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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2016Week 5
MissouriMissouri
7
-Final
42
LSULSU
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

LSU by 9.1

Home Win Probability

LSU 76%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 1, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MissouriMissouri
00077
LSULSU
71471442

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-028-035-035-742-7
LSUMissouri

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MISLSUMISLSUMISLSUMISLSUMISLSUMISLSUMISLSUMISLSUMISLSUMISLSUMISLSUMISLSUPUNT30ydPUNT411ydPUNT36ydTD984ydPUNT31ydDOWNS1063ydTO427ydTD1389ydPUNT523ydTD593ydPUNT617ydPUNT532ydEND531ydTD875ydDOWNS851ydMISS841ydPUNT630ydPUNT30ydPUNT3-2ydTD1086ydTD1181ydTD475ydPUNT30ydEND48yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri and LSU
StatisticMissouriLSU
Passing18-3819-30
Pass Yards188216
Rush Yards77418
Total Yards265634
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-146-11
Penalties5-505-35
Possession17:2742:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri
passing
Drew Lock
17/37, 167 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Ish Witter
11 CAR, 48 YDS
receiving
Johnathon Johnson
3 REC, 42 YDS
defense
LSU
passing
Danny Etling
19/30, 216 YDS
rushing
Derrius Guice
17 CAR, 163 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
D.J. Chark
3 REC, 58 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.60

Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for no gain to the Misso 35

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 52 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for no gain to the LSU 35 LSU Penalty, Illegal Block (6 Yards) to the LSU 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.39

Danny Etling pass complete to Travin Dural for 11 yds to the LSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Danny Etling pass incomplete to Derrius Guice

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Danny Etling pass incomplete to Malachi Dupre

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Danny Etling pass incomplete to Travin Dural

4th & 10Punt+4 yds

Josh Growden punt for 42 yds , Chris Black returns for 4 yds to the Misso 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Drew Lock pass complete to Jason Reese for 3 yds to the Misso 47

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Crockett, Damarea rush for 5 yards to the LSU48, PENALTY MISSOURI illegal shift 5 yards to the MISSOURI42, NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the Misso 44

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Tre'Davious White at the LSU 16

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Derrius Guice run for 9 yds to the LSU 25

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Derrius Guice run for 2 yds to the LSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Danny Etling pass complete to Foster Moreau for 7 yds to the LSU 34

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.64

Derrius Guice run for 7 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Derrius Guice run for no gain to the LSU 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Danny Etling pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Darrel Williams run for 2 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Darrel Williams run for 6 yds to the Misso 42

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.36

Derrius Guice 42 Yd Run (Colby Delahoussaye Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Chris Black

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the Misso 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Chris Black

4th & 9Punt+4 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 54 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 4 yds to the LSU 30 LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (Xavier Lewis) to the LSU 12

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.72

Darrel Williams run for 14 yds to the LSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Danny Etling sacked by Michael Scherer for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 25

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Danny Etling pass complete to Jazz Ferguson for 10 yds to the LSU 35

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Darrel Williams run for 2 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Danny Etling pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 8 yds to the LSU 45

2nd & 2Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.11

Derrius Guice run for 22 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Darrel Williams run for 1 yd to the Misso 32

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Danny Etling pass incomplete to J.D. Moore

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Danny Etling pass complete to Travin Dural for 7 yds to the Misso 25

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -3.24

Derrius Guice run for no gain to the Misso 25

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Ish Witter run for 12 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Ish Witter run for 7 yds to the Misso 44

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Drew Lock pass complete to Chris Black for 8 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.31

Drew Lock pass intercepted Tre'Davious White return for no gain to the LSU 11

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.62

Darrel Williams run for 13 yds to the LSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Danny Etling pass incomplete to Malachi Dupre

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Darrel Williams run for 5 yds to the LSU 29

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.31

Danny Etling pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 14 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Danny Etling pass incomplete to Russell Gage

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.15

Danny Etling pass complete to D.J. Chark for 12 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Danny Etling pass complete to Travin Dural for 12 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Derrius Guice run for 1 yd to the Misso 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Danny Etling pass complete to Travin Dural for 4 yds to the Misso 28

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Derrius Guice run for 8 yds to the Misso 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Derrius Guice run for 2 yds to the Misso 18

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.14

Danny Etling run for 14 yds to the Misso 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Derrius Guice 4 Yd Run (Colby Delahoussaye Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ish Witter run for 1 yd to the Misso 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.39

Drew Lock pass complete to Ish Witter for 19 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the Misso 47

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Drew Lock pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Drew Lock pass complete to Sean Culkin for 1 yd to the Misso 48

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 7

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Darrel Williams run for 9 yds to the LSU 16

2nd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.42

Darrel Williams run for 14 yds to the LSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.68

D.J. Chark run for 18 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Etling, Danny pass incomplete to Jeter, Colin, PENALTY MISSOURI pass interference (Hall, Terez) 15 yards to the MISSOURI37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Danny Etling pass incomplete to Travin Dural

