to the Ariz 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.01

Khalil Tate pass complete to Nate Phillips for 17 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Khalil Tate pass complete to Brandon Rutt for 5 yds to the USC 49

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Khalil Tate pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.22

Khalil Tate pass complete to Nate Phillips for 12 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Zach Green run for 3 yds to the USC 34

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Nate Phillips

3rd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Khalil Tate sacked by Michael Hutchings for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 37

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Khalil Tate pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Ronald Jones II run for 3 yds to the USC 40

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd to the USC 41

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

Darnold, Sam pass complete to Pittman, Michae for 5 yards to the USC46 (FlanniganFowles), PENALTY USC holding 10 yards to the USC31, NO PLAY.

3rd & 16Rush+16 ydsPPA +3.08

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 1 yd to the USC 32 for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the USC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 9 yds to the Ariz 44

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 2 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 7 yds to the Ariz 35

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.31

Jalen Greene run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 37

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Sam Darnold pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+54 yds

Matt Boermeester 54 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Zach Green run for 3 yds to the Ariz 40

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Tyrell Johnson run for 14 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Green, Z. rush for 3 yards to the USC43 (Gustin, Porter), PENALTY ARIZ holding 10 yards to the ARIZ44, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Matt Morin pass incomplete

2nd & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Matt Morin run for 5 yds to the Ariz 49

3rd & 15Penalty+15 yds

Morin, M. pass incomplete to Grant, S., PENALTY USC pass interference 15 yards to the USC36, 1ST DOWN ARIZ, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.29

Matt Morin pass complete to Nate Phillips for 10 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Zach Green run for 8 yds to the USC 18

2nd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.91

Matt Morin run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 21

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.59

Matt Morin run for 6 yds to the USC 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Zach Green run for 8 yds to the USC 7

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Zach Green run for no gain to the USC 7

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.60

Matt Morin pass complete to Samajie Grant for 7 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Aca'Cedric Ware run for no gain to the USC 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Max Browne pass complete to Isaac Whitney for 7 yds to the USC 42

3rd & 3Rush+37 ydsPPA +3.16

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 37 yds to the Ariz 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 21 yds for a TD, (Matt Boermeester KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Matt Morin pass incomplete, broken up by Jack Jones

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -0.58

Matt Morin run for a loss of 10 yards to the Ariz 15 Matt Morin fumbled, recovered by Ariz Matt Morin

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Matt Morin pass incomplete, broken up by Ykili Ross

4th & 20Punt+5 yds

Josh Pollack punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 36 , Deontay Burnett returns for 5 yds to the USC 36

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Dominic Davis run for 1 yd to the USC 37

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

Davis, Dominic rush for 6 yards to the USC43 (Matthews, J.), PENALTY USC holding 10 yards to the USC27, NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.14

Dominic Davis run for 1 yd to the USC 28

3rd & 18Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.37

Max Browne pass complete to Jalen Greene for 12 yds to the USC 40

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Chris Tilbey punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ariz 22

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Zach Green run for 7 yds to the Ariz 29

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Zach Green run for 2 yds to the Ariz 31

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.86

Zach Green run for 2 yds to the Ariz 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +2.86

Matt Morin pass complete to Cam Denson for 51 yds to the USC 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Matt Morin run for 6 yds to the USC 10

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Zach Green run for no gain to the USC 10

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -4.22

Zach Green run for no gain to the USC 10 Zach Green fumbled, recovered by USC Connor Murphy

1st & 10Rush+85 ydsPPA +4.91

Dominic Davis run for 85 yds to the Ariz 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Dominic Davis run for 3 yds to the Ariz 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Dominic Davis run for no gain to the Ariz 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Dominic Davis run for 1 yd to the Ariz 1

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -4.21

Dominic Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 3

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Branden Leon run for 10 yds to the Ariz 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Branden Leon run for 4 yds to the Ariz 17

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Branden Leon run for 3 yds to the Ariz 20

3rd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.76

Matt Morin pass complete to Josh Kern for 16 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Branden Leon run for 1 yd to the Ariz 37

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return-33 ydsPPA -1.00

Matt Morin pass intercepted Ajene Harris return for 33 yds to the Ariz 26

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.59

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 27

Situational Analysis

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
41%
32 plays
2nd
50%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
16 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
22%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play