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← Back to GamesSep 18, 2016Week 3
USCUSC
10
-Final
27
StanfordStanford
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Stanford by 8.8

Home Win Probability

Stanford 75%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 18, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
USCUSC
307010
StanfordStanford
71010027

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-310-317-317-1020-1027-10
StanfordUSC

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STAUSCSTAUSCSTAUSCSTAUSCSTAUSCSTAUSCSTAUSCSTAUSCSTAUSCSTAPUNT58ydPUNT731ydTD780ydFG854ydFG1460ydPUNT517ydTD857ydPUNT524ydEND29ydTD975ydFG1050ydPUNT34ydTD262ydDOWNS1157ydTO514ydPUNT615ydPUNT835ydTO845ydEND39yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing USC and Stanford
StatisticUSCStanford
Passing23-358-14
Pass Yards236102
Rush Yards117302
Total Yards353404
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-126-13
Penalties8-563-35
Possession25:4634:14

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

USC
passing
Max Browne
18/28, 191 YDS
rushing
Ronald Jones II
11 CAR, 63 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyler Petite
3 REC, 73 YDS
defense
Stanford
passing
Ryan Burns
9/15, 109 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Christian McCaffrey
31 CAR, 172 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Christian McCaffrey
3 REC, 66 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Alijah Holder
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ryan Burns pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Christian McCaffrey run for 11 yds to the Stanf 36 Christian McCaffrey fumbled, forced by Porter Gustin, recovered by Stanf Trenton Irwin for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Ryan Burns pass complete to Francis Owusu for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 34

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 29

2nd & 17Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.30

Bryce Love run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 26

3rd & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.05

Christian McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the Stanf 33

4th & 13Punt+47 yds

Jake Bailey punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the STANFORD 30 USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the USC 20

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Justin Davis run for 6 yds to the USC 26

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Justin Davis run for 11 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Justin Davis run for 7 yds to the USC 44

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Justin Davis run for 4 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Max Browne pass complete to Justin Davis for 1 yd to the USC 49

2nd & 9Penalty-6 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (-6 Yards) to the USC 43

2nd & 15Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.96

Ronald Jones II run for a loss of 5 yards to the USC 38

3rd & 20Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.73

Ronald Jones II run for 13 yds to the Stanf 49

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Chris Tilbey punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Christian McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Stanf 25

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Stanf 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Ryan Burns pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 9 yds to the Stanf 40

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.41

Christian McCaffrey run for no gain to the Stanf 40

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.28

Ryan Burns run for 4 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +4.37

Ryan Burns pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 56 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.78

Max Browne pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 23 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Justin Davis run for 12 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USC 47

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ronald Jones II run for 4 yds to the Stanf 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.18

Max Browne pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 19 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 35

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Max Browne pass incomplete to Darreus Rogers

2nd & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Max Browne pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 11 yds to the Stanf 24

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 29

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Max Browne pass incomplete to Darreus Rogers

4th & 9Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +0.91

Matt Boermeester 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Christian McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Stanf 31

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Ryan Burns pass complete to Michael Rector for 3 yds to the Stanf 34

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.77

Ryan Burns pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 9 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Christian McCaffrey run for 9 yds to the USC 48

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.34

Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Christian McCaffrey

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.70

Ryan Burns pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 15 yds to the USC 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the USC 29

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the USC 26

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Ryan Burns pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 11 yds to the USC 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Dalton Schultz

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the USC 14

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Dalton Schultz

4th & 9Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.33

Conrad Ukropina 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Ronald Jones II run for 8 yds to the USC 28

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Max Browne pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 7 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Ronald Jones II run for 2 yds to the USC 37

2nd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.37

Max Browne sacked by Casey Toohill for a loss of 9 yards to the USC 28

3rd & 17Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.18

Ronald Jones II run for 9 yds to the USC 37

4th & 8Punt+20 yds

Chris Tilbey punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the STANFORD 28 USC Penalty, Illegal Block (Ajene Harris) to the Stanf 43

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Bryce Love run for 9 yds to the USC 48

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.11

Christian McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the USC 38

2nd & 6Rush+33 ydsPPA +1.51

Christian McCaffrey run for 33 yds to the USC 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the USC 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the USC 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Christian McCaffrey run for no gain to the USC 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USC 30

1st & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Max Browne pass complete to Tyler Petite for 5 yds Tyler Petite fumbled, recovered by USC JuJu Smith-Schuster

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.71

Max Browne pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 19 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Max Browne pass incomplete to JuJu Smith-Schuster

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Max Browne pass complete to Justin Davis for 5 yds to the Stanf 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Max Browne pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Chris Tilbey punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Stanf 12

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Christian McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the Stanf 19

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Justin Davis run for 5 yds to the USC 30

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Justin Davis run for 5 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Max Browne pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 11 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Justin Davis run for 6 yds to the Stanf 48

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Justin Davis run for 6 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.57

Max Browne pass complete to De'Quan Hampton for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 45

2nd & 13Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.67

Max Browne pass complete to Tyler Petite for 38 yds to the Stanf 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Ronald Jones II run for 6 yds to the Stanf 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Boermeester KICK)

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Bryce Love run for 16 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the Stanf 45

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Ryan Burns run for 2 yds to the Stanf 47

3rd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.21

Ryan Burns run for 11 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Christian McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the USC 35

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.10

Christian McCaffrey run for 9 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Bryce Love run for no gain to the USC 26

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Michael Rector

3rd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Ryan Burns pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 1 yd to the USC 25

4th & 9Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA +0.53

Conrad Ukropina 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Max Browne pass complete to Justin Davis for no gain to the USC 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Max Browne pass complete to Justin Davis for 4 yds to the USC 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Max Browne pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Chris Tilbey punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 38

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Christian McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the Stanf 44

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +4.55

Michael Rector run for 56 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Ronald Jones II run for 16 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Max Browne pass incomplete to Deontay Burnett

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Max Browne pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 4 yds to the USC 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.18

Max Browne pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 6 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Max Browne pass incomplete to Deontay Burnett

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.55

Justin Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 48

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Viane Talamaivao) to the USC 43

3rd & 18Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +4.20

Max Browne pass complete to Tyler Petite for 30 yds to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Justin Davis run for no gain to the Stanf 27

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Max Browne pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Ronald Jones II run for 9 yds to the Stanf 18

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.74

Ronald Jones II run for no gain to the Stanf 18

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Christian McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Stanf 23

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Christian McCaffrey run for 8 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.24

Christian McCaffrey run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 28

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the Stanf 32

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return+15 ydsPPA -2.81

Ryan Burns pass intercepted Adoree' Jackson return for no gain to the USC 32 STANFORD Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Francis Owusu) to the USC 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Max Browne pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 2 yds to the USC 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Max Browne pass incomplete to Tyler Petite

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.61

Max Browne pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 9 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Justin Davis run for 3 yds to the Stanf 45

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Justin Davis run for 1 yd to the Stanf 44

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Max Browne pass incomplete to JuJu Smith-Schuster

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Chris Tilbey punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 8

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Christian McCaffrey run for 11 yds to the Stanf 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.83

Bryce Love run for 12 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Stanf 32

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Christian McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the Stanf 39

3rd & 2Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.21

Christian McCaffrey run for 10 yds to the Stanf 49 STANFORD Penalty, Personal Foul (Christian McCaffrey) to the Stanf 34

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Stanf 38

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the Stanf 42

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Stanf 43

4th & 1Punt+25 yds

Jake Bailey punt for 44 yds , Adoree' Jackson returns for 25 yds to the USC 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 9 yds to the USC 47

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.18

Sam Darnold pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 4 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Darreus Rogers

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Sam Darnold pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 2 yds to the Stanf 47

3rd & 8Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.88

Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 28 yds to the Stanf 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Sam Darnold run for no gain to the Stanf 19

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Sam Darnold pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 2 yds to the Stanf 17

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return-8 ydsPPA -3.80

Sam Darnold pass intercepted Noor Davis return for 8 yds to the Stanf 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Stanf 11

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Stanf 13

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Cameron Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Stanf 17

Situational Analysis

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
23 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
18%
11 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Stanford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
25 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays