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← Back to GamesNov 25, 2016Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas by 8.6

Home Win Probability

Missouri 25%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 25, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ArkansasArkansas
14100024
MissouriMissouri
7014728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-147-217-2414-2428-24
MissouriArkansas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISTD267ydPUNT37ydPUNT6-1ydTD388ydTD1176ydPUNT520ydTD1691ydPUNT4-7ydFG1245ydTO432ydMISS435ydTD963ydTO1366ydTD696ydPUNT30ydTD981ydPUNT38ydPUNT926ydTO761ydPUNT33ydDOWNS1025ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arkansas and Missouri
StatisticArkansasMissouri
Passing24-3916-26
Pass Yards348268
Rush Yards155131
Total Yards503399
Turnovers21
3rd Down9-176-13
Penalties8-552-10
Possession40:2219:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arkansas
passing
Austin Allen
24/39, 348 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Rawleigh Williams III
25 CAR, 117 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Keon Hatcher
3 REC, 106 YDS
defense
Missouri
passing
Drew Lock
16/26, 268 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Johnathon Johnson
2 CAR, 81 YDS
receiving
J'Mon Moore
6 REC, 135 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+66 ydsPPA +4.49

Austin Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 66 yds to the Misso 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Rawleigh Williams III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam McFain KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 7 yds to the Misso 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore, broken up by Jared Collins

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Austin Allen pass complete to Jared Cornelius for 3 yds to the Misso 47

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Rawleigh Williams III run for 1 yd to the Misso 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.07

Austin Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 9 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Jeremy Sprinkle, broken up by Eric Beisel

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, false start (Dominique Reed) to the Misso 42

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Austin Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 15Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.39

Austin Allen sacked by Donavin Newsom for a loss of 9 yards to the Ark 49

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Toby Baker punt for 39 yds , Johnathon Johnson returns for no gain to the Misso 10 Johnathon Johnson fumbled, recovered by Misso Johnathon Johnson

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ish Witter run for no gain to the Misso 10

2nd & 10Rush+82 ydsPPA +4.82

Johnathon Johnson run for 82 yds to the Ark 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.36

Ish Witter run for 7 yds Ish Witter fumbled, recovered by Misso J'Mon Moore for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Devwah Whaley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 23

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Rawleigh Williams III

3rd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.63

Austin Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 19 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Devwah Whaley run for 5 yds to the Ark 47

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.77

Jared Cornelius run for 5 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Austin Allen pass complete to Hayden Johnson for 7 yds to the Misso 41

2nd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.07

Austin Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for no gain to the Misso 41

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Rawleigh Williams III run for 2 yds to the Misso 39

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.76

Rawleigh Williams III run for 1 yd to the Misso 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Devwah Whaley run for 8 yds to the Misso 30

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.49

Devwah Whaley run for 30 yds for a TD, (Adam McFain KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the Misso 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.59

Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 11 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel Hall

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.79

Drew Lock pass complete to Sean Culkin for no gain to the Misso 41

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Moore, J'Mon, PENALTY AR offside (Bijhon Jackson) 5 yards to the MU46, NO PLAY.

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 1 yd to the Misso 47

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ark 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Drew Morgan

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Rawleigh Williams III run for 9 yds to the Ark 18

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Rawleigh Williams III run for 6 yds to the Ark 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Rawleigh Williams III run for 2 yds to the Ark 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Austin Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 5 yds to the Ark 31

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.47

Austin Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 6 yds to the Ark 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Austin Allen pass complete to Jared Cornelius for 4 yds to the Ark 41

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.21

Rawleigh Williams III run for 7 yds to the Ark 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.72

Austin Allen sacked by Marcell Frazier for a loss of 9 yards to the Ark 39

2nd & 19Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.15

Austin Allen pass complete to Jared Cornelius for 16 yds to the Misso 45

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.33

Rawleigh Williams III run for 4 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Rawleigh Williams III run for 6 yds to the Misso 35

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Rawleigh Williams III run for 4 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +0.79

Rawleigh Williams III run for 25 yds to the Misso 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Devwah Whaley run for 1 yd to the Misso 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Austin Allen pass complete to Austin Cantrell for 5 yds for a TD, (Adam McFain KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Nate Strong run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Dimetrios Mason

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Nate Strong run for 3 yds to the Ark 47

3rd & 7Sack-21 ydsPPA -2.02

Drew Lock sacked by Brooks Ellis for a loss of 21 yards to the MISSOURI 32 MISSOURI Penalty, intentional grounding (Drew Lock) to the Misso 32

4th & 28Punt+15 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 43 yds , Jared Cornelius returns for 15 yds to the Ark 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

T.J. Hammonds run for 3 yds to the Ark 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.35

Austin Allen pass complete to Devwah Whaley for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

T.J. Hammonds run for 8 yds to the Misso 42

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

T.J. Hammonds run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.64

Austin Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 16 yds to the Misso 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Devwah Whaley run for 8 yds to the Misso 19

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Devwah Whaley run for 1 yd to the Misso 18

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.14

Devwah Whaley run for 2 yds to the Misso 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Drew Morgan

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Drew Morgan run for 8 yds to the Misso 8

3rd & 2Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.12

Jared Cornelius run for a loss of 7 yards to the Misso 15

4th & 9Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.27

Adam McFain 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 3 yds to the Misso 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.54

Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 9 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.46

Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 25 yds to the Ark 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -4.19

TEAM run for no gain to the Ark 35 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Ark Dwayne Eugene

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Austin Allen pass complete to Dominique Reed for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Austin Allen pass incomplete, broken up by Josh Augusta

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.14

Austin Allen pass complete to Dominique Reed for 20 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Adam McFain 48 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Johnathon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 36

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Dimetrios Mason

3rd & 11Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +4.30

Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 48 yds to the Ark 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.74

Drew Lock sacked by McTelvin Agim for a loss of 5 yards to the Ark 21

2nd & 15Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Drew Lock pass complete to Ish Witter for no gain to the Ark 21

3rd & 15Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.46

Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 18 yds to the Ark 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Ish Witter run for 1 yd to the Ark 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Ish Witter run for no gain to the Ark 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Nate Strong run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.24

Rawleigh Williams III run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 28

2nd & 13Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.93

Austin Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 21 yds to the Ark 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Rawleigh Williams III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 48

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.32

Rawleigh Williams III run for 10 yds to the Misso 42

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Misso 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.32

Austin Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 14 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Austin Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 3 yds to the Misso 30

2nd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.57

Austin Allen sacked by Marcell Frazier for a loss of 9 yards to the Misso 39

3rd & 16Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.02

Austin Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 17 yds to the Misso 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Rawleigh Williams III run for 7 yds to the Misso 15

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.01

Rawleigh Williams III run for 7 yds to the Misso 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Rawleigh Williams III run for no gain to the Misso 8

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Austin Allen run for 5 yds to the Misso 3

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return-4 ydsPPA -4.38

Austin Allen pass intercepted Cale Garrett return for 4 yds to the Misso 4

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Nate Strong run for 1 yd to the Misso 5

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Nate Strong run for 2 yds to the Misso 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Dimetrios Mason, broken up by Ryan Pulley

4th & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+14 ydsPPA +1.01

Anthony Sherrils run for 14 yds to the Misso 21 Anthony Sherrils fumbled, forced by Josh Williams, recovered by Misso for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 12 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +5.43

Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 67 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Drew Morgan

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Dominique Reed, broken up by Aarion Penton

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Drew Morgan

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Toby Baker punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Johnathon Johnson at the Misso 19

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Nate Strong run for 8 yds to the Misso 27

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Nate Strong run for no gain to the Misso 27

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Nate Strong run for 1 yd to the Misso 28

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Misso 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Dimetrios Mason

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Richaud Floyd run for 5 yds to the Misso 38

3rd & 5Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.79

Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 49 yds to the Ark 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.33

Nate Strong run for 11 yds to the Ark 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Nate Strong run for 1 yd to the Ark 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Nate Strong run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Rawleigh Williams III run for 5 yds to the Ark 36

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Rawleigh Williams III run for 3 yds to the Ark 39

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Rawleigh Williams III run for no gain to the Ark 39

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Toby Baker punt for 60 yds, downed at the Misso 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 7 yds to the Misso 8

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Nate Strong run for no gain to the Misso 8

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.34

Nate Strong run for 3 yds to the Misso 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 9 yds to the Misso 20

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Nate Strong run for no gain to the Misso 20

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.67

Nate Strong run for 5 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 2 yds to the Misso 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon Johnson

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore, broken up by Jared Collins

4th & 8Punt+3 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ark 34 , Drew Morgan returns for 3 yds to the Ark 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +2.79

Austin Allen pass complete to Rawleigh Williams III for 52 yds to the Misso 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Rawleigh Williams III, broken up by Charles Harris

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.17

Austin Allen run for 10 yds to the Misso 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Rawleigh Williams III run for 3 yds to the Misso 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Rawleigh Williams III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 2

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.51

Austin Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 5

4th & 5Pass Interception Return-10 ydsPPA -3.95

Austin Allen pass intercepted, touchback. Aarion Penton return for no gain MISSOURI Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Aarion Penton)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nate Strong run for no gain to the Misso 10

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Nate Strong run for 3 yds to the Misso 13

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore, broken up by Jared Collins

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Drew Morgan at the Ark 38

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.41

Rawleigh Williams III run for 16 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Keon Hatcher

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.63

Austin Allen pass complete to Dominique Reed for 12 yds to the Misso 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Austin Allen pass incomplete, PENALTY AR holding (Brian Wallace) 10 yards to the MU44, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.96

Austin Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 23 yds to the Misso 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Austin Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 9 yds to the Misso 12

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Rawleigh Williams III run for 3 yds to the Misso 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-10 yds

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Drew Morgan, PENALTY AR holding (Dan Skipper) 10 yards to the MU19, NO PLAY.

1st & 19Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.51

Austin Allen pass complete to Dominique Reed for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 20

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Keon Hatcher, broken up by Aarion Penton

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Jeremy Sprinkle, broken up by Donavin Newsom

4th & 20Sack-17 ydsPPA -1.70

Austin Allen sacked by Marcell Frazier for a loss of 17 yards to the Misso 37 ARKANSAS Penalty, illegal touching ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 35

Situational Analysis

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
45%
31 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
29%
7 plays
80%
5 plays
73%
11 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
50%
10 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
35%
23 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
50%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play