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← Back to GamesOct 15, 2016Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 5.6

Home Win Probability

Tennessee 33%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 15, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AlabamaAlabama
147141449
TennesseeTennessee
073010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-70-147-2110-2810-3510-49
TennesseeAlabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TENALATENALATENALATENTENALATENALATENALATENALATENALAALATENALATENALATENTENALATENALATENPUNT815ydPUNT514ydPUNT4-5ydTD891ydPUNT3-9ydPUNT30ydTD33ydPUNT35ydPUNT423ydPUNT32ydTO3-19ydTD211ydTD665ydPUNT613ydTO966ydPUNT36ydDOWNS764ydPUNT42ydPUNT612ydTD551ydFG1049ydTD875ydTD35ydPUNT39ydTD286ydDOWNS542ydDOWNS1361ydEND25yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alabama and Tennessee
StatisticAlabamaTennessee
Passing18-2818-31
Pass Yards185131
Rush Yards40932
Total Yards594163
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-123-16
Penalties5-381-10
Possession31:3328:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alabama
passing
Jalen Hurts
17/27, 172 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jalen Hurts
12 CAR, 132 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
ArDarius Stewart
8 REC, 90 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Tennessee
passing
Joshua Dobbs
16/27, 92 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jalen Hurd
13 CAR, 28 YDS
receiving
Josh Malone
5 REC, 61 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Alvin Kamara run for 8 yds to the Tenn 35

2nd & 2Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.22

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 16 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Jalen Hurd run for 7 yds to the Alab 42

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jason Croom

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.20

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 4 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.39

Joshua Dobbs run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 41

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Alvin Kamara

3rd & 13Sack-17 ydsPPA -1.83

Joshua Dobbs sacked by Tim Williams for a loss of 17 yards to the Tenn 42

4th & 30Punt0 yds

Trevor Daniel punt for 58 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jalen Hurts pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 6 yds to the Alab 26

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.49

Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Alab 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Bo Scarbrough run for 5 yds to the Alab 36

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the Alab 39

3rd & 2Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.21

Jalen Hurts sacked by Rashaan Gaulden for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 34

4th & 7Punt+32 yds

JK Scott punt for 62 yds , Alvin Kamara returns for 32 yds to the Tenn 36

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Jalen Hurd run for 12 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 44

2nd & 14Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Alvin Kamara run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 41

3rd & 17Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.41

Joshua Dobbs sacked by Jonathan Allen for a loss of 10 yards to the Tenn 31

4th & 27Punt+8 yds

Trevor Daniel punt for 60 yds , Eddie Jackson returns for 8 yds to the Alab 39 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (8 Yards) to the Alab 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Jalen Hurts pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 6 yds to the Alab 15

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Jalen Hurts pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 6 yds to the Alab 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Damien Harris run for 12 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.67

Damien Harris run for 18 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.75

Joshua Jacobs run for 13 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Joshua Jacobs run for 7 yds to the Tenn 29

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +2.61

ArDarius Stewart 36 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Adam Griffith Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Alvin Kamara run for 3 yds to the Tenn 38

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.11

Alvin Kamara run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 36

3rd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.60

Joshua Dobbs sacked by Reuben Foster for a loss of 10 yards to the Tenn 26

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Trevor Daniel punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Eddie Jackson at the Alab 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Trevon Diggs

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+28 yds

JK Scott punt for 58 yds , Alvin Kamara returns for 28 yds to the TENNESSEE 45 ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Keith Holcombe) to the Alab 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jauan Jennings

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jalen Hurd run for 3 yds to the Alab 37

3rd & 7Interception Return Touchdown-58 ydsPPA -9.61

Joshua Dobbs pass intercepted for a TD Ronnie Harrison return for 58 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Joshua Dobbs run for 4 yds to the Tenn 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the Tenn 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jauan Jennings

4th & 5Punt+12 yds

Trevor Daniel punt for 60 yds , Eddie Jackson returns for 12 yds to the Alab 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.81

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 21 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 45

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Joshua Jacobs run for no gain to the Alab 45

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jalen Hurts pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for no gain to the Alab 45

4th & 8Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the Tenn 26

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jalen Hurd run for no gain to the Tenn 26

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jauan Jennings

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Trevor Daniel punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Eddie Jackson at the Alab 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to O.J. Howard

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to ArDarius Stewart

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Cam Robinson) to the Alab 25

3rd & 15Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.15

Jalen Hurts sacked by Derek Barnett for a loss of 9 yards to the Alab 11 Jalen Hurts fumbled, recovered by Tenn Quay Picou , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Alvin Kamara run for 4 yds to the Alab 7

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.54

Alvin Kamara run for 7 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Damien Harris run for 13 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the Tenn 48

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Damien Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.52

Jalen Hurts pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 9 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.75

