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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2016Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Stanford by 13.8

Home Win Probability

Stanford 85%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 3, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Kansas StateKansas State
033713
StanfordStanford
3140926

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-017-017-317-626-13
StanfordKansas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STAKSSTAKSSTAKSSTAKSSTAKSSTAKSSTAKSSTAKSSTAKSSTAKSKSSTAKSSTAFG932ydPUNT620ydTD1098ydDOWNS940ydTD565ydPUNT38ydPUNT612ydDOWNS854ydUncategorized00ydTO59ydTO34ydFG716ydPUNT37ydMISS1568ydPUNT618ydTO23ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT36ydPUNT32ydSAF1-2ydTD766ydTD141ydDOWNS1033ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kansas State and Stanford
StatisticKansas StateStanford
Passing19-4115-19
Pass Yards243167
Rush Yards92105
Total Yards335272
Turnovers21
3rd Down8-186-12
Penalties8-444-26
Possession30:5829:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kansas State
passing
Jesse Ertz
16/34, 207 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Charles Jones
8 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
Dominique Heath
4 REC, 65 YDS
defense
Stanford
passing
Ryan Burns
14/18, 156 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Christian McCaffrey
22 CAR, 126 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Michael Rector
4 REC, 73 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Christian McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the Stanf 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Ryan Burns pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.19

Christian McCaffrey run for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 45

2nd & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.90

Christian McCaffrey run for 9 yds to the KanSt 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.07

Ryan Burns pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 9 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Michael Rector run for 1 yd to the KanSt 36

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the KanSt 34

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

Burns, Ryan rush for 3 yards to the KANSASST31, PENALTY KANSASST substitution infraction 5 yards to the KANSASST29, NO PLAY.

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.50

Cameron Scarlett run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 32

4th & 5Field Goal Good+50 ydsPPA +0.71

Conrad Ukropina 50 yd FG GOOD

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

Bailey, Jake kickoff 65 yards to the KANSASST0, Pringle, Byron return 19 yards to the KANSASST19, PENALTY STANFORD offside 5 yards to the STANFORD30, NO PLAY.

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

Bailey, Jake kickoff 70 yards to the KANSASST0, touchback, PENALTY STANFORD offside 5 yards to the STANFORD25, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Charles Jones run for no gain to the KanSt 26

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron Pringle, broken up by Justin Reid

3rd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.83

Jesse Ertz run for 19 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Charles Jones run for 2 yds to the KanSt 47

2nd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Jesse Ertz sacked by Bobby Okereke for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 46

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron Pringle

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Nick Walsh punt for 51 yds , Christian McCaffrey returns for no gain to the Stanf 46 STANFORD Penalty, Illegal Block (Curtis Robinson) to the Stanf 2

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Stanf 4

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Stanf 7

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Ryan Burns pass complete to Greg Taboada for 12 yds to the Stanf 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Ryan Burns run for 4 yds to the Stanf 23

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Stanf 24

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.08

Ryan Burns pass complete to Michael Rector for 15 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.75

Cameron Scarlett run for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 35

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Christian McCaffrey run for no gain to the Stanf 35

3rd & 14Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.84

Ryan Burns pass complete to Greg Taboada for 25 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Ryan Burns pass complete to Michael Rector for 40 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dalvin Warmack run for 7 yds to the KanSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Jesse Ertz run for 11 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Justin Silmon run for 2 yds to the KanSt 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Isaiah Zuber, broken up by Harrison Phillips

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.81

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 12 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Justin Silmon run for 3 yds to the Stanf 40

2nd & 7Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.25

Jesse Ertz sacked by Jordan Watkins for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 41

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Dominique Heath for 6 yds to the Stanf 35

4th & 2Sack0 ydsPPA -2.39

Jesse Ertz sacked by Solomon Thomas and Sean Barton for 0 yards to the Stanf 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Keller Chryst pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 11 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Stanf 49

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.31

Christian McCaffrey run for 9 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Christian McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the KanSt 35

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.82

Christian McCaffrey run for 35 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron Pringle

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 7 yds to the KanSt 32

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jesse Ertz run for 1 yd to the KanSt 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Nick Walsh punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Stanf 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Ryan Burns pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 2 yds to the Stanf 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.13

Ryan Burns pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 15 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Ryan Burns run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 38 Ryan Burns fumbled, forced by Jordan Willis, recovered by Stanf Cameron Scarlett

2nd & 11Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.94

Ryan Burns sacked by Dante Barnett for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 34

3rd & 15Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.22

Ryan Burns pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 32

4th & 17Punt+18 yds

Jake Bailey punt for 43 yds , Dominique Heath returns for 18 yds to the 50 yard line KANSAS ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the KanSt 33

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Jesse Ertz run for 16 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron Pringle

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Deante Burton for 9 yds to the Stanf 42

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Scott Frantz) to the Stanf 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.56

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Charles Jones for 24 yds to the Stanf 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Ertz, Jesse pass incomplete to Zuber, Isaiah, PENALTY STANFORD pass interference (Holder, Alijah) 15 yards to the STANFORD8, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KANSASST.

