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← Back to GamesOct 23, 2016Week 8
Ole MissOle Miss
21
-Final
38
LSULSU
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

LSU by 2.2

Home Win Probability

LSU 57%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 23, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ole MissOle Miss
10110021
LSULSU
71410738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-107-1014-1321-1321-2131-2138-21
LSUOle Miss

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LSUOMLSUOMLSUOMLSUOMLSUOMLSUOMLSUOMLSUOMLSUOMLSUOMLSUOMLSUOMLSUOMLSUOMLSUOMPUNT37ydTD677ydPUNT34ydFG937ydTD375ydPUNT424ydTO726ydTO10ydTD797ydFG1380ydTD284ydPUNT32ydPUNT32ydPUNT313ydTO1-8ydTD39ydEND1-1ydPUNT39ydTD178ydPUNT30ydFG836ydPUNT39ydPUNT732ydTO512ydTO31ydPUNT37ydTD1170ydPUNT47ydPUNT57ydEND850yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ole Miss and LSU
StatisticOle MissLSU
Passing20-3319-28
Pass Yards218204
Rush Yards107311
Total Yards325515
Turnovers23
3rd Down6-164-11
Penalties4-306-43
Possession27:4732:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ole Miss
passing
Chad Kelly
20/33, 218 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Chad Kelly
12 CAR, 56 YDS
receiving
defense
LSU
passing
Danny Etling
19/28, 204 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Leonard Fournette
16 CAR, 284 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Malachi Dupre
5 REC, 52 YDS
defense
Duke Riley
1.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Danny Etling pass complete to Derrius Guice for 5 yds to the LSU 26

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Danny Etling pass complete to Travin Dural for 2 yds to the LSU 28

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Derrius Guice run for no gain to the LSU 28

4th & 3Punt+8 yds

Josh Growden punt for 57 yds , Carlos Davis returns for 8 yds to the Miss 23

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Akeem Judd run for 3 yds to the Miss 26

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Akeem Judd run for 3 yds to the Miss 29

3rd & 4Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +4.07

Chad Kelly pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 50 yds to the LSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Chad Kelly pass complete to Van Jefferson for 1 yd to the LSU 20

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

LSU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Greg Gilmore) to the LSU 15

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Chad Kelly pass incomplete

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.88

Chad Kelly pass complete to Van Jefferson for 15 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Leonard Fournette run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 15

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Danny Etling pass complete to Colin Jeter for 6 yds to the LSU 21

3rd & 5Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.26

Danny Etling pass complete to D.J. Chark for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 20

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Josh Growden punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Carlos Davis at the Miss 35

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Chad Kelly run for 9 yds to the Miss 44

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Akeem Judd run for 3 yds to the Miss 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Chad Kelly pass complete to Eugene Brazley for 12 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Eugene Brazley run for 2 yds to the LSU 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Chad Kelly pass complete to Van Jefferson for 10 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Kelly, Chad pass incomplete to Adeboyejo, Quincy, PENALTY LSU pass interference (Jackson, Donte) 5 yards to the LSU24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OLEMISS.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Eugene Brazley run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 25

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Eugene Brazley

3rd & 11Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.54

Chad Kelly pass complete to Akeem Judd for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 28

4th & 14Field Goal Good+46 ydsPPA +1.39

Gary Wunderlich 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Danny Etling pass complete to Leonard Fournette for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.49

Danny Etling pass complete to Travin Dural for 21 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +4.66

Leonard Fournette run for 59 yds for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Chad Kelly pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 17 yds to the Miss 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Damore'ea Stringfellow

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Eugene Brazley run for 7 yds to the LSU 49

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Damore'ea Stringfellow

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Tre'Davious White at the LSU 18

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the LSU 23

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Danny Etling pass complete to Travin Dural for 7 yds to the LSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Danny Etling pass incomplete to Travin Dural

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Danny Etling pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 5 yds to the LSU 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.15

Danny Etling pass complete to Leonard Fournette for 22 yds to the Miss 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Derrius Guice run for 1 yd to the Miss 42

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -2.93

D.J. Chark run for a loss of 14 yards to the LSU 35 D.J. Chark fumbled, forced by Victor Evans, recovered by Miss Marquis Haynes , return for 9 yds to the LSU 35

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.03

Chad Kelly pass intercepted Donte Jackson return for no gain to the LSU 3

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.02

Leonard Fournette run for 24 yds to the LSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Danny Etling pass incomplete to Malachi Dupre

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.42

Danny Etling pass complete to Travin Dural for 18 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Derrius Guice run for 3 yds to the LSU 48

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.51

Derrius Guice run for 12 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Danny Etling pass incomplete to Leonard Fournette

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +4.03

Danny Etling pass complete to D.J. Chark for 40 yds for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.44

Chad Kelly pass complete to Akeem Judd for no gain to the Miss 15

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Kelly, Chad pass incomplete to Stringfellow, Damore'ea, PENALTY LSU pass interference (Jackson, Donte) 15 yards to the OLEMISS30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OLEMISS.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Akeem Judd run for 5 yds to the Miss 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.75

Chad Kelly pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Akeem Judd run for 4 yds to the LSU 46

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Akeem Judd run for 5 yds to the LSU 41

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.74

D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 2 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to A.J. Brown

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.31

Chad Kelly pass complete to Van Jefferson for 17 yds to the LSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.96

Chad Kelly pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 18 yds to the LSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

D'Vaughn Pennamon run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Evan Engram

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Evan Engram

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -0.95

Gary Wunderlich 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Leonard Fournette run for 8 yds to the LSU 24

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+76 ydsPPA +5.87

Leonard Fournette run for 76 yds for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Markell Pack run for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 21