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.80

Derrius Guice 37 Yd Run (Colby Delahoussaye Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Marvin Zanders run for 2 yds to the Misso 21

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Marvin Zanders run for 4 yds to the Misso 25

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.69

Drew Lock pass complete to Richaud Floyd for 11 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Richaud Floyd

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Chris Black

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Chris Black

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Tre'Davious White at the LSU 15

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Darrel Williams run for 5 yds to the LSU 20

2nd & 5Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.79

Darrel Williams run for 20 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Danny Etling pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Derrius Guice run for 2 yds to the LSU 42

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Danny Etling run for 5 yds to the LSU 47

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Josh Growden punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the Misso 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.59

Drew Lock pass complete to Sean Culkin for 20 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.38

Drew Lock sacked by Greg Gilmore and Arden Key for a loss of 8 yards to the Misso 35

2nd & 18Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.05

Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 16 yds to the LSU 49

0th & 18End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Danny Etling pass incomplete to D.J. Chark

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Derrius Guice run for 4 yds to the LSU 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.00

Danny Etling pass complete to Derrius Guice for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Danny Etling pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 6 yds to the Misso 44

2nd & 4Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.83

Derrius Guice run for 21 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.78

Danny Etling pass complete to Colin Jeter for 18 yds to the Misso 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Darrel Williams run for 4 yds to the Misso 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Darrel Williams 1 Yd Run (Colby Delahoussaye Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.39

Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 18 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Drew Lock pass complete to Sean Culkin for 14 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Ish Witter run for 7 yds to the LSU 42

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.05

Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Chris Black

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the LSU 36

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Drew Lock pass complete to Chris Black for 5 yds to the LSU 31

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -2.76

Ish Witter run for 1 yd to the LSU 30

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

D.J. Chark run for 8 yds to the LSU 38

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Nick Brossette run for 6 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Nick Brossette run for 1 yd to the LSU 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.67

Danny Etling pass complete to Jazz Ferguson for 7 yds to the MISSOURI 48 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, Personal Foul (Brandon Lee) to the Misso 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Darrel Williams run for 5 yds to the Misso 28

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.82

Darrel Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Danny Etling pass incomplete to D.J. Chark

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Colby Delahoussaye 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Damarea Crockett run for 8 yds to the Misso 38

3rd & 2Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.72

Damarea Crockett run for 21 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Chris Black

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore

3rd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Drew Lock pass complete to Damarea Crockett for 1 yd to the LSU 40

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 3

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Derrius Guice run for 2 yds to the LSU 5

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.16

Derrius Guice run for no gain to the LSU 5

3rd & 8Penalty-2 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (K.J. Malone) to the LSU 3

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Danny Etling pass incomplete to Travin Dural

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Kevin Pendleton) to the Misso 44

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the Misso 47

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Chris Black

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel Hall

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tre'Davious White at the LSU 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Danny Etling pass complete to D.J. Chark for 5 yds to the LSU 19

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Danny Etling pass complete to J.D. Moore for 9 yds to the LSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (Ethan Pocic) to the LSU 23

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Danny Etling pass complete to Bry'Kiethon Mouton for 4 yds to the LSU 27

2nd & 11Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.90

Danny Etling pass complete to D.J. Chark for 41 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Darrel Williams run for 8 yds to the Misso 24

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.26

Darrel Williams run for 5 yds to the Misso 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Darrel Williams run for 2 yds to the Misso 17

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Danny Etling pass complete to Foster Moreau for 11 yds to the Misso 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Darrel Williams run for 4 yds to the Misso 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Darrel Williams 2 Yd Run (Colby Delahoussaye Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.39

Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 18 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Drew Lock pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.77

Drew Lock pass complete to Chris Black for 11 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.48

Drew Lock sacked by Davon Godchaux for a loss of 7 yards to the Misso 41

2nd & 17Penalty+10 yds

Lock, Drew pass incomplete, PENALTY LSU holding (White, Tre'Davious) 10 yards to the LSU49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MISSOURI.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ish Witter run for 5 yds to the LSU 44

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the LSU 40

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Damarea Crockett run for no gain to the LSU 40

4th & 1Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.27

Drew Lock pass complete to Tyler Hanneke for 16 yds to the LSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Marvin Zanders run for 3 yds to the LSU 21

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.82

Drew Lock 21 Yd pass from Eric Laurent (Tucker McCann Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Nick Brossette run for 6 yds to the LSU 31

2nd & 4Rush+60 ydsPPA +3.32

Nick Brossette run for 60 yds to the Misso 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Nick Brossette run for no gain to the Misso 9

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Darrel Williams 9 Yd Run (Colby Delahoussaye Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Drew Lock pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.17

Drew Lock pass complete to Sean Culkin for no gain to the Misso 12

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel Hall

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tre'Davious White at the LSU 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Lanard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 48

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Lanard Fournette run for 4 yds to the Misso 48

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.52

Lanard Fournette run for 5 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.84

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 47

Situational Analysis

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
23%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
40%
10 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
51%
35 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
8 plays
83%
6 plays
53%
15 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play