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← Back to GamesNov 27, 2016Week 13

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida State by 5.8

Home Win Probability

Florida State 67%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 27, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
FloridaFlorida
033713
Florida StateFlorida State
7371431

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142810-010-317-624-624-1331-13
Florida StateFlorida

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FLOFSFLOFSFLOFSFLOFSFLOFSFLOFSFLOFSFLOFSFLOFSFLOFSFLOFSFLOFSFLODOWNS973ydMISS1065ydTO2-5ydTD224ydPUNT31ydFG944ydFG1654ydPUNT617ydPUNT3-6ydMISS632ydEND27ydPUNT33ydPUNT35ydTO22ydFG43ydTD975ydPUNT515ydTD977ydTD514ydPUNT41ydPUNT413ydTO516ydTO3-12ydTD426ydEND755yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida and Florida State
StatisticFloridaFlorida State
Passing19-3515-26
Pass Yards149138
Rush Yards58249
Total Yards207387
Turnovers23
3rd Down0-1211-17
Penalties4-443-35
Possession27:5932:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida
passing
Austin Appleby
19/35, 149 YDS
rushing
Jordan Scarlett
14 CAR, 53 YDS
receiving
Antonio Callaway
6 REC, 58 YDS
defense
Florida State
passing
Deondre Francois
15/26, 138 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Dalvin Cook
26 CAR, 153 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Travis Rudolph
4 REC, 63 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Josh Sweat
2.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 5 yds to the Fla 30

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.52

Jordan Scarlett run for 13 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.56

Antonio Callaway run for 24 yds to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Austin Appleby pass complete to Lamical Perine for 1 yd to the FlaSt 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.19

Austin Appleby pass complete to Lamical Perine for 25 yds to the FlaSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Lamical Perine run for no gain to the FlaSt 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Austin Appleby pass incomplete to C'yontai Lewis

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Austin Appleby pass complete to Brandon Powell for 5 yds to the FlaSt 2

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.15

Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Brandon Powell

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Dalvin Cook run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 9

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 12

3rd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Deondre Francois pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 10 yds to the FlaSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Deondre Francois pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 8 yds to the FlaSt 30

2nd & 2Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.50

Dalvin Cook run for 19 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.92

Deondre Francois pass complete to Jacques Patrick for 3 yds to the FLORIDA 48 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Duke Dawson) to the Fla 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Jacques Patrick run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 35

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Deondre Francois run for 3 yds to the Fla 32

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Ryan Izzo

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Ricky Aguayo 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Fla 33

2nd & 9Sack+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Austin Appleby sacked by Josh Sweat for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 27 Austin Appleby fumbled, forced by Josh Sweat, recovered by FlaSt DeMarcus Walker , return for 3 yds to the Fla 24

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Dalvin Cook run for 7 yds to the Fla 17

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.36

Dalvin Cook 17 Yd Run (Ricky Aguayo Kick)

2nd & 3Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Logan Tyler kickoff for 65 yds , Chris Thompson return for 9 yds to the Fla 9 Chris Thompson fumbled, forced by Jacob Pugh, recovered by Fla Chris Thompson

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Fla 12

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.32

Brandon Powell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 10

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Brandon Powell

4th & 9Punt+38 yds

Johnny Townsend punt for 38 yds , Nyqwan Murray returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 49

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the Fla 45

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Nyqwan Murray

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.01

Deondre Francois pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 9 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the Fla 35

2nd & 9Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.14

Dalvin Cook run for 26 yds to the Fla 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the Fla 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Travis Rudolph

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Travis Rudolph

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -0.95

Ricky Aguayo 22 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Austin Appleby pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 7 yds to the Fla 32

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Tyrie Cleveland

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jordan Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Fla 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Austin Appleby pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 4 yds to the Fla 44

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.03

Austin Appleby run for 1 yd to the Fla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jordan Scarlett run for no gain to the Fla 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Austin Appleby pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Austin Appleby pass complete to Brandon Powell for 4 yds to the FlaSt 46

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.17

Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Jordan Scarlett run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan Scarlett run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Brandon Powell

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Lamical Perine run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 21

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Antonio Callaway

4th & 4Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA -0.31

Eddy Pineiro 38 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Deondre Francois pass complete to Auden Tate for 9 yds to the FlaSt 44

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -2.15

Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.08

Deondre Francois pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 8 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ryan Izzo) to the FlaSt 39

1st & 20Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Deondre Francois pass complete to Auden Tate for 13 yds to the Fla 48

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Travis Rudolph

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Auden Tate

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Antonio Callaway at the Fla 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Fla 17

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Austin Appleby pass incomplete to DeAndre Goolsby

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.20

Austin Appleby sacked by Brian Burns for a loss of 8 yards to the Fla 9

4th & 16Punt+5 yds

Johnny Townsend punt for 55 yds , Nyqwan Murray returns for 5 yds to the FlaSt 41

