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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2016Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 11.1

Home Win Probability

Michigan 80%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 17, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ColoradoColorado
2107028
MichiganMichigan
71714745

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-147-2114-2117-2131-2838-2845-28
MichiganColorado

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICCOLMICMICCOLCOLMICCOLMICCOLMICCOLMICCOLMICCOLMICCOLCOLMICCOLMICCOLMICCOLMICCOLCOLMICCOLMICCOLPUNT419ydTD349ydTD3-7ydPUNT529ydTD521ydTD1067ydPUNT725ydMISS762ydPUNT512ydPUNT512ydTD238ydPUNT3-6ydMISS618ydPUNT422ydFG843ydPUNT3-5ydTD145ydEND1-1ydTD380ydTD245ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT3-13ydPUNT44ydTD1080ydPUNT31ydPUNT838ydTD3-2ydDOWNS49ydMISS718ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT36ydEND417yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colorado and Michigan
StatisticColoradoMichigan
Passing18-3416-30
Pass Yards261229
Rush Yards64168
Total Yards325397
Turnovers01
3rd Down1-135-16
Penalties7-465-41
Possession28:2531:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colorado
passing
Sefo Liufau
16/25, 246 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Phillip Lindsay
12 CAR, 51 YDS
receiving
Shay Fields
4 REC, 99 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Michigan
passing
Wilton Speight
16/30, 229 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
De'Veon Smith
11 CAR, 87 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jake Butt
7 REC, 87 YDS
defense
Ben Gedeon
0.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

De'Veon Smith run for 12 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Jabrill Peppers run for 7 yds to the Mich 45

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+32 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 36 yds , Jay MacIntyre returns for 32 yds to the Mich 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.79

Jay MacIntyre pass complete to Sefo Liufau for 14 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 37

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +4.02

Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 37 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Wilton Speight pass complete to Chris Evans for 3 yds to the Mich 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack+18 ydsPPA +2.75

Wilton Speight sacked by Chidobe Awuzie for a loss of 10 yards Wilton Speight fumbled, recovered by Colo Derek McCartney , return for 18 yds for TD (Diego Gonzalez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Jabrill Peppers run for 17 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Eddie McDoom run for 10 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Khalid Hill run for 2 yds to the Colo 46

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jay MacIntyre at the Colo 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Sefo Liufau pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 3 yds to the Colo 15

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.04

Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 13 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Colo 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 4 yds to the Colo 33

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Sefo Liufau pass incomplete

4th & 5Blocked Punt+6 yds

TEAM punt blocked by Michael Jocz blocked by Michael Jocz Grant Perry return for 6 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Donovan Lee run for 3 yds to the Colo 36

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Sefo Liufau run for 3 yds to the Colo 39

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Colo 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Sefo Liufau pass complete to Donovan Lee for 3 yds to the Colo 47

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.45

Phillip Lindsay run for 10 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Mich 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.01

Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 18 yds to the Mich 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Sefo Liufau pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.00

Sefo Liufau pass complete to Kabion Ento for 16 yds to the Mich 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Sefo Liufau run for no gain to the Mich 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 6 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

De'Veon Smith run for 10 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Mich 37

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Chris Evans run for no gain to the Mich 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.81

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +3.57

Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 50 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Mich 28

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.53

Phillip Lindsay run for 11 yds to the Mich 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Sefo Liufau run for 6 yds to the Mich 11

2nd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.92

Sefo Liufau sacked by Ben Gedeon for a loss of 6 yards to the Mich 17

3rd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.81

Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 18

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Diego Gonzalez 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Wilton Speight pass complete to Khalid Hill for 9 yds to the Mich 29

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Mich 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Ty Isaac run for 1 yd to the Mich 32

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 33

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.23

Devin Ross run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 31

2nd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.38

Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 14 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Colo 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Sefo Liufau pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 45

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Sefo Liufau pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

TEAM punt for a loss of 7 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.51

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 21 yds to the Colo 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Jehu Chesson run for 17 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the Colo 18

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Sefo Liufau pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Sefo Liufau pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty-6 yds

COLORADO Penalty, Delay of Game (-6 Yards) to the Colo 12

4th & 16Punt+19 yds

Alex Kinney punt for 44 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 19 yds to the Colo 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 2 yds to the Colo 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.79

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 12 yds to the Colo 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Colo 21

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Wilton Speight run for 2 yds to the Colo 19

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Kenny Allen 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 7 yds to the Colo 27

2nd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.30

Phillip Lindsay run for 15 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

COLORADO Penalty, Illegal Touching ( 0 Yards) to the Colo 42. Loss of Down

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Sefo Liufau pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Sefo Liufau pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+13 yds

Alex Kinney punt for 34 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 13 yds to the Mich 37

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jehu Chesson run for 6 yds to the Mich 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.86

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 12 yds Jake Butt fumbled, recovered by Mich COLORADO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Colo 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the Colo 26

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Wilton Speight pass complete to Khalid Hill for 7 yds to the Colo 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Ty Isaac run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 20

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.30

Kenny Allen 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

COLORADO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Colo 15

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Sefo Liufau pass incomplete

2nd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Sefo Liufau run for 3 yds to the Colo 18

3rd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Sefo Liufau run for 2 yds to the Colo 20

4th & 15Punt+13 yds

Alex Kinney punt for 38 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 13 yds to the Colo 45

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.48

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 45 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 6 yds to the Colo 26

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.40

Sefo Liufau run for 4 yds to the Colo 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.69

Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 70 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Wilton Speight run for 3 yds to the Colo 42

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.81

De'Veon Smith run for 42 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 3 yds to the Colo 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Sefo Liufau pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.43

Sefo Liufau sacked by Ryan Glasgow for a loss of 8 yards to the Colo 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Alex Kinney punt for 51 yds, downed at the Mich 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Wilton Speight pass complete to De'Veon Smith for 2 yds to the Mich 31

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mich 26

2nd & 13Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.40

Wilton Speight pass complete to De'Veon Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 21

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

4th & 18Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Mich 16

4th & 23Punt+16 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 44 yds , Jay MacIntyre returns for 16 yds to the Mich 44

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Steven Montez run for no gain to the Mich 44

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Mich 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Steven Montez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.91

Steven Montez sacked by Jabrill Peppers for a loss of 11 yards to the Mich 40

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Steven Montez pass incomplete

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Alex Kinney punt for 40 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -0.93

Jehu Chesson run for 2 yds to the Mich 22 MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (-11 Yards) to the Mich 11

1st & 19Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.68

Wilton Speight pass complete to Ty Isaac for 21 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

COLORADO Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Mich 37

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.16

Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the Mich 38

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.67

De'Veon Smith run for 5 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the Mich 47

2nd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.28

Wilton Speight sacked by Samson Kafovalu for a loss of 8 yards to the Mich 39

3rd & 14Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +4.71

Wilton Speight pass complete to Grant Perry for 54 yds to the Colo 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the Colo 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Ty Isaac run for 2 yds to the Colo 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Ty Isaac run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the Colo 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Steven Montez pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Colo 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Alex Kinney punt for 53 yds, downed at the Mich 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Ty Isaac run for 3 yds to the Mich 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.72

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 15 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ty Isaac run for 5 yds to the Mich 44

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Wilton Speight run for 3 yds to the Mich 47

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.57

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 6 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Ty Isaac run for 1 yd to the Colo 46

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chris Evans run for 5 yds to the Colo 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Michael Adkins II run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 18

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Steven Montez pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Steven Montez pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt+54 yds

Alex Kinney punt for 36 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 54 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Michael Adkins II run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 34

2nd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.04

Steven Montez run for 10 yds to the Colo 44

3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Jordan Gehrke pass complete to Michael Adkins II for 1 yd to the Colo 45

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Steven Montez pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Ty Isaac run for no gain to the Colo 44

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chris Evans run for 4 yds to the Colo 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.78

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 12 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ty Isaac run for 5 yds to the Colo 23

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Ty Isaac run for 1 yd to the Colo 22

3rd & 4Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.41

Wilton Speight sacked by Jimmie Gilbert for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 26

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Kenny Allen 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Steven Montez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 21

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 23

3rd & 13Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.13

Steven Montez sacked by Maurice Hurst for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 20

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Karan Higdon run for 8 yds to the Mich 46

2nd & 2Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.42

Eddie McDoom run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 41

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

John O'Korn run for 3 yds to the Mich 44

4th & 4Punt+10 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 35 yds , Jay MacIntyre returns for 10 yds to the Colo 31

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kyle Evans run for 5 yds to the Colo 36

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Kyle Evans run for 3 yds to the Colo 39

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.70

Kyle Evans run for 7 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the Colo 48

Situational Analysis

Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
26%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
42%
12 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
42%
12 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play