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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2016Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mississippi State by 4.3

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 63%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 8, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AuburnAuburn
14210338
Mississippi StateMississippi State
007714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-140-210-357-3514-38
Mississippi StateAuburn

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AUBMSAUBMSAUBMSAUBMSAUBMSAUBMSAUBMSMSMSAUBMSAUBMSAUBMSAUBMSTO32ydMISS48ydTD980ydPUNT38ydTD1279ydTO735ydTD1260ydTO33ydPUNT651ydPUNT39ydPUNT33ydPUNT613ydTD445ydTD1-12ydEND617ydPUNT613ydTO56ydTD869ydTO417ydTO1430ydTO37ydTD445ydFG1467ydEND411yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Auburn and Mississippi State
StatisticAuburnMississippi State
Passing14-1818-35
Pass Yards204186
Rush Yards228103
Total Yards432289
Turnovers23
3rd Down6-136-16
Penalties5-407-80
Possession33:2226:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Auburn
passing
Sean White
14/18, 204 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kamryn Pettway
39 CAR, 169 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Tony Stevens
3 REC, 64 YDS
defense
Mississippi State
passing
Nick Fitzgerald
17/34, 181 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Nick Fitzgerald
17 CAR, 61 YDS
receiving
Keith Mixon
2 REC, 55 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Sean White pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 17

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Kerryon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Aub 22

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return-16 ydsPPA +0.12

Sean White pass intercepted Kivon Coman return for 16 yds to the Aub 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Nick Fitzgerald run for 3 yds to the Aub 16

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Donald Gray

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Aub 11

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Fred Ross

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+28 yds

Westin Graves 28 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Sean White pass complete to Ryan Davis for 12 yds to the Aub 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Kerryon Johnson run for 10 yds to the Aub 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kerryon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Aub 48

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.62

Kamryn Pettway run for 6 yds to the MisSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Kamryn Pettway run for 3 yds to the MisSt 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.69

Sean White pass complete to Tony Stevens for 36 yds to the MisSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Sean White run for no gain to the MisSt 7

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kamryn Pettway run for 4 yds to the MisSt 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Sean White pass complete to Ryan Davis for 3 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brandon Holloway run for no gain to the MisSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Farrod Green

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Ashton Shumpert for 8 yds to the MisSt 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Marcus Davis at the Aub 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Kamryn Pettway run for 3 yds to the Aub 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.92

Sean White pass complete to Kyle Davis for 17 yds to the Aub 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kamryn Pettway run for 5 yds to the Aub 46

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Sean White pass complete to Kamryn Pettway for 9 yds to the MisSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Kamryn Pettway run for 2 yds to the MisSt 43

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Kamryn Pettway run for 1 yd to the MisSt 42

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.05

Sean White pass complete to Tony Stevens for 12 yds to the MisSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Kamryn Pettway run for 9 yds to the MisSt 21

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.43

Kamryn Pettway run for 6 yds to the MisSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kamryn Pettway run for 4 yds to the MisSt 11

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.64

Sean White pass complete to Chandler Cox for 10 yds to the MisSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Kamryn Pettway run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Brandon Holloway for 8 yds to the MisSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Nick Fitzgerald run for 7 yds to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brandon Holloway run for 4 yds to the MisSt 44

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.16

Brandon Holloway run for 7 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.89

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Malik Dear for 17 yds to the Aub 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 37

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Fred Ross

2nd & 15Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.60

Nick Fitzgerald sacked by Marlon Davidson for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 40 Nick Fitzgerald fumbled, recovered by Aub Montravius Adams , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kamryn Pettway run for 4 yds to the Aub 44

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kamryn Pettway run for 5 yds to the Aub 49

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Kamryn Pettway run for 2 yds to the MisSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Sean White pass incomplete to Darius Slayton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.06

Sean White pass complete to Chandler Cox for 9 yds to the MisSt 40

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MisSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Kamryn Pettway run for no gain to the MisSt 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.07

Sean White pass complete to Kyle Davis for 17 yds to the MisSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kamryn Pettway run for 5 yds to the MisSt 13

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kamryn Pettway run for 4 yds to the MisSt 9

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.66

Kamryn Pettway run for 4 yds to the MisSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kamryn Pettway run for 2 yds to the MisSt 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Kamryn Pettway run for 3 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nick Fitzgerald run for 3 yds to the MisSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Fred Ross

4th & 7Punt-4 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 59 yds , Marcus Davis returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 9 Marcus Davis fumbled, recovered by Aub Javaris Davis

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Kamryn Pettway run for 9 yds to the Aub 18

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Kamryn Pettway run for 2 yds to the Aub 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Aub 10

1st & 20Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.55

Sean White pass complete to Kam Martin for 42 yds to the MisSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kam Martin run for 5 yds to the MisSt 43

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Kamryn Pettway run for 4 yds to the MisSt 39

3rd & 1Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Sean White sacked by Nelson Adams for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 40

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kevin Phillips punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Fred Ross at the MisSt 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Brandon Holloway for 8 yds to the MisSt 18

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Nick Fitzgerald run for 1 yd to the MisSt 19

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Nick Fitzgerald run for no gain to the MisSt 19

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 35 yds, downed at the Aub 46

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Aub 36

1st & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Kamryn Pettway run for 8 yds to the Aub 44

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Sean White pass complete to Darius Slayton for 5 yds to the Aub 49

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Sean White pass incomplete to Tony Stevens

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kevin Phillips punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Fred Ross at the MisSt 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Gabe Myles

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Fred Ross for 7 yds to the MisSt 17

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.83

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Malik Dear for 7 yds to the MisSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Malik Dear run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 23

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Gabe Myles

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Aeris Williams

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 22 yds, downed at the MisSt 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.69

Sean White pass complete to Tony Stevens for 16 yds to the MisSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Kamryn Pettway run for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 31 Kamryn Pettway fumbled, recovered by Aub Sean White

2nd & 12Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.39

Kamryn Pettway run for 29 yds to the MisSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Kamryn Pettway run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Sack+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Nick Fitzgerald sacked by Carl Lawson for a loss of 12 yards Nick Fitzgerald fumbled, forced by Carl Lawson, recovered by Aub Montravius Adams , return for 13 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ashton Shumpert run for 2 yds to the MisSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 6 yds to the MisSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.93

Nick Fitzgerald run for 11 yds to the MisSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Nick Fitzgerald run for 8 yds to the Aub 48

2nd & 2Penalty-10 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MisSt 42

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Deddrick Thomas

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Fred Ross

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Fred Ross

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Fred Ross for 13 yds to the MisSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ashton Shumpert run for 5 yds to the MisSt 43

2nd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.99

Nick Fitzgerald sacked by Carl Lawson for a loss of 6 yards to the MisSt 37

3rd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Fred Ross for 1 yd to the MisSt 38

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Marcus Davis at the Aub 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sean White run for 5 yds to the Aub 25

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.78

Kamryn Pettway run for 7 yds to the Aub 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Kamryn Pettway run for 3 yds to the Aub 35

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Kamryn Pettway run for no gain to the Aub 35

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.67

Sean White sacked by Marquiss Spencer for a loss of 9 yards to the Aub 26

4th & 16Punt-4 yds

Kevin Phillips punt for 39 yds , Fred Ross returns for a loss of 4 yards to the MisSt 31 Fred Ross fumbled, recovered by MisSt Dezmond Harris

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.24

Keith Mixon run for a loss of 3 yards to the MisSt 28

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Brandon Holloway run for 6 yds to the MisSt 34

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.06

Nick Fitzgerald run for 7 yds to the MisSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ashton Shumpert run for 3 yds to the MisSt 44

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Ashton Shumpert run for 1 yd to the MisSt 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.89

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 18 yds to the Aub 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Keith Mixon

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.80

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 37 yds for a TD, (Westin Graves KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Kamryn Pettway run for 8 yds to the Aub 34

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.03

Kamryn Pettway run for 3 yds to the Aub 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kamryn Pettway run for 4 yds to the Aub 41

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -1.79

Kamryn Pettway run for 2 yds to the Aub 43 Kamryn Pettway fumbled, recovered by MisSt Traver Jung

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the MisSt 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Farrod Green for 5 yds to the MisSt 32

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.90

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Malik Dear for 8 yds to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Nick Fitzgerald run for 11 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Keith Mixon run for 1 yd to the Aub 48

2nd & 9Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Nick Fitzgerald run for 20 yds to the Aub 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Nick Fitzgerald run for 3 yds to the Aub 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.57

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Brandon Holloway for no gain to the Aub 25

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Nick Fitzgerald run for 6 yds to the Aub 19

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.74

Nick Fitzgerald run for 3 yds to the Aub 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Nick Fitzgerald run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 17

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Brandon Holloway for 4 yds to the Aub 13

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.53

Nick Fitzgerald pass intercepted Stephen Roberts return for no gain to the Aub 2

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kamryn Pettway run for 4 yds to the Aub 6

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Kamryn Pettway run for 3 yds to the Aub 9

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Sean White pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+1 yds

Kevin Phillips punt for 37 yds , Fred Ross returns for 1 yd to the Aub 45 Fred Ross fumbled, recovered by MisSt Dezmond Harris

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Aeris Williams run for 6 yds to the Aub 39

2nd & 4Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.63

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jamal Couch for 26 yds to the Aub 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Aeris Williams run for 5 yds to the Aub 8

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.46

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Fred Ross for 8 yds for a TD, (Westin Graves KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kam Martin run for 3 yds to the Aub 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Kamryn Pettway run for 2 yds to the Aub 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.81

Sean White pass complete to Darius Slayton for 19 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Kamryn Pettway run for 2 yds to the MisSt 49

2nd & 8Rush-11 ydsPPA -2.50

TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the Aub 40 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Aub

3rd & 19Rush+29 ydsPPA +3.54

Stanton Truitt run for 14 yds to the MISSSTATE 46 for a 1ST down MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the MisSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the MisSt 36

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Stanton Truitt run for 8 yds to the MisSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Stanton Truitt run for 6 yds to the MisSt 22

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Kamryn Pettway run for 6 yds to the MisSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

John Franklin III run for 5 yds to the MisSt 11

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.44

John Franklin III run for 9 yds to the MisSt 2 AUBURN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MisSt 12

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Stanton Truitt run for 4 yds to the MisSt 8

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

John Franklin III run for no gain to the MisSt 8

4th & 2Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -1.02

Daniel Carlson 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Dontavian Lee run for 9 yds to the MisSt 34

2nd & 1Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.25

TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the MisSt 26 TEAM fumbled, recovered by MisSt

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Dontavian Lee run for 5 yds to the MisSt 31

4th & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.90

Nick Tiano pass complete to Jordan Thomas for 5 yds to the MisSt 36 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Auburn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
44%
27 plays
100%
3 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
45%
11 plays
50%
10 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
40%
10 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
71%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play