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron Pringle

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 13

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Isaiah Zuber

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron Pringle

4th & 13Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.07

Matthew McCrane 30 yd FG GOOD

0th & 15End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

No play data available
1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Terrale Johnson) to the KanSt 20

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 15

1st & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.20

Charles Jones run for 8 yds to the KanSt 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Dominique Heath for 7 yds to the KanSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.78

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Dominique Heath for 8 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.70

Jesse Ertz sacked by Peter Kalambayi for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 34

2nd & 14Pass Interception Return-26 ydsPPA -0.35

Joe Hubener pass intercepted Dallas Lloyd return for 26 yds to the KanSt 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Ryan Burns pass complete to Michael Rector for 13 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the KanSt 23

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+35 ydsPPA -4.22

Ryan Burns run for a loss of 13 yards to the Stanf 29 Ryan Burns fumbled, recovered by KanSt Charmeachealle Moore , return for 35 yds to the Stanf 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jesse Ertz run for 2 yds to the Stanf 27

2nd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.37

Jesse Ertz sacked by Harrison Phillips for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 31

3rd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.86

Joe Hubener pass complete to Byron Pringle for 14 yds to the Stanf 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Joe Hubener run for no gain to the Stanf 17

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Charles Jones run for 4 yds to the Stanf 13

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Dominique Heath

4th & 6Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.60

Matthew McCrane 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Stanf 30

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Trenton Irwin

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Ryan Burns pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 6 yds to the Stanf 36

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jake Bailey punt for 57 yds, downed at the KanSt 7

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Justin Silmon run for 7 yds to the KanSt 14

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Isaiah Zuber

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.54

Charles Jones run for 4 yds to the KanSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Dominique Heath

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.66

Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 16 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Charles Jones run for 14 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Justin Silmon run for 3 yds to the Stanf 49

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Joe Hubener run for 4 yds to the Stanf 45

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.43

Joe Hubener pass complete to Dayton Valentine for 6 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Charles Jones run for 6 yds to the Stanf 33

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.20

Justin Silmon run for 9 yds to the Stanf 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Justin Silmon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 25

2nd & 11Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.22

Joe Hubener sacked by Peter Kalambayi and Solomon Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the Stanf 33

3rd & 19Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 38

3rd & 24Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.59

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Dalvin Warmack for 13 yds to the Stanf 25

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Matthew McCrane 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Christian McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the Stanf 31

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Christian McCaffrey run for no gain to the Stanf 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.76

Ryan Burns pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 8 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Christian McCaffrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 38

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Greg Taboada

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Ryan Burns pass complete to Michael Rector for 5 yds to the Stanf 43

4th & 6Punt+5 yds

Jake Bailey punt for 47 yds , Byron Pringle returns for 5 yds to the KanSt 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Justin Silmon run for 3 yds to the KanSt 18

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.19

Jesse Ertz pass intercepted Quenton Meeks return for no gain to the KanSt 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Trenton Irwin

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Christian McCaffrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 49

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Greg Taboada

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jake Bailey punt for 48 yds, downed at the KanSt 1

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Charles Jones run for 5 yds to the KanSt 6

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Charles Jones for 4 yds to the KanSt 10

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.35

Jesse Ertz run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 7

4th & 4Punt+16 yds

Nick Walsh punt for 48 yds , Christian McCaffrey returns for 16 yds to the KanSt 39

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the KanSt 38

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the KanSt 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.04

Ryan Burns pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for no gain to the KanSt 37

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jake Bailey punt for 35 yds, downed at the KanSt 2

1st & 10Safety-2 ydsPPA -2.02

Jesse Ertz sacked by Jordan Watkins for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron Pringle

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Deante Burton for 7 yds to the KanSt 41

3rd & 3Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.32

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Dominique Heath for 44 yds to the Stanf 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron Pringle

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Charles Jones

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete

4th & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.82

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 15 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Christian McCaffrey run for 41 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.99

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Charles Jones for 13 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Deante Burton for 12 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Isaiah Zuber

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Corey Sutton

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Dominique Heath

4th & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +4.14

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Corey Sutton for 28 yds to the Stanf 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron Pringle

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.99

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Charles Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 28

3rd & 12Penalty-4 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, Illegal Procedure (Reid Najvar) to the Stanf 32

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Corey Sutton

4th & 16Sack-14 ydsPPA -1.03

Jesse Ertz sacked by Peter Kalambayi for a loss of 14 yards to the Stanf 46

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 45

Situational Analysis

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
27%
15 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays

Stanford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
21 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
14%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
100%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play