Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 8, 2016Week 6
ColoradoColorado
17
-Final
21
USCUSC
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

USC by 7.3

Home Win Probability

USC 72%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 8, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ColoradoColorado
0071017
USCUSC
770721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-014-714-1421-17
USCColorado

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20COLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCPUNT32ydTO943ydPUNT933ydTD980ydPUNT918ydPUNT536ydPUNT745ydTD1392ydDOWNS1027ydEND1-1ydTO336ydPUNT37ydTO3-7ydTD167ydTO416ydTO611ydDOWNS744ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT518ydPUNT516ydPUNT538ydTD884ydTD670ydFG1051ydEND1057yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colorado and USC
StatisticColoradoUSC
Passing28-4425-37
Pass Yards275358
Rush Yards96190
Total Yards371548
Turnovers14
3rd Down6-177-14
Penalties5-262-22
Possession27:4232:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colorado
passing
Steven Montez
25/40, 197 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Phillip Lindsay
11 CAR, 57 YDS
receiving
Phillip Lindsay
6 REC, 105 YDS, 1 TD
defense
USC
passing
Sam Darnold
25/37, 358 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Justin Davis
13 CAR, 92 YDS
receiving
JuJu Smith-Schuster
5 REC, 113 YDS
defense
Uchenna Nwosu
1 TFL, 2 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Steven Montez pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Steven Montez pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+5 yds

Alex Kinney punt for 43 yds , Adoree' Jackson returns for 5 yds to the USC 39

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Justin Davis run for 3 yds to the USC 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.44

Sam Darnold pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Sam Darnold pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 9 yds to the Colo 41

2nd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA -0.02

Justin Davis run for 13 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Justin Davis run for 7 yds to the Colo 21

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Justin Davis run for 1 yd to the Colo 20

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Justin Davis run for 1 yd to the Colo 19

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.71

Sam Darnold run for 1 yd to the Colo 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+17 ydsPPA -4.41

Sam Darnold run for 17 yds Sam Darnold fumbled, recovered by Colo Ahkello Witherspoon

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Steven Montez run for no gain to the Colo 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Steven Montez pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.35

Steven Montez run for 19 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.75

Steven Montez pass complete to Donovan Lee for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 35

2nd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 10 yds to the Colo 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.07

Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 8 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.05

Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for no gain to the USC 47

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Steven Montez pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Steven Montez pass incomplete to Jay MacIntyre

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Alex Kinney punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Sam Darnold pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 3 yds to the USC 23

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Sam Darnold run for 2 yds to the USC 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.44

Sam Darnold pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 18 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 5 yds to the USC 48

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Justin Davis run for 3 yds to the Colo 49

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Justin Davis run for 4 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Sam Darnold pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.60

Sam Darnold pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 13 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Sam Darnold pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 32 yds for a TD, (Matt Boermeester KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Steven Montez run for no gain to the Colo 25

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the Colo 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 13 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.41

Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 16 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the USC 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 8 yds to the USC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-6 yds

COLORADO Penalty, False Start (-6 Yards) to the USC 40

1st & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Steven Montez run for 2 yds to the USC 38

2nd & 14Penalty-10 yds

COLORADO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the USC 47

2nd & 23Sack-16 ydsPPA -1.21

Steven Montez sacked by Porter Gustin for a loss of 16 yards to the Colo 37

3rd & 39Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.02

Steven Montez pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 7 yds to the Colo 44

4th & 32Punt-3 yds

Alex Kinney punt for 36 yds , Adoree' Jackson returns for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.78

Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 23 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Ronald Jones II run for 11 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Ronald Jones II run for 2 yds to the Colo 47

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Sam Darnold pass incomplete to JuJu Smith-Schuster

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Sam Darnold pass incomplete to De'Quan Hampton

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Chris Tilbey punt for 44 yds, downed at the Colo 3

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Colo 6

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.44

Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 9 yds to the Colo 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.10

Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 17 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Colo 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Tony Julmisse run for 10 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Steven Montez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Steven Montez pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 6 yds to the Colo 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.94

Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for no gain to the Colo 48

4th & 4Punt+1 yds

Alex Kinney punt for 38 yds , Adoree' Jackson returns for 1 yd to the USC 49 USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (7 Yards) to the USC 8

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.36

Justin Davis run for 10 yds to the USC 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Justin Davis run for 6 yds to the USC 24

2nd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Justin Davis run for 12 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Sam Darnold pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 9 yds to the USC 45

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Sam Darnold run for 2 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Sam Darnold run for 2 yds to the USC 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.67

Sam Darnold pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 13 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 6 yds to the Colo 32

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 2 yds to the Colo 30

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.56

Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 5 yds to the Colo 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Justin Davis run for 3 yds to the Colo 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.32

Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 11 yds to the Colo 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Sam Darnold pass complete to Tyler Petite for 11 yds for a TD, (Matt Boermeester KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Steven Montez run for 5 yds to the Colo 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 7 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Steven Montez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 7 yds to the USC 46

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the USC 44

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.04

Sefo Liufau run for 2 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.23

Sefo Liufau sacked by Cameron Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the USC 48

2nd & 16Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 4 yds to the USC 44

3rd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Sefo Liufau run for 6 yds to the USC 38

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.58

Sefo Liufau pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 37

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.21

Sam Darnold pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 15 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Sam Darnold pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 6 yds to the Colo 37

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+15 ydsPPA -3.94

Justin Davis run for 15 yds to the Colo 22 Justin Davis fumbled, recovered by Colo Afolabi Laguda

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Devin Ross run for 5 yds to the Colo 27

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Steven Montez run for 2 yds to the Colo 29

3rd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.44

Steven Montez pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for no gain to the Colo 29

4th & 3Punt+47 yds

Alex Kinney punt for 44 yds , Adoree' Jackson returns for 47 yds to the Colo 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Ronald Jones II

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Ronald Jones II run for 4 yds to the Colo 22

3rd & 6Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.88

Sam Darnold sacked by Addison Gillam for a loss of 11 yards to the Colo 33 Sam Darnold fumbled, recovered by Colo Jordan Carrell , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +5.43

Bryce Bobo pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 67 yds for a TD, (Davis Price KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Justin Davis run for 5 yds to the USC 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Ronald Jones II run for 2 yds to the USC 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.81

Sam Darnold pass complete to Ronald Jones II for 9 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-14 ydsPPA -2.34

Sam Darnold pass intercepted Kenneth Olugbode return for 14 yds to the USC 43

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the USC 40

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the USC 39

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.54

Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 6 yds to the USC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds to the USC 27

2nd & 4Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.51

Steven Montez sacked by Rasheem Green for a loss of 5 yards to the USC 32

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.81

Steven Montez pass intercepted Adoree' Jackson return for no gain to the USC 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 3 yds to the USC 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 3 yds to the USC 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.64

Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 34 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 4 yds to the Colo 31

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.74

Ronald Jones II run for no gain to the Colo 31

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Sam Darnold pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.26

Sam Darnold pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 26

1st & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Steven Montez pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 3 yds to the Colo 29

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Steven Montez pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Steven Montez pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Alex Kinney punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Adoree' Jackson at the USC 26

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 5 yds to the USC 31

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.06

Sam Darnold run for 8 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 3 yds to the USC 42

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 2 yds to the USC 44

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Sam Darnold pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+14 yds

Chris Tilbey punt for 41 yds , Jay MacIntyre returns for 14 yds to the Colo 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 6 yds to the Colo 35

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.65

Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 5 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Steven Montez pass incomplete to Bryce Bobo

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 35

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin Ross

3rd & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Steven Montez run for 10 yds to the Colo 45

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Alex Kinney punt for 42 yds, downed at the USC 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.84

Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 26 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Sam Darnold pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 12 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Aca'Cedric Ware run for no gain to the Colo 49

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Sam Darnold pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Sam Darnold pass incomplete to JuJu Smith-Schuster

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Chris Tilbey punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jay MacIntyre at the Colo 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.53

Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 21 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Steven Montez run for 4 yds to the Colo 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Steven Montez pass incomplete to Shay Fields

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.55

Steven Montez pass complete to Kabion Ento for 11 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +1.16

Phillip Lindsay run for 37 yds to the USC 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 12

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Steven Montez run for 2 yds to the USC 10

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.03

Bryce Bobo 10 Yd pass from Steven Montez (Davis Price Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Sam Darnold pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +3.87

Sam Darnold pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 46 yds to the Colo 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.14

Ronald Jones II run for 11 yds to the Colo 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Darreus Rogers

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Ronald Jones II run for 6 yds to the Colo 7

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.73

Sam Darnold pass complete to Tyler Petite for 7 yds for a TD, (Matt Boermeester KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 9 yds to the Colo 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 8 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Steven Montez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.10

Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 11 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the USC 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.96

Steven Montez pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 22 yds to the USC 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Steven Montez run for 3 yds to the USC 22

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Steven Montez pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Steven Montez sacked by Uchenna Nwosu for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 24

4th & 9Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA +0.44

Davis Price 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 3 yds to the USC 28

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Ronald Jones II run for 10 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Ronald Jones II run for 8 yds to the USC 46

2nd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.63

Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 12 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Ronald Jones II run for 2 yds to the Colo 40

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Sam Darnold run for 1 yd to the Colo 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.03

Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 25 yds to the Colo 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 16

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 17

3rd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.92

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 18

Situational Analysis

Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
28 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
6 plays
45%
11 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
38 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
14 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play