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← Back to GamesNov 26, 2016Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ole Miss by 4.4

Home Win Probability

Ole Miss 64%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 26, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Mississippi StateMississippi State
1314141455
Ole MissOle Miss
10100020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-010-610-2017-2720-2720-3420-4120-4820-55
Ole MissMississippi State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OMMSOMMSOMMSOMMSOMMSOMMSOMMSMSOMMSOMMSOMMSOMMSOMOMMSPUNT415ydPUNT416ydFG1175ydTD563ydTD575ydTD480ydPUNT511ydTD767ydTO556ydTD680ydTD1284ydPUNT32ydFG1157ydEND1-1ydPUNT3-3ydDOWNS942ydTD982ydPUNT3-2ydTD369ydDOWNS745ydTO534ydDOWNS519ydTD1155ydTD860ydPUNT31ydEND3-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Mississippi State and Ole Miss
StatisticMississippi StateOle Miss
Passing8-1727-48
Pass Yards109320
Rush Yards457208
Total Yards566528
Turnovers12
3rd Down8-135-15
Penalties6-553-20
Possession28:3731:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Mississippi State
passing
Nick Fitzgerald
8/17, 109 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Nick Fitzgerald
14 CAR, 258 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Fred Ross
1 REC, 38 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Kivon Coman
1.5 TFL, 1 PD
Ole Miss
passing
Shea Patterson
27/48, 320 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Akeem Judd
19 CAR, 107 YDS
receiving
Damore'ea Stringfellow
6 REC, 97 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Shea Patterson pass complete to Van Jefferson for 11 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Shea Patterson pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Quincy Adeboyejo

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Aeris Williams run for 16 yds to the MisSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete, broken up by Zedrick Woods

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kody Schexnayder punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Carlos Davis at the Miss 18

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Akeem Judd run for 2 yds to the Miss 20

2nd & 8Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.89

Shea Patterson run for 29 yds to the Miss 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.14

Shea Patterson pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 22 yds to the MisSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Akeem Judd run for 5 yds to the MisSt 24

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.15

Van Jefferson run for 9 yds to the MisSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Shea Patterson run for no gain to the MisSt 15

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.00

Akeem Judd run for 10 yds to the MisSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Damore'ea Stringfellow

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jason Pellerin run for no gain to the MisSt 5

3rd & 5Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Shea Patterson pass complete to Van Jefferson for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 7

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.79

Gary Wunderlich 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.57

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 18 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Keith Mixon run for 3 yds to the Miss 42

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Nick Fitzgerald run for 13 yds to the Miss 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jordan Thomas for 13 yds to the Miss 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Aeris Williams run for 16 yds for a TD, (Westin Graves PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Shea Patterson pass complete to Akeem Judd for 14 yds to the Miss 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.24

Akeem Judd run for 14 yds to the MisSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Shea Patterson pass complete to Hunter Thurley for 12 yds to the MisSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.37

Akeem Judd run for 16 yds to the MisSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Shea Patterson pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 19 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+70 ydsPPA +4.43

Nick Fitzgerald run for 70 yds to the Miss 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Aeris Williams run for 2 yds to the Miss 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Donald Gray for 8 yds for a TD, (Westin Graves KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Shea Patterson pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 7 yds to the Miss 24

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.20

Akeem Judd run for 4 yds to the Miss 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Akeem Judd run for no gain to the Miss 28

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Quincy Adeboyejo, broken up by Kivon Coman

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Gary Wunderlich punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Donald Gray for 4 yds to the MisSt 37

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.21

Aeris Williams run for 7 yds to the MisSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MisSt 39

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nick Fitzgerald run for 5 yds to the MisSt 44

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Aeris Williams run for 8 yds to the Miss 48

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Aeris Williams run for 4 yds to the Miss 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Miss 49

1st & 15Rush+36 ydsPPA +1.91

Aeris Williams run for 36 yds to the Miss 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Aeris Williams run for 13 yds for a TD, (Westin Graves KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Eugene Brazley run for 3 yds to the Miss 30

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +4.03

Shea Patterson pass complete to Van Jefferson for 24 yds to the OLEMISS 46 for a 1ST down MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, personal foul (Mark McLaurin) to the MisSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.26

Shea Patterson pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 14 yds to the MisSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.42

Shea Patterson pass intercepted, touchback. Jamal Peters return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Aeris Williams run for 8 yds to the MisSt 28

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the MisSt 29

3rd & 1Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.78

Nick Fitzgerald run for 24 yds to the Miss 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.93

Aeris Williams run for 23 yds to the Miss 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Donald Gray

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.12

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Malik Dear for 24 yds for a TD, (Westin Graves KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Derrick Jones, broken up by Lashard Durr

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Akeem Judd run for 9 yds to the Miss 25

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.53

Akeem Judd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 24

4th & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.15

Will Gleeson run for 14 yds to the Miss 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Akeem Judd run for 9 yds to the Miss 47

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Akeem Judd run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Shea Patterson run for 5 yds to the MisSt 45

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.60

Shea Patterson run for 6 yds to the MisSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Shea Patterson pass complete to Van Jefferson for 2 yds to the MisSt 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Shea Patterson pass incomplete, broken up by Traver Jung

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.82

Shea Patterson pass complete to Van Jefferson for 12 yds to the MisSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Shea Patterson pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 25 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nick Fitzgerald run for no gain to the MisSt 25

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brandon Holloway run for 5 yds to the MisSt 30