2nd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Chad Kelly run for 6 yds to the Miss 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Markell Pack

4th & 8Punt+12 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 53 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 12 yds to the LSU 39 OLE MISS Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the LSU 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Derrius Guice run for 2 yds to the LSU 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Danny Etling pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Danny Etling pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+8 yds

Josh Growden punt for 44 yds , Carlos Davis returns for 8 yds to the Miss 25

1st & 10Penalty+11 yds

Kelly, Chad pass incomplete to Stringfellow, Damore'ea, PENALTY LSU pass interference (Jackson, Donte) 11 yards to the OLEMISS36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OLEMISS.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Akeem Judd run for 4 yds to the Miss 40

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Miss 30

2nd & 16Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Chad Kelly run for 11 yds to the Miss 41

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Chad Kelly run for 2 yds to the Miss 43

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Miss 38

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tre'Davious White at the LSU 17

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.78

Danny Etling sacked by Marquis Haynes for a loss of 8 yards to the LSU 9 Danny Etling fumbled, recovered by Miss

1st & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Chad Kelly run for 7 yds to the LSU 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

D'Vaughn Pennamon run for no gain to the LSU 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Akeem Judd run for 2 yds for a TD, (C. Kelly Run For Two-point Conversion) LSU Penalty Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Key, Arden)

3rd & 3Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Nathan Noble kickoff for 65 yds , Derrius Guice return for 10 yds to the LSU 10

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 9

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Akeem Judd run for 5 yds to the Miss 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Akeem Judd run for 4 yds to the Miss 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Akeem Judd run for no gain to the Miss 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tre'Davious White at the LSU 22

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+78 ydsPPA +6.27

Leonard Fournette run for 78 yds for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK)

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.28

Chad Kelly sacked by Arden Key for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 26

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Chad Kelly pass complete to Evan Engram for 5 yds to the Miss 31

3rd & 9Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Chad Kelly sacked by Davon Godchaux for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 30

4th & 10Punt+15 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 48 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 15 yds to the LSU 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.57

Danny Etling pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 18 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the Miss 41

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.51

Leonard Fournette run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 43

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.13

Danny Etling pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 8 yds to the Miss 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Danny Etling pass incomplete to Dee Anderson

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Leonard Fournette run for no gain to the Miss 35

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Danny Etling pass complete to Leonard Fournette for 8 yds to the Miss 27

4th & 2Field Goal Good+44 ydsPPA -0.09

Colby Delahoussaye 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Akeem Judd run for no gain to the Miss 26

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Chad Kelly pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 4 yds to the Miss 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Chad Kelly pass complete to Akeem Judd for 5 yds to the Miss 35

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 42 yds, downed at the LSU 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Danny Etling pass complete to D.J. Chark for 6 yds to the LSU 29

2nd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.52

Danny Etling pass complete to Colin Jeter for 15 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.87

Danny Etling pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 14 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Danny Etling pass incomplete to Colin Jeter

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Derrius Guice run for 2 yds to the Miss 38

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.12

Danny Etling sacked by DeMarquis Gates for a loss of 7 yards to the Miss 45

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Josh Growden punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Carlos Davis at the Miss 6

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Eugene Brazley run for no gain to the Miss 6

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Chad Kelly pass complete to Evan Engram for 6 yds to the Miss 12

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.62

Chad Kelly run for 6 yds to the Miss 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Evan Engram

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA -0.00

Chad Kelly pass intercepted Duke Riley return for 3 yds to the Miss 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the Miss 24

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Danny Etling pass incomplete to Bry'Kiethon Mouton

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA -3.39

Danny Etling pass intercepted Derrick Jones return for 2 yds to the Miss 16

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Chad Kelly run for 7 yds to the Miss 23

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Akeem Judd run for 1 yd to the Miss 24

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.44

Chad Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 23

4th & 3Punt+2 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 49 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 2 yds to the LSU 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 32

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.58

Leonard Fournette run for 9 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Leonard Fournette run for 12 yds to the Miss 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Derrius Guice run for 8 yds to the Miss 39

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Derrius Guice run for 1 yd to the Miss 38

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.80

Leonard Fournette run for 7 yds to the Miss 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Derrius Guice run for 12 yds to the Miss 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.53

Derrius Guice run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 21

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Danny Etling pass complete to Darrel Williams for 8 yds to the Miss 13

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Danny Etling pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 7 yds to the Miss 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Derrius Guice run for 6 yds for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.72

Chad Kelly pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 10 yds to the Miss 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Chad Kelly pass complete to Evan Engram for 4 yds to the Miss 35

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

Kelly, Chad pass incomplete to Stringfellow, Damore'ea, PENALTY OLEMISS holding 10 yards to the OLEMISS25, NO PLAY.

2nd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Chad Kelly run for 3 yds to the Miss 28

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Quincy Adeboyejo

4th & 13Punt+25 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 46 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 25 yds to the Miss 49

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Derrius Guice run for 2 yds to the Miss 47

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.44

Derrius Guice run for 13 yds to the Miss 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Derrius Guice run for 5 yds to the Miss 29

2nd & 5Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.06

Derrius Guice run for a loss of 7 yards to the Miss 36

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.17

Derrius Guice run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 37

4th & 13Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Miss 42

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Josh Growden punt for 39 yds, downed at the Miss 3

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 1 yd to the Miss 4

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Chad Kelly run for 11 yds to the Miss 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 3 yds to the Miss 18

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Chad Kelly pass complete to Taz Zettergren for 10 yds to the Miss 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Chad Kelly pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 13 yds to the Miss 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Chad Kelly pass complete to D'Vaughn Pennamon for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.38

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Damore'ea Stringfellow

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.10

D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 3 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Ole Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
29 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
9 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
67%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
40%
30 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
58%
12 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play