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Francois, Deondre pass complete to Cook, Dalvin for loss of 1 yard to the FLORIDAST40, PENALTY FLORIDA roughing passer (Jefferson, Cece) 15 yards to the FLORIDA44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Deondre Francois run for 5 yds to the Fla 39

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.58

Dalvin Cook run for 12 yds to the Fla 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Ryan Izzo

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Auden Tate

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Nyqwan Murray

4th & 10Blocked Field Goal+44 yds

Ricky Aguayo 44 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Marcell Harris

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Austin Appleby pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 25

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.54

Jordan Cronkrite run for 9 yds to the Fla 34

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the FlaSt 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Deondre Francois pass complete to Mavin Saunders for 3 yds to the FlaSt 38

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Kermit Whitfield

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 30 yds, downed at the Fla 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Austin Appleby pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 4 yds to the Fla 36

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Fla 37

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Brandon Powell

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Johnny Townsend punt for 52 yds, downed at the FlaSt 11

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Deondre Francois run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 13

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return-15 ydsPPA +0.00

Deondre Francois pass intercepted Chauncey Gardner return for 15 yds to the FlaSt 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Austin Appleby pass incomplete to C'yontai Lewis

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 24

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Antonio Callaway

4th & 7Field Goal Good+41 ydsPPA +0.22

Eddy Pineiro 41 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Dalvin Cook run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Deondre Francois run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kermit Whitfield run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 44

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.90

Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 8 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 47

2nd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Deondre Francois pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 1 yd to the Fla 46

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +5.63

Travis Rudolph 46 Yd pass from Deondre Francois (Logan Tyler Kick)

3rd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Logan Tyler kickoff for 65 yds , Chris Thompson return for 20 yds to the Fla 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd to the Fla 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.80

Austin Appleby pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 16 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Tyrie Cleveland

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Lamical Perine run for 3 yds to the Fla 40

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (Austin Appleby) to the Fla 35

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Jordan Cronkrite

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Johnny Townsend punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Nyqwan Murray at the FlaSt 23

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 21

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 6 yds to the FlaSt 27

3rd & 6Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.63

Dalvin Cook run for 18 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 3 yds to the FlaSt 47

3rd & 8Rush+17 ydsPPA +3.00

Deondre Francois run for 17 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the Fla 33

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Dalvin Cook run for 6 yds to the Fla 27

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.00

Freddie Stevenson 27 Yd Run (Logan Tyler Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Austin Appleby pass complete to Brandon Powell for 8 yds to the Fla 33

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.70

Jordan Cronkrite run for 10 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Jordan Cronkrite run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 42

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Brandon Powell

3rd & 11Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.58

Austin Appleby sacked by Brian Burns and Josh Sweat for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 39

4th & 14Fumble Return Touchdown-12 ydsPPA -7.68

Marcell Harris 12 Yd Fumble Return (Eddy Pineiro Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -2.07

Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 1 yd to the FlaSt 44 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Travis Rudolph) to the FlaSt 34

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kermit Whitfield run for no gain to the FlaSt 34

3rd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Deondre Francois run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 40

4th & 9Punt+2 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 44 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 2 yds to the Fla 42 FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Rayshad Jackson) to the Fla 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.21

Austin Appleby pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 22 yds to the Fla 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Antonio Callaway

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Fla 33

3rd & 8Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.55

Austin Appleby sacked by DeMarcus Walker for a loss of 11 yards to the Fla 22

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Johnny Townsend punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Nyqwan Murray at the FlaSt 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 33

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Deondre Francois run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.31

Deondre Francois pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 10 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 47

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+15 ydsPPA -2.04

Deondre Francois run for 15 yds to the Fla 38 Deondre Francois fumbled, forced by Marcell Harris, recovered by Fla Teez Tabor

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.26

Austin Appleby sacked by DeMarcus Walker for a loss of 12 yards to the Fla 26

2nd & 22Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Austin Appleby pass complete to Tyrie Cleveland for 5 yds to the Fla 31

3rd & 17Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.17

Austin Appleby sacked by Derrick Nnadi for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 26 Austin Appleby fumbled, forced by Derrick Nnadi, recovered by FlaSt DeMarcus Walker , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.19

Dalvin Cook run for 14 yds to the Fla 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Freddie Stevenson run for 3 yds to the Fla 9

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the Fla 8

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.86

Deondre Francois 8 Yd Run (Logan Tyler Kick)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ermon Lane) to the Fla 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Tyrie Cleveland

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.34

Austin Appleby pass complete to C'yontai Lewis for 14 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Austin Appleby pass complete to C'yontai Lewis for 10 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Austin Appleby pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 7 yds to the FlaSt 29

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.04

Austin Appleby pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 7 yds to the FlaSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Jordan Cronkrite

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Austin Appleby pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 2 yds to the FlaSt 20

Situational Analysis

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
31%
26 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
43%
14 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
40%
10 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
83%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play