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 45

2nd & 14Rushing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +4.99

Jalen Hurts run for 45 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jalen Hurd run for 4 yds to the Tenn 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the Tenn 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.49

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 5 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jalen Hurd run for no gain to the Tenn 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Brandon Johnson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 3 yds to the Tenn 38

4th & 7Punt+9 yds

Trevor Daniel punt for 49 yds , Eddie Jackson returns for 9 yds to the Alab 22

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Damien Harris run for no gain to the Alab 22

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.37

Jalen Hurts run for 10 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

2nd & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +3.60

Jalen Hurts run for 37 yds to the Tenn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.06

Damien Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 34

2nd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Damien Harris run for 12 yds to the Tenn 22

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.20

Joshua Jacobs run for 2 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Joshua Jacobs for 8 yds to the Tenn 12

2nd & 2Pass Interception Return-7 ydsPPA -4.84

Jalen Hurts pass intercepted Derek Barnett return for 7 yds to the Tenn 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 6 yds to the Tenn 38

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jauan Jennings

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Tyler Byrd

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Trevor Daniel punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Eddie Jackson at the Alab 16

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Damien Harris run for 8 yds to the Alab 24

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Damien Harris run for 8 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Alab 37

2nd & 5Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.17

Joshua Jacobs run for 22 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.45

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 12 yds to the Tenn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Jalen Hurts run for 9 yds to the Tenn 20

2nd & 1Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Adam Griffith 37 yd FG MISSED

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 21

1st & 15Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.73

Jalen Hurts run for 16 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Gehrig Dieter

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (O.J. Howard) to the Alab 35

3rd & 12Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -0.40

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Damien Harris for a loss of 7 yards to the Alab 28

4th & 19Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 49 yds, downed at the Tenn 23

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Alvin Kamara run for 1 yd to the Tenn 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 4 yds to the Tenn 28

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.96

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 11 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Jalen Hurd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 38

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.88

Jalen Hurd run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 35

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jalen Hurd

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Trevor Daniel punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.16

Jalen Hurts pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 23 yds to the Tenn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Damien Harris run for 5 yds to the Tenn 23

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.01

Jalen Hurts run for 21 yds to the Tenn 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Tyler Byrd run for 6 yds to the Tenn 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.45

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 14 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the Alab 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.28

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Smith for 10 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Joshua Dobbs run for 1 yd to the Alab 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 12 yds to the Alab 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Alvin Kamara run for 3 yds to the Alab 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.84

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 23

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 4 yds to the Alab 19

4th & 6Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -0.26

Aaron Medley 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.66

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 31 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.60

Damien Harris run for 14 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 5 yds to the Tenn 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jalen Hurts pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 3 yds to the Tenn 22

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Bo Scarbrough run for 4 yds to the Tenn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.92

Joshua Jacobs run for a loss of 6 yards to the Tenn 24

2nd & 16Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.58

Jalen Hurts pass complete to O.J. Howard for 23 yds to the Tenn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jason Croom

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Joshua Dobbs run for 4 yds to the Tenn 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Tyler Byrd for 1 yd to the Tenn 30

4th & 5Punt+79 yds

Trevor Daniel punt for 49 yds , Eddie Jackson returns for 79 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 6 yds to the Tenn 31

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Jalen Hurd run for no gain to the Tenn 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 3 yds to the Tenn 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Trevor Daniel punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Eddie Jackson at the Alab 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Jalen Hurts pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 1 yd to the Alab 15

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+85 ydsPPA +7.01

Bo Scarbrough run for 85 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.91

Quinten Dormady pass complete to Josh Malone for 36 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

John Kelly run for 3 yds to the Alab 35

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to John Kelly

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Quinten Dormady pass complete to John Kelly for 3 yds to the Alab 32

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.41

Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Jason Croom

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

B.J. Emmons run for 3 yds to the Alab 35

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

B.J. Emmons run for no gain to the Alab 35

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.66

Cooper Bateman pass complete to Trevon Diggs for 13 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

B.J. Emmons run for 7 yds to the Tenn 45

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.15

Cooper Bateman run for 4 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

B.J. Emmons run for 4 yds to the Tenn 37

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Bo Scarbrough run for 12 yds to the Tenn 25 Bo Scarbrough fumbled, recovered by Alab Bo Scarbrough for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

B.J. Emmons run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 26

2nd & 11Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.73

B.J. Emmons run for 14 yds to the Tenn 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

B.J. Emmons run for 6 yds to the Tenn 6

2nd & 4Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.79

Cooper Bateman run for a loss of 6 yards to the Tenn 12

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

B.J. Emmons run for 1 yd to the Tenn 11

4th & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -3.50

B.J. Emmons run for 4 yds to the Tenn 7

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

John Kelly run for no gain to the Tenn 8

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

John Kelly run for 5 yds to the Tenn 13

Situational Analysis

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
57%
35 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
24 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
27%
11 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
33%
6 plays
0%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays