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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2016Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas by 9

Home Win Probability

Arkansas 76%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 1, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Alcorn State
073010
ArkansasArkansas
240141452

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-010-024-024-731-738-745-1052-10
ArkansasAlcorn State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARKASARKASARKASARKASARKASARKASARKASASARKASARKASARKASARKASARKASFG736ydPUNT3-3ydTD129ydPUNT30ydTD175ydPUNT517ydTD782ydTD961ydDOWNS620ydPUNT4-1ydMISS759ydTO668ydEND15ydTD941ydTO416ydTD555ydFG649ydTD975ydMISS544ydTD795ydPUNT3-1ydTO30ydTO11ydDOWNS49ydEND16yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alcorn State and Arkansas
StatisticAlcorn StateArkansas
Passing13-1913-18
Pass Yards158206
Rush Yards155353
Total Yards313559
Turnovers41
3rd Down4-112-7
Penalties3-154-45
Possession31:5528:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alcorn State
passing
Noah Johnson
13/19, 158 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Arron Baker
13 CAR, 85 YDS
receiving
Jaborian McKenzie
7 REC, 88 YDS
defense
Arkansas
passing
Austin Allen
13/18, 206 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Devwah Whaley
9 CAR, 135 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jared Cornelius
4 REC, 106 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Austin Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 9 yds to the AlcSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.27

Rawleigh Williams III run for 8 yds to the AlcSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.19

Austin Allen pass complete to Austin Cantrell for 14 yds to the AlcSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Rawleigh Williams III run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 10

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Rawleigh Williams III run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 7

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Austin Cantrell

4th & 5Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.89

Cole Hedlund 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.68

Silas Spearman run for a loss of 5 yards to the AlcSt 11

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Silas Spearman run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 14

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

ALCORN ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the AlcSt 9

3rd & 17Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Noah Johnson pass complete to Jaborian McKenzie for 4 yds to the AlcSt 13

4th & 13Punt+33 yds

Haiden McCraney punt for 49 yds , Drew Morgan returns for 33 yds to the AlcSt 29

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Austin Allen pass complete to Jared Cornelius for 29 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

De'Lance Turner run for no gain to the AlcSt 28

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Noah Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Noah Johnson pass incomplete, broken up by Ryan Pulley

4th & 10Punt+47 yds

Haiden McCraney punt for 37 yds ARKANSAS Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Ark 25

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Devwah Whaley run for 75 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Noah Johnson pass complete to Jaborian McKenzie for 7 yds to the AlcSt 29

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Noah Johnson pass complete to LaDarrien Davis for 8 yds to the AlcSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

De'Lance Turner run for 4 yds to the AlcSt 41

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.33

De'Lance Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlcSt 39

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Noah Johnson pass incomplete to Jaborian McKenzie

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Haiden McCraney punt for 43 yds, downed at the Ark 18

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.39

Rawleigh Williams III run for 29 yds to the Ark 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Drew Morgan, broken up by D'Andre Smith

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Rawleigh Williams III run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.66

Austin Allen pass complete to Deon Stewart for 15 yds to the AlcSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Austin Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 9 yds to the AlcSt 26

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.40

Kody Walker run for 6 yds to the AlcSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Austin Allen pass complete to Dominique Reed for 11 yards to the ALCN9 (Eric Foster), PENALTY AR illegal block (Dan Skipper) 15 yards to the ALCN35, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +4.32

Austin Allen pass complete to Jared Cornelius for 35 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Arron Baker run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlcSt 37

2nd & 12Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.35

Noah Johnson pass complete to Jaborian McKenzie for 28 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Noah Johnson run for 2 yds to the Ark 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Noah Johnson pass complete to LaDarrien Davis for 1 yd to the Ark 32

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Arron Baker run for 8 yds to the Ark 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

De'Lance Turner run for 6 yds to the Ark 18

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

De'Lance Turner run for 3 yds to the Ark 15

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.11

Arron Baker run for 3 yds to the Ark 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Noah Johnson run for 12 yds for a TD, (Haiden McCraney KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Devwah Whaley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Austin Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 12 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Rawleigh Williams III run for 6 yds to the Ark 42

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.72

Rawleigh Williams III run for 2 yds to the Ark 44

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

T.J. Hammonds run for 1 yd to the Ark 45

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Kody Walker run for no gain to the Ark 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Noah Johnson pass complete to Jaborian McKenzie for 11 yds to the Ark 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.40

Arron Baker run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ark 38

2nd & 14Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Arron Baker run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 40

3rd & 16Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -1.31

Noah Johnson sacked by Deatrich Wise Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the Ark 46 Noah Johnson fumbled, , return for 0 yards

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Haiden McCraney punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Drew Morgan at the Ark 15

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.54

Rawleigh Williams III run for 10 yds to the Ark 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Austin Allen pass complete to Jared Cornelius for 24 yds to the Ark 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.14

Cody Hollister run for 22 yds to the AlcSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

T.J. Hammonds run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 26

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Drew Morgan

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Austin Allen pass incomplete, broken up by Deago Sama

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Cole Hedlund 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Arron Baker run for 4 yds to the AlcSt 30

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

De'Lance Turner run for 5 yds to the AlcSt 35

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.66

Arron Baker run for 9 yds to the AlcSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.18

Noah Johnson pass complete to Jaborian McKenzie for 16 yds to the Ark 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.25

Noah Johnson pass complete to Jalen Walker for 39 yds to the Ark 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 ydsPPA -6.06

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ark 6 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Ark De'Andre Coley

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Austin Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 5 yds to the Ark 11 to N/A for no gain to the Ark 11

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Noah Johnson pass complete to Norlando Veals for 4 yds to the AlcSt 30

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Noah Johnson pass complete to Jaborian McKenzie for 5 yds to the AlcSt 35

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.89

Arron Baker run for 1 yd to the AlcSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Noah Johnson run for 9 yds to the AlcSt 45

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Noah Johnson pass complete to Collins Moore for 11 yds to the Ark 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Arron Baker run for 5 yds to the Ark 39

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.42

Arron Baker run for 6 yds to the Ark 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Noah Johnson run for no gain to the Ark 33

2nd & 10Interception Return Touchdown-70 ydsPPA -10.46

Noah Johnson pass intercepted for a TD Henre' Toliver return for 70 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Noah Johnson pass complete to Arron Baker for 7 yds to the AlcSt 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.55

Noah Johnson pass complete to Jaborian McKenzie for 17 yds to the AlcSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.63

De'Lance Turner run for 2 yds to the ARKANSAS 49 ALCORN ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Ladonn Bolden) to the AlcSt 41

1st & 18Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Noah Johnson pass intercepted Josh Liddell return for 2 yds to the Ark 45

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Rawleigh Williams III run for 8 yds to the AlcSt 47

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.19

Rawleigh Williams III run for 8 yds to the AlcSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Austin Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 9 yds to the AlcSt 30

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.40

Rawleigh Williams III run for 4 yds to the AlcSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Cody Hollister run for 26 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Arron Baker run for 5 yds to the AlcSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+53 ydsPPA +3.40

Noah Johnson run for 53 yds to the Ark 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -2.02

Noah Johnson sacked by Bijhon Jackson for a loss of 13 yards to the Ark 30 ALCORN ST Penalty, intentional grounding (Noah Johnson) to the Ark 30

2nd & 23Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Noah Johnson run for 4 yds to the Ark 26

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Noah Johnson pass incomplete to Collins Moore

4th & 19Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA +1.75

Haiden McCraney 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Devwah Whaley run for 7 yds to the Ark 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Devwah Whaley run for 2 yds to the Ark 34

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, false start (Austin Cantrell) to the Ark 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.75

Austin Allen pass complete to Jared Cornelius for 18 yds to the Ark 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.08

Austin Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 17 yds to the AlcSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Austin Allen pass incomplete, broken up by D'Andre Smith

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.01

Devwah Whaley run for 10 yds to the AlcSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Devwah Whaley run for 9 yds to the AlcSt 17

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.45

Devwah Whaley run for 7 yds to the AlcSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Austin Allen pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 10 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)

1st & 10Rush+46 ydsPPA +2.80

Arron Baker run for 46 yds to the Ark 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

De'Lance Turner run for 1 yd to the Ark 20

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

De'Lance Turner run for 1 yd to the Ark 19

3rd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.40

Noah Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ark 23

4th & 12Blocked Field Goal+41 yds

Haiden McCraney 41 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Dan Skipper De'Andre Coley return for 1 yd to the Ark 6

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.82

Rawleigh Williams III run for 19 yds to the Ark 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Rawleigh Williams III run for 24 yds to the Ark 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.87

Devwah Whaley run for 14 yds to the AlcSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.35

Devwah Whaley run for 12 yds to the AlcSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.17

T.J. Hammonds run for 13 yds to the AlcSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

T.J. Hammonds run for 7 yds to the AlcSt 5

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.23

T.J. Hammonds run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

De'Lance Turner run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 28

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

De'Lance Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlcSt 26

3rd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.23

Noah Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlcSt 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Haiden McCraney punt for 51 yds, fair catch by T.J. Hammonds at the Ark 25

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Damon Mitchell run for no gain to the Ark 25

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Damon Mitchell run for 7 yds to the Ark 32

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-7 ydsPPA -0.53

Ty Storey run for a loss of 7 yards to the Ark 25 Ty Storey fumbled, recovered by AlcSt Julius Lawrence

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -4.32

Silas Spearman run for 1 yd to the Ark 23 Silas Spearman fumbled, forced by Randy Ramsey, recovered by Ark Randy Ramsey

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Damon Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Ark 26

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Damon Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Ark 28

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Connor McPherson run for 2 yds to the Ark 30

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.03

Connor McPherson run for 2 yds to the Ark 32

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Arron Baker run for 6 yds to the Ark 25

Situational Analysis

Alcorn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
0%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
77%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
29%
7 plays
0%
1 play
33%
6 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play