3rd & 5Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.50

Nick Fitzgerald sacked by Marquis Haynes for a loss of 3 yards to the MisSt 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kody Schexnayder punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Carlos Davis at the Miss 23

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Akeem Judd run for no gain to the Miss 23

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Shea Patterson run for 5 yds to the Miss 28

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.25

Shea Patterson pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 14 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Van Jefferson

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.42

Shea Patterson run for 16 yds to the MisSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Damore'ea Stringfellow, broken up by Jamal Peters

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.44

Shea Patterson run for 14 yds to the MisSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 8 yds to the MisSt 20

2nd & 2Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.71

Shea Patterson sacked by Johnathan Calvin for a loss of 8 yards to the MisSt 28 OLE MISS Penalty, intentional grounding (Shea Patterson) to the MisSt 28

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Shea Patterson pass complete to Markell Pack for 8 yds to the MisSt 20

4th & 2Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA -0.55

Gary Wunderlich 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Aeris Williams run for 2 yds to the MisSt 21

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Malik Dear

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, false start (Justin Senior) to the MisSt 16

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Fred Ross, broken up by Tony Bridges

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Kody Schexnayder punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Carlos Davis at the Miss 40

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Akeem Judd run for 1 yd to the Miss 41

2nd & 9Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.62

Akeem Judd run for 22 yds to the MisSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Akeem Judd run for 1 yd to the MisSt 36

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Van Jefferson run for 1 yd to the MisSt 35

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.62

Shea Patterson run for 9 yds to the MisSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Damore'ea Stringfellow

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Akeem Judd run for 6 yds to the MisSt 20

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Akeem Judd run for 3 yds to the MisSt 17

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.79

Akeem Judd run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 18

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Aeris Williams run for 9 yds to the MisSt 27

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the MisSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Aeris Williams run for 4 yds to the MisSt 34

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Aeris Williams run for 2 yds to the MisSt 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.87

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jordan Thomas for 4 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, personal foul (Tony Bridges) to the Miss 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.00

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Aeris Williams for no gain to the Miss 45

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Aeris Williams run for 6 yds to the Miss 39

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Nick Fitzgerald run for 1 yd to the Miss 38

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +5.03

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Fred Ross for 38 yds for a TD, (Westin Graves KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Akeem Judd run for 4 yds to the Miss 21

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to A.J. Brown

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.30

Shea Patterson sacked by Johnathan Calvin for a loss of 6 yards to the Miss 15

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 54 yds, downed at the MisSt 31

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Aeris Williams run for 8 yds to the MisSt 39

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +5.89

Nick Fitzgerald run for 61 yds for a TD, (Westin Graves KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, false start (Quincy Adeboyejo) to the Miss 20

1st & 15Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.40

Shea Patterson sacked by Leo Lewis for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 18

2nd & 17Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.47

Shea Patterson pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 22 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.78

Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 25 yds to the MisSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Shea Patterson run for 7 yds to the MisSt 28

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.03

Shea Patterson run for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.48

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the MisSt 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Fred Ross

3rd & 7Rush+24 ydsPPA +3.40

Nick Fitzgerald run for 24 yds to the Miss 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the MisSt 47

1st & 20Fumble Recovery (Own)+18 ydsPPA +2.80

Nick Fitzgerald run for 18 yds to the Miss 35 Nick Fitzgerald fumbled, forced by Tony Bridges, recovered by MisSt Nick Fitzgerald

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -4.34

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 36 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Miss Issac Gross

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Shea Patterson pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 10 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 8 yds to the MisSt 46

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Quincy Adeboyejo

3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Shea Patterson pass complete to Eugene Brazley for 1 yd to the MisSt 45

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.57

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Quincy Adeboyejo

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the MisSt 46

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the MisSt 49

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.30

Nick Fitzgerald run for 9 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Aeris Williams run for 4 yds to the Miss 38

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the Miss 35

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.84

Nick Fitzgerald run for 3 yds to the Miss 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Nick Fitzgerald run for 3 yds to the Miss 29

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Aeris Williams run for 8 yds to the Miss 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the Miss 20

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Ashton Shumpert run for 5 yds to the Miss 15

3rd & 4Penalty-15 yds

Ashton Shumpert rush for 15 yards to the OM0, clock 05:19, PENALTY MS personal foul (Justin Johnson) 15 yards to the OM30, NO PLAY.

3rd & 19Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +5.15

Nick Fitzgerald run for 30 yds for a TD, (Westin Graves KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.71

Shea Patterson pass complete to Eugene Brazley for 11 yds to the Miss 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.77

Shea Patterson pass complete to Markell Pack for 19 yds to the Miss 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Shea Patterson pass complete to Eugene Brazley for 3 yds to the MisSt 49

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Eugene Brazley

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.25

Shea Patterson pass complete to Eugene Brazley for 7 yds to the MisSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Shea Patterson pass complete to Eugene Brazley for 9 yds to the MisSt 33

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA -0.24

Shea Patterson pass complete to Taz Zettergren for 11 yds to the MisSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown-74 ydsPPA -11.35

Shea Patterson pass intercepted for a TD Cedric Jiles return for 74 yds for a TD, (Westin Graves KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Eugene Brazley run for 1 yd to the Miss 27

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Dawson Knox

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to A.J. Brown

4th & 9Punt0 yds

- 9w punt for 39 yds, downed at the MisSt 34

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 33

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 32

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.23

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 31

Situational Analysis

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
26 plays
100%
3 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
69%
13 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Ole Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
54%
39 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
17%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
57%
14 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
71%
7 plays
4